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681  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Who Pays What? on: June 14, 2012, 08:33:15 PM
Thanks, excellent overview!
Looks like you need to improve your rates though Wink - last place (even of the non-BS&T depositors)??

Thank you for the feedback, but being in last place wasn't my intention.  The flip side is that I'm paying "lousy" rates to support some lower cost lending so borrowers can get funds at 2% per week and people investing/depositing can have a high measure of confidence that their funds are secure.  I'm aiming for sustainability and longevity.

I'm not about to ask the other deposit takers to drop their rates though, but I might keep the 1.5% rate running past the end of June (undecided).
682  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Scam Report Against CryptoXchange $100k USD on: June 14, 2012, 08:28:11 PM
Having pulled another few thousand out of crypto this week (24 hours for an international wire is one of the fastest I have received), the scammers are still the Australian banks charging 8% currency spreads costing me extra hundreds of dollars going to their profit margins.  Locally it's only 4% and other places are even less.

Didn't see any liquidity problem.
683  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bragging rights! Who has the highest BTC balance? on: June 13, 2012, 11:25:10 PM
I have 37.2679BTC in my wallet currently.  That makes me #1 so far.

I have > 37.2679 deposited with pirate, now i am # 1

Um, I also have more than 37 coins with BS&T - I was simply referring to my current idle coins held in my personal wallet.
684  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bragging rights! Who has the highest BTC balance? on: June 13, 2012, 10:28:58 PM
I have 37.2679BTC in my wallet currently.  That makes me #1 so far.
685  Economy / Lending / Re: Loan request 4 months. on: June 13, 2012, 10:09:26 PM
Funded - 26 coins with monthly repayments.
686  Economy / Services / Re: Gigamining / Teramining on: June 13, 2012, 04:53:26 AM
True, and also the graph Daily Anarchist threw up doesn't take different assessments of time-value of money into account, but when deciding what to invest in, the competing alternatives and portfolio risk also comes into it.  But the debate/discussion is useful.

True, but with ZIRP and my WACC around 0.75+LIBOR to 4% the issue is somewhat immaterial in my calculations.

So if your cost of capital is so low, then you would be investing in something with a higher return?  Giga bonds are paying much higher than that, and even the non-BS&T deposits pay better, or some of the fixed interest bonds on offer then you can easily get 4-6% per month with fairly low risk.

The DCF/FV calcs could then contrast 100BTC invested in Gigamining versus BDK.bond (as an example).
687  Economy / Securities / Re: Credit Ratings on: June 13, 2012, 04:48:17 AM
Not just borrower/lender combos, but for people investing in securities. 

Picking BFLS (randomly as the next stock above 1000BTC total volume), what do you know about it, the guys that run it and their long term plans - yes the exchange tells me Inaba has done this and at least one person has some information on him (although I have no knowledge of Nef either).

Would having more information make this asset more or less valuable/more or less risky?
688  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Introducing the ModMiner Quad 840Mhash @ 40 Watts http://www.BTCFPGA.com on: June 13, 2012, 04:42:54 AM
ooo! can i have blue? Grin

The blue is nice (six down, four across).

Oh for the days when all computer equipment was grey-ish.
689  Economy / Lending / Re: Looking for 600 BTC Loan on: June 13, 2012, 03:39:40 AM
Nothing special, up to 26 weeks at 2.5%/week.  Interest calculated on a daily basis and debits/credits on the day of payment.  Uneven repayments and early payments without penalty.  Assuming no collateral.
690  Economy / Lending / Re: BDK-BLoC (Business Lines of Credit) [Prequel thread - probing for interest] on: June 13, 2012, 03:35:35 AM
Is there a facility fee? or is it free to have 1000BTC of credit sitting doing nothing? 

(Starfish waves back)
691  Economy / Services / Re: Gigamining / Teramining on: June 13, 2012, 03:23:50 AM
The current numbers are easy, but your post wasn't about future rates or even hedging instruments.  Anyone can look up the BTC/USD cross rate and difficulty.

Well, obviously. I assumed we were talking about doing a NPV from the DFCF of the bond in which case the current numbers are almost irrelevant.

True, and also the graph Daily Anarchist threw up doesn't take different assessments of time-value of money into account, but when deciding what to invest in, the competing alternatives and portfolio risk also comes into it.  But the debate/discussion is useful.
692  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Introducing the ModMiner Quad 840Mhash @ 40 Watts http://www.BTCFPGA.com on: June 13, 2012, 03:20:53 AM
I love it, but the price is so high.   Undecided

1) This ships in 4 weeks tops, guaranteed.
2) This only runs a 40Watts.
3) They also offer payment plans, for getting started sooner.
4) This is modular, meaning you can get started with as little as $350.

You get what you pay for. If I hadn't already sent my precious BTC to some other FPGA company (woops), I would totally be all over this.

Also, they went from announcement/pre-orders to shipping in five weeks.  I have financed eight units for different buyers and put in a purchase order for another 10 today.

Other than BFLs (which arrive eventually) and the intro special on the Cairnsmore, it's about the same price as the other competing products like the x6500.
693  Economy / Services / Re: Gigamining / Teramining on: June 13, 2012, 01:49:27 AM

1 and 2 easy, it's the third one that's hard - hence my starting a credit rating discussion to actually collect those ideas.

No, 1 & 2 are not easy as there are currently no reputable sufficiently liquid instruments, that I am aware of, to hedge in either direction the volatility of either.

I do think the credit rating idea has a tremendous market need and not just for bonds but for developing the BitCoin economy's credit markets in general. Perhaps something like Prosper and a credit score. But no need to threadjack GIGAMINING's to discuss that.

The current numbers are easy, but your post wasn't about future rates or even hedging instruments.  Anyone can look up the BTC/USD cross rate and difficulty.

However, knowing the forward curve for them would be much more challenging - possibly too illiquid a market to have futures on them yet.
694  Economy / Services / Re: Gigamining / Teramining on: June 13, 2012, 01:20:18 AM

Where can these numbers be found? Also, you're bullish on them?

1 and 2 easy, it's the third one that's hard - hence my starting a credit rating discussion to actually collect those ideas.
695  Economy / Securities / Credit Ratings on: June 13, 2012, 01:18:15 AM
I was reading Daily Anarchist's post and thinking about several others that have been made recently about credit ratings.  I've done some work in this area before, certainly around credit scores run by Dun and Bradstreet, and also having looked at the approach used by S&P.  It doesn't directly convert to bitcoin because it is still very new, and some people like to still use psuedo-anonymity.  However, there are some metrics that I would use (and borrow) to assess a credit rating.  From something I have lurking on my computer, business scores can be done on a 12 point basis:

Code:
	Key Area	    Score	   Weight	Weighted Score
A Payment Severity 0 20.0% -   
B Employees            0 5.0% -   
C Legal Structure         0 15.0% -   
D Public Record         0 5.0% -   
E Length of Operation     0 10.0% -   
F Overdraft         0 5.0% -   
G Principal's Antecedents 0 5.0% -   
H Net Profit Growth 0 2.5% -   
I Net Worth Growth 0 2.5% -   
J Working Capital    0 2.5% -   
K Current Ratio      0 12.5% -   
L Net Worth         0 15.0% -   

Fairly obviously A, B, D and probably F would not apply, but others would such as:

 - Time in bitcoin or time in business.
 - Identity (ie, a real one, probably including location).
 - Paid up capital (equity)
 - Surplus real assets (is someone debt funding their business or do they actually have real money)
 - Use of funds/business (is it transparent and verifiable, or hidden)

As an example, BS&T would score poorly on the use of funds/transparency/identity, but has not (yet) defaulted on any payments and has been around for quite a while.
Similarly, a new lender/bank or GLBSE asset would be scored down on the basis of newness, but might counter that by other factors.

Presumably there is an interest in this kind of service/function.  What would it be worth?  Would security issuers want to advertise such a score?
(and from the point of self interest, what would a sensibly charge be? and from a conflict of interest point of view, I wouldn't rate Starfish BCB)
696  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] YABMC Growth on: June 12, 2012, 09:43:54 PM
The past week has seen some interesting developments including BTC price increases relative to the USD, falls in prices for bonds on GLBSE and recent large off-market sales.  We have also seen some new equipment become available and the wait for BFL MRs continues, while we (JWU, HashKing and myself) keep our mining operation humming along.

We think that there is appetite for us to offer additional bonds for those after exposure and the benefits of mining without the hassle or cost of running and maintaining equipment, but also do not want to disadvantage existing bond holders.  Therefore, before making further moves we would appreciate some feedback as to volume and price and even timing if we were to issue additional bonds.
697  Economy / Lending / Re: Website For All Lenders and Borrowers on: June 12, 2012, 08:35:49 PM
Addresses for users and payment/loans would (should) be set up in advance.  I run a dedicated receiving address for every customer so I know where incoming coins are from and so I can track them.

Anyway - sub'd for interest.
698  Economy / Services / Re: Gigamining / Teramining on: June 12, 2012, 08:26:57 AM
stuff up to the interesting point

If you buy the bond at 1 (par) .....

Lol - par values went out with the dinosaurs and is not relevant (and it wasn't 1 anyway, and for most instruments would not have been 1).

Perhaps the recent 2.4M difficulty is in people's minds (15Th network speed) and with block reward changing, that is equiv of 4.8 or 1/3rd of current yield.  Yes, the perpetual bond pays, but what value is assigned to it will be interesting, especially if other assets promise higher returns.  It is an uncertain future and there was also the interesting post earlier that did mention the buyback clause, but that might just mean people trade at an inflated value to protect their investment.
699  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: Who Pays What? on: June 12, 2012, 03:40:07 AM
i'm paying 6.9% per week... link is in my sig.

minimum account size: 10 btc
no minimum term


added the minimum in notes
700  Economy / Lending / Re: Website For All Lenders and Borrowers on: June 12, 2012, 02:26:44 AM
Sub for interest.

Anything linked to facebook and I'm out (as would a lot of other people).  I hate it as much as Apple (happily and irrationally) and now seeing iJunk is making farcebook part of the OS, I have even more reason to avoid over-priced POS.

As an observation, you might have a look through the lending/market-place sub-forums to see how much business is actually being done.  There are a few, but not heaps.  Also, funnelling funds through your website makes another point of failure and/or attack.  I would need to trust you pretty thoroughly before putting any appreciable volume of business through your site.

And for ignoring at the bottom of the post:
Anything linked to facebook and I'm out (as would a lot of other people).  I hate it as much as Apple (happily and irrationally) and now seeing iJunk is making farcebook part of the OS, I have even more reason to avoid over-priced iPOS.
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