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April 30, 2024, 03:34:21 PM *
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1  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: TRADERS are not UNEMPLOYED on: Today at 01:35:54 PM
Let's say for example, a trader is making 5 digits on a monthly basis just by doing trading. Yes, there are times where he lost money in trading since no one can predict the market with 100% accuracy, but at the end of the month, he's making money like other employees. Do you still need to have a "RELIABLE" job if you know yourself that you are making money in trading "CONSISTENTLY"?

As much as I don't want to consider trading as a job, there are some traders especially those expert ones that took trading as their full-time job already just because they're earning in it. Some might even earn more than most of the employees who are working 8 hours per day. At the end of the day, it all depends on the situation.

For the last 5 years I've always ended in green in gambling, even for lower timeframes, does this mean we should count gambling as employment also as long as you're making money? I know a few punters who have made hundreds of thousands betting on what they know based on timeforms which are the same as TA, so are they employed also?

There are people who collect soda cans and plastic bottles, they earn constantly, should they call themselves employed also?

After all with soda cans you don't lose money, what kind of job is that in which for three months you have to take money from your savings to be employed and keep working?





2  Other / Off-topic / Re: Binance in a bit to tarnish Ronaldo's image on: Today at 01:25:06 PM
Remember, many people in crypto space never look at CZ like someone who can be guilty of anything, he maintained his statue for a while and he is a cool headed man, Ronaldo can believe that he is in a safe hands.


Anyone with a brain would have asked a few simple questions before entering an agreement with a company, like
- where is your company based...CZ:Crickets
- are you licensed for what you do...CZ:Crickets
-what's the thing with your company getting kicked from country after country....CZ:Crickets

Who cares?

I have always rated Messi anyway.  Grin

So, did you buy some Planet token?  Grin

3  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Should crypto have a 'savings account' option? on: Today at 01:11:02 PM
Imagine saving Bitcoin and earning interests on it when it has gone down and when it goes back up, you are in double profits margin, because it will be too risky to not have a way save your assets and your profits from the falling market and waiting for when the market is favourable.

Yeah , imagine a money printing machine where everyone gets money by doing nothing, how could that be not a great idea?
Remember Celsius, that was a savings account, you would deposit your coins, get interest on it and then....you would have no more coins.

What part of "be your own bank" did you miss?
4  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What about building a library on bitcoin? on: April 29, 2024, 08:50:41 PM
Hmm, I don't get the part of the conspiracy....nor why it would make sense (if any) for him to be a miner.
It makes a lot of sense if it was the miner, because then, they didn't pay 33 bitcoin. They paid a median-sized transaction in return for the "rarest" Ordinal or whatever-token. It makes no economic difference if the miner pays themselves 10 sat/vb or 1,000,000 sat/vb, but it apparently makes a significant difference if it's Ordinals.

Hmm, I think we are talking about different things.
The 33 BTC was an auction on Coinex:
https://www.coinex.com/en/halving-block-auction
It wasn't an inscription price of a tx, somebody paid "cash" 33 BTC for that satoshi!
5  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What about building a library on bitcoin? on: April 29, 2024, 07:59:45 PM
A guy paid 33BTC for a satoshi
Might be a wild conspiracy, but wouldn't it make a lot of sense of that guy was the miner?

Hmm, I don't get the part of the conspiracy....nor why it would make sense (if any) for him to be a miner.
The only two scenarios for this would be:
- money laundering, but why would Viabtc be part of this when they have their accounting book basically on the chain in plain view
- the usual collector with a ton of money and too little common sense

IMO it's a serious flaw that it's even possible to add any data that is not necessary to send coins from one address to another. Blockchain space is already extremely scarce, why are we tolerating non-productive use of it?

The "flaw" has existed for a long time under different aspects, it just made the news as it was more intensely used, and people will always find a way to abuse it.
Just for the laughs, I wonder if a Muslim would consider these coins "tainted":
https://mempool.space/tx/b5eb3d954b38e41960859aedd094070f7cf1047c1d8aa8492ae82c4c12ea511f
6  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Fezzik Hashdisk with 624 BM1366 ASIC chips on: April 29, 2024, 07:46:02 PM
it is a disk with 624 bm1366 asic chips and an estimated hash rate of 312 th/s.
unfortunately, it is not yet possible to say anything about the total power usage, as the project has only just been created and the first prototypes still have to follow.

It uses the same chips as the s19xp, so expect something around 7kw for that.
Now 7kw on a circle of 40 cm in radius, that's a lot of heat, and with the s19xp losing money at over 9 cents/kWh I don't see much future in this.

7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What about building a library on bitcoin? on: April 29, 2024, 04:36:34 PM
Oh great, let's put some more stuff on the chain!
Can't wait to see some 4k movies there or the whole Simpsons show!

1 MB of witness data at 10 sats/vb currently costs $1575 (1MB / 4 * 10 s/vB / 100000000 * $63000). Check my math.

A guy paid 33BTC for a satoshi and hundreds pay way more than 2k for a JPG, the publicity a new author would get for releasing his book over the blockchain for free would be worth 100 times that fee!
8  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: April 29, 2024, 01:18:31 PM
We're going negative, as expected although this might be again luck

Quote
Latest Block:   841369  (10 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   98.2938%  (698 / 710.12 expected, 12.12 behind)

Now, the interesting thing is that we lost 12 blocks but the fees are down to 17 sat/vb as I type this, so there is no demand for space, no jump in fees anymore, the last block has just 0.28 BTC so not even 10% of the block reward, we're looking at a 40% loss in revenue not profit!

If the price goes to 60k or below then we have another 10% before that, a huge load of fudge!

As mikey said, someone will have to blink and if they don't and they go still full throttle this is just going to be worse for them all in a few months, I wouldn't want to be a guy who has poured all his investors money in a plan of 10exahash right now, especially if those weren't money from usual ventures but the government back dor deals.

Quote
That's some serious fudge to be honest lol, I mean if you have S19 Pro and 7 cents you are basically mining at break-even, S19 pro might not be the latest gen but how old is it? and how much was it sold for? I would be very upset if I had that, then even if we were to assume that you magically had a 5 5-cent power rate which is pretty low by today's standard, that would be $2 a day, worse than S9 on its worst days a few years ago.

I still have two of them singing in the basement, the power is of no concern since till autumn I can deal with 10KW, but in August I will retire them if we're still in this price range, they did a great job at heating the floor in a stone/concrete building but I don't need that in summer and going above peak allowed consumption I will have to pay 12eurocents/kwh, no f way!

Plus, and this is the most important thing, I got bored with them!
9  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: The airstrikes begin... (Phoenix Wallet) on: April 29, 2024, 01:00:25 PM
Everyone should connect to as many other nodes as possible an this open large channels to large providers making them even larger is not helping growth.

Once again and as always....in my opinion.

-Dave


I might be wrong about this but huge channels with multiple connections are good for inbound capacity or at least that was the case when there were fewer of them, you need a well-connected node with capacity in your list if you're just starting and you want to receive payments with small capacity on your own. Of course, multiple channels amounting to the same value would provide the same capacity but one entity that is making a business out of this would be faster and more reliable at providing liquidity and rebalancing.

Anyhow, I don't think ACINQ is going to close its channels anywhere soon, the only reason I see for that would be MICA and how that is interpreted, but I don't think it's a priority for them, LN is still insignificant globally.

10  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is United States going against custodial lightning wallets? on: April 29, 2024, 12:49:14 PM
The lightning wallet provider will cease to provide services to US people on May 3.
How?
What would stop a US citizen to go here:
https://github.com/ACINQ/phoenix/releases
download the apk and run it?
Perhaps they will go after the GitHub profile with its repositories as well and have it banned, like they did with Tornado Cash. Those GitHub chaps are cowards too, if that's the correct wording. Maybe they could host the files on decentralized alternative platforms to GitHub, but it will certainly reduce their popularity by miles.

You do understand that nobody is going right now after Phoenix/ACINQ, right?
Nobody asked them to remove the apps from the store, nobody has issued a warning to ACINQ, nobody but themselves has taken a decision, and that was to protect in case of ...whatever! No US agency has gone after a LN wallet, yet!

This whole thing is just for their own company protection, any US citizen could easily use their service, they just want to claim they have done everything possible to restrict them, but overall nothing has changed.
Just as you can't stop anyone from still using Tornado ACINQ can't stop a US citizen from routing payments through their nodes.
11  Economy / Economics / Re: Will communism ever be realized? on: April 29, 2024, 12:42:17 PM
Nations like China and Vietnam are far better than some capitalist countries.

Neither is a communist country when it comes to the economy.
China is a self-declared "socialist market economy" there is nothing communist about their economy anymore.
If you want to look at how great China was doing in a truly communist era look at the millions killed by Mao , China grew only when it copied a free market economy and abandoned all that stupid shit about shared ownership.

Some communist nations treat the poor better than capitalist nations.

Economic model =/= political regime!

Hasn't that already been realized, just not yet realized in every country? The reason is, several countries oppose this ideology. Especially for pro-American countries, it is unlikely that these countries will accept communist ideology. The cold war between America and the Soviet Union or what is now Russia, which began at the end of WWII, is still very much felt today. Initially, communist ideology was widely accepted in various countries, especially in the ASIA region, but because the United States continued to try to crush every communist movement throughout the world, its influence on other countries was reduced. The US succeeded in preventing the wider spread of communism ideology.

Communism failed everywhere because people stopped caring about commie propaganda when they were hungry for decades.
Nobody could give a rat's ass about the US when we toppled our regimes in Eastern Europe, we had enough of hunger, cold, persecution, and lack of everything. Universal healthcare? Yeah, it was free, free to go to a hospital and die in a bed without blankets let alone medicine.

Communism is a nightmare, only the ones who haven't lived one day in it still dream of this idiocracy!

12  Economy / Economics / Re: Will communism ever be realized? on: April 28, 2024, 04:11:08 PM
Communism is good in theory, but in practice it's something that just won't work simply because humans are greedy and greediness leads to conflict.

Before greed, there is something else, laziness.
Why should I do anything extra when I'm getting paid the same, you work by the quota no matter how productive you are an you get paid the same.
This aspect destroyed out country and much of Eastern Europe in the '70-'90!
We were building useless stuff and we were trading useless stuff for more useless stuff till we had on paper a shiton of things but we were all dirt poor.

Capitalism has its own advantages but let us not forget how badly can capitalism affect the world as well.

Communism has killed in one century more people than any other system in the human history, even religion pales in comparison to what communism has done.

Not to mention the huge impact it has on our environment.

You have no idea how resource exploitation was done in communism, we destroyed rivers, mountains, lakes and there was no such thing as an environmental concern.
We still have mountains of trash and industrial by-products from the 80's that are still not fully neutralized.
I grew used to seeing the sky pink and purple from the steel furnaces and in the old city dust after dust from the cement factory, do you think there was anyone protesting?
We were burning the cheapest high-sulfur mazut to heat the city, everywhere it was smelling like rotten eggs from that when the heating season started.

13  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: The airstrikes begin... (Phoenix Wallet) on: April 28, 2024, 02:47:39 PM
We can't let this go down without a fight.

Yeah, we will!
Who is going to fight for this?
You see how ACINQ themselves have run before something bad happened to them, others are slowly pulling the plugs on projects, users are interested only in making more in $ value, the blockchain space is dominated by pump and dump scheme, nft, runes, brc tokens,  more and more are investing in either not you keys only promises mechanisms, tru usage is dwindling, mining is becoming a nasdaq listed playground, so...who will fight?
It should have been obvious when even here thermos (yup, thermos), got cold feet!

According to blogs and crypto news 10% of India owner crypto, that's like *** 100 million people, have you seen one protest against that 40% tax?

Phoenix wallet is run by ACINQ. Having them leave the US is a GOOD thing.

And when the EU does the same, what will they do? Prepare for mandatory KYC LN payments.  Wink
14  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: the oxidation fee.. on: April 28, 2024, 02:39:23 PM
The blockchain is only as safe as how much power miners use on the network. If miners end up only getting 50k per a block some day then it would only require 50k worth of power to create a false block. Thats 2.6 Billion USD worth of power to basically shut down the network for a year.

This is a lot of money but if bitcoin is to become a global reserve currency 2.6 Billion is a small price to pay to disrupt it.

Pretty simple solution, make is so that more people can use the chain and by doing so the fees will compensate the block reward.
Instead of 400 000 tx paying the equivalent of 40 000 000 so 100$ per tx, have 40 000 000 tx paying 1$.
And you will not tax someone who doesn't use it.

in blockchain system with PoW consensus, miners have similar duty as armed-guards do in banking system. the one who pays the fees for regular transaction (6 month ago) are in business with blockchain but those who just left their coins to a blockchian system also need to pay the miners to watch their value with oxidation fee. your point of view is coming from rewarding system that does not wexist any more, and if you do not fix it, miners (armed guards) will turn off their miners and leave everything (including the safety of that guy with a transaction at 6 month ago) unprotected to 51% attackers.

No, I don't agree with this!

Fees are just like the bank transactions fees, you pay for extra usage of the block space, you make 1000 transactions in a bank you pay for each of those (well, in some banks, I have free national transactions), but someone who only has a deposit will pay only the account maintenance fees, and it doesn't matter how long that deposit has sat there.
I have 1 million euros and I just deposited I pay 3 euros a month, I had 100 euros for 10 years I pay 3 euros a month.
Everyone no matter the age or the amount pays the same for the same security.

You're trying to set an arbitrary fee on the ones that benefit the least from the blockchain security.
Why should my cold wallet get taxed when I have only 1 btc there and I use no blockspace while Binance is moving around 10 000 btc a week and using each day half a block just for the consolidations and deposits/payments.

and if you do not fix it, miners (armed guards) will turn off their miners and leave everything (including the safety of that guy with a transaction at 6 month ago) unprotected to 51% attackers.

If there is no reward and there are no fees large enough to keep the security up, well, this means that BTC has failed as a p2p currency, right?
So, it's not a global payment system, more like an investment-only mechanism so we can safely switch to PoS, have BlackRock and BoA in charge of half of the validators and call it a day.
15  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is United States going against custodial lightning wallets? on: April 27, 2024, 08:56:41 PM
The lightning wallet provider will cease to provide services to US people on May 3.

How?
What would stop a US citizen to go here:
https://github.com/ACINQ/phoenix/releases
download the apk and run it?
16  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is United States going against custodial lightning wallets? on: April 27, 2024, 08:18:35 PM
About United States taken down Phoenix?

The united states have done nothing against Phoenix or ACINQ!
They haven't taken anything down, you can see that even their LN channels are still working in the US being hosted in the US.
https://mempool.space/lightning/node/03864ef025fde8fb587d989186ce6a4a186895ee44a926bfc370e2c366597a3f8f

No reason also stated for removing the lightning wallet from the Google Playstore and App store for United States citizens not to be able to access it.

ACINQ, owners of Phoenix have explained that themselves:

Quote
Recent announcements from US authorities cast a doubt on whether self-custodial wallet providers, Lightning service providers, or even Lightning nodes could be considered Money Services Businesses and be regulated as such.

ACINQ has no MSB license, if the government identifies them as MSB they don't want to risk operating without one, so they are pulling out before they acquire one!
17  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Miners revenues drop to the lowest in years as Runes fomo fades away on: April 27, 2024, 03:35:19 PM
The miners already taking advantage over inscriptions, ordinals and runes hype since the last year, before that Bitcoin fees is really cheap except during bull run (which predicted would happen in the next year). Before those hypes, they don't mind to mine Bitcoin even the fees was less than 10 sat/vbyte, now why they complain?

He should have said it better, it's not overall income it's income per unit of hash!
This is the chart he is linking to:


Look at the drop in the end!

What are the implications for this, are home miners going to get wiped out by huge companies that have access to investors capital and cheap electricity? Would that be a danger to centralization? Or are miners going to try and manipulate the fees and the mempool creating fake scarcity of space and driving the fees up to compensate for what they have lost?
Can they even do that as I saw people in the mining section saying ?

Home miners are a dying breed for years, you won't see them in 2026 other than USB miners for fun!
For the rest, I know what you're trying to say based on your other topic, but it's crystal globe stuff unless you know the price or the price stands still.

18  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2024 Diff thread happy New Years. on: April 27, 2024, 02:59:03 PM
and viabtc is paying
0.0678 a th

But isn't that 7 days average?
The daily reward has dropped like a stone, last blocked ‎3.377 BTC, which would be 490 BTC, let's keep things simple
500 BTC x 63 000k / 600 000 000 it would be  5.25 cents.

Anyhow, you kept mining or you started packing up?
Wonder how mikeywith is doing too, let's see if he drops a few lines ..
FUDGEEEEEEEEE!

I would say that if the value of fees continues to fall, and remains at normal values - before the halving - the next update will be negative.

It dropped for a moment somewhere last night when I checked to just +2 blocks, but still positive

Quote
Latest Block:   841112  (6 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   101.9919%  (441 / 432.39 expected, 8.61 ahead)

It will be for sure negative at the end of the period, it's a bit of nonsense to see it grow at the worst income per th we had in a year.

19  Economy / Economics / Re: Harmful effect of robot to the world. on: April 27, 2024, 02:43:27 PM
So you feel my topic is stupid

It's not just me and it's not just this topic of yours, all are stupid and everyone thinks so, that's reality!
You need to go out of your house, you need to study real economy not tiktok education and you have to look at history!
All your ideas look like some 6yo finally got access to the internet!

Judging from your same example, paying $6000 every month to workers is cheaper than acquiring a robot that will work for you for 10 years without fault. At the price of $1,000,000, your monthly worker's salary will be $720,000 in 10 years, which means you still have about $280,000 in wasted resources that could have been put to good use.
 

Do you think he actually checked the numbers?

He just threw some around thinking he knew what he was talking about when in reality it's so complicated 100 lines would barely scratch the tip of it.
What kind of business, how many workers are required, what do you pay in extra taxes, what would be the maintenance for the robot, how much would that robot cover at a high demand hour, how many extra workers do you till need in peak season, but most important than everything, how would this math look when you have the robot for 5 years and meanwhile the wages have doubled...

It's such a complex subject you can't just throw a phrase and think you know it all!

20  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: the oxidation fee.. on: April 27, 2024, 02:11:08 PM
Thank you Stompix for reply,
~
but when you have 3000 USD as banknote with you, you will begin to worry about its safety, so instead of walking in the street to home, you may hail a cab for more safety. therefore as you could see, your 3000 USD in cash in fact has lower value - after pay the cab driver, something like 3000 minus 55 USD (the cab fee, not cab tax).

now imagine you have 30'000 USD in cash and you are in real trouble, because the problem is how to keep it safe in home! so you need to pay for a vault. and now your 30'000 USD worth can calculate after reducing the cost of buying and installing a vault in your home! so as you could see none of them are taxes to your money. they are all about preserving your money.

Nope , really bad analogy!

My money is already safe in the bank (blockchain), and satoshi's coins are as safe as everyone else, why would I who knows my coins are safe pay 10% and the guy who has just moved coins 6 months ago not pay since we both are offered the same security?
50 satoshi or 100000 Bitcoins we;re both offered the same, the blockchain doesn't care about the amounts!

The real analogy for what you're doing is the Cyprus bank crisis, when everything above 100 000 was no longer your money!

the oxidation fee makes everybody to move their coins into new blocks,

You're creating artificial demand for block space with this, it will make things worse when we look from the fees standpoint, so it will hurt everyone , imagine you need to transact and suddenly 10 blocks are full because some huge custodian is moving away his funds not to be taxed, jus as an example some hold their coins in under 10BTC blocks, like Bitgo in thousands of adreses.

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