This isn't an argument for good and bad, however...
Democracy --> filtered through bell curve --> average decisions
I quote myself on this one. Democracy is the most average system of government.
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1 BTC = $1 would be nice, at least for people used to dealing in $US. Similar to how CAD, AUD, NZD plug along at close to par values. And difficulty about 1/4 what it is now.
What matters is that people see a need to transact in BTC, that it provides something that they can't get with the banking system - the ability to quietly exchange money without being "watched", without needing approval to open an account, to trade without being managed, out from under the thumb of a gangster/bankster mafia.
If the majority would wake up and take hold of their future they could break free of the oppression and terraform a new economic reality. Hooooowl. Is that enough of a rally cry...
How could bitcoin thrive at 1 dollar? That doesn't give 10000 people enough for a small house or everyone in the US enough for one meal. Bitcoin is a little toy at $1. ...What? You want the price to be like $100/BTC with 10,000 people? We only have like 50,000 users or something. I'm not sure what you're suggesting. Is a dollar at little toy at...$1? I assume you're suggesting that 21,000,000 coins spread among a population of ~7 billion would be pointless if they are worth $1 each. The point is that if 7 billion people are using BTC there won't be a fiat/BTC conversion rate. If BTC is used by so many people, deflation would have long ago kicked in. Or, another way to look at it would be that if BTC was worth a dollar (but still accepted by everyone), the same dollar today would be worth thousands then. But, I must say you allude to a very interesting point. That point can be phrased as a question: How do we build a large economy if people can't buy houses? The housing example is a good one because there simply cannot be enough coins in existence to support everyone buying their houses, cars, etc. in BTC if it's worth $1. This isn't even close to being feasible at it's current exchange rate or even $30. And yet, even on this forum we see things like people selling businesses and gemstones that cost like 20 grand. Nobody should have that many BTC unless they paid for them with cash. Too few people with too many BTC. So, we need to learn from the implications of this. 1.) Don't start out worrying about whether or you can buy a huge house or a car with BTC. It needs to start small. If the current supply-to-value ratio of BTC wouldn't support everyone in the whole world buying the same product as you intend to purchase, then you shouldn't buy it anyway. 2.) This means that you need interest. Interest comes from desire. Peoples' desires include wanting to be safe and connected, so focus on that. Security and ease of connectivity need to be of primary focus. Security basically comes down to having your BTC insured so you don't have to worry about your account getting hacked. 3.) Ease of connectivity means we need coders who will actually make the Bitcoin client easy to use -- and I said easy as in easy for a kindergartener to understand and use. Something like "Download?" And after the download, you now have the client, a miner (preconfigured), an account at a pool, and an account at an exchange. And maybe like a hotline number to call. How about a Bitcoin business where it is the job of the employees to simply explain the whole goddamn thing to people? 4.) If and when interest grows such that deflation truly sets in, you will finally be ready to think about purchasing houses and cars. By that time, you will also be able to make all the repairs on your house and buy all the tools to do them with BTC. There is a serious flaw with any currency (or in any economy) in which a very small number of people hold a great % the currency. This is one reason I hate SC and it's dipshit spokesman. But right now I suspect a very number of people hold at least 50% of BTC. There's not nearly enough volume on the exchanges to explain the distribution of all 7 million+ BTC.
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Depends on what you mean by dead. If you are in bitcoins to make money/mine, and you haven't gotten out yet, you are dumb as bricks.
Actually, I find the lower the price goes the easier it is to make money (though not mine). When 40 cent changes = 10% market swings, there is a LOT of money to be made at these prices.
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Scamming is one thing. Scamming and then posting a thread after a scam saying you're in the hospital is another. Ban this dude.
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Alternative currencies are the new Bitcoinduit.
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Better would be to create a new website like YouTube but all ads are paid for with Bitcoin. It's popularity will grow because...well...people want to be popular. Main problem would be affording necessary bandwidth.
People like to be the center of the attention and they like knowing that people are interested in them.
Capitalize on peoples' desires. Then get rich.
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It works.
I'm already speechless.
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"...paying digitally make it harder to keep track of how much you’ve spent or charged..."
can't agree with that, digital transactions are much easier for bookkeeping
Kind of... It depends on the perspective. In the case of Bitcoin, you know exactly how may Bitcoins you sent/received and is to that extent easy to keep track of. The problem comes from Bitcoin currently being tied to fiat in terms of it's value. As a result, it's much more difficult to keep track of. We know only 21 million coins will ever be created, but a Bitcoin spent now may be worth many more/fewer Bitcoins later on. Even though more coins are being continually generated, a mass acceptance of Bitcoin will make each individual Bitcoin more rare in terms of ownership. The changing exchange rates make keeping track of bookkeeping more difficult because the value of BTC spent is relational. 10 BTC that I sell back in the middle June is quite different than the 10 BTC sent today. Because of this, if I said, "I spent 100 BTC last year, but I spent 500 this year," it's hard to know exactly what this means in terms of value.
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Anyone with an IQ bigger than his shoe size would assume in the context of this discussion "miners" means people mining for the revenue of mining. Not people speculating who also happen to run a mining rig. You butterfly causing a hurricane argument is neither original, meaningful or relevant, but Ill grant you it perfectly fits your "argument". What are you, 12 ?
My shoe size is 200. And it's not my fault that people assume miners/traders/speculators are mutually exclusive in a value context. When you isolate a specific context, you may find "oh look, miners don't seem to do much for the value." Good job. Now, if the context you considered is 'x,' all you need to do is consider (infinite - x) other contexts or "assumptions." Edit: My point: There are infinite variables/factors that affect the miner/price relationship. You are aware of a couple of these. You are largely unaware of most. You have absolutely no idea about the relationship between miners and price. All I know is that there is one, and it's extremely intricate.
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Syke, there is no point arguing. Some people just cant seem to distinguish between miners and speculators. Or rather between mining for profit and speculating. Let them believe in the positive feedback loop and wonder how come prices arent spiraling out of control in either direction.
You're fantastic at analyzing things in isolation. That method doesn't apply well here. People are not simply categorized as Miners OR Speculators. Sometimes they are one, sometimes they are the other, sometimes they are both, sometimes they are neither. Sometimes they are all of these things simultaneously. Sometimes they are none. Sometimes they are both all and none at the same time, and sometimes they are neither all nor none. Regardless, systems are not the systems they are without their inclusive parts. In a system that encompasses miners, speculators, and price, all are entwined, and all are interdependent. Me typing this post influences price. You breathing influences price. A man coughing on a goat hair in China influences price. This is because the Bitcoin system is involved in larger systems. Isolation will get you nowhere.
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this bot activity is not nice at all, have been observing it for few months already and say that i would be more inclined to support exchanges that limit high freq trades from same ip or take some kind of measures to balance trading with humans and bots on the same platform. This is my personal opinion
Exchanges make money on commissions. If you limit the high freq. trades, you'll probably get a massive transaction fee imposed. Higher prices directly cause higher commissions. Commission = # of trades * value So, as value increases, # of trades can decrease and commission will remain constant. Yes, but that is assuming the value will increase if you remove the high freq. trades. This may happen to a small degree, but to a large degree I don't think it will. The economy is too small to support high prices.
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Can we all agree that when the price goes up, miners come online, and when the price goes down, miners turn off? I think we can all agree there's a pretty strong correlation from price -> miners.
Let's try to walk through the reverse. Assume 25% more miners come online. All miners start putting in sell orders at 25% higher prices. But those sell orders only go through when someone shows up to buy those coins at the inflated price. Miners can't make that happen. Miners cannot create buyers. So there's only a weak correlation from miners -> price.
There's causation from miners --> price
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this bot activity is not nice at all, have been observing it for few months already and say that i would be more inclined to support exchanges that limit high freq trades from same ip or take some kind of measures to balance trading with humans and bots on the same platform. This is my personal opinion
Exchanges make money on commissions. If you limit the high freq. trades, you'll probably get a massive transaction fee imposed.
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This isn't an argument for good and bad, however...
Democracy --> filtered through bell curve --> average decisions
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Just received my mini frisbee and not one, but 2 Bitcoin condoms!
Fantastic!
Nhodges is a true bro.
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P4man, the gentleman at the top of this 2nd page did a brilliant job of simply putting it. It's a symbiotic loop.
Whether you care or not, right now is the present moment, and the present moment in BTC-land contains BTC price and miners. The present would not be the present that it is were it not for absolutely every single thing that is right now.
Miners are completely entwined with price.
Nothing is absolutely independent of anything else (that's why it's a relationship; even relationships of absolute independence are included within the medium of interdependence).
End of story.
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Christ people, are you realy that dumb and blind?
It . Is . A . Feedback . Loop .
Miners influence price and price influences miners and then miners influence the price etc etc etc.. You guys are trying way to hard to fit this process into a hirarchical control structure. In fact it is a symbiosis. No value without market, no coins without miners, both needed to have coins with value.
Ding ding ding. We have a winner! What do we have for him today, Johnny?
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Every mined coin came from a miner Yes. and the value of every coin, is influenced by the number of miners. No. If the miners multiply in numbers, their individual "influence" is proportionally diminished so that the overall "influence" of the miners remains constant to what has been hard-coded into the protocol: a steady source of liquidity that is as hard to produce as bitcoins are valuable. The value of bitcoins is externally imposed by the market and the miner crowd reacts. The market is the dog, and the miners are the tail being wagged. Miners are an absolute necessity for Bitcoin's value as the current program stands. The emergence of miners is an entirely mechanic phenomenon, is there is value in mining someone will do it. Rational miners can't "press the 'stop' button and wipe out the whole thing". An individual miner can behave irrationally but his place will soon be taken by a rational miner. Hoarding at the miner level is inconsequential - the miner buys BTC with his resources. To affect the price he has to buy at a loss, to mine for hoarding when it's cheaper to buy on the market, in other words to behave irrationally. To say miners can chose to stop Bitcoin is equivalent to saying that the drug cartel can end cocaine abuse. Sure, if all individual traffickers stop producing and selling cocaine, they could theoretically stop users from obtaining it. However as long as there's a demand someone will fill it, the drug cartel is a rational supplier for the existing drug demand. Miners trade. There is no point to mine if you don't trade them, whether for cash or for goods/services. The more miners there are, the more traders there are. While it is not true that all traders are miners, it is much safer to think that all miners are traders. The more traders there are, the more liquidity there is. Liquidity influences the economy (lot's of buying and selling aids merchants) and thus price. There are so many angles from which this can be approached, and this doesn't even include arguments for unknown effects of miners. If people know exactly what influences what, then how come nobody knows (not predicts) where the market is going?
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This is not a hypothetical in the sense that the whole argument is based upon that situation. The question is whether miners influence BTC value. Take away ALL miners, and see what happens to the value. By that logic, the sun and the rotation speed of the earth influences BTC price. Take away either and see what happens to its value. Even if it is a case of 1 vs. 1,000,000 the distribution of BTC among those people matters. You're the one talking about hypotheticals -- "If the price is 'x' there will be 'y' # of miners." That is a hypothetical proposition. And the nature of the proposition matters because you are essentially arguing that in the case of 1 vs. 1,000,000 miners, the distribution of BTC among those miners is irrelevant, and it's simply not. Let's say the price is $4.86, which it is. Now, lets say you solve the block solo (despite there being 1,000,000 other miners) and you get all 50 BTC. Let's also say you think the price will continue to decline. Which would you be more apt to sell? 50 BTC that you got in a down market, or .02 BTC that you got from your pool? The distribution matters because the amount of BTC in someone's wallet has psychological effects on trading. Trading influences price. There are many reasons why miners influence price and there is absolutely zero evidence to suggest a 1 way function here. This applies in the case of 1 vs. 1,000,000 miners and in 0 vs. any # of miners. On average, this is simply not true. Each 0.02 BTC a miner earns on a block could push his wallet over whatever psychological barrier. And if there are less miners earning more BTCs each, dont forget this implies BTCs are worth less, otherwise there would not be fewer miners. The only reason this would not be true is if miners act irrationally and they are behaving like speculators, investing dollars or euro's in mining with the expectation of increasing prices. Incidentally such or other speculation is about the only thing defining BTC prices today. The networks global hashrate is a result of this price, its not a factor determining it. First of all, besides changing the context entirely, what you said about the sun and speed of earth rotation does nothing to disprove what I said. If anything, you're pointing out another valid example where removal of a cause axiomatically removes its effect. Second, I never argued that price doesn't influence the number of miners. I'm arguing for reciprocal influence. It's not either/or, it's both.
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Mining activity simply makes the blockchain harder to attack by making a cryptographically strong problem. Bitcoin still works fine with 1% of the current hash rate (as long as miners don't leave all at once.) As the difficulty would adjust to keep six blocks (and 300BTC generated) per hour, only a reasonable amount of hash power that would prevent the strongest anticipated attacker from forging blocks is necessary. More mining makes it more expensive to generate Bitcoins. You can say that this makes the price be influenced by the amount of mining, but it is more that the mining hashpower is influenced by the price. If the exchange rate was five times the current price, mining activity would probably grow by a proportionate amount. Mining activity seems to have settled into the expected equilibrium, where miners are making barely more than their electricity bill. As a side effect, this also means that profitability sets the cryptographic strength of the blockchain. When I acquire 1 BTC, I sell. Selling influences prices. The rate at which I sell is determined by the # of miners. Hence, miners influence price.
That sounds like you sell at a constant rate - 100% of generated income, as fast as you generate it. You are just breaking your sale into quantums by selling only every day or every week; 100 other people like you and there is a constant flow of new BTC into the economy. Speculation, investment, and optimism that the price will increase will increase holdings by miners of their generated income for the future, and that will further affect the market value. By liquidating as fast as you generate, it just doesn't sound like you are very optimistic. I'm optimistic. I sell immediately to have more to invest in trading, and trading is where I make a much larger % of my profit.
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