Bitcoin Forum
April 26, 2024, 06:38:13 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 [16] 17 18 »
301  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: June 07, 2013, 02:36:37 AM
The comparison is faulty because AM is a company and the other alternatives are hardware.

Why is that relevant, you ask? Well, AM will (hopefully) continuously renew itself and its strategy in order to keep earnings high, whereas the hardware simply gets outdated and earns progressively less and less as time goes along. So: buying hardware may earn you more in the short term, shares in AM may earn you more in the long term.

Comparison is NOT faulty. It is a comparison of "investment" (whether in hardware or a company) and "return" (whether mined bitcoins or dividends paid out as bitcoins). I think most people will agree that the value of hardware (GPU or ASICs) will generally depreciate over time, so that is a "known." The big unknown is AM, which as you point out is a company. We hope they will continuously renew itself, but anything can happen.

don't mean to burst your bubble, but yeah, it IS faulty. Everything in that list has a decelerating profit vector due to the fact that the hardware cannot be upgraded and has a definite lifespan (assuming hash rate increases over time - a pretty safe bet). The exception is AM, which not only mines using hardware like the other 3 examples, but also sells hardware to others, effectively offloading the lifespan-based risk at a discount and keeping the instant profits, which are then redistributed to shareholders.

It's rather like comparing 3 fixed-rate CDs versus a growth stock during a time of inflation. The CDs will perform less and less over time, but the growth stock is not limited to the fixed return that the CDs are, even though both are affected the same by inflation. (inflation is analogous to hash rate in this example)
302  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: June 06, 2013, 07:24:51 PM
no problem, really - was just a little confusing because you used a full stop as the decimal placeholder at first, then switched to the comma Smiley
303  Economy / Securities / Re: Vircurex may 2013 report, is this a joke Kumala ? on: June 06, 2013, 07:11:04 PM
I think your table just blue itself.

304  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: June 06, 2013, 07:09:39 PM
I also have a 7950, but mining on it makes no sense for me. 1 kW/h costs 0.27€ here in Germany, so at 350W*24h I have 8.4 kW/h ( = 2,268€ electricity per day).

For those of us in IndoChina or the majority of the English speaking world, he means €2.268 per day (just to help others avoid the shock of "you pay WHAT for electricity?!?!?" that I just had before reading it a second time)
305  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: June 05, 2013, 02:25:40 PM
time will tell if I spotted a turning point or made a fool of myself.  
It's never foolish to realize a profit. Smiley
306  Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] TAT.VIRTUALMINE - IPO at 12PM EST - Early Bidding is Open on: June 04, 2013, 04:57:12 PM
errm didnt ASICMINER PT pay 0.02653753 per share this week so lets say 290 * 0.02653753 = 7.7 BTC per week?
or am i missing something?
I think the post was about the 1/100 passthrough, not a full AM share
307  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: June 04, 2013, 03:24:32 PM
Ok, maybe for small companies. The smallest I worked for was 1500 employees, the biggest 250000.
I once worked at a Fortune 100 biotech company where intellectual property was a primary asset and they didn't block outbound traffic, nor did they monitor use of USB devices like thumb drives to prevent theft of data. At the other end of the spectrum, I also currently work with a company of just 40 people that goes so far as to literally unsolder WiFi and Bluetooth components in company laptops to prevent use of wireless snooping by neighbors in the office complex (this is my favorite client to visit, btw, they're an engineering and robotics lab)... so there is definitely a large variance in paranoia levels out there Wink
308  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: June 04, 2013, 03:12:05 PM
Maybe depending on the country you live in. Haven't seen a workplace where port 8332 would be allowed in 10 years as a consultant. But I am pretty sure a pool on 443 or 80 will work. Oh and what about admin rights to install the drivers??

I'll certainly give you admin rights (didn't realize these required non-standard drivers), but in my experience, even with some very large corporations I've dealt with, most companies do not block outbound traffic but instead rely on traffic analysis at the gateway to determine inbound threats. The key here is to remember that most companies are not "very large corporations". Most companies are under 500 seats, and use off-the-shelf components with default settings, configured only minimally for their own use case, such as a VPN. And rarely do I come upon any medium-sized company (and never once a smaller one of <100) with an IT group "good" enough to block all outbound traffic by default. It all comes down to management's willingness to allow employees to do things on company systems - and most of the time, they don't care as long as it's not porn or filesharing. See: the rising popularity of BYOD.
309  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Block Erupter USB on: June 04, 2013, 02:21:40 PM
Heck, you can run one on your work PC unaware to anyone else. 

While visibly true, it's not recommended.  The different network traffic should raise suspicions and any good IT dept should know what USB devices are being used or be blocking "unsanctioned" USB devices from being used on PCs.  333mh/s isn't worth your job.

M
Most places don't have a good IT department Wink

/IT pro for 15 years, now turned consultant
310  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: June 03, 2013, 01:44:22 PM
I'm tracking the solo mining hash rate on my site. I have a chart with 24-hour, 3-day, 7-day and all-time average: http://runeks.dk/bitcoin/

It's important for everyone to understand that you (and most others who generate this type of data) are tracking an EXTRAPOLATED hash rate based on the rate of found blocks over time... since luck/variance will affect the calculation (especially with short timeframes like 24 hours or less), it would be better to describe this as "blocks found over time" instead of "hash rate" so people don't fall into the trap of thinking that hardware is being taken online and offline for whatever reason, since this seems to just fuel needless speculation.
311  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: June 01, 2013, 01:09:21 AM
At least open a Facebook page, that costs nothing.

It still costs time, which is not trivial.

It also can generate awareness and thus business. And who says friedcat has to do everything himself?

That's kind of the point of the rest of the discussion on time management, though... nobody really knows who is doing what from a business development standpoint, who can open up a retail website, or who can manage a FB page. FB is *much* more time consuming than a simple static blog, too, as you have to post often and at varying times of day to show up in folks' feeds, unlike a blog where you just post once and wait for the comments to drip in. As of now, we have no information on exactly how much free time Friedcat has, or who he has working for him who can handle marketing beyond these boards. So until we get new information, we stick with the assumption that he is, at least for now, doing everything himself.
312  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: May 31, 2013, 08:15:21 PM
At least open a Facebook page, that costs nothing.

It still costs time, which is not trivial.
313  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: May 31, 2013, 04:17:06 PM
also, in a side note. I had a dream last night that Friedcat was actually a hot russian woman wearing dungarees and with dyed dark red hair... yeah, welcome to my head. It was strictly business though don't worry.

did (s)he offer you her Multipass?
314  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Bitfloor Shutting Down? on: May 30, 2013, 08:52:19 PM
didn't know there was a number to call... I've kinda written it off as a loss now, but if you happen to know of a way to get a hold of them another way, that'd be great
315  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: May 29, 2013, 11:25:05 PM
For the chart fans (and because I don't want to spam the thread full with it..)

Which one of the last 3 should I use on the live stats website? Grin  Reply with PM is Ok


Anyone noticed the 20 blocks in the last 12h, and 11 in the last 6?  Cool
AM now 2nd on blockchain.info

a bit confusing since some of those have axes which are read left to right AND right to left in the same chart. I get what you're getting at, but it took more than a passing look to figure out what the hell was going on there. I was going to tell you they were broken at first, but sat and stared a while to try and read your mind. Call me psychic, I guess, but I finally figured it out after the second beer.
316  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASICMINER: Erupter Blades. Review, comments, photos, and discussion! on: May 29, 2013, 12:08:21 PM
...and when I connect the ethernet cable to the router my wireless recognizes the blades and post the ip and macid but when I run the ethernet to my pc it will not connect to the web. Any idea what could be causing this?

J
I don't know about the voltage stuff or der Blinkinlights, but as for the networking, you should be plugging the blades into the router, not into your PC (unless you're performing NAT with your PC via Internet Connection Sharing or something similar, which is not recommended at all, really.) Keep it simple: plug your blades into the router, or at minimum an ethernet switch that is then plugged into one of the router's LAN ports. Your PC should still be able to see the blades on the network that way, as long as you don't have two routers or are doing fancy things with multiple subnets (even accidentally).
317  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: May 25, 2013, 05:02:22 PM
My research and conversation with smart dudes has led me to the conclusion that selling hardware is much more important than growing the mining farm. This is not to say that mining is worthless in comparison, bit that it's profitability is very temporary.

We need to be much more keen on hardware sales than begging AM to get to 50TH, 200TH, 1000TH.

Furthermore, it can be argued that AM should abuse its dominant position to the point of rapid commoditization of mining equipment, because that is where things will end up. It is better for them to reap the rewards, than to wait for more players to enter the market.

They should then use their resources to transcend the mining hardware/farm market altogether. Ideally they would time this right at the tipping point of total commoditization, and get into a tertiary market like custom decryption for governments, or alternative ASIC designs for other purposes than bitcoin.

This is almost spot on from my analysis. Since we *can* leverage the virtual monopoly power we currently have on hash rate with only the cost of the datacenter they're deployed in (compared to the cost of making the hardware, which is the same if we sell them or use them ourselves), we *should* take advantage of the opportunity as long as the additional deployment costs versus BTC mining rewards are minimal. But once we lose that advantage when other ASIC developers start performing on par, we need to quickly but deliberately shift to an emphasis on primarily selling hardware, with mining only as much as is necessary for development and testing, or to the extent that we need hash rate for marketing purposes (think ads saying, "buy the same hardware the #1 miner uses",) and the core of the business should be to let someone else buy the bulk of our shovels to mine with. This first shift point is coming, and soon. Perhaps in mere weeks, but certainly in no more than 6 months. I predict that in the long term, it's going to cycle like this: We increase our own in-house deployment to mine at a disruptively high hash rate -> miners lose advantage and need more equipment to keep up -> we sell more equipment -> (mini cycle here where miners compete among themselves for a while, driving more equipment sales) -> eventual equilibrium -> we develop nextgen devices -> we increase mining disruptively, etc... the internal mining by AM is really just the catalyst for the equipment sales.

Additionally, while it's intriguing, one problem I see with the tertiary market idea is that those services will almost certainly be paid in fiat (especially from governments), and if revenue is large enough, conversion for BTC dividends could be a bit disruptive to the BTC spot price - in BTC's favor, certainly, but still disruptive. I think it's a good idea for a spinoff.
318  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: May 25, 2013, 02:17:21 PM
Quote
Here it is.

Ahh... Bio, not Math. Thanks Smiley
319  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: May 25, 2013, 01:51:02 PM
some stuff

<slight, but temporary detour>
Your avatar looks like a Mandelbrot set - do you have a larger version so I can see what's on the right hand side of it? Just curious.
</slight, but temporary detour>
320  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Bitfloor Shutting Down? on: May 09, 2013, 11:02:12 PM
I have stopped receiving replies to my emails to support. Still no ACH deposit corresponding to my withdrawal request.

Lack of info is disheartening. The least they could do is say "we're still waiting", but it looks to me like they ran off with the money.
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 [16] 17 18 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!