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7961  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2021, time for a new general & diff speculation thread... on: December 21, 2021, 12:19:08 AM
Quote
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator


Latest Block:   715011  (8 minutes ago)


Current Pace:   97.0361%  (1348 / 1389.17 expected, 41.17 behind)


Previous Difficulty:   22335659268936.39                            
Current Difficulty:   24195286980613.62                            
Next Difficulty:   between 23614624844756 and 23677011468572
Next Difficulty Change:   between -2.3999% and -2.1421%
Previous Retarget:   December 11, 2021 at 3:40 AM  (+8.3258%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Saturday at 12:48 PM  (in 4d 17h 36m 25s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Saturday at 1:56 PM  (in 4d 18h 44m 2s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 9h 8m 10s and 14d 10h 15m 47s



Well -2.963%

not bad looks like we get the christmas 🎄

numbers to drop for a mining ⛏ gift.


So a new all time hash rate will not come this year.

It is interesting to see if the diff meanders for Jan and Feb.

Many so called experts say the supply chain will not be fixed until fall of 2022.
7962  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: Why use a PPS pool when there are large PPLNS pools? on: December 20, 2021, 11:19:39 PM
10 eh

2,546,000 vs 2,652,000

Now if I was this kind of player

and I told viabtc I was pointing 10 eh at them

I would be certain I could get a better rate then 4% so the

  2,652,000
- 2,546,000
      106,000 daily cost  would be lowered to maybe 50,000

Most people don't realize the big players get better rates at pools

And why wouldn't Viabtc give an even lower rate for the same hashrate on PPLNS? If they give a spectacular rate for PPS, they are taking even more risk. If they encourage those big clients to go PPLNS, then it reduces their total risk.



A large miner may not want the variance risk of pplns.

remember that witholding / accidental bad software has hit pools for large amounts of coins.

A pps+ pool paying a big player daily means no variance risks.

the risk for that player is one days payment maybe two. as they would simply pick up and move to a different pool.

also when doing projections pps will have more stability.

and as I said if a big player is sending a lot of hash to viabtc and insists on pps+ vs pplns I am thinking viabtc may take on the big guy and give him what he wants.
7963  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2021, 09:56:03 PM
[edited out]

BTW, I really like the ring of your phrase: "the vast majority of my stash"... Makes it sound like hundreds or thousands of coins.  

"The vast majority of my stash" could catch on as a very apt way of going forward with some of these descriptive matters.

Ok... on a personal level, you may well know that when I refer to "the vast majority of my own personal stash," recently, I had admitting to having more than 0.63 BTC, so one might speculate that the "vast majority of my stash" would be more than 75%.. which would be more than 0.4725 BTC, and maybe we can even refer to that as being more than half of a BTC...

 I can already see that our days are likely to be numbered in terms of even these kinds of references to whole BTC.. because holy shit, if I am saying the vast majority of my BTC, you may well identify my stash size to be of a size that is becoming less and less attainable by normies to even get to that quantity of BTC... if you are starting out, do you have $25k.. Is it beyond your budget?  Yeah for sure.  You have to start with getting up to $5k invested and then $10k invested and then how many BTC does that get you, and in the future.. where might we be going with our references?

Are we (royal of course) going to be able to hang onto a sufficient quantity of those BTC (or should I start saying vast majority of my stash happens to be more than 50 million satoshis?)..  Am I telling you too much?

BTW, I really like the ring of your phrase: "the vast majority of my stash"... Makes it sound like hundreds or thousands of coins. As for my own stash, I'd just say "most of my stash", somehow it sounds more fitting to its size.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

I was aware that i have to describe it in a way which should not present any clues about the absolute size.
And it seems to work  Grin

Can I take it back?  .. yeah.. having more than 0.63 BTC is 3x the size that many newbies can start to accumulate.. and a year or two or 4 or 10 am I still going to have it?

Remember  a couple of years ago.. even the dude had captured live footage of a bunch of his drama, with various angles on the boat and all of that.. I mean, it's not implausible that shit happens... and it does happen.. does not even take a big screw up just a bit of gambling or some weak moments and poof.

On the "fish" scale i'm pretty low. But it's "better than getting a brick to the head", as some would say in my culture, means it could always be worse
  Grin

So the stash is more like a stashy  Smiley

I am not sure whether the descriptor "stashy" is going to catch on.. to me, it comes off a bit on the side of evasive... which may work out ok for some peeps.... but you are not likely to find me using that one.. unless I first see it a lot then maybe after a while of repetition for me it will start to sound better than it currently does..




It could become too much info If a satoshi become 10 cents you claim to having more than 5 million in fiat.
 
I can say I have under 100,000 usd in GPUS and Asics and Coins. Which is safer than saying how many pieces of gear and exactly how much coin I have.
7964  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2021, 05:30:36 PM
Daily Driver: PAID IN FULL?

I don’t know does it even mean?

means it needs repairs every day that cost more than book value of the vehicle? ive owned winter beater vehicles like that. i didnt even bother changing the oil on many of my cars because i knew it would fall apart way before the engine would die. and i was pretty surprised how long some engines lasted on sludge (225 cid slant six, damn things are almost unkillable. i had a few)

322k miles on my dodge dart slant six 1977
7965  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: GPU has no display after long term mining on: December 20, 2021, 02:23:15 PM
What can make a GPU to stop displaying on screen after months of mining with the GPU without display? I was tracking my mining through HiveOS android application on my smartphone but today I decide to insert the GPU in a gaming motherboard but no display, returned the GPU into mining mobo and mining works but inserting hdmi cable I got no display still...

Happens no good reason why.  Or there are good reasons.  Do you have a display port on the gpu?

buy this cable

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B015OW3M1W/ref=ox_sc_act_title_1?

plug the display end into the gpu

plug the HDMI end into the monitor

Sometimes this will fix the issue.

If the gpu has dvi output use this cable

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B07D6RL3VN/ref=ox_sc_act_title_1?

This sometimes fixes issues.

other work arounds

strip all the amd and or nvidia drivers on the gaming pc.

try the card in each and every slot to see it it posts and you can view the monitor

if it does load the driver and see if you fixed it.
7966  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2021, 01:35:30 PM
It sucks that anti-vaxxers's choice is effecting (sic) everyone around them and not just themselves

Dude. Holy fucking shit... Stahp. Plz.

Well that's the problem. Covid-19 keeps on trucking so people keep on posting.

When I get some time I will post a photo of myself to show my rainbow glasses and my Hodl t-sweater along with a nuts cap a bandanna thanks to covid I can walk into a bank looking like that.

It is one of the few nice things about covid-19 you can say has happened.

To all take it back  step remember thanks to biology none of us will be alive in 2121 so lets stop fighting over mask no mask and or vax no vax. Either way you will be dead in 2121
7967  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: [WTS] - large quantity of electrical and cooling infrastructure in U.S. on: December 20, 2021, 04:10:23 AM
Just got off the phone with my warehouse guy. I am sending the link to him again.

Sounds good. Let me know. Our goal is to have all of this inventory sold by end of the year. It's currently stored in a space we are trying to lease out.  I have someone who may be buying out the entire lot of whatever remaining inventory sits at year end so if there is any strong interest in any of it let me know.

Thanks

My guy wants a quote for 1x 400 amp panel with the 20 amp breakers.

We are in New Jersey.
7968  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: Used S17 Pro for Sale (50T-59T) on: December 20, 2021, 04:07:52 AM
I have 200 ANTMiner S17pro (50-59T) in California. $39/t.
You can come and get it by yourself, or I can mail it to you. You need to pay for the postage

I asked mods to move to markeplace.

Also to anyone looking to buy $39 a th is really cheap so do due diligence if you buy.

7969  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 19, 2021, 08:58:36 PM
Oh right after I post NY Jets are now trailing oh well Cry
7970  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 19, 2021, 08:55:41 PM
Look bottom line we are all human and we are all dying.

Let's leave that out of here.

Dip still looking very good.

I am stacking and growing my stash a should all of you.

My condolences to everyone that has lost loved ones as I am pretty sure almost all of us have lost a person they care for.

Went to a sports bar today with six other married guys and wore my rainbow glasses to read my cell phone. told them all Rainbows are for straight people too.

Pretty drink on Tito's watching my Jets actually close to  winning a game 24-24 at the moment.

Lets leave off the anti vax  and pro vax crap  and think about a  lost one instead.  To all that lost friend or family in all of their life here's to the memory of them.


and Go Jets

along with go BTC!

Buy some dip today people.

7971  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: [WTS] - large quantity of electrical and cooling infrastructure in U.S. on: December 19, 2021, 04:54:31 PM
Just got off the phone with my warehouse guy. I am sending the link to him again.
7972  Economy / Speculation / Re: Comparing bitcoin halvings - 2012 to 2020 on: December 19, 2021, 04:04:01 PM
First off you leave out the price war between bitmain and spondoolies this was the s5 and the sp10

the companies sold them fast and cheap driving down the price of coin from nov 2014 to jan 2015

it is also why the ½ ing was 3 years and 7 months vs 3 years and 10 months next time.

Since part of these factors are left out it partially negates the theory you have.


This ½ ing  you are leaving out holy covid we all going to die concept.

It really alters the growth rate of mining gear.

In principle I do agree that the ½ ings will have less influence but other factors have meaning.



As for the idea the asset is now too big and cant grow much.

Gold is on its way out as a storage of wealth.
asteroid mining ⛏ may make gold common.
so all gold holders may need to shift to an asset such as BTC for wealth storage.

Gold is about 8 trillion so BTC could gain as the shift happens over the next few years.

Regarding the mining equipment price war - yes and so does everyone else who says "Every previous halving has looked like x therefore this one will too."

Remember this is simply about trying to do a more rigorous assessment and comparison of the previous halvings and seeing if we could roll it forward onto this one.  I'm not in any way invested in it as a prediction, indeed I'd be delighted if bitcoin leaped to $250k (or any other massive number anyone likes to propose) ... more than delighted, I'd be ecstatic!

Regarding asteroid mining - not in our lifetimes, we're decades away from having that capability.  Moreover, even if we could mine asteroids, why would we mine them for gold?  Its hardly the most essential element we are short of, and mining it in any volume would crash the price here, to very little benefit.

Dude make gold as common as copper and the worlds electrical systems improve so much it would be hard to,scale.

why do you think 3 superrich dudes are doing space launches.

google asteroid with gold and read that one single known  asteroid  has way more than 50x the worlds known supply.

divert it to the moon and endless solar power is buildable.

simple  but not easy peasy.

long term gold is worth less than silver based on the amount known on that one particular asteroid.

and gold is such a good e
conductors
7973  Economy / Speculation / Re: Comparing bitcoin halvings - 2012 to 2020 on: December 19, 2021, 01:56:30 PM
First off you leave out the price war between bitmain and spondoolies this was the s5 and the sp10

the companies sold them fast and cheap driving down the price of coin from nov 2014 to jan 2015

it is also why the ½ ing was 3 years and 7 months vs 3 years and 10 months next time.

Since part of these factors are left out it partially negates the theory you have.


This ½ ing  you are leaving out holy covid we all going to die concept.

It really alters the growth rate of mining gear.

In principle I do agree that the ½ ings will have less influence but other factors have meaning.







As for the idea the asset is now too big and cant grow much.

Gold is on its way out as a storage of wealth.
asteroid mining ⛏ may make gold common.
so all gold holders may need to shift to an asset such as BTC for wealth storage.

Gold is about 8 trillion so BTC could gain as the shift happens over the next few years.
7974  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 19, 2021, 01:36:30 PM
Thanks to everyone, for your kind words, I appreciate it.

Sorry you had to lose someone.
It hurts a lot. 
7975  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: I really want to know how you buy mining machines? on: December 19, 2021, 04:27:37 AM
Is possible to buy mining machine's one after the other?

If we can buy our own mining tools for ourselves why mining industries is not as multiple as exchange?

The power supply that is required for mining of coin does it stay constant till 24 hours time?

building mining gear is expensive.

designing the chip
designing the pcb board
and making it work
making it cheaply
making it run efficiently

all hard to do.

exchanges can compete more evenly.

I E 

  0% fee is as low as you can go
1% fee  is getting pretty high

so exchanges can pretty much match the rival exchange far easier than asic builder can.
7976  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Mining heat increased after adding more GPUs on: December 19, 2021, 01:49:58 AM
Totally normal as the more cards you add the more heat you are going to output. When I built my last 12 card rig the heat became too much for my little office and temps shot up to about 100 degrees in the room which was more than I could handle to sit in and work. The way I got around it was ordering a small but tall grow tent and an 8-inch inline fan that exhausts the heat outside a window.  This cut down temps in my office back to 70 degrees with ease and is pulling all the heat out of the tent and outside which is keeping my cards under 50c

Did it lower sound as an added bonus?
7977  Other / Meta / Re: Does DT abuse exists? on: December 19, 2021, 12:55:49 AM
My question is, You are a DT-1 or a DT-2 Member, How can you include someone on your trust list while that user never left feedback to anyone? How do you Trust that user's Judgment if he never left feedbacks to anyone?
Oh, there are lots of ways--but to the best of my knowledge the trust list inclusions/exclusions are supposed to be done based on how accurate a member's feedback is.  

Does that mean everyone is going to follow that unwritten rule?  Nope, not at all, and there aren't any consequences I know of if someone chooses not to unless they somehow abuse their DT power and start including shady members or excluding ones based on vendettas or what have you.

Yours is a good question, OP, but the trust system here has a lot of grey areas and is about as imperfect as it gets.  The reality is that DT members can and do include or exclude others based on reasons that have nothing to do with any feedback that was given--philipma1957 is a perfect example of that.  My take on it is that as long as it doesn't create havoc on the forum, let it be.

Well I trust buysolar for $$$ and whether it is off the forum or on the forum he is a guy that doe the right thing.

Years ago trust was based more on the idea you would be able to do good buys and sales with a person.  Over the years it has now drifted into a far more gray area.

I know six or seven people on bitcointalk personally. If I think I can trust them I list them in my trust list.

Most likely I will need to review the list again I like to do that every once in a while.
7978  Other / Meta / Re: Does DT abuse exists? on: December 18, 2021, 10:43:14 PM
The trust list have nothing to do with the Feedback , this is the most issue most Users think !
You can trust somebody even you dont have given a feedback to them and the same is it with a feedback you give to Users.
You dont have to trust the User when you give them a Positive / Neutral / Negative Feedback also.
It all depends how you make your one personal trust list .

A good guide you can find here : LoyceV's Beginners guide to correct use of the Trust system

But to answer your question yes there are a few that tried / trying to abuse the DT !

Here we go, I understand that I dont have to trust the User when I give them Positive / Neutral / Negative Feedback. I also understand that I can trust somebody even I don't have given feedback to them. But, According to LoyecV,

Trust list: a list of people who's judgement on others you trust (username) or don't trust (~username).

I can make a list of people whose judgment on others I trust. Right? What if I add somebody who never judges someone? If that user never judged anyone? How you will trust his judgment? In this forum, I can trust your judgment in a few different ways,
  • Checking Your Flag Supports,
  • Your Judgment on Others
  • Based on Your TrustWorthy Post.

I don't know if I am wrong. Could you please tell me how/or based on what you will judge my judgment to others? If I never judged anyone before?

Buysolar is on my trust list.

He lives about 1 - 2 miles from me.
I know his family he knows my family.
We are partners in mining ⛏.

He almost has zero to do with this website but he will stay on my trust list due to the reasons above.

DaveF is someone I met in person multiple times He lives near my wife’s cousins in A different state.

He can be trusted.

do I really care if they are vibrant leaders on bitcointalk nope. But they are still trustable.

Is my trust list perfect most likely not.

But you asked about how does some one trust someone else on bitcointalk even if the person does not seem to be qualifed my trusting of buysolar on the surface would look weird its not.

Don’t sweat 😓 a lot of small things. Now if you know terrible shit about some one here and you see dt1 trusting them maybe you can mention something.

But if someone asks me about buysolar I basically tell them he will always be on my trust list.  Assuming we stay in our partnership and things work the way have been.

So some you may wonder about may know a ton about the guy they are listing on the trust list.
7979  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 18, 2021, 12:55:07 PM
This is so true and exactly how China ban has strengthened the network each time they try to stop its growth but it recovered with great pump each time:

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CXWjjH4oqr-/?utm_medium=copy_link

They think they are doing the right thing or others who want to stop it the bitcoin is ready for everything and support increases each time and now hasrate has also recovered and now no central china mining control.The CCP has lost it's major asset which they never deserve and should focus on their work or so called digital crap CDBC Yuan which is worse they can do.

Bitcoin is unstoppable.We will be having pumps in 2022  Grin

So here is the quiz for you guys:


So this is how i also stack some btc  Grin

A dog?
7980  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Btc hodlers vs short time traders on: December 18, 2021, 04:18:11 AM
DCA is game play.. a campaign being pushed

if influencers can get enough of the community to change from random lump sums and instead regular drips, then the hope is it can stabilise the price.

but most pushing for DCA seem to also push 'dont worry about price, dont try to buy the dip'. losing people many opportunities to maximise a better average

sorry but not everyone is going to DCA so dont expect volatility to change.
its like asking everyone to be hygienic and respect personal space, hoping it stops a virus spreading.. didnt work

Modified dca.

 Ie 50 a day or 50  week for a cycle  of four years.  10x your dca if a 35% dip happens.

sell 10% of your stash if a 60% jump happens.

do not deviate.

now 50 a day for 4 years is over 70k

but 50 a week for 4 years is just over 10 k this is doable for many people.
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