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1161  Economy / Economics / Re: Italy parallel currency on: July 02, 2018, 01:04:43 PM
Well, so far BITCOIN is the easiest way out for these Italians, rather than buying an alternative currency. If this is true, then pump up the volume!

Its not easy as it seems (https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2018-06-27/italys-new-government-is-no-threat-to-euro-eurosceptic-senator-says)

Quote
ROME (Reuters) - Italy's new government will do nothing to undermine the euro and investors have no reason to fear its agenda, a prominent eurosceptic senator from the right-wing League party said.

So for now we can speculate that maybe as early as today, Italian will look for other alternatives just in case something worst happen although the government is assuring that they are not abandoning EURO. However, if I lived right there, I will put some of my money in crypto just like a hedge, just to be sure.

I'm not sure doing this would decrease your risk of loss. Bitcoin is far more volatile than the euro and if a country like Italy crashed out of the EU or instituted its own currency, Bitcoin would likely still be more volatile than the euro. If you wanted to temporarily protect your currency, you would probably want to exchange it to the US dollar because it would absolutely hold its value better than Bitcoin over a couple weeks or months if the euro was experiencing Italy-based fluctuations. Bitcoin could be ok, but when there's economic uncertainty, could be isn't good enough. You want actual safety.
1162  Economy / Economics / Re: Why we must study Economics at University? on: July 02, 2018, 12:51:44 PM
Most probably in this section are users that are interested mostly in Economics, so I want to know why Economics attracts you?


Economics and history are the two most important subjects you can study to have an understanding of the reason why the world is the way it is. History is about past politics and economics is about current politics. Much understanding of history is an understanding of economic realities of the past. Economics is the single greatest influence on geopolitics and informs why and how countries treat each other. If more people studied economics and history, I think we'd have a much better and more peaceful world.
1163  Economy / Economics / Re: why do people agree to pay taxes? on: July 02, 2018, 12:47:17 PM
Not knowing where your tax money is going is the biggest problem with taxes. I do believe that the concept has been somewhat outdated with the establishment of internet-based crowd funding. A lot of public works could potentially be funded with online campaigns where interested people would donate the money required for the things they need.

Crowd funding will never adequately fund the infrastructure products as needed to complete them. The point about such projects is they increase the overall welfare of a nation and should be borne by all citizens then because it's for the common good. A better economy improves the lives of all citizens. There's always going to be a group of people opposed to paying for anything, but they're living off the benefits of having those previous infrastructure projects completed, and they fail to see this as hypocritical.
1164  Economy / Economics / Re: The "Axis Of Gold" Will Drive Gold Higher by the End of 2018 on: July 02, 2018, 12:38:05 PM
Their articles sound just like all the other ones--metals are soon going to go up, because [insert fearmongering reason here].  And then gold & silver just keep going sideways for years on end.  Gold demand is always increasing in their eyes.  Same with silver.  And while that might be true, the market sure isn't reflecting it and I trust the market more so than a whacko website like Zerohedge.

There is $10 to $90 worth of Gold is each computer/laptop. A solar panel has 20 grams Silver and  Solar farms are HUGE business worldwide.

I remember to read some earlier post of Pharmacist  in which I felt some disdain against the investment on metals/precious metals.

Gold is not getting used in laptop and computers only but also in smartphones and TVs . The gold used in these devices is not recoverable and it make around 10%  of the total demand of gold. There is still too much scope in the expansion of the  smartphone industry so this demand will go up and remember this  amount of gold is lost (deflation). There are other industry uses of gold (like medicine, aerospace etc.) but they do not make a significant portion.

But main point is that  50% gold is used in jewelry  making and I found something that will make your mind that gold is not a very good investment.

"A hundred years ago, gold sold for just $20 per ounce. In recent years gold has traded between $1,200 and $1,900 per ounce. That’s a huge move up in nominal terms over the past century. Yet in real terms gold prices today aren’t much different from what they were when they were last quoted at $20 an ounce.

It’s not that gold has become so much more expensive. It’s that the currency in which gold prices are quoted has depreciated so much. (The U.S. dollar has lost nearly 97% of its value since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913.) "



Source: https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-charts/gold-price

Precisely, gold is a poor investment for wealth accumulation, but it's a very good store of wealth over very long periods of time (at least decades). Shorter than that, gold can be fairly volatile and the risk of loss is higher. People advocating for gold investment to "make money" don't know what they're talking about. They think a rise in gold prices over 50 years means they made money and not that inflation has pushed the price of everything equally, including gold, so that they really have no more wealth than when they started.
1165  Economy / Economics / Re: China tells people to buy gold & silver on: June 30, 2018, 03:01:16 PM
Yes that is right that gold is an investment tool, but from bitcoin  then profit that we can get in a short time is not possible from gold or any other type of investment or trading, I think that in current time bitcoin is the best tool for making a lot of money in a short time. I am sure that very soon they will review their decision of banning crypto currencies.

My study of financial markets say Bitcoin will be $15,000 only in year 2024. That is 100% profit after 6 years. $8,000 is lots of money so there are more sellers for Bitcoin and less buyers at $8000

If gold price goes up +12% every year for 6 years, Gold will around $2,200/ounce in year 2024. That is 75% profit.

Also Bitcoin is high risk investment and Gold is the safest investment.

Safest doesn't mean best. If you're "investing" in gold, your strategy ought to be wealth maintenance, not wealth accumulation. People who invest in gold are already rich and looking to maintain that level of wealth in the face of inflation. That's why it's traditionally safe (over very long time periods), because gold tends to track inflation. The "increase" in the price of gold isn't anything more than the cost of everything else rising faster in an economy; this depreciation of the dollar pushes the price of gold "up," but in real terms, you generally can expect to have the same amount of wealth as when you started. In contrast to the stock market, which actually creates returns above the inflation rate, gold is an inferior investment if you're trying to become richer than you are currently. Over long time horizons, which smooths out the variance of both, the stock market wins.
1166  Economy / Economics / Re: why the state does not print a lot of money? on: June 30, 2018, 02:53:23 PM
why the state does not print a lot of money? than debt to other countries. is not it easier to make money than debt and ultimately burdens the state?

whether if printing money will have an impact on the money itself? or will it impact the value of the money in the eyes of the world?

Printing money doesn't make a country richer. Money is a representation of wealth, not actual wealth. Actual wealth comes from resources and demand for products you create. A country cannot print money and create wealth for this reason. The underlying goods/services that money represents has to be created for money printing not to have an inflationary effect. If the level of money rises along with a rise in goods/services created by that same economy, then the money printed represents the rising value of wealth in the economy. Without it, all the money is worth less.
1167  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin, the highest fall in the year 2018 on: June 30, 2018, 02:50:23 PM
Bitcoin prices have never been so low this year. Prices were down to 5,826.41$ (Jun 24 2018 16:04:00 UTC). Many advisers say that at the end of the year it will hit 30,000$. The market is seeing more than the fall from the price rise. Imagine when the speculation will end?

Anyone who's still saying $30,000 is a hopeless dreamer. We're seeing the rationalization that was abandoned in the great hype of last year. My own personal opinion, as someone who still owns Bitcoins, is that the price is probably still far too high and will continue to drop as the hype and vagueness about the "potential" continues to fall away in the face of what Bitcoin is actually used for (not much besides speculation) and the realization that it's not solving the world's great economic problems like people unrealistically expected it to. All those people who piled in last year to push the price to $19,000 weren't doing so because they thought it was going to change the world, it was because they got sucked into the hype cycle and were trying to get rich.
1168  Economy / Economics / Re: Best ways to serve Country Economically. on: June 30, 2018, 02:47:51 PM
In your opinion, what are the best way to serve country economically?
In my opinion following ways should be considered.
1. Better and free education system where everyone can get better education to achieve his/her goals.
2. Proper usage of governments funds in urban and rural areas for infrastructure.
3. Building new industries and companies to create more employment opportunities.
4. Better and free health policy for everyone.
5. Better law and order satuation so that foreigner can be attracted to invest in your country and pay you taxes and give employment opportunities.
6. Raising high standard of living by reducing inflation.

In my opinion, the best ways to serve the country especially in economical state is to patronize our oen instead of patronizing others product. We must see the beauty of our own than seeing the other side. We must not understimate our products or the people behimd every creativity but instead give them good thoughts for them to do their best more.

Some countries have natural advantages in production of certain products, so it wouldn't make sense to buy something that is domestically produced that is more expensive than buying the same or better product from overseas for less money. This is the advantage of global trade, it makes everyone richer by trading the products a nation naturally has an advantage in producing, thereby cutting down on waste and inefficiency. The most important element in economics is the efficient use of limited resources, and everything that improve efficiency is good for everyone.
1169  Economy / Economics / Re: you gotta wonder why they are worried about your money! on: June 25, 2018, 09:12:09 PM
these days we keep seeing how these throw away accounts here are warning you to sell your bitcoins and how you will lose money,...

you have to wonder why they are so worried about your money and don't want you to lose it so they are telling you to sell your bitcoins LOL.

you gotta ask WHY? what's in it for them if you sell.
i am not saying you should hold. i just want to raise the question that you should have been asking all along about those who create multiple throwaway accounts every day to say the same thing over and over again...


Or they could be the whales trying to create FUD around the forum so that we will go and sell out coins to them! Lolz!

No, its really bothering when we gotta see so many threads on similar topics but asked in completely different fashion. It is also observed that same group of people are posting them periodically so that they can keep the pace of breaking others morality over holding the bitcoin in such lows.

Sometime I really feel that big group of investors might be playing jumbo game here to get more bitcoins with less value. As more FUD, more selling, more price drop and thus more discounts for them.  Roll Eyes

I think the boards are more or less just the manifestation of the overall sentiment in the market. When the price is rising, you get inundated with useless drivel about going to the moon and lambos. When the price is falling, you get inundated with useless drivel about losing all your investment and going broke. In either case, the quality of the posts is extremely low and 90% nonsense hype, the only difference is in what direction it is oriented (positive vs. negative) which mirrors the correct price trajectory. Nobody with enough Bitcoin to matter to the market is going to take any action based on a bunch of rankless BCT profiles posting about it, so it shouldn't credibly be viewed as the motivation of those posts.
1170  Economy / Economics / Re: Beside Cryptocurrenices where would you invest? on: June 25, 2018, 09:02:56 PM
I think that gold is not so bad after all, in my country, not as like cryptocurrencies, gold is constantly growing in price. So I think the people who bought gold for years ago right now or having there benefits.

Is gold actually growing in price or is your local currency just depreciating in value and gold is staying stable relative to that decline? The thing about gold is it's not a good investment. It's not a productive asset, so it doesn't produce any income. What it is primarily is a hedge against inflation, and in that it functions pretty well over long periods of time. In shorter time frames, it experiences some volatility that could result in loss of capital, but the longer the time horizon, generally the better gold performs in holding value (as opposed to creating value). To create value, there isn't much better option that the stock market or real estate. Both are productive assets that have a leg up on gold.
1171  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC will not perish on: June 25, 2018, 03:35:16 PM
Bitcoin is too resilient to perish though there are fluctuations in the prices on the market. Market will soon stabilize in no time.Do you believe that?

What history of resilience can something that is only 10 years old have? There's no track record here to bank on and throughout its short life, Bitcoin has never been stable but rather ultra volatile. A price drop from $19,000 to $6,000 is not a "price fluctuation" but a price crash. And based on the current trend of ever-increasing lows, it is not over yet. I don't think anyone can reasonably have any idea when the drop will stop, and anyone who tells you they can shouldn't be believed. These things aren't knowable, all there is is speculation. Speculation for the ultimate speculative asset.
1172  Economy / Economics / Re: why do people agree to pay taxes? on: June 25, 2018, 03:28:52 PM
Because taxes are for the expenses of the government to fulfill their duties for the people. Even though we do not agree to pay them or take it as a burden, we do not have a choice but to support and pay our taxes properly.

So, in fact, we have no way out. Such a puzzle without a break. But already in corrupt countries there are ways to get around it and not pay.
It is irrelevant to pay tax on your Bitcoins because these are not asset and has no physical appearance and furthermore it has nothing to do with the government so tax can not be implemented over it. Bitcoin is a currency like other currencies but is decentralized in nature so we all should keep in mind that tax is only possible if we buy a house or any place with Bitcoin’s profit.

This is categorically false. 1) Bitcoin is taxable. 2) You are required to pay taxes on crypto gains, whether it's Bitcoin or any altcoin. 3) Its status as a currency has no bearing on whether or not it is taxed. If you were exchanging currencies, you would have to pay tax on any gains realized there too. So even if you consider it a currency, you have to pay tax. 4) You are required to pay taxes based on income and capital gains. Transacting in crypto is not a get out of tax free card. 5) Whether it is decentralized or not has no bearing on whether it can be taxed. It is both decentralized and fully taxable, and you are required to pay taxes on it.
1173  Economy / Economics / Re: Financial Crisis Will Come on: June 25, 2018, 03:19:18 PM
As long central banks keep printing money as they like, inflation and crisis always following. Central banks always want economy growth but inflation always increasing and they always make excuse that its needed without transparancy using new money they print

Great point, thanks.  But you know what mainstream (also known as house-pet) economists will say to that?  They will say, without central banks injecting money into the economy, there would be no growth.  Without central banks printing money to bail out the system, the crises would kill the economy completely.

The truth is that natural market incentives would push the right amount of investments, at the right time, into the right projects, to grow the economy.  Who doesn't want to invest in a new venture with real hope for profit?  As for the crises that are severe, their existence is invariably the result of state-bank elites inflating the monetary or financial market, using state power, in the first place.

Ultimately, the question is not hard or soft money, and not whether we should have inflation or deflation, at any given time.  The question is who should have the power to decide.  Is it the free market?  Or the elites?  The system we have puts the power in the hands of the elites, for the purpose of benefiting them at the expense of everyone else, while claiming that we must give them the power and trust them that they have our best interest at heart.


I don't know that anyone would say that because it doesn't at all seem to be true. Economic growth comes from a production base that produces more goods/services than previously existed, and more consumption of those goods/services, not from more money in the system. If you print a trillion extra dollars and release it into the economy, the only thing you've done is created inflation, you haven't grown the economy at all. The only way inflation doesn't occur is when the rate of monetary expansion matches the rate of natural economic expansion. Because that is practically impossible to achieve, the Fed's stated goal is inflation of 2%, which offers a predictable range to strive for. By phrasing the argument as you have, you've constructed a strawman for the purpose of creating a rebuttal, but neither the premise or the rebuttal tracks very closely with what actually happens.
1174  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin vs Bitcoin Cash on: June 24, 2018, 09:04:53 PM
Bitcoin Cash was created on this idea that BTC wasn't progressing and that its community were halting the project and vision from fulfilling the potential that it should. However, BTC for me was never going to deliver what a lot of people expected - it's never going to replace traditional money. BTC serves as a token, or proof of concept for blockchain - this is what's most important here, the technology behind the coin. For that matter, a clone of BTC that's cheaper or faster doesn't really make a difference - it's still not going to be in a position to effect change in the world to your average person on the street. I've said it many times on here before, BTC isn't the be all and end all, blockchain is. BTC will not be around forever, and another project IMO will overthrow it. The biggest challenge for projects, is resisting theirs and their community's, interest in profit, and focussing on the important task at hand - improving the user experience, security, privacy and financial infrastructure...meaningful change and a genuine reason to exist.

Bitcoin Cash will ever be implemented in more places than Bitcoin? Bitcoin Cash will be accepted by the majority of the community as a valid replacement for Bitcoin? On both counts a resounding "no" in my opinion.

If the reply is intentional, I think you've misunderstood what I meant - neither of them are the future or will be around forever. Cash is just a clone with minor improvements, but realistically, neither of them solve real-life challenges and will make it to the mainstream day-to-day.

I understand now, you are correct I agree with you. Bitcoin Cash is a clone with a few add-ons (or upgrades). Adding on from what you wrote having lower tx fees and quick transaction times will solve the issues to make Bitcoin a daily payment tool and as far as I know lightening network has been used on several altcoins but not yet on Bitcoin because of the very real possibilities of hacks.

Once those issues are fixed I think everything with regards to Bitcoin will be looking better and that means the basis om which Bitcoin Cash was created becomes void.

Do you think with transactions taking seoconds to complete and with super low fees Bitcoin would be used daily as a regular payment and money transfer tool?

The basis for which it was created might become void, but that doesn't mean it goes away. At this point, BCH has value for the same reason BTC does. It has a very minimum amount of baseline utility and everyone just uses it to speculate and hope to get rich. That's the majority of the use of any altcoin at this point. If Lightning Network gets up and running and they iron out all the kinks and vulnerabilities, BTC and BCH I expect will continue on very much unchanged.
1175  Economy / Economics / Re: Facebook CoFounder Wants $3 Trillion Tax On Rich To Fund Universal Basic Income on: June 24, 2018, 08:58:44 PM
Regarding automation destroying jobs, you should not forget that jobless people won't be able to buy the goods produced by the automated plants, so there should necessarily be a balance between automation and employment. Automation without demand is meaningless (it would only cause overproduction), but demand is not possible without employment.

While true in very general and over-simplified terms, this doesn't pan out much in the real world. The US used to be the manufacturing hub of the world, but when those jobs started getting lost to automation and outsourcing, the US didn't suddenly become a country of poor, unemployed workers.

Good turn, I love it. Now you added outsourcing to automation as you likely think it would make your point more valid. Automation doesn't come about in a year, it is in fact a gradual process which literally takes decades to develop, with a lot of people involved in the process in the meanwhile. Truth be told, it never stopped for the last 200 years, in the very least.

Also, production comes from demand, not the other way around. You can produce anything, but if there's no demand for the product or services created, the venture will soon fail. When people demand a good or service, you can afford to employ people to provide it, or create it through automation. There is little risk of overproducing anything because the market naturally adjusts price, so it's a problem that solves itself.

Oh, here you go again on your favorite path of twisting your point. Indeed, production comes from demand by people who are still employed. But when the productive capacities (which are being automated) come on stream and become operational, people get fired, and all of a sudden there is no more demand. Then yet more people become jobless (as you claim yourself, just in case) and so on. It seems like you have to make up your mind at this point, whether the market "naturally adjusts" and "the problem solves itself" or it is a route to complete destruction of the economy.

You must be quite insecure in your points if you have to wind up your own posts with so much bluster before getting to anything that resembles an intelligent counter point, although with the amount of shitposting that goes on in your typical response, calling it "intelligent" is being generous.

As an example, you posted about how automation was going to create jobless people who will no longer be contributing to demand for the products created by those automated jobs, and when I pointed out the superficiality of that sentiment and countered with the fact that this hasn't proven out in practice, you tried to cover up for the fact that you had no response by accusing me of changing the point somewhat by adding in outsourcing. In case you didn't notice, and you clearly didn't, whether the job is lost to outsourcing or automation, the lost job is lost and it doesn't change the fact that the US was the manufacturing hub of the world and now it isn't, and we're not a destitute country like you would have to believe if buying into your premise. Your second paragraph evidently assumes that once you lose your job, you drop out of the demand pool forever. I won't bother responding to that and give you the benefit of the doubt that you don't actually believe that.
1176  Economy / Economics / Re: Why the price of bitcoin rapidly going down on: June 24, 2018, 08:37:56 PM
The price rises and falls rapidly because Bitcoin is essentially not used for anything except speculation. Just as everyone one was piling in last year to speculate on the price rise, so are people now piling out speculating on the price fall. At least if Bitcoin had a general baseline utility, it would be much more stable, but everyone is just chasing gains and hoping to get rich by trading it. That's a horrible attribute for an asset you want to have long term stability.
1177  Economy / Speculation / Re: Perfect Time to Buy! on: June 24, 2018, 08:34:33 PM
With all the good news coming out in favor of bitcoin like Expedia accepting bitcoin etc it's time to buy with the price going down. You will not be so lucky next week. I strongly believe it's going to reach $700 by end of next week!
It is really good if you will now make investment with bitcoins, use this opportunity for you to acquire bitcoins. The bitcoin is still gaining more power and support and I can say that the bitcoin will become more valuable.
Yes it is best time for sure as you said market now a day is dumping so we should buy more and more now don’t think too much about the lower price, actually bitcoin has fluctuation nature so it often rise and fall which is not a big deal at all, experts has predicted the re of bitcoin to be high soon, if you will keep on waiting, you will miss the train of low price bitcoin so investing now and be a passenger of bitcoin for long term.

If this is repeated, soon the only people who will have Bitcoin are the small number of suckers who bought it every time the market dropped, and then you'll have a small group of people who own a large amount of Bitcoin with nobody to sell it to. Owning all or almost all of an asset that isn't valuable is not a good place to be. So the folly of buying something just because it's dropping in price should be pretty evident. If we're in the middle of the bubble bursting and it never comes back, this is not a good time to be buying. The problem is you can never know if this is the case until afterwards. Your risk is very high, even if you refuse to recognize it.
1178  Economy / Economics / Re: Fiat Currency Always Fails on: June 24, 2018, 08:28:37 PM
You can't store value permanently. It's physically impossible. Things that have value decay and are consumed, and value is constantly destroyed through these two means. The failure of goldbugs is that they expect that all value ever created will last forever, which is why they push the gold standard so hard. It defies economy reality. The value of what you create in the present is going to be worth significantly less in 50 years, and the money that underlies that value should likewise be worth less. Value starts to decay the moment it is created. When money doesn't also, it creates deflation. The appreciation of value in money creates disincentives to spend, which lowers economy activity and puts downward pressure on the economy. Consumption is what creates value, and inflation stokes consumption. It may look manipulative, and perhaps it is, but it's far preferable to the the types of crises caused by the gold standard and our collective inability to shorten the duration and severity of those crises. If all value ever created was storable infinitely, the gold standard would make sense. Because value can't be stored indefinitely, gold ultimately does more harm than good.

I think, like most people, you totally misunderstand the gold standard.  GS (as opposed to using physical gold/silver as money) was fundamentally no different from today's 'fiat' money, in the sense that the elites issue money and debt out of thin air and prop them up with state power.  The only difference was that the elites owned enough gold to be able to use it to help prop up their issued paper money.

This paragraph contradicts itself. If the GS was fundamentally no different than today's fiat money, there would be no reason that the "elites" would need to own enough gold to back up the paper money since the paper money was created out of thin air and propped up with state power and had absolutely no tie to gold. It is because it was fundamentally different in function that the change was necessary. The GS backed paper money by allowing people to exchange it for gold the equivalent in gold. That is fundamentally different than the fiat money system we currently have.
1179  Economy / Economics / Re: Digital Money = Cashless Society on: June 24, 2018, 08:18:01 PM
I think digital money is just as an alternative to payment, fiat will never disappear in society
There are possibility that fiat money maybe obsolete because the technology keep on advancing and people most daily activities payment were done using the post terminal payment, card and TT.

Physical fiat money, I could see since most advanced economies have been moving in that direction for years, ever since paper checks started acting as an analog for cash. Credit cards soon started eating up market share, and that pace continues to accelerate now that everything is digital. Physical fiat will be replaced by digital fiat, but I don't see digital fiat being replaced by something else.
1180  Economy / Economics / Re: New investor and prices on: June 24, 2018, 08:14:51 PM
Exactly. However, I think there will be more and more newcomers to them simply as bounty hunters. In addition, sharks can manipulate prices and create large shifts to make a profit. So, the market will probably become more harsh and harder to make money than before
New investors are important for bitcoin development. New investors can give good support to bitcoin. Although the bitcoin uses are increasing rapidly, because they have already seen people taking profit from bitcoin investment. They still hopeful that they can also get some profit if they will invest money in bitcoin even in current time. Because the bitcoin price is already trading too much low and chances are that it will increase too much in future.

The easy acquisitions of new investors has already been had. That's what pushed the price up so much last year so quickly. Now we're faced with most likely supply increasing faster than the pace of new Bitcoin buyers, which is why the price is marred is a slow and steady decline. With the hype and mania that gripped the market last year, and the number of people who are sitting on massive losses, I wouldn't expect that type of mania to come again until the next halving, when people will stupidly expect the halving must mean the price will double.
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