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1281  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is the chance of Bitcoin being 1000 us dollars in the next year on: April 03, 2015, 01:19:23 PM
It never reached $300 on bitstamp. I thought Bitstamp price is generally accepted one we refer to when we talk about price.

Regardless, even if it did, it didn't prove me wrong since I said it's less than 75% it will be seen, not that it will never be seen. So far it seem like it was a good estimate. Btw how many people did manage to sell at $300 that day?

The point was you are telling people the price of a commodity will not reach certain levels. Even better you are giving percentage odds of that happening.

I was simply pointing out your last venture in this regard ended with you being proven entirely wrong in less than a month.

Bitfinex is the exchange used by most to determine the price. It doesn't matter who sold at 300 any more than it matters who sold at 1200 or 160. The price is the price.
1282  Economy / Speculation / Re: I cant imagine a plausible chain of events preventing btc from reaching the moon on: April 03, 2015, 01:10:17 PM


re western union.
have you ever seen western union working in third world countries?. there actually provide something - they are not just middlemen taking a free margin. peer to peer is a catchy concept but it works fine if you have bitcoin and the other person wants bitcoin. once one or other turns it into fiat for example fees come into play. also bitcoin has a long way to go to get reputable exchanges etc. its time enough for the wider market place to adapt to its presence and lessen its impact.
re store of wealth  - the price of bitcoin is about US$250. Can you tell me what share of that you believe to be is its store of wealth? I think its nil or close to it and the whole $250 is its speculated transactional value which I see declining to double figures

I know they are not just middlemen but they are middlemen who are unnecessary in the age of bitcoin.  Even if you want fiat to bitcoin and back to fiat transactions which would require a bitcoin middleman they are still way cheaper than WU.  But a point will come where people will be happy to hold on to bitcoin rather than change it back to fiat and no middleman is necessary.

re store of wealth  - the price of gold is about US$1100. Can you tell me what share of that you believe to be is its store of wealth? I think its nil or close to it and the whole $1100 is its speculated transactional value which I see declining to triple figures


unless you are a miner to get bitcoin you need to buy it - that means a middleman.
say one year ago you thought i will buy 1 bitcoin and hold it to send to someone who wants bitcoin at a later date . You would have paid us$448 for that 1 bitcoin.
today your friend would like to buy something that people who pay with fiat are having to spend us $448. You send your friend your one bitcoin in a fast seamless transaction. But the key question is  - will the seller of the goods give it to him for 1 bitcoin? the answer is no as the seller of the goods would only have (if it took the one bitcoin) the buying power of us$250.

gold has dropped 7% over the year but has risen 6% over the last 5 years.

I can live with a store of value that has this sort of movement -  ie its purchasing power is not significantly different in the short term (1-3 years).

i see bitcoin at least in the short term as being the reverse  - it hit $1200 as a result of willybot and is still going down as more and more that chased it up have to take the hit ie cannot afford to hold . I am just not confident that i should buy it and hold it at 1200 or 448 or 250 or sub 100 where it will be in 12 months. 

happy to buy it and send it to someone who sells if for fiat within 24 hours. but that does not help the stored value of bitcoin. as i see it the only holders of bitcoin are the giant bitcoin owners who got them mining for a few cents each.

We are early in bitcoin distribution and use amongst the general public. Pre early really. Volatility is likely to continue for years going forward.

Bitcoin is sound money in the sense that the supply is limited. If it succeeds as an alternate internet currency and or payment medium then the price will be many multiples of where it is now. If it is adopted by Wall St as a speculative store of value then the price will rise many multiples from here. It may take the latter of those two options to occur, providing price stability before bitcoin truly is adopted by the common man. This could take several years from now.

Only buy bitcoin with money you can afford to lose.



1283  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is the chance of Bitcoin being 1000 us dollars in the next year on: April 03, 2015, 12:51:14 PM
I'd say
25% chance $300 will never be seen again
50% chance $400 will never be seen again
90% chance $500 will never be seen again
99% chance $600+ will never be seen again

It is cute that you are still here.

No. It's simply not worth the risk. If you buy for $225 and intend to sell for $300 that's 33% profit, but there's more than 25% chance $300 will never be seen again so that's a bad bet.

I don't know what's your exit point, but you'll most likely never see it and end up holding the bag.

There's more downside potential than upside, so definitely no. And don't listen to bull scammers who tell you to buy, they just want to lure new suckers.

What's your point? $300 was still not seen since i posted that.

Except on the 10th of March..
1284  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is the chance of Bitcoin being 1000 us dollars in the next year on: April 03, 2015, 12:38:53 PM
I'd say
25% chance $300 will never be seen again
50% chance $400 will never be seen again
90% chance $500 will never be seen again
99% chance $600+ will never be seen again

It is cute that you are still here.

No. It's simply not worth the risk. If you buy for $225 and intend to sell for $300 that's 33% profit, but there's more than 25% chance $300 will never be seen again so that's a bad bet.

I don't know what's your exit point, but you'll most likely never see it and end up holding the bag.

There's more downside potential than upside, so definitely no. And don't listen to bull scammers who tell you to buy, they just want to lure new suckers.
1285  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 12:35:11 PM
Ok so what now UP or DOWN? Undecided

Shorters are trying to stop the UP movement. If they fail, we could go up strongly.

But the coins keep getting bought. Bid side keeps refilling. My guess would be someone will take a bite out of those big imaginary ask orders and we move up. Cue tarmi whining.
1286  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 12:23:02 PM
Tarmi wasn't the price supposed to collapse?  Huh
1287  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 11:35:53 AM
Regardless of BTC price, Satoishi's social experiment--introduction of a digital currency eliminating the need of money processors and trusted third parties--is clearly a failure.

Clearly. Hence why you continue to post here over a year after joining the forum.

I remember you spamming Rpietela's thread badly in the past. Welcome to ignore.
1288  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 11:24:41 AM
general public? you call a community of nerds, die hard speculators doing 20 x leverage, libertards, drug lords and scammers general public? no, dude.

It was you who said that general public is getting out of interest in terms of Bitcoin, not me...
And yes, do you think that the community only consists people mentioned by you only??? I think you should also look towards the right side of the coin as each has two sides I guess... So, just flip it the other way... Wink


general public = average joe.

those mentioned in my posts are not by any means average.

Dude, I know that... I knew that you were talking about average joe and not the ones mentioned in your posts...
And I was also talking about them only as how many % of those average joe's (who joined Bitcoin world) left at such places where Bitcoin had been banned???


no, it's not about bans.

it's about the inability of average joe to use this thing.

Have you tried circle or coinbase? It is trivial to use it.


Oh I'm not shorting. I'll just quietly stand by and watch while increasing my holdings. I'll go down with the boat if it sinks Tongue

My apologies. Smiley
1289  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 11:16:00 AM
general public? you call a community of nerds, die hard speculators doing 20 x leverage, libertards, drug lords and scammers general public? no, dude.

The more you speak, the more unpleasant you sound.

$260 is resistance. We could fall all the way down to $150 to hit our support line that goes back all the way to April of 2014.

These are rough days for bitcoin price.

Lots more shorters coming out the woodwork!
1290  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 11:04:20 AM
Price goes down for 10$ and bulls demand silence, since its only a 10$ drop, nothing that value attention. Price goes up for 10$ and the same idiots claim bears to close their shorts.

The exchange price is above his alleged short entry.

Anyway you forgot to add: 'price drops 2 dollars beartrolls spam endless pages of this thread talking about breaking 160 and bitcoin being dead' 

Sssh child.

Less words about bull markets, more results please, dumbass. Lets talk again when direction is clear, although I think you are one of those bulls who unignore bears on your 10 pumps and put them back on ignore when price goes down.

Emboldened the relevent text.
1291  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 11:03:00 AM
Price goes down for 10$ and bulls demand silence, since its only a 10$ drop, nothing that value attention. Price goes up for 10$ and the same idiots claim bears to close their shorts.

The exchange price is above his alleged short entry.


say again you fag!

but this is nothing...I will see you in the underworld.

your Hades!

So much emotion over a 2 dollar drop. You are probably very over invested.
1292  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 10:53:54 AM
Price goes down for 10$ and bulls demand silence, since its only a 10$ drop, nothing that value attention. Price goes up for 10$ and the same idiots claim bears to close their shorts.

The exchange price is above his alleged short entry.

Anyway you forgot to add: 'price drops 2 dollars beartrolls spam endless pages of this thread talking about breaking 160 and bitcoin being dead' 

Sssh child.
1293  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 10:38:11 AM
that big fat red candle is the reason why you will not break 255.

a whale just got fucked.

good luck bulls!


Please don't think I am offending here, but I have never got this one thing till today that whenever markets go bearish, people start panicking thinking price might get more and more worst, and when markets show some signs of positivity, people start saying that this ain't anything but just a small sign of big incoming drops... This way, it won't be possible for Bitcoins to get more value as we ourselves are devaluating it all the time... Sigh...  Sad

This is normal psychology of all bear markets, especially near the bottom. Tarmi was also a big bear back in September-October 2013 when the price was at $120-130 or so, making the same doom posts over and over again until the price went above ATH.

That is disappointing to hear.
1294  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 10:35:51 AM
that big fat red candle is the reason why you will not break 255.

a whale just got fucked.

good luck bulls!


Bulls don't need luck. The price is above 255 already. Not only that we have seen a demonstration by a whale that there is someone putting 8k invisible bid walls on the orderbook and selling to himself for fun. The orderbook is a mirage. But it looked bearish as hell two days ago (when you were rejoicing) and now looks very different.

Just get on with it and cover your shorts. We all know you are going to. Either that or get stopped out from a sudden spike upwards. ('lel')

I hope he closed his $255 short he was bragging about, but likely ignorance and greed got the best of him.  He'll probably hang onto it until his stop hits, if he has a stop, which is unlikely because self assured clowns like tarmi tend to let their ego get the best of them.


nope.

I am so confident that I dont need stops.



A word of friendly advice - you might be smart in other aspects of your life, but leverage is dangerous unless you have foreknowledge of the market in volatile assets like bitcoin.

Most traders and speculators (myself included) have been burnt with leverage in other markets before. All of us thought that wouldnt/couldnt happen to us.

'Cut your losses short'.
1295  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 03, 2015, 10:26:03 AM
that big fat red candle is the reason why you will not break 255.

a whale just got fucked.

good luck bulls!


Bulls don't need luck. The price is above 255 already. Not only that we have seen a demonstration by a whale that there is someone putting 8k invisible bid walls on the orderbook and selling to himself for fun. The orderbook is a mirage. But it looked bearish as hell two days ago (when you were rejoicing) and now looks very different.

Just get on with it and cover your shorts. We all know you are going to. Either that or get stopped out from a sudden spike upwards. ('lel')
1296  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2015, 11:09:20 PM
Your view is very flawed then. Not sure why you hang around on here if you cannot even see the clear benefits of bitcoin over conventional fiat currency.
There are a lot of bitcoiners here (even some permabulls) that don't necessarily think bitcoin will replace fiat by any means.



Noone is mentioning bitcoin replacing fiat. But bitcoin is the undoubted superior to all centralised forms of fiat currency.
1297  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2015, 11:01:29 PM
It's going to hilarious once we really get some momentum and start seeing 15 and 20k bid walls again. I'm sure the bear trolls will still be in denial though.  Tongue


where on stamp?

dude, the last dump (to 150) sucked all the real cash out of the system. that came after the first big dump (30 k at 300 $).

now only play money left in the game.

15 k walls will be seen in 100 $ range. till then keep tracking those walls on bitfinex and in china.

You don't seem to have a fantastic grasp on markets. Trading is a zero sum game.
1298  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2015, 10:43:02 PM
It's going to hilarious once we really get some momentum and start seeing 15 and 20k bid walls again. I'm sure the bear trolls will still be in denial though.  Tongue

I think there will be crying. Then disappearance. Smiley
1299  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2015, 09:56:05 PM
Today it is a very different landscape. We know the limits of BTC and the blockchain a lot better and new technologies are strating to appear (AND I'M NOT TALKING ABOUT ALTCOINS/SHITCOINS!!!!).
What new technologies are starting to appear?
Distributed ledgers/databases/networks that rely less and less on cryptocurrencies.

Eris industries claims to be able to use blockchains for smart contracts without a cryptotoken at all.
The ripple network doesn't rely on a cryptotoken as much as the bitcoin blockchain, the token is there but is not necessary to use it and the network is not dependent on its price.
Ethereum almost the same (Vitalik as the same views on the cryptotoken themselves)

IBM is talking about building its "adept" thing.

etc.



Simply put, today cryptotokens "are there" because that was the only security mechanism for a blockchain/consensus ledger to work that we know of. Cryptocurrencies are not really needed for themselves and they have a lot of problems that make them almost unusable as actual currencies (aside for illicit goods).

That's my view at least. I definitely don't buy into the whole story on how bitcoin is more "honest/sound money" than fiat, for an infinity of reasons.
That's just a fantasy/lie by people trying to push their investment/scheme at all cost.

Simply put, whoever thinks bitcoin will replace all fiat currencies is simply delusional.

Your view is very flawed then. Not sure why you hang around on here if you cannot even see the clear benefits of bitcoin over conventional fiat currency.
1300  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 02, 2015, 09:51:04 PM
Sad looks like we are going back down to $240s?

We appear to still be in the 250's with a 1000 coin wall to be sold through..

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