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921  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt. Gox is an unlicensed money exchanger dealing in "crypto-currency." on: May 15, 2013, 06:19:35 PM
Sarcasm aside - moving the money through a US Wells Fargo account registered to himself, seriously?

Where do you see that?  The account is in the name of the LLC however last time I checked fictional legal entities (corporations and limited liability companies) don't have physical form and thus can't sign their own name so any corporate account will have real humans which are given (usually by corporate resolution) permission to sign in the name of the company.  No bank in the US will allow you to open an account in the name of a company, trust, or foundation with at least one "real person" signatory on the account.

I see - I read it wrong. Editing. Thanks
922  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt. Gox is an unlicensed money exchanger dealing in "crypto-currency." on: May 15, 2013, 06:16:53 PM
Seems convenient that mtgox is down atm - no transfering of btc out or selling. Other exchanges are going down.

Trading's working for now.
BitStamp's up.
923  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mt. Gox is an unlicensed money exchanger dealing in "crypto-currency." on: May 15, 2013, 06:13:53 PM
http://www.fincen.gov/financial_institutions/msb/msbstateselector.html

Are ANY exchanges registered with FinCEN? Mt. Gox might be the first of many targets.

One would wonder why the other longest operating major exchanges (in order of volume) operate outside of the land of the free - like Russia, Slovenia and China.

Sarcasm aside - moving the money through a US Wells Fargo account registered to himself, seriously? So amateur of Mr Karpeles. Hope this serves him a lesson if he still needs one. There's a guy who did the same in Germany (bitcoin-24) and got both his funds frozen and a court case pretty fast.
Correction: the note says "HSI was able to see that the money passed through a Wells Fargo account, number 7657841313, which was created by a single authorized signer: Mark Karpeles". So the account is likely on the company name - he's the only authorized signer.
924  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: May 15, 2013, 03:43:25 PM
You'd think they'd issue a public statement by now.
Like they did with the CoinLab deal affaire. Or with this new US Homeland Security / Dwolla "problem".

Yeah right.

 Sad
925  Economy / Economics / Re: [Irish Times] Bank deposits may be at risk due to EU regulation on: May 15, 2013, 09:17:08 AM
Similarly to what happened to Cyprus last month, it seems like big Irish bank accounts may be at risk due to EU regulation.

News article : http://www.irishtimes.com/business/sectors/financial-services/bank-deposits-of-over-100-000-may-be-at-risk-1.1384295

NOTE: please correct any information below if wrong because I did not verify my sources and I'm just writing what I remember on top of my head.

Ireland has less that 5 million inhabitants. Irish debt does NOT come from government spending out of control. It has two main sources:

1. Toxic derivatives. Anglo Irish Bank was mainly used as a dump for those. It was bailed out by the government (which was in turn bailed out by EU) then it went bust.
Anglo Irish Bank  was only serving the financial sectot not the public. Rumour has it that the German-led EU posed rescue of Anglo Irish Bank as a condition to the Irish government for the EU bailout. Bad mouths say it was because German banks had purchased debt from Anglo Irish that they needed to wash their hands off before closing it down.
As opposed to going to jail, former Anglo Irish Bank managers got a rich performance bonus.

2. Unpaid mortgages. At the peak of the housing bubble in 2007 real estate prices were 2 times and half what they are now. There are 90 thousand homes in Ireland whose mortgage hasn't been paid for more than 90 days. The banks are legally entitled to repossession - yet there are only few houses for sale on the market. Rumour has it that banks are not willing to sell the properties at a loss because it is more convenient to them to try and get another bailout - hoping they get third-time-lucky, who knows.

In regards to banks' liquidity situation in Ireland - rumour has it that Bank of Ireland is fine but Allied Irish Banks (no. 2) is in deep shit.

Meanwhile most Irish top bank managers are still being paid generous bonuses for having been able to negotiate bailouts with their friends at the government.

I believe Ireland is going to be the next testing ground for the Cyprus idea. The Irish Times article is already starting the "lesser evil" sweet-talk-bullshit.
926  Economy / Speculation / Re: "Sources said traders would have a hard time getting US dollars out of Mtgox" on: May 15, 2013, 07:54:40 AM
How do we not have an explanation yet?

Surely when either Gox or Dwolla got the message they asked "why", so has the DHS just said "lol its a secret"?

Gox are a bunch of former geeks turned rich liars overnight.
And they are trying to stay that way without bringing any more innovation to the table.
In recent occasions they have denied and delayed important news rather than delivering them.

Some examples? CoinLab deal. SEPA withdrawals in April. Alleged DDOS attacks.
927  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 10:21:01 PM
Hmmmmm. OkCupid, well that's bad. Looks like they served every US business that accepts BTC (through MtGox - which is most of them - Coinbase in the case of OKC)

From the information we have the only affected businesses are the ones that use Dwolla+MtGox.

I think it would be much more important to know is how businesses using BitPay are affected.
928  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 10:13:21 PM
I keep on wondering whether all these buys are due to bottom-catchers fishing cheap coins or due to people scared by DHS news converting their fiat to coins and moving them out of Gox in a hurry...
929  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dwolla can no longer process deposits or withdrawals to MtGox on: May 14, 2013, 10:01:40 PM
News out going mainstream.

http://pandodaily.com/2013/05/14/dept-of-homeland-security-freezes-accounts-between-dwolla-and-bitcoin-exchange-mt-gox/
930  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 09:06:25 PM
Interesting battle ahead.

The Dwolla/DHS news is still not on any major news site. It is likely to be a big hit on tomorrow's news channels.
The Google Ventures news is also fresh although it applies to OpenCoin not much bitcoin.

Meanwhile on Gox: bottom catchers saw chances for cheap coins and are keeping the price above 115 right now.
We'll see soon if and how much the market cares about the Dwolla news...

On a personal drama note, I tried to ride the wave of dumps by short selling BTC and instead ended up having to buy back at same price while losing a coin in fees. Bummer.
931  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 08:36:49 PM
Good news (trust me, it is) + One guy dumping = PANIC!

Not sure how this is good news  Huh
Short term I think we are going to face a panic wave with all speculators trying to short sell.
932  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dwolla can no longer process deposits or withdrawals to MtGox on: May 14, 2013, 08:31:10 PM
My guess is that DHS has claimed it's an AML issue because 'errorism.

it's a free country after all, right?  Grin
933  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 07:39:17 PM
  • Ripple is centralized
  • Ripple is no store of value - XRP's are controlled (and premined) by OpenCoin
  • Ripple is debt based (you are not transferring assets like in BTC, you are transferring debt)
  • Ripple implies that you trust a series of gateways, which is totally contrary at the core value of Bitcoin (no need to trust any third party)

1 and 2: They claim to change this soon.

3: Wrong, Ripples are the same as Bitcoins in that respect. They are not subject to any counterparty, and they have no underlying value besides a Ripple denomination with floating exchange rates.

4: This is only the case for any other currency except for Ripples within the Ripple system, and that includes Bitcoins same as Dollars. Which is why Ripple will kill Bitcoin if it is adopted significantly.

You guys need to learn a thing or two before teaching others, I keep reading all these misconceptions.

+1

but short term I think the Google Ventures news is bullish for both BTC and XRP.
While the Dwolla news is short term bearish.

We might see some action after all  Grin
934  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: MtGox account in the USA has been seized by the DHS? on: May 14, 2013, 07:27:49 PM
This so reminds me of Paxum.

http://bitcoinreport.com/visa-and-mastercard-force-paxum-to-drop-bitcoin/
935  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 07:26:01 PM
http://gigaom.com/2013/05/14/google-ventures-invests-in-opencoin-the-firm-behind-bitcoin-exchange-ripple/

Is this a good news or bad news to Bitcoin?
Google Ventures has decided to invest in Ripple.


oh, shit.
Quick, let's all go pump and dump XRPs!  Grin

ok ok apart from the jokes: thanks for pointing this out. I think short term such news is bullish for both BTCs and XRPs.
In fact I was trying to understand how come XRP/BTC exchange rate had gone from ca. 10000 to ca. 8500 today.
936  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 14, 2013, 10:21:44 AM
Maybe next rally is gently tapping at the door. Maybe.

Note to self: re-prioritize task "replenish popcorn stash"
937  Economy / Speculation / Re: Reddit subscriber growth on: May 14, 2013, 10:09:27 AM

shoulda got a VW UP!  -- it has blue e motion technology:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkswagen_Up#Production

Speaking of cars. I used to have a powerful fancy coupe. I'm done with that style. Expensive looking cars mostly attract women of a certain kind that I don't like to share my time with.
My next car is likely to have a lot of power under the bonnet while looking discreet enough to do grocery shopping or go to work with.
I'm not into speed either. If you care for your license and for your life you can't really use any powerful car near maximum speed on normal traffic roads.
But acceleration, acceleration! Oh yes, acceleration I crave.

E.g. I'd rather get a humble Golf MK5 R32 and fit it with one of these kits:

http://www.jbsautodesigns.co.uk/product/3742/ts-650-06-r32

That kit... 0-100 in 3.1 seconds. Oh yes, bring it on! For the simple insane pleasure of overtaking where most cars don't have room to overtake. Or to smoke in the face of those smartass types who always have to get in front of other cars that are entering "their" motorway.

I'd even add a "baby on board" sticker on the back of the car for the laughs.
938  Economy / Speculation / Re: Reddit subscriber growth on: May 13, 2013, 06:39:08 PM
u mad?

I'm fine now thanks. I made you jump through hoops to prove yourself.  Grin
See I think you're trying hard to impress people. And generally speaking, bragging your fortune is uncool. Unless you're Ironman. In which case you can brag.

Also ostentation makes you an easy target for haters and thieves. That's why most members of Vladimir's club are unknown.
939  Economy / Speculation / Re: Reddit subscriber growth on: May 13, 2013, 04:26:05 PM
When the price was going up people were loving this chart.

Now it tells a different story. Growth is slowing which was to be expected, but if you have even a basic grasp of complexity theory you will know that this is very bad news. As a system grows it requires more energy, if that energy is not provided the system will fail.

Here is a somewhat humorous picture i threw together in 15 seconds.

The closer to the top we get, the higher the risk (that is not speculation it is a fact).

After some volatility the next stable level will be around $50 (that IS speculation).

Funny you say that.
Considering you sold in the 70-90 range and then bragged in the forums about buying a Gallardo with the money.

Feels good man. (Cit.)
940  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 13, 2013, 10:15:30 AM
The thing is (at least for me): parasitic governments currently have (at least) two major ways to milk the populous: taxes and "the hidden inflation tax". The latter one will not be possible with sound money. This means governments will have to produce their income from visible taxation. They also have to act responsibly fiscally (just like every other entity) because they wont be able to just borrow in a virtually unlimited fashion.

This hopefully results in leaner, more responsible and more accountable governments and a overall better situation for the people living under them.

This.
Also transactions between me and the government (=taxes) would be part of the blockchain.
The government could then be made directly accountable for spending coins from their addresses.
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