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81  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 28, 2022, 02:16:09 PM
without even looking at the odds, at least we all know who will be the "again" champion here.
Bayern's strength in the Bundesliga is still too strong for other teams and indeed this is a real condition where all clubs are not able to stem or break the dominance that Bayern is currently doing.
It will only be a waste of money if you are still willing to give odds for other clubs to win the title next season
Well, if you think so then you can make an easy 20% in 1 year by putting your money on Bayern Wink
Of course the chances are high that Bayern will be champion again, but this is not decided 100% yet. I am hoping for some miracle where Bayern plays a weak opening of the season and where a few teams are to compete with Bayern at least for the first half of the season. Also Bayern will focus more on the Champions League and maybe the World Cup in winter can mix "the usual" Bundesliga progression a bit up.
82  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🔷 Waves Tech - a powerful blockchain-agnostic ecosystem on: May 28, 2022, 05:57:24 AM
Stop the 400m waves short on binance and repay vires investors and any illicit gain from this market defrauding event. Then they should discontinue vires and usdn until investigation closes and best case there is a small fine instead of big problems in exchange for cooperating with authorities at an early stage and without any investor harm.
Who filed a complaint? Against whom (the Waves team)?
I agree with you that the whole Vires situation is pretty ugly, but (so far) unlike Terra/Luna not much money was lost by investors (Ok Waves is 90% down, but many cryptos are down similar amounts...). USDN is (still) pretty stable and Vires investors can get out via vTokens (with some losses). I think the outcry were much worse if they actually would "discontinue vires and usdn" and trap holders of those coins.
The whole system is slowly falling apart, let's see if they can turn it around. My current guess is, that they won't be able to do it by their newly introduced methods only. Maybe in a lucky turn of events we'll see some crypto rally pushing the Waves price high enough to save the system?
83  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 27, 2022, 08:15:32 PM
The Leipzig team is pretty good. But I don't think they will compete with Bayern Munich for the title. Bayern Munich is still a very strong team. And they are very strong financially. If Bundesliga clubs add star players to their squads. And if other clubs can spend money like Bayern Munich, Then I think club line Leipzig or Dortmund will be able to compete with Bayern to win the title.
In this case it is clear because the first position will already belong to Bayern.
Meanwhile, Leipzig and the other teams will only fight for positions 2,3,4 and so on. there is no better chance there considering Bayern's current form has dominated for several seasons even though it has been a decade now they are unbeaten in the race for the Bundesliga title.

Things like this will not be easily overthrown unless there is a club that really changes the quality of their players and coaches who definitely need a lot of money there.
There are already quotes for the next season. Bookmakers currently have these for the Bundesliga champion next year:
Bayern 1.2
Dortmund 6
Leipzig 10
Leverkusen 41
Mönchengladbach 101

so that's like a 75-80% chance for Bayern. I also think that Bayern will make it again next year. If Leipzig plays more consistent thoughout the season they will be able to compete with Dortmund for the 2nd rank. Then from the 4th rank almost anything is possible. Last season we saw Leverkusen, Freiburg, Berlin and Cologne pretty strong, but next year those can already be Frankfurt, Gladbach or Wolfsburg.
84  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: May 27, 2022, 08:10:00 AM
Waves (bzw. Neutrino) will ein wenig dezentraler werden:
https://medium.com/neutrinoteam/help-neutrino-to-decentralize-usdn-reserves-and-make-12k-year-f5813fb84ee2

Die über 40 Mio Waves die aktuell im Neutrino Smart Contract liegen werden sind aktuell auf nur 2 Nodes im Staking/Leasing.

Das Team plant jetzt diese Waves auf 80 Nodes aufzuteilen und jeder (der einen Node aufsetzt und nach den Regeln mitspielt) kann mitmachen und dann 5% der Leasing Rewards einstreichen (Laut deren Rechnung $12k pro Jahr).

80 Plätze sind natürlich nicht viele. Ein großer Teil davon wird vermutlich intern im Team schon belegt. Auch ist ungewiss wie lange noch so viele Waves im Neutrino SC liegen und wie sich der Wavespreis entwickelt, aber vielleicht ist das was für einige hier Smiley



Wenn wir schon bei News sind, auch bei Vires tut sich was:
Dort wird jetzt ein "Liquidity Lock" Mechanismus eingeführt, was wohl die Liquiditätsreserven etwas stabiler machen soll:
https://medium.com/@viresfinance/liquidity-lock-to-boost-vires-rewards-b093088a9036

Man kann jetzt jeden Coin/Token im Supply für einen Zeitraum locken/festsetzen (0-12 Monate) und bekommt dann einen Bonus Vires-Reward.
Das System wird dadurch mal wieder etwas komplexer, was nicht so schön ist, aber gut dass sich etwas tut.

Die Vires APRs für Stablecoins sind aktuell sehr hoch (~40%), so wollen sie wohl wieder mehr Stablecoins anziehen, ich bin gespannt ob es funktioniert.



edit 28.05.: Die Nachrichten reißen nicht ab zur Zeit, es geht rund bei Waves  Grin
Der Waves DeFi Revival Plan
https://medium.com/wavesprotocol/the-waves-defi-revival-plan-c21d9bfabc7e

Quote
The steps will go like this:
    Begin buying and locking CRV tokens with 45% of the WAVES staking profits from Neutrino, and vote to incentivize the USDN 3-pool. To improve demand for USDN.
    Liquidate large accounts, taking control over their collateral.
    Sell their collateral without depegging USDN to return liquidity to Vires Finance and reduce utilization rate, enabling larger user withdrawals.
    Improve Neutrino architecture with a new recap token that recapitalizes Neutrino with new Waves Tokens when under-collateralized.

Es scheint also so zu kommen wie (u.a.) @spirits es schon mehrfach vorgeschlagen hat: Ein neues Token wird eingeführt, was einige ursprüngliche Funktionen von NSBT übernimmt (nachdem es bei NSBT nicht mehr möglich ist durch die begrenzte Tokenmenge.
Das liest sich für mich alles vernünftig, ob es langfristig stabil ist, ist eine andere Frage (siehe Terra/Luna...). Leider könnte es "too late; too little" sein, das aktuelle Defizit beträgt 77%...
85  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: May 27, 2022, 05:01:42 AM
Both of them will both fight in the Champions League final this season so there is nothing to be underestimated especially a team like Real Madrid will also do everything possible to win in the Champions League final. And Liverpool is also expected to be able to come up with a better strategy so that Real Madrid can experience a little difficulty in winning this final match.
The Champions League final will be interesting. I think Liverpool (as 2nd in the League) has a higher incentive to win the final. Madrid already won the Spanish League and had a celebration, whereas Liverpool might be motivated more to win. Also Liverpool is (on paper at least) the stronger team. In one game always much can happen, but I would bet on Liverpool.
86  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 27, 2022, 04:58:45 AM
Frankly speaking, I was expecting Hamburg to play in the Bundesliga next season. They indeed deserve to get the promotion, because their performance in the Bundesliga 2 was decent and commendable. Although, they ended at the 3rd place, but conceded the lowest goals in the Bundesliga 2 last season. Unfortunately for them, they couldn't withstand Hertha Berlin in the second leg. Despite winning the first leg of the Relegation play off. However, congratulations to Hertha Berlin.

An almost shocking result as, given the poor (on average) performance of Hertha away, Hamburg looked like the clear favourite. I can imagine the degree of disappointment for the Hamburg fans. I hope next year Hamburg will take a higher place and go directly to the Bundesliga will save them from such experiences.
Deserved or not, it came down to the single last game (2nd leg) of the relegation match vs Hertha and they lost. Hertha has played a bad season and they will play against relegation next year. Of course it is disappointing for Hamburg as well, but until now they always messed up their relegation into the Bundesliga just in the last few games of the season. Hamburg needs to me more consistent thoughout the whole season and then they won't have to rely on luck anymore.
87  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa Conference League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Final! on: May 26, 2022, 02:35:50 PM
great achievement from Mourinho. as well as this season's trophy Roma. the team and fans are certainly feasting on Roma's long wait for the title.
now we see a calmer Mourinho. he has once again shown his qualities in coaching. after several failed attempts to train a strong team. now Mourinho is proving that he still has quality.
Yes, congratulation to Rome and Mourinho. After the introduction of the Conference League, Mourinho now has won all important European titles, it might take a while until another coach can achieve a similar achievement. Personally, I still think a separation into Euro and Conference League is not really necessary, I hope they can somehow make this cup more appealing in the next years.
88  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Is this the end or only the beginning on: May 26, 2022, 12:55:08 PM
How many projects will rug pull in 2022? There are many projects that will face the same fate as Luna project but I believe we are able to raise voice on Luna CEO because he is popular and well known, what about projects with invincible CEO? There are tons of Defi and metaverse projects with invincible team, I think their case will be much worse than what we've seen.

I don't really think that rug pull is the right word in relation to what happened with Terra (Luna). A rug pull is when a team or a single dev of a project is suddenly removing all the liquidity from a pool on sushiswap or pancakeswap for example which means the token can not be traded anymore and the scammer has more of the token that was paired with his own rug pull token for example ETH or USDT or something like that.
The Devs of Terra Luna did no rug pull. The sell pressure on UST just became to high so it could not hold it's peg to real USD anymore. This then caused the panic selling of a lot of nervous investors which of course made things only worse and lead to the complete downfall of the Terra ecosystem. If we have months or even years of a bear market ahead of us, then i am sure that a lot of smaller projects will have a hard time to survive.
I was thinking exactly the same. It seems some people use rugpull or "to rug" as a synonym for a price crash of coins or tokens.
Apart from that we are in a bear market. It might go on for another 6 months, maybe even longer. After that we will see whether we have new innovations that can fuel another bull cycle or not. Stablecoin regulation might be coming soon too, which could be another problem for crypto in general.
89  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: 🔷 Waves Tech - a powerful blockchain-agnostic ecosystem on: May 26, 2022, 09:51:23 AM
When you guys sell waves on the waves exchange, what are you selling it for?  On sites like coinbase and binance, you sell your coins for usd or usdt or usdc or btc or other altcoins.   But what about waves?  Because usdn doesn't seem to be always pegged to the dollar.  Back then when it always was pegged to the dollar, that was what most people did?  Or do most people always sell it for usdc or usdt or btc?
USDN is highlighted on the Waves.Exchange for obvious reasons. I wouldn't keep USDN for long term storage currently as I am not convinced that it will hold the peg if we continue with the current bear market for a while longer.
In your case, I would sell Waves for USDN and then USDN for USDC or USDT (whatever you prefer). The withdrawal of USDC and USDT to another blockchain is also pretty fast and I never had any problems with that.
90  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 25, 2022, 07:48:16 PM
after 4 years in the 3. liga we finally see the traditional club back in the 2. bundesliga Cool
dynamo dresden on the other hand has been relegated to the 3. liga after only one season and in this calendar year still without a win Tongue
It's definitely nice to see Kaiserlautern back in the 2nd league. On the other hand a pity that Dresden has to go, it's also a club with tradition and many fans, but then again without a single win this year, so they have definitely not earned to remain in the 2nd league... It would have been pretty funny actually if the game had ended 0-0 and Dresden won after penalites  Grin
So this was the last game in the german professional leagues, summer break is coming Smiley
91  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 24, 2022, 11:09:10 AM
I was just checking the past years of the 2nd/3rd league relegation matches. Here some statistics that might be interesting for tonight's game:
- The team from the 2nd league was only able to win 4 out of 13 times in the past. Interestingly this is the opposite than in the relegation from 1st to 2nd league (advantage Kaiserslautern)
- Dresden already has been twice in the relegation matches, once coming from the 2nd league, once from the 3rd league, both times they won the duel (advantage Dresden)
- When the first leg ended 0-0 (happened 2 times so far) then always the 2nd league team won (advantage Dresden)
- They were three more matches where the first leg ended with a draw (that wasn't a 0-0), in those cases always the 3rd league team won (advantage Kaiserlautern)

so let's see which series will break tonight Wink
92  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 24, 2022, 06:40:19 AM

Here are the odds for the 2nd leg:
Dresden vs Kaiserslautern 2.1/3.25/3.6
Dresden is the favorite, but not by a huge margin, so anything is possible basically.

Bookmakers don't expect many goals, odds for >2.5 goals are at 2.15
I am afraid the 2nd leg will just be as bad as the first one. I guess the best we could hope for is any goal at the beginning of the game to force the team which is behind to open up the game. If I had to make a bet I would probably go for "Dresden doesn't win" (draw or Kaiserlautern wins) which pays 1.71, which seems not too bad. I do expect Dresden to remain in the 2nd league, but as the game is more or less open, many things can happen.

Thanks for the odds, I really needed that because there are no available bet's on the stake.com but it is alright from that 1st game it was really a draw I think these two teams equally match but in the 2nd game Dynamo Dresden will need to come up with certain plans in winning this game, and the same goes with FC Kaiserslautern but Dresden will surely struggle this because of their injuries, from their first game FCK has the advantage with shots, but Dresden has the overall upper hand 1 goal is really needed to win the 2nd game, if the result of the 2nd game will be the same as the 1st game, I think both teams will be needing just 1 goal to win the game,
So tonight is the 2nd relegation game between Dresden and Kaiserslautern. The first one ended 0-0
The odds have shifted a bit towards Kaiserslautern 2.35/3.2/3.1
The game is now pretty much open, the odds for winning the duel are Dresden 1.72, Kaiserlautern 2.05.

I expect the game to go similar to the Hamburg vs Hertha game, the first goal could decide this game. There is no tempting bet here in my opinion. We might see a very nervous game with either a lucky punch or even going into penalties.
93  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 24, 2022, 05:12:01 AM
unbelievable that they lost and worse, they didn't even manage to score at least 1 goal in that game, anyway they lost and said goodbye to the bundesliga, who knows when we'll see them again in the bundesliga. knowing that the lower-ranking teams fighting to enter the bundesliga are strong teams, being relegated from the bundesliga to have to play against the lower-ranking teams and dreaming of returning to the bundesliga will be a task that I can advance from an impossible mission in the short term, anyway. congratulations to Hertha who managed to survive, I hope next season they fight to be in a better place or they will be relegated
It really is another huge disappointment for Hamburg after all the close calls for moving up into the Bundesliga in the last years. Maybe the worst so far... they were really close in making it, but the relegation games are brutal from the point of view of the 2nd league team. Next year, Hamburg has to play and win more consistently in the league to end up in the Top2 ranks.

The 3rd rank in the 2nd league mainly gives you false hope. Now 11 out of 14 years (almost 80% of the time) the Bundesliga team won the relegation match. It's just not an even fight.
94  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 23, 2022, 06:55:23 PM
Hertha was able to score a goal after only 4 minutes and therefore equalized the result from the first leg. We are now 25minutes into the game and we are down to an almost even fight with a 50-50 chance for relegation to Bundesliga/2nd league for the two teams.
Hertha had a good phase, if they can keep the pressure up they have good chances to score more goals (similar to what Cologne did last year when they won the 2nd leg 5-1 after a 0-1 in the 1st leg)
95  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 23, 2022, 04:11:33 PM
Judging from the statistics in the first leg, it seems that Hamburger played better than Hertha Berlin. This is another problem for Hertha Berlin who have only one more chance to make sure they stay or not in the Bundesliga. It became difficult when they had to catch up to a goal that was created by Hamburger in the first leg.
I wouldn't write Hertha off, they seem like the big outsider now, but those games can swing quickly. Hamburg has the matchpoint, but if they don't make it into the Bundesliga now, they would be once more target of ridicule.
Bookmakers seem to expect a winner today and more goals (than in the 1st leg anyway). I hope we'll get some good entertainment tonight Smiley
96  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: Kucoin - Riesen Potenzial - Was denkt ihr? on: May 23, 2022, 12:19:27 PM
Jetzt war gerade Tradingstart des MLS (Pikaster) Tokens.
https://www.kucoin.com/trade/MLS-USDT

Es gab ein ~x13 auf ein Zwischenhoch bei ~$1.6 und jetzt haben wir immer noch ein ~x9 bei ca. $1.0-1.1, alles in allem sehr erfolgreicher Start.

Ich habe meine erste Tranche komplett verkauft, es gibt ja noch 3 mehr in den nächsten Monaten  Wink
97  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 23, 2022, 11:39:34 AM
The second red card was at the end of the game but Freiburg failed to win vs 10 players in more than 70 minutes, they even failed to keep the advantage they had in the first half. Overall, we expected that the game will end with a draw and that's what just happened and that Leipzig is favourite and they indeed won the match with penalties. They won something this season at least..
People hate a lot on Leipzig, but I also think that their win of the DFB Cup is not undeserved when looking at the overall season. They started badly into the season, but played a very good 2nd half of the season, being on top of the table of the 2nd half and coming far in the Euro League.
Freiburg has a lot of sympathies as it's a "small town club" with lots of tradition, and they had it in their hands leading the game against 10 players, but ultimately didn't have the nerves. For me, I was just happy to see teams that are not Bayern or Dortmund in the final Wink
98  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: May 23, 2022, 11:26:12 AM
Was meint ihr, wird das Waves-System zusammenkrachen und man sollte sein Guthaben schnell abziehen? Oder gilt das nur, wenn man Waves und USDN hält? Ich habe derzeit das Meiste in Virestoken gelockt und freue mich über die Einnahmen, aber ist dies sicher? Oder ist alles weg, wenn der grosse Wal liquidiert wird? Sollte ich wieder Bitcoin auf meinem Ledger Nano S halten, statt auf Waves zu setzten? Fragen über Fragen.
Das das Waves System zusammenbricht denke ich nicht, wieso auch? aber von USDN habe ich mich derzeit einmal verabschiedet und beim aktuellen Kurs gegen USDC/USDT getauscht. Sollte der große Wal liquidiert werden sind halt wieder viele USDN im Umlauf die nicht mehr gedeckt sind... Zu Vires kann ich persönlich nicht viel sagen.
Ich denke auch nicht, dass das Waves-System als Ganzes "zusammenbricht" (also wird dann die Blockchain angehalten oder wie stellst du dir das vor?)

Es gibt die vorher diskutierten Risiken, dass z.B. USDN wertlos werden könnte (Neutrino Zusammenbruch). Das könnte durch einen heftigen Einbruch des Wavespreises passieren oder durch eine Liquidierung des Vires-Wals. Sollte das passieren dann fällt Waves sicher noch weiter, aber alles andere ist Spekulation (wie reagiert das Team?)

Vires selbst sieht aktuell nicht schlechter als vor ein paar Wochen aus, die ganze Vires-Wal Situation ist natürlich immer noch nicht gelöst. Ich persönlich würde es aktuell nicht verwenden, erst recht nicht mit Stablecoins. Ich selbst habe nur noch ein paar Air-Drop Vires dort gelockt. Man sollte im Auge behalten, dass die Regeln sich dort sehr schnell ändern können (wie z.B. das Verbot vTokens umzuwandeln oder Abhebebeschränkungen und sowas, Proposals kommen dort ja im Wochentakt)
An deine gelockten Virestoken kommst du ja eh nicht ran, bzw. nur sehr langsam. Solltest du dort viele BTC haben, ist ein wenig Risikoverteilung aber sicher nicht verkehrt. Hohe Zinsen kommen meistens mit hohem Risiko
99  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: May 22, 2022, 04:57:06 PM
To me it also looks like all the "strong" teams are going to win and there won't be a single change in the standings  Cheesy
Well, looks like this happened. Of course the way to the final results was a rollercoaster, but this doesn't change the outcome Smiley
Congrats Manchester City to win the championship. They had to fight today, but the consistency in their results is incredible.
Also congrats to Liverpool, even if they only come in second, just 1 point (and 5 goals) behind. Hopefully they will be able to crown their season with the Champions League title!
100  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: May 22, 2022, 03:35:55 PM
Liverpool will win, Manchester city as well will win their game, Tottenham are already ahead, not so convinced that Arsenal on the other hand can manage pass Everton. Manchester United need a win to qualify for the Europa as they have close points with westham. This final game decides a lot- The winner of the league, top four position, europa league qualification, relegation battle,  top scorer in league, top assist in the league and the best keeper. All teams will have to go all in in this last game of the season.
We are now 35 minutes into the games, Liverpool is back in the game with a score of 1-1 now. Manchester City still no goals, but both Tottenham and Arsenal are ahead already with a 2-0. To me it also looks like all the "strong" teams are going to win and there won't be a single change in the standings  Cheesy

Why is Everton seen as such a strong team that Arsenal can't beat them? They are far down in the table and don't even require more points to stay in the Premier League next year...  Huh
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