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81  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 20, 2024, 07:48:15 PM
How long will it take before Ukraine takes back the land it lost to Russia... which I have termed the Black Sea Corridor? Are they doing this? Can they do it? If they don't or can't, the whole Ukrainian game is stupid, and exists only going to kill off more of them.

Cool

Nope. the move is correct. The scenarios under consideration are not either Ruzzia conquers all Ukraine or Ukraine takes all Ruzzia. That is simple thing for simple minds. There are a large number of intermediate results of more or less land an cities, and sea right and prisoners are taken or traded... There are still many possible options including Ukraine holding more or less land and Ruzzia having more or less success.

The move in Kursk improves the position of Ukraine.

The Ukrainian move needs to be proven long-term correct before anyone can know it is correct.

I agree that an all-out win one way or the other is a silly thought. But that isn't what I said.

The war was provoked by Ukraine since before 2014. Then, when it hit them, they couldn't stop Russia from taking the Black Sea Corridor. All that Russia has been doing is sitting back and keeping what they took. Can Ukraine take it back? That's the question.

Ukraine is mobilizing the US and Nato, because there isn't any more Ukraine left to mobilize. Russia is mobilizing Russia, and making in-roads into mobilizing China, Iran, Africa and who-knows-who-else. Besides, Belarus is just sitting there waiting for somebody to make a serious move against Russia.

The US and Nato bit off more than they are willing to chew. It might be a long war, but Russia will come out victorious. They have essentially proven it already with the Black Sea Corridor.

I don't know the future any better than anyone else. The US might take back the Black Sea Corridor for Ukraine tomorrow. We'll just have to wait and see.

Cool

Yes, time will tell of course if the special operation in Kursk to de-Putinify and create a buffer has been a good idea, this is just a first approach.

On regards to the rest if you own thinking mixed with some Kremlin propaganda and narratives and it is irrelevant for the analysis.

Ukraine may or may not be able to recover more ore less territory - who knows, there's even some Ruzzian with little sympathy for Ukraine saying that there is a planned operation in Crimea out there. But in any case it seems that for now Ukraine has been able to take territory, that the troops in are in numbers and strength that should be enough to defend it, but - and this is even if Ruzzia takes it back - there are Pows captured at large during the operation including some Ahmat and many Ruzzian conscripts that should have never been near a conflict zone - and those you won't take them back unless there's an exchage.

But before the borders of 1991, Ukraine will not be able to return anything. The maximum is to return everything except Donbass and Crimea through negotiations.

There is no maximum nor minimum in a negotiation. There is only an army holding a territory, XYZ prisoners, XYZ possible agreements, etc...

Ukraines perfect dream would be to recover absolutely everything, inclusive Crimea, get a part of current Ruzzia as a buffer demilitarised zone, get Putin and most of his goverment to be judged at the Hague for crimes against humanity and get Ruzzian war reparations for everything they have destroyed, have Ruzzia demilitarised to the point it will never be able to attack again and hold free elections in Georgia, Bealoruzzia, ... Ukraine joining EU, NATO...

You see? There is no limit in which what you may want?

Meanwhile Ukraine advances nicely in Kursk and has a large chunk of the Ruzzian army in a very difficult situation - not complete encirclement, but in a dire situation for around 2000 Ruzzian troops.
82  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Ukraine's invasion in Kursk will not end well on: August 19, 2024, 09:53:36 PM
There is already a thread on the Ruzzo-Ukranian war, do not duplicate topics.

Ukraine has taken Ruzzian land and it is perfect for trade as are all the prisoners taken to trade for Ukrainian prisoners. If you start a war, you should expect this type of thing happening - in wars you can chose when to start, but not how they end. It is absolutely hypocrisy  to say that Ukraine is invading in this context, if Ruzzia does not want to get invaded they just have to go back to their borders.
83  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Nordstream pipe investigation and who was that ? on: August 19, 2024, 09:52:15 PM
There is, for now insufficient evidence that could establish any link to Ukraine beyond any reasonable doubt. Even if the owner of a ship is Ukrainian or Polish and if they where around the area, there needs to be a traceable economic trail of cash or payments from the Ukrainian Goverment, or the Ruzzian government... or even the Polish to establish such a link.

As far as we know for now, this could have even been the US. Ruzzia has certainly committed several hybrid war attacks in Germany, even threats against executives of the arms manufacturers.
84  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 19, 2024, 09:47:25 PM
How long will it take before Ukraine takes back the land it lost to Russia... which I have termed the Black Sea Corridor? Are they doing this? Can they do it? If they don't or can't, the whole Ukrainian game is stupid, and exists only going to kill off more of them.

Cool

Nope. the move is correct. The scenarios under consideration are not either Ruzzia conquers all Ukraine or Ukraine takes all Ruzzia. That is simple thing for simple minds. There are a large number of intermediate results of more or less land an cities, and sea right and prisoners are taken or traded... There are still many possible options including Ukraine holding more or less land and Ruzzia having more or less success.

The move in Kursk improves the position of Ukraine.

The Ukrainian move needs to be proven long-term correct before anyone can know it is correct.

I agree that an all-out win one way or the other is a silly thought. But that isn't what I said.

The war was provoked by Ukraine since before 2014. Then, when it hit them, they couldn't stop Russia from taking the Black Sea Corridor. All that Russia has been doing is sitting back and keeping what they took. Can Ukraine take it back? That's the question.

Ukraine is mobilizing the US and Nato, because there isn't any more Ukraine left to mobilize. Russia is mobilizing Russia, and making in-roads into mobilizing China, Iran, Africa and who-knows-who-else. Besides, Belarus is just sitting there waiting for somebody to make a serious move against Russia.

The US and Nato bit off more than they are willing to chew. It might be a long war, but Russia will come out victorious. They have essentially proven it already with the Black Sea Corridor.

I don't know the future any better than anyone else. The US might take back the Black Sea Corridor for Ukraine tomorrow. We'll just have to wait and see.

Cool

Yes, time will tell of course if the special operation in Kursk to de-Putinify and create a buffer has been a good idea, this is just a first approach.

On regards to the rest if you own thinking mixed with some Kremlin propaganda and narratives and it is irrelevant for the analysis.

Ukraine may or may not be able to recover more ore less territory - who knows, there's even some Ruzzian with little sympathy for Ukraine saying that there is a planned operation in Crimea out there. But in any case it seems that for now Ukraine has been able to take territory, that the troops in are in numbers and strength that should be enough to defend it, but - and this is even if Ruzzia takes it back - there are Pows captured at large during the operation including some Ahmat and many Ruzzian conscripts that should have never been near a conflict zone - and those you won't take them back unless there's an exchage.
85  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 18, 2024, 10:44:39 PM
How long will it take before Ukraine takes back the land it lost to Russia... which I have termed the Black Sea Corridor? Are they doing this? Can they do it? If they don't or can't, the whole Ukrainian game is stupid, and exists only going to kill off more of them.

Cool

Nope. the move is correct. The scenarios under consideration are not either Ruzzia conquers all Ukraine or Ukraine takes all Ruzzia. That is simple thing for simple minds. There are a large number of intermediate results of more or less land an cities, and sea right and prisoners are taken or traded... There are still many possible options including Ukraine holding more or less land and Ruzzia having more or less success.

The move in Kursk improves the position of Ukraine.
86  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 18, 2024, 09:36:50 PM
They put our president on hit list...this is probably terrorist act out of frustration
because we only accepted 20000 or so Ukrainian refugees

https://myrotvorets.center/criminal/milanovich-zoran/
First of all, Myrotvorets website isn't owned by Ukraine's government, it's NGO. Second - get your facts right. He wasn't included to this list after not accepting refugess. He was already on this list before full scale invasion, to be precise since 25.01.2022 15:41
And relating actions of some criminals with Ukraine's government, well, if you like conspiracy theories that's ok.

No  idea... maybe he does not want to talk about the Ruzzian troops encircled in Glushkovo Kursk? Ukraine destroyed the bridge that was the only link of the Ruzzians with their supply lines, so

Nothing new - when you see facts that you don't like, there's nothing better than changing topic Wink

Each one has it own fixations... Branko with the propaganda and daRude is still obsessed with Nordstream and linking anything that supports his pre-conceptions. Let's put some balance on this...

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-issues-arrest-warrant-ukrainian-diver-nord-stream-probe-media-report-2024-08-14/

Quote
Germany said its relationship with Ukraine was not strained by the Nord Stream inquiry. "The procedures have no bearing on what the Chancellor (Olaf Scholz) has described as the support of Ukraine's defence against Russia's illegal war of aggression, as long as necessary," the spokesperson added. Ukraine's foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The German federal prosecutor's office declined to comment on the media reports.

Fact: A suspect of being part of the Nordstream blowup is of Ukrainian origing. Other suspects are thought to be Polish.
daTroll version: It was the government of Ukraine who organised, planned, paid for and order at the highest political level the sabotage.

I am sure you notice the difference.

As I am sure you notice the difference in his on source between what he intends to show "Germany withdrawing the support due to this, versus what his own source is actually saying when quoted correctly:

Quote
The German government will no longer provide Ukraine with any further aid payments - because according to the current budget planning, there is no more money.

And I am the "propagandist" here  Grin Grin Grin Grin


Ok you got me, the wall street journal, Reuters, AP and all western media covering this story are all daTrolls now. And Germany (UA's second largest contributor) stopping funding to Ukraine is just a coincidence, because they would totally admit it if it was related. Germany should totally send more money to Ukraine, so another Ukrainian citizen can pull off another sabotage and blow up the remaining line of German gas infrastructure and then flee to Ukraine, who would then shield him from EU warrants. Is there anyone else left, besides you, who even attempts to pin it on Russia anymore, or are you the last holdout?

In any case, this is another indicator that UA must negotiate before 2025, pressure is on

I have quoted your souces and textually quoted what they say - and they do not say what you pretend they say. If you do not believe they say - your sources - then you should look for others that you trust. Again, in the world of special ops, everything is fuzzy and sometimes lookingnopposite to what actually happened.

Enough, the news today are that Ukraine is still advancing further into Kursk, and it is pretty much confirmed that experienced units with ample means of fighting and air defences are holding there and - sorry if you thought this was just an incursion, but it is looking like a proper offensive. The Ahmad (AKA Tik-Tok forces) have embarrassed themselves saying everything was under control while Ukraine keept on pushing full speed into Ruzzia.

87  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 17, 2024, 11:42:14 PM

And I am the "propagandist" here  Grin Grin Grin Grin



Sure...look what you accomplished:

https://x.com/i/status/1824785191941902568

I do not kill people. I did not give the order to send an army into Ukraine. Branko, you are not a pacifist - do not pretend to care about soldiers dying, is just embarrassing and if you like war-porn just tell me, there are so many to choose from.

To be fair, Ukraine is also now doing a special operation in Ruzzia to de-Putinify Kursk. There are claims of Ruzzians mass-surrendering in this section.

The advances today happened in several directions:

- A significant road in Ulanok direction is now under Ukrainian control in the southeast of the operation, some other smaller advances happened along the norther front, not as fast as in previous days (it would be impossible).

Ruzzia unfortunately has some very slow but continuous advances near Pokrovsk. Let say that in one month they took the same as Ukraine in three days in Kursk.

88  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 17, 2024, 10:13:09 PM
They put our president on hit list...this is probably terrorist act out of frustration
because we only accepted 20000 or so Ukrainian refugees

https://myrotvorets.center/criminal/milanovich-zoran/
First of all, Myrotvorets website isn't owned by Ukraine's government, it's NGO. Second - get your facts right. He wasn't included to this list after not accepting refugess. He was already on this list before full scale invasion, to be precise since 25.01.2022 15:41
And relating actions of some criminals with Ukraine's government, well, if you like conspiracy theories that's ok.

No  idea... maybe he does not want to talk about the Ruzzian troops encircled in Glushkovo Kursk? Ukraine destroyed the bridge that was the only link of the Ruzzians with their supply lines, so

Nothing new - when you see facts that you don't like, there's nothing better than changing topic Wink

Each one has it own fixations... Branko with the propaganda and daRude is still obsessed with Nordstream and linking anything that supports his pre-conceptions. Let's put some balance on this...

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-issues-arrest-warrant-ukrainian-diver-nord-stream-probe-media-report-2024-08-14/

Quote
Germany said its relationship with Ukraine was not strained by the Nord Stream inquiry. "The procedures have no bearing on what the Chancellor (Olaf Scholz) has described as the support of Ukraine's defence against Russia's illegal war of aggression, as long as necessary," the spokesperson added. Ukraine's foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The German federal prosecutor's office declined to comment on the media reports.

Fact: A suspect of being part of the Nordstream blowup is of Ukrainian origing. Other suspects are thought to be Polish.
daTroll version: It was the government of Ukraine who organised, planned, paid for and order at the highest political level the sabotage.

I am sure you notice the difference.

As I am sure you notice the difference in his on source between what he intends to show "Germany withdrawing the support due to this, versus what his own source is actually saying when quoted correctly:

Quote
The German government will no longer provide Ukraine with any further aid payments - because according to the current budget planning, there is no more money.

And I am the "propagandist" here  Grin Grin Grin Grin
89  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 17, 2024, 12:20:47 AM
Jokes apart, Ukraine needed this action. You cannot fight a war with your hands tied and just hoping the enemy does not advance more. The strategy of blasting refineries and critical military equipment with long range drones was a step in the right direction - making the war costly, giving Ruzzia reasons to want to end it and to a point deterring a future invasion (to a point). Now, with more prisoners and a chunk of Ruzzia the situation improves whenever the negotiation happens, if it happens.

My guess is that Ukraine will be able to hold at least part of the current land, they have troops in there and it is better to have then in a front inside Ruzzia that in a front inside Ukraine. The letter to St Claus would be capturing the nuclear plant west of Kursk, but that may not happen. Meanwhile causing reputational damage, getting the war out of Ukraine into Ruzzia and creating a window of opportunity is a great achievement.
I'm wondering what is Ukraine's goals in this special operation. Probably it's not about occupying Kursk or reaching Kursk Nuclear Power Plant. Maybe it's about making buffer zone by the boarder to protect Sumy region from artillery shelling. Another version that Ukraine is trying to improve their position in poential peace negotiations, but I don't believe in it. But at least they got thousands of POW's, it will help them to exchange them for Ukrainian troops.
Most realistic that they want to force Russia to re-dislocate troops from other frontline regions like Donbas or Zaporizhia. But so far it doesn't helps much as Russia is approaching towards Pokrovsk, they're just a bit more than 10 km away, in beginning of year it was almost 40 km.

Wondering how it's related with this topic?

No  idea... maybe he does not want to talk about the Ruzzian troops encircled in Glushkovo Kursk? Ukraine destroyed the bridge that was the only link of the Ruzzians with their supply lines, so ... I will update ith the result of that. Ukraine of course takes loses, but the ratio of land to loses and the quality of those loses in better than anything seen since the Kherson offensive. Sources speak of several hundreds.

Branko never misses a good opportunity for propaganda, that is to be said.



90  Economy / Gambling / Re: How high is the probability of accusations vs. casinos in BitcoinTalk are true? on: August 16, 2024, 06:26:32 PM
I guess you need to be pissed-off with a site to make a claim. To properly evaluate the claim I think you would need to consider the nature of it, the detail that is given, the possible proof in the form of talks with customer service. There are lots of people who are unreasonable in their demands, but if they can substantiate the claim it is perfectly likely that it is legit and you want to take it into account.
91  Economy / Gambling / Re: I am paying 2500 USD for a big casino executive to see my provably fair system on: August 16, 2024, 05:51:34 PM
Hello,

It’s been a while I claimed to have discovered a new way for implementing provably fair system, that is both easier for the player to understand and to verify. I believe my system solves big problems, the biggest one being the doubt a high rollers can have about being cheated, especially for their biggest bets.

The initial discussion is here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5464581.msg62748057#msg62748057

Now, I am deciding I am paying the casino who is interested 2500 dollars (upfront) for the time that it could spend to draft our agreement. Afterwards, the casino gets a free look at my system, and then either decides to implement it, in which case our agreement should be executed, either they decide not, and nothing binds them further.

My wallet, that has 0 USDT now, will receive 2503 USDT at most by tomorrow: https://etherscan.io/address/0x2fbfb67dcb312faaf94788891a4c1a545dc5cf5b#tokentxns

No contract is required to pay that 2500 dollars, I’ll just keep it on trust. No strings attached. Although, before doing so, I’d like to only exchange a few words about what type of agreement we should have beforehand, because it wouldn’t be possible for me to send 2500 USD to everyone, and discover later that they wouldn’t give me a penny for using my system.

That’s it, don’t hesitate to contact me by pm or post here for any questions. Have a nice week.

I woul duse a different approach. Firstly, you register you system as intellectual property and make anyone who wants to see it sign a NDA (non-disclousure). Provided that you do not give the code away or other bits you should be all right. Now, paying upfront is catchy for a post, but it does not really make sense. Either you get people interested without it or you product is not catchy for the market.
92  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 16, 2024, 05:41:04 PM
Ukrainian special operation forces has captured and cleared from Russians the fortified tactical locality in underground of Kursk region : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LoencKxFO7M&t=82s

Excursion after clearing : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2xUCt9Qf3X4&t=6s

This isn't really Ukraine. Rather, it's the US... tempting Russia to use nukes. In addition:

Russia Ready To Execute Nuclear Attacks On NATO Targets, According To Leaked Documents - https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-ready-execute-nuclear-attacks-nato-targets-according-leaked-documents


NATO Goes To War INSIDE Russia?



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rzP_MSzfEU0
That they happened to take advantage of weak points in Russian defenses without NATO intel support? NATO weapons - including German tanks - are killing Russians inside Russia. Red line? Also today, the "green" movement is killing beautiful beaches as the fake EV market collapses...
...



I'd be highly surprised if the thought of tactical nukes even crossed Putin's mind over the hail-Mary Kursk thing which has no very conceivably durable outcome for UA/NATO.  But it's possible that I am over-estimating him, or that he is neo-con-ish enough to have convinced himself that introducing tactical nukes will of lasting positive benefit for Russia.  I don't see the man as being that much of a risk-taker, nor needing to take such risks as Russia is destined to come out of this thing in much better shape than they probably dreamed possible without resorting to anything very risky.  Doing so only introduces the possibility of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory from the Russian perspective.



The media seems to say that Putin talks nukes now and again. Perhaps he isn't serious at all. But he is thinking every direction.

I would agree. So far the game Ukraine has been playing hasn't become serious. Oh sure. It's serious for dying troops. But it isn't an effective strategy for Ukraine to use to win any war... especially with how depleted their military has become in almost every way.

Cool

Putin has of course considered all course of action including tactical nukes and even strategical nukes. However, you only scalate if scalation works in your favour. For example, you could consider Ukraine escalating by tanking large chunks in Kurstk and now Belgorod (I do not really think it is, war is war). They did it because there is a benefit to them in escalating.

There is little to no benefit for Putin to use any kind of nuke, else he would have already. The issue is that you can possibly kill 20.000 people bombing conventionally, but if you kill even half of that with a nuke the international backlash and possibly the direct intervention of the US will not be to your favour.

Deterrence 101.
93  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 15, 2024, 08:05:51 PM
...
The Kursk "Special Operation" is designed to draw troops from the Donbas and create a dilemma for Ruzzia: either they loose Kursk or they divert troops from the east. In any of those cases the consequences can be of strategic level.

So, is it possible that Ukraine would withdraw? Yes, who knows when. Are they going to leave on their own as gesture of good will  Grin Nah.
...

UA doesn't have enough troops to take Kursk, and their supply lines are already stretched as is. Regardless, this confirms my statement, this mission it to put political pressure on Putin to pull troops from the east. It'd be interesting to later read who's idea was it to think that Russia could be pressured with reputational damage, to put it mildly that's not really a thing Russians are really known for. So far looks like UA just opened a new front for themselves where RU can use their conscript force, while continuing to loose in Donbas. The game is what happens first, either Putin succumbs to pressure within, or UA looses their military potential. We shall find out soon enough.


Remember at the start how Russia went deep within Ukraine, all the way up to Kiev in fact, 'uncontested'.  They went in that deep without anywhere near the force structure to actually fight and hold.  Ukraine/NATO was actually prepped and capable of fighting since they planned to 'do' the break-away provinces and had been setting up for it for years.  The reason they did nothing was that it was a trap.  Russia was, as I predicted at the time, to smart to fall for it.

I suspect that the Kursk thing is also a trap.  Over and over since the SMO Ukraine has mostly been fighting a 'social media' war since they are increasingly unable to accomplish anything of substance on the battlefield.  For several reasons they will jump at anything where they can achieve enough of a PR victory to impress the retard classes they will go all in even knowing that total failure and huge losses are the inevitable outcome.  Krinky was a good example.  The losses can get and do get effectively papered over with Western mainstream media PR.

I think that Russia sees this 'UA/NATO-can-be-baited' phenomenon fairly clearly and sets Ukraine up with fake 'wins' just to bait them in.  Since an increasing fraction of the UA conscripts are just waiting for their chance to surrender to the Russians, the Kursk operation would necessarily require participation of the more solid and motivated troops and they are becoming increasingly rare.  Would Russia accept the plunder of the Kursk region just for the opportunity to entrap the remaining solid troops?  I don't know.  It would be a very shrewd and effective move if they made that decision.  For my part I'll wait and see, but will be evaluating to support of detract from this hypothesis.

Again, as I have hypothesized here countless times, the loss of territory and Slavic population stock from the Ukraine region is not a bug for the Zelenski and the people running him; it's a feature.  Very possibly the deal for what Russia would get out of their efforts and playing their part was planned and agreed upon ahead of time, and they probably got a pretty good deal.




Theories apart, you cannot win to a big Soviet army with a smaller Soviet army playing the Soviet style of war. You need to use what makes you different from your enemy, namely more speed, better intelligence and make the war as asymmetric as possible. That is the Kursk offensive. Regardeless of Ukraine holding the whole territory or not, they are certainly holding the PoW and certainly creating a reputational problem for Putin and the Ruzzian army.

If you think of it, Ruzzia wants territory XYZ in Ukraine, their troops are there, their allocation of air power is there and the trench system is massively overconstructed in the east and the South. Now, why would it be better to have a chunk of Donbas or a chunk or Kursk and Belgorod?

It is practically the same, if you ask me probably Kursk is less destroyed. So, why not? Just capture as much Kursk as you can and later you can choose to trade it... or not.
94  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 15, 2024, 10:47:53 AM
Russia’s devastating missile strike on a secret NATO command center in Ukraine leaves several hundred NATO officers killed or wounded

They must have killed all NATO soldiers by now... starting with hundreds if not thousands in secret underground tunnels two years ago in Mariupol. Time to invade Poland because there is no one left to defend it.

For what I heard. Ruzzia was very successful intercepting a quite massive Ukrainian drone attack in airports. The used planes and buildings and put them in the middle of the drones so that these would explode without hitting other things.

Zelensky has stated that the "negotiation fund" has grow a lot thanks to the Kursk "special operation". Translatation: We have made prisoners in the range of two thousands, many are not even soldiers, but conscripts that simply happened to have been sent (against the Ruzzian law appartently) to guard a front with no particular training or motivation. Also, the real state in Kursk may catch a good price in the future, who knows.

Jokes apart, Ukraine needed this action. You cannot fight a war with your hands tied and just hoping the enemy does not advance more. The strategy of blasting refineries and critical military equipment with long range drones was a step in the right direction - making the war costly, giving Ruzzia reasons to want to end it and to a point deterring a future invasion (to a point). Now, with more prisoners and a chunk of Ruzzia the situation improves whenever the negotiation happens, if it happens.

My guess is that Ukraine will be able to hold at least part of the current land, they have troops in there and it is better to have then in a front inside Ruzzia that in a front inside Ukraine. The letter to St Claus would be capturing the nuclear plant west of Kursk, but that may not happen. Meanwhile causing reputational damage, getting the war out of Ukraine into Ruzzia and creating a window of opportunity is a great achievement.

A good chance to exchange this territory for at least Donbass. I hope Ukrainians will hold on. Do you think the F-16 will be used there?

I am not sure how the f16 are going to be used. Airfields in Ukraine have a problem at the moment. Ideally Ukraine would need to improve the drone defence.

I have always said that the right plane for Ukraine is the Grippen. You can fly it from a road, maintain it with a handful of people, is fully compatible and integrated with the Swedish AWACS that were given to Ukraine and can carry the Meteor european missile, which is a true nightmare for any plane flying at scenario level.
95  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump makes sense if you "play a little game" on: August 14, 2024, 11:53:17 PM
All that the US and Nato are doing is antagonizing the Russian Bear. All Russia wants to do is trade.


Nope, if Ruzzia only wanted trade Putin would have not invaded Ukraine. You are answering yourself: war is not good to establish trade relations, so Ruzzia invading Ukraine is the opposite of "just wanting to trade". You have never been very good at logic dumBAss, have you?


The US does not want Ruzzia to fall into anarchy, that is all that is for now saving Putin from falling - there is no simple replacement that would offer similar guarantees.

96  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 14, 2024, 11:34:19 PM
Russia’s devastating missile strike on a secret NATO command center in Ukraine leaves several hundred NATO officers killed or wounded

They must have killed all NATO soldiers by now... starting with hundreds if not thousands in secret underground tunnels two years ago in Mariupol. Time to invade Poland because there is no one left to defend it.

For what I heard. Ruzzia was very successful intercepting a quite massive Ukrainian drone attack in airports. The used planes and buildings and put them in the middle of the drones so that these would explode without hitting other things.

Zelensky has stated that the "negotiation fund" has grow a lot thanks to the Kursk "special operation". Translatation: We have made prisoners in the range of two thousands, many are not even soldiers, but conscripts that simply happened to have been sent (against the Ruzzian law appartently) to guard a front with no particular training or motivation. Also, the real state in Kursk may catch a good price in the future, who knows.

Jokes apart, Ukraine needed this action. You cannot fight a war with your hands tied and just hoping the enemy does not advance more. The strategy of blasting refineries and critical military equipment with long range drones was a step in the right direction - making the war costly, giving Ruzzia reasons to want to end it and to a point deterring a future invasion (to a point). Now, with more prisoners and a chunk of Ruzzia the situation improves whenever the negotiation happens, if it happens.

My guess is that Ukraine will be able to hold at least part of the current land, they have troops in there and it is better to have then in a front inside Ruzzia that in a front inside Ukraine. The letter to St Claus would be capturing the nuclear plant west of Kursk, but that may not happen. Meanwhile causing reputational damage, getting the war out of Ukraine into Ruzzia and creating a window of opportunity is a great achievement.
97  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 13, 2024, 10:03:53 PM
Shhhhhh... WFT, look for a window and throw yourself

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tBesee-FiRA

This whole thing is military defeat for Ukraine, PR defeat for Russia, and win for UK and USA, which
is the reason for Paxmao to be happy

A military defeat for Ukraine? Are you looking to the map upside down? Kursk is Ruzzia Branko. Ukraine is advancing into Kursk, into Ruzzia.

You are projecting. I cannot help but finding funny Ruzzians looting themselves. Let me ask you as an expert in pan-Slavism, is that something cultural? Is like a deep engrained genetic thing that tells you that you should get someone else's TV and fridge? That somehow they are better than your own TV and fridge?

On serious matters,  Ukraine has, apparently, double the territory captured in the last two days according to some pro-Ukrainian sources. Some sources state that Ruzzia troops are being pulled from the front in Kharkiv direction... what could go wrong?? We shall see tomorrow.

Also, Ruzzia manged to destroy a column that was going to the front. I happened the column was Ruzzian. Damm it!
98  Economy / Gambling / Re: How will I know I'm playing on a reliable online casino site on: August 13, 2024, 08:57:53 PM
I was thinking that you will know when you make a significant gain and the try to withdraw -  that is the defining moment for any site, accept a loss Grin Jokes apart, the basic checks can be done on this forum. Sites that spend money in advertising for an extended period of time will normally not be rogue or try to treat customers poorly because they would loose their own investment. Look for reputation threads and possible complaints, it is the best chance if you do not know the site yet.
99  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 13, 2024, 03:39:19 PM
Can you be at least a bit useful and tell us how many km^2 UA captured in the last 24hrs, and how that compares with the previous 24hrs? What's interesting is the trend, is UA moving faster, staying consistent, slowing down, stopped, retreating?

Oooh, the question game again, can I play?

Which part of the 3-day special denazification operation involved the calculation of the velocity of Ukrainian armed forces inside Kursk region 2 years later? Everything still going according to plan? Putin's farts still smell like roses?

The funny thing is that I can answer your question, but unless I have confidential information and whish to disclose it to a troll farm sweatshop propagandist, I cannot answer his.

I can tell however that Suzha is under Ukrainian control, there is an evacuation in Belgorod... which the Ruzzians are using to help themselves in the supermarkets since the first ones to leaver are the police  Grin
100  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] on: August 13, 2024, 12:16:11 PM
Update: Suzha was encircled and finally taken by Ukraine. There is a notable advance to the east of the front by Ukraine and other localities have been taken.

People are evacuating Kursk on their own means, there does not seem to be any official support to the families living there.

[...]
Funny, I recall seeing those kind of updates for Bahmut, Robotyne, Avdiivka... do you know why those stopped? Can you provide updated pictures on those too, or developments only matter in the first few days?

Can you be at least a bit useful and tell us how many km^2 UA captured in the last 24hrs, and how that compares with the previous 24hrs? What's interesting is the trend, is UA moving faster, staying consistent, slowing down, stopped, retreating?
 
You are aware that there are incinerating projectiles and drones that can drop molotov cocktails and then fly away right? Or of course just a ton of burning material that burns with multiple explosions  Huh suspended 10 metres (33 ft) high, burning without "disturbance of the debris, ash or soot located at the base of the cooling tower", which IAEA inspectors couldn't spot. I mean of course we all believe your version  Cheesy

I agree, there used to be updates for Bhakmut, not in Avdiivka (Ukraine was defending there). The main difference you will notice is that most of the information comes from RUZZIAN sources in this case (Ukraine is not saying a word) and the scale is in the range of 150 km2 of land taken in a week. Sounds much much more like the updates during the liberation of Kherson Oblast.

The Kursk "Special Operation" is designed to draw troops from the Donbas and create a dilemma for Ruzzia: either they loose Kursk or they divert troops from the east. In any of those cases the consequences can be of strategic level.

So, is it possible that Ukraine would withdraw? Yes, who knows when. Are they going to leave on their own as gesture of good will  Grin Nah.

On Zaporizhia:

So, the inspectors say they do not know the cause, there were no signs of drones but you still think it is a drone dropped artefact?

Bear with me for a moment then: A cooling tower is 100 meters in diameter and is built of concrete - a thick layer of it. If you throw a flammable material it will not go through it. The other option is dropping it from above, it will fall in which case there will be flames in the base. but the inspectors say there were not. Lastly, you could hit right at the arches in the bottom, but again, there would be fire at the base.

Look at the size of the fire in the picture. How do you create a fire mid-length of the tower of such a size. ... but look, even if it was a drone (which I think it was not), it may still be Ruzzian - they have drones you know??

So, back to you theory of Ukraine doing this ... (Would you like to confirm that you are accusing Ukraine of the fire in Zaporizha?)

1. Why would Ukraine damage a nuclear plant in the middle of their own country?
2. Why would Ruzzia threaten a nuclear incident in the middle of Ukraine right the moment Ruzzia is being invaded?


Which one of these makes sense to you? Because I know which one makes sense to the rest of the world.

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