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2461  Other / Off-topic / Re: A Statist Tea Party on: October 26, 2010, 11:36:24 AM
Nice.

We should work on a translation in other language.

Any french female speaker for Alice's voice ?

At least it could worth spending some time to subtitle this.  I'll see what I can do.  Any help for this is welcome.  A full transcript in english would be a good start.  I could them time it with a subtitle editor.  Finally,  I can translate it in my own language.


Edit.  ahh, why bother ?  would be too much work for too a small benefit.

I though on adding subtitles as well, but I think its very US specific.

I added spanish subtitles to the Hayek vs Keynes rap video, and that was worth it. Its more international. But this, as brilliant as it is, its just not international.

Anyway, I think I have watched it 3 times this morning and still do not get tired of it.
2462  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 26, 2010, 08:09:50 AM
It seems we both don't know each others stories.

I am currently a teenager with no job.
Before you start accusing me of living of my parents.
My parents where decently living in Poland before we moved here 16 years ago. They had good jobs (Teacher and Programmer) and a house and where able to support doing almost whatever they felt like.
Now that we moved to Canada.
My mom works 50 cents above minimum wage and several illegal jobs. My fathers bust his ass in a factory just to pay the mortgage.
I steal my neighbors Wifi, dumpster dive and shoplift. I also have 3 younger siblings. At school we have fundraisers that I cannot afford to take part of. Such as casual Fridays because it costs 15 bucks a year. I share alot of books and other stuff with my friends who are also politically anarchocollectivist/anarchosyndicalist. To me I know that we dont live in poverty but this is not how each person should live on the world. That is why I hate capitalism.

Just wanted to clear that up so you don't think I'm a 40 year old guy who has no one to feed and claims he can fix the world.

Why did your parents move from Poland to Canada?

By the way, you might like this: http://c4ss.org/

EDIT: If you dont mind sharing.
2463  Economy / Economics / Re: Treasury Draws Negative Yield for First Time During TIPS Sale on: October 26, 2010, 08:04:23 AM
Peter Schiff was, for a short while, my financial advisor.  Well, his company, not him in particular.  I have a lot of respect for the man's insights, particularly with regard to overseas investing, but he's been crying inflation for about a decade.  Mish seems to be a more accurate a forecaster of monetary issues than Schiff, and I already know that he doesn't regard Bitcoin very highly, but he is aware of it at least.

Austrian economics is a tight field at the national level, I'd bet dollars to donuts that a great many are already aware of Bitcoin and are either watching it from a quiet distance or have written it off because it's not backed.  

LewRockwell published an article about Bitcoin. In fact it was one of the first big internet publications to do it.

Peter Schiff has not been claiming inflation for decades... Peter Schiff claims that the crisis will turn into an inflationary crisis (most people agree). What Peter missed was the disinflationary phase after the crash of the bubble and he has acknowleged it.

I dont trust Mish. He got the desinflationary crash right, but the way he treats people that discusses with him is very very suspicious. He manipulates his words and builds strawman to attack them. I dont trust that kind of people. Also, his focus on the coming deflation when the inflatariony phase is about to hit is suspicious. Specially because his business is based in the USA and looks more interesting with a strong dollar...

Peter Schiff is in the same but opposite situation. Peter has a business that focus on foreign stocks, so the projection of a weak dollar makes his business look better, which is what might have lead him to downplay the desinflationary phase. Whether intentional or a mistake by Peter, in both cases I think it was a big mistake that did not help him, on the contrary it hurt his business. I think he same is going on with Mish but towards deflation.

What I really like about Peter is that he is funny and brings people to the movement. When I started discovering austrian economics I watched a lot of Peter videos, and that lead me to more complex stuff. Someone funny always help to spread whatever you want to spread.
2464  Other / Off-topic / A Statist Tea Party on: October 26, 2010, 07:31:44 AM
This is too funny

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OlBYpldsl3g

PS: Does anyone know how to embed a youtube video? Is it posible?
2465  Economy / Economics / Re: Treasury Draws Negative Yield for First Time During TIPS Sale on: October 26, 2010, 06:00:55 AM
Investors are expecting a heavy rise in the CPI that will offset the negative interests and will end up giving them money. Otherwise it makes no sense. Its a sign that investors expect heavy inflation.
2466  Economy / Economics / Re: Weaknessess of bitcoin on: October 25, 2010, 02:48:18 PM
As you said, this has been discussed before, but I will try to answer some:

Hello,

I'm fairly new to bitcoin but really interested as it solves a problem I was trying to solve for years. Nevertheless, there's some weaknessess I'm foreseeing. It has probably been answered before but I could not find any answers on this forum.


1) Low monetary mass.

21.000.000 seems really low. The lowest fraction is 10e-8. Why such a low limitation ?  I understand perfectly the fact that generation should be harder and harder but I don't understand why limit it to 21.000.000.

2) Fixed monetary mass.

In the long run, it means that the money will disappear. Crash disk, human error. Even real money is destroyed every day. What will happen if we start running out of bitcoin ?

Apart from the discussion if it really is enough or not, there can be parallel bitcoin networks. Its not an idea that is very popular around here (for obvious reasons) but I think that as the system starts to gain importance there will appear competing networks, most probably local networks belonging to a geographical area. There is no problem in several bitcoin networks at the same time. There are already exchanges between dollars, euros and bitcoins, and they could exchange between the different networks.

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3) geekish interface

I'm a user experience/human machine interaction guy. And bitcoin is currently just plain geek masturbation. There's no way any "normal" user would use that.

This is not a unsolvable problem. But it should be taken into account more deeply. Users don't care about underlying concept, P2P, cryptography. They just want a secured account somewhere in a "bank" and a pocket account that they could afford to loose. Everything else should disappear.

The key/anonymity concept is also very hard currently (and it could be non-convenient). What if you want to send some money to your family to wish an happy birthday ? What if you want to see which customer has payed what ?

(well, it means that I could work myself on that particular problem)

You are probably right in this one.

Also, firefox or chrome plugin that allowed to pay by just clicking a link would be a step forward. There has been some discussion around this but nothing has happened.

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4) Early/late user unfairness

I've read that some users generated 150bitcoins in a few days. According to the calculator, I will have to wait 60 days before having my first bitcoin !
Would you join a monetary system if you know that a few people already have approximately half of the whole monetary mass ?  Hmm, it seems rather odd, isn't it ?

First, from a moral point of view, the people that is here earlier are taking risk and spending time in something that could develop into nothing. There has to be a reward for early adoption, right? I mean, jumping in the wagon when everything works is the easy task. Being here from the beginning when almost nobody was using it has merit. Also, remember that nobody is stopping anyone from starting a new bitcoin network. Satoshi has open sourced the software he has created.

Second, from a practical point of view, people will keep adopting Bitcoin because of different reasons. One is to show the finger to the banking system. Two, because as more business accept Bitcoin people will find them useful to buy stuff. And Bitcoins will behave better than any government fiat currency (it wont lose value), therefore they will find an incentive to use it. Also there is the pesky part that since it is an anonymous currency some people will trade in it and will decide to not pay taxes. This is not encouraged here, but can be nevertheless an incentive.

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5) Exchanges

I've browsed the list of websites supposed to offer stuffs against bitcoins. Only one was really displaying "bitcoins accepted". All the others were standard ecommerce websites with no mention of bitcoin. What could I do if I wanted to use my bitcoins ? No idea yet on how I could use them.

This is an important issue.

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6) fraud

What if I pay for a service and it appears that it was a fraud ? With VISA, you can get your money back quite easily. With bitcoin, it is just impossible. A transaction is a transaction an it is impossible to find the receiver afterward.

Having a decentralized system has it advantages and its disadvantages. But there could be in the future a similar system using bitcoins.


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Well, this is a lot of questions, don't hesitate to redirect me to related topic in this forum.
2467  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 25, 2010, 10:01:51 AM
I think you are very wrong.  Bitcoin is certainly not a way to abolish money.  Rather, it is a ultra-modern form of money.  It is about as communist as gold can be.  And I doubt gold is a communist money.

Don't confuse capitalism with banking system.  Basically capitalism is the right of ownership.  Bitcoin is a money that is way more difficult to steal than other forms of money.  It is therefore not socialist.  At all.


Not all forms of socialism reject money. Remember socialism is a set of goals, not a set of policies (whether you think this goals are important or possible is another matter).

Btw, Rothbard convinced the communist party of the USA to include the gold standard in their program Cheesy
2468  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 25, 2010, 07:34:14 AM
Hopefully you guys are not trolls and are up for an honest debate.

So he makes something and doesn't give it to me.  um, so?  Why should he be punished for that?  It's his thing, he made it.

Just because you don't understand something doesn't mean it is ridiculous.  Anarcho Capitalism is not possible, it has never existed and the closest society has ever come to it (Somalia) is a really awful place to live by all accounts.  Anarcho-Socialism meanwhile has existed on several occasions, admittedly it was always militarially crushed by authoritarian socialism, but that is not an inherent flaw in the system, it's just that the Anarchists picked the wrong allies.  Black Ukraine and the Anarchist regions of Spain were pretty nice places to live by all accounts too.

There has been more examples of anarcho-capitalism than Somalia. In fact, Somalia is not the best example of an anarcho-capitalist society. Also, about Somalia, their conditions have improved during their anarchist phase. Under anarchy Somalia has become the region with the cheapest telephone rates in all Africa, the one where agricultural and kettle production has grown faster, etc... You obviously are not going to turn a shithole into a paradise in some years. But the fact is that the conditions have improved.

I have also read about the anarcho-communist communities in Spain. First of all, they were short-lived, so conclusions about them should be taken with a grain of salt since nobody knows how they would have evolved. But you say they were "pretty nice places to live by all accounts"... but you dont talk how the political comites that were formed were regulating moral issues like sex and even alcohol drinking for their members. And they were strict about it (some of them, there were many types of communities). But again, the experiences are not very conclusive (for good or for bad) because they were short lived.

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That's a problem for Anarchists of any stripe.  Moreso for An-caps than An-socs in my opinion since An-soss usually assume crime will be handled by the community while an-caps usually believe the community is a form of government and that crime should be handled by private security companies (which, for some reason, are NOT a form of government)

Its the other way around. Its the anarcho-syndicalist or anarcho-communist that tend to be democratic.

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There's some obvious confusion here between personal property and private property.  Socialists are not opposed to personal property.  Even Authoritarian stalinist socialists are not opposed to personal property.  That is the things which you personally own and can personally hold and/or defend.  Socialists, especcially Anarchist socialists, are opposed to private property.  That is those things which you own only because the law says you own them, you cannot personally hold and defend them.  As soon as you start hiring other people to hold and defend your private property you have established a government and are acting against Anarchist principles.

your house is personal property,  a house that you rent to bring in income is private property.  Obviously you cannot personally defend both your own house and a rental property.

This is a better definition of personal/private property than the traditional communist, but is still weak. What if you can not defend your house? What if you rent a room?

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Bitcoin is not Anarcho-capitalist its more socialist as its based on the trust system.

mmmm, where does anarcho-capitalism opposes a trust system? Not only it does not oppose it, but anarcho-capitalism relies in a trust system.

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It's a start to show people that the days of bartering and gift economy can work again and there is no need for centralized banks. This is a start towards abolishing money in all forms towards a more Utopian Anarcho-communist society.

Money appeared naturally from bartering. Why do you think it wont happen again? In fact, a system of money (or at least a free market money) is a system of barter. It just happens that people always barter their goods against one good, and for that reason that good receives the name of money. Its convinient, why do you think it wont happen again?

Also, ignoring that money does a lot of good for humans is not wise. Without money the coordination of production would be impossible and people would be much poorer. Specialization would not be possible and that means no modern science like medicine or physics.


Again, if you are trolls or dont care about honest debate dont bother answering.
2469  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 23, 2010, 01:23:51 PM
The entire world has become a series of slave plantations with each region having its own masters and slaves. There is no point moving elsewhere because that just swaps one master for another. Seasteading ftw.

I have hope to set up some sort of libertarian city-state in some place in Africa. There was a project to do exactly this in Madagascar. Some libertarian economists had talked with the president there to set up some special charter in some place to start a libertarian city (similar idea to Hong Kong). The key is that with a small tariff for the host country, it would be very profitable for them because all the activity the city would generate, and would be also very advantageous for the citizens that moved there since they could govern themselves and pay a very small tax only. The Madagascar president had accepted this and they were negotiating the terms, when there was a revolution. I wish I had the link were I read this.

If something like this actually happened I think that there is a big chance that a libertarian society could expand around Africa. Because the city would thrive and surely other people would copy the initiative, also the natives would copy the structure and could be influenced and educated, etc...

If something like this is stablished seriously I would go live there.
2470  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 23, 2010, 01:09:02 PM
If I build things and give some of them away that doesn't make it part socialism and part capitalism. I decide what to do with all of my property, giving it away is one of my uses for it. Maybe the word "capitalism" has to go, but for whatever reason it just means free market capitalism to me. It seems really obvious that a little bit of freedom doesn't make you free and a little bit of capitalism isn't capitalism. But if most people are using a word differently then I can change, as long as it's consistent.

Yeah. Socialism in reality or at least for academic socialists (or whatever) is defined as a system of values where equality is the base and basic needs are covered for everyone (including food, shelter, etc...). How this is achieved is not defined, so its basically a set of beautiful promises (which is very useful from a marketing point of view, but not very realistic). Then there are different theories on how to get there. Mutualists just happen to think that the free market is the best way to achieve this ends. Again, all this comes from my little understanding of the subject, but I think I got it right.

So you see, if mutualists want a free market because that way they can achieve their socialistic ends and an-caps want a free market because they value it as the best way of living or the most moral or whatever... then they both defend the same, just with different objectives (maybe, because an an-cap can personally value equality as a favorable outcome). This is why I am telling you the line between capitalism and socialism gets blurred. Certainly mutualists will favour cooperatives and local commerce, while an-caps (maybe) will favour whatever its more efficient, but at the end they both accept playing in a free market.

The other socialist anarchists dont make sense at all to me. It seems just like nonsense with totally unrealistic views of the world, specially the economy. The anarcho-communist or anarcho-syndicalist want to impose a monetary system based on the hour standard (the hour as in time) but they say its not a monetary standard, and then they want to stablish a market to exchange the goods based on this hour standard, but saying that its not a market... And then you have the primitivists that want to stop using technology... I am finding mutualism ok, but it goes downhill very quickly from there.

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There isn't some perfect platonic form of property and there will obviously be legitimate disputes. The question is how they will be resolved. If some group of people want to pick some list of arbitrary lengths of time for various items to lose their property-ness I think they'll do badly, but they can try it out and see. Long story short whatever people agree to is fine, if they don't agree they don't have to associate.

Yes. Its a dangerous line to define the validity of property in subjective terms.
2471  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 23, 2010, 10:07:10 AM
If someone has not used something for a long time, it might be because he doesn't need it anymore.

In that case, one could probably buy this thing for a relatively low price, instead of just stealing it.

Moreover, it's not because someone hasn't been using something for a long time, that he doesn't have any intention to do so in the future.  You're not in his head, and you don't know his investment strategies.  Again, instead of claiming this thing is not his property anymore, you should offer a price to buy it.  If you were right by assuming that he doesn't need it, then the price will be low.

I did not say that they are right, its just what I got from the little I have read about mutualism.

But saying that since someone does not need something he/she is going to sell it cheap its a stretch. Moreover the mutualists really dont have problem with little owners. What mutualists mainly have problem and strongly denounce is the property acquired through unjust means, for example property acquired using aggressive force or government subsidies or favors. They claim that the big parts of land that are now unused are due to the government interference and not due to a free market process. I happen to agree with this last part, and I like the strong stance on unjust acquired land. I think that the rest of the market anarchists schools and even minarchists should denounce this issue more.

Again, my understanding of mutualism is still superficial so my opinions could not be exactly accurate.
2472  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 23, 2010, 09:24:51 AM
It is worse than that though. If you make something and they take it now they are breaking their rule of not possessing things. It is just straight contradictory.

If they answer that they'll just let you be, then it's really clear to me that people will chose to have some things and give some things, and that's capitalism*.

*not corporate fascistic government sponsored capitalism, but simply the having of capital that you created or traded for.

It gets to a point where the lines between socialism and capitalism gets diluted.

Mutualists define capitalism from a historic (with marxian influence) perspective. Therefore capitalism is what happened in Europe after the industrial revolution. So basically for the mutualists capitalism means state capitalism or corporate capitalism.

Mutualism is defined as free market anticapitalism or free market socialism. I really dont care what you define yourself, as long as you defend some kind of free market with some kind of realistic property system. Mutualist in reality dont defend strict property but more of a exclusive use system. They defend that a property becomes unowned if the owner has not used for a long time, as opposed to anarcho-capitalist that are more strict with property.

Take all this with a grain of salt since I have just started looking into mutualism.
2473  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 23, 2010, 05:32:02 AM
"Anarcho-socialism" is ridiculous. What are you going to do if someone makes something and doesn't give it you? Uh, I guess we'll need a group of people to administer punishments....

Well, what about mutualism? Its socialism and anarchism, and I am finding it ok. I might not agree with everything, but at least it makes sense, its coherent and has realistic views. But Chomsky is just charlatanery. Apart from being cautivated by his beautiful words I dont know why some people worship this guy. All he says and writes is beautiful nonsense. Anyone capable of minimal reasoning can see it. The best thing socialist can do is distance themselves from this joke.
2474  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: October 22, 2010, 06:20:20 PM
Waiting for the update.
2475  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Message Free Software projects to add Bitcoin Donate buttons on: October 22, 2010, 01:35:44 PM
Hey,

Right now I'm working full time on a Bitcoin app and haven't got the time to do this. But it just occured to me that if you message a lot of free software projects then they would likely add one. Especially if you gave them a bitcoin icon or premade button.

Then someone could make a topic here of a list of projects accepting donations. Good way to promote bitcoin.

What is this application about? (if you want to talk about it)
2476  Economy / Economics / Re: Price Deflation Discourage Investment? on: October 22, 2010, 01:14:11 PM
I suspect (but am far from certain) that a couple of psychological factors in the average human mind makes deflation worse than inflation.

First, we've got an irrational attachment to "free" (see the book Predictably Irrational for experiments that show this).  If money is deflating, I can just let it sit under my mattress for "free" -- and that might be more attractive to me even though I'd get a better return by investing it.  Investing ALWAYS looks like it costs something (brokerage commissions or lawyers fees or...).

And second, we've got an irrational aversion to loss and an irrational attachment to stuff that we own.  Investment means opening yourself up to the possiblity of loss AND lending out something you own; I think a little bit of inflation helps overcome that irrationality, by building in a little loss if you stick your money under your mattress.

I wonder if somebody could devise a small-scale experiment to figure out if deflation is bad for investment, and/or measure the size of the effect...


Give it a second though.

Could it be that humans are acting this way because we live under an inflationary system? Its known that economic situation has a big influence in human culture. For example, during crisis music tends to be happier (people wants to disconnect from reality). During the housing boom, in my country, all the advertisment was focused on making you feel like "the winner". Now, all the advertisment has shifted and is promoting the image of companionship and "street people". Its well known that monetary influence can change how people behave. Therefore it makes sense to think that a lot of the reactions of the people that you are observing is not something inherently human, but more how people is reacting and has learn to behave because of the consequences of the monetary system.

Through history monetary inflation has always led to bubbles and you can see the same kind of behaviour during the boom phase. The "winner" image. Check the roaring 20's. But the same happened centuries ago. Inflation always promotes speculation and turns the people kind of "cheaply greedy" or "stupidly greedy", it discourages savings and promotes consumption leading to a more consumerist society, and making people not being able to project for the future, more now-minded, and less self reliant. It changes people personality. And it sure is happening now. The inflationary regime its influencing people personality. It turns people stupid.

In a deflationary system, with people used to prices going down, probably would behave in a completely different way. You can see this during the USA XIX century (for example), where prices where going down and the amount of investment was going up big time.

Also, in an economic sense:

Quote
First, we've got an irrational attachment to "free" (see the book Predictably Irrational for experiments that show this).  If money is deflating, I can just let it sit under my mattress for "free" -- and that might be more attractive to me even though I'd get a better return by investing it.  Investing ALWAYS looks like it costs something (brokerage commissions or lawyers fees or...).

And second, we've got an irrational aversion to loss and an irrational attachment to stuff that we own.  Investment means opening yourself up to the possiblity of loss AND lending out something you own; I think a little bit of inflation helps overcome that irrationality, by building in a little loss if you stick your money under your mattress.

You are assuming that more investment is better. But that is not necesarily the case. Productive investment is useful, but not any kind of investment. For example, there was a lot of investment during the housing boom, but it was misguided, and a lot of it was mainly malinvestments. We would have been a lot better off if it was saved or invested on something else.

And one of the key factors that allow productive investment is the natural interest rates, because they communicate the consumer intentions to entrepreneurs. Inflation artificially lowers interest rates, thus sending the wrong signals (in this case the interest rates is not the result of consumer actions, but its influenced by inflation) fooling investors into the wrong type of projects. Therefore the increase of investment you get from inflation is not only useless but even damaging, because it promotes malinvestments.

More investment is not always good. The natural interest rates are needed to guide investors about consumer demand.
2477  Economy / Economics / Re: Roubini: Only the Weak Survive on: October 22, 2010, 10:36:29 AM
That's a really good explanation, hugolp.

So when wages are mostly rising, no problem. When wages try to adjust themselves downward it is forbidden by laws, regs, union contracts, etc. So the only way to get them down is to debase the currency.

Exactly, and while you do it, instead of telling the truth, that you are devaluating the wages of your workers and offering them as cheap labor, you claim that you are helping them because inflation creates wealth (or something similar)...
2478  Economy / Economics / Precusors of bitcoin: Private coinage during the early industrial revolution on: October 22, 2010, 10:28:39 AM
This is a video by George Selgin about the private coinage in the UK just before and during the earlier stages of the industrial revolution. Is one of the best conferences I have seen about monetary history, and the bitcoin community can get some very valuable lessons from it.

The whole video is full of them, but as I was watching it again one struck me: when the system became widely accepted, in spite of government trying to impose its money monopoly, the shops would demand double price if you wanted to pay in government money. Thats how much they valued their private coins. It was the government money that was rejected! I believe the same thing will happen with bitcoin once it gains some traction.

The obvious question is: if this coins were so popular and so useful why did they disappear? Fair question, and the answer is at the end of the video. And this is why bitcoin is such an incredible system, because it would have avoided the fate of this private coins because of its characteristics.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-gn55fTRXZw

PS: Anyone knows how to embed a youtube video?
2479  Economy / Economics / Re: How evil is Bitcoin ? on: October 22, 2010, 10:21:01 AM
Chomsky the "anarchist" that constantly demands bigger government. What a joke.

I am discovering now a lot of really good left-liberatarian philosophers. Why do people focus on this guy? He is a joke. For example, he demands higher taxes on the rich while at the same time he is rich and has his money in a fiscal paradise to avoid paying taxes... He is very good with linguistics and he uses it as a charlatan.
2480  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Join the Bitcoin team at Kiva. on: October 16, 2010, 09:30:27 AM
Sorry, just woke up. What is this about?
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