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Author Topic: 🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread  (Read 113188 times)
TopTort777
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September 02, 2025, 06:05:53 AM
 #14561

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.
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September 02, 2025, 01:05:39 PM
 #14562

^  If not striking then what's Tsarukyan gonna do?

Anyway...  I'm looking at the lines for the event this weekend and it looks like the odds on Ruffy and Borralho moved towards their favor moving their lines down.  Ruffy now is at 1.49 and Borralho is now at 1.76.  It was close just a week ago when they opened.

If they move any more to Ruffy and Borralho's favor, pretty sure it'll come to a point when value will be on Imavov and Saint Denis.  They're not noobs in the game.

R


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September 02, 2025, 02:49:44 PM
 #14563

^  If not striking then what's Tsarukyan gonna do?

If not striking, then Tsarukyan is going to ask Nina Drama to pull of him from the fight again Cheesy

Found a funny video about how it ends when Michael Chandler calls out for an opponent Cheesy https://www.instagram.com/reel/DNJShXBRRgT/?igsh=cDFseHBoeGtwYnJ6. Bitcoin will update ATH quicker than Chandler wins a fight. Dunno who he hasnt lost to from and who will be interested in fighting him?
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September 02, 2025, 08:32:16 PM
 #14564

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.

So you expect it to go similar to Chim Vs DDP, i.e. Tsarukyan just holding Topuria down just to win rounds? It's possible, but I can't imagine that happening, maybe because we haven't yet seen Topuria struggling on the ground against anyone. But I don't think Arman is as good in wrestling as Chimaev, and Topuria is not as bad as DDP, so it would be much more interesting than that.

I've run it through Fight Analysis Advanced and it seems to agree with you though:



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September 03, 2025, 12:36:05 AM
 #14565

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.

So you expect it to go similar to Chim Vs DDP, i.e. Tsarukyan just holding Topuria down just to win rounds? It's possible, but I can't imagine that happening, maybe because we haven't yet seen Topuria struggling on the ground against anyone. But I don't think Arman is as good in wrestling as Chimaev, and Topuria is not as bad as DDP, so it would be much more interesting than that.

I've run it through Fight Analysis Advanced and it seems to agree with you though:



I'm almost certain that was Charles Oliveira's strategy... So if he can be more disciplined than Oliveira in this fight, I believe they could be on equal terms. I think it's very unlikely that Topuria will let him off easy.

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September 03, 2025, 10:26:45 AM
 #14566

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.
I also think that Topuria is good at ground game because he escaped Charles Oleveira very well when they were on ground but I don't think that his ground game is at elite level, like on the level of Islam Makhachev because Topuria focuses on boxing, not on wrestling.
Also, Topuria is not smaller than Arman. Actually, they are the same height. Their fight will be interesting but I would love to see Topuria VS Makhachev. If Topuria VS Arman happens, that will be a huge benefit for Makhachev's team because Arman is also a wrestler and it will help Makhachev to build a good strategy against Topuria. I want a surprising super fight Cheesy

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September 03, 2025, 12:13:18 PM
 #14567

^  If not striking then what's Tsarukyan gonna do?

If not striking, then Tsarukyan is going to ask Nina Drama to pull of him from the fight again Cheesy

Found a funny video about how it ends when Michael Chandler calls out for an opponent Cheesy https://www.instagram.com/reel/DNJShXBRRgT/?igsh=cDFseHBoeGtwYnJ6. Bitcoin will update ATH quicker than Chandler wins a fight. Dunno who he hasnt lost to from and who will be interested in fighting him?

Lol yeah...  The thing with Topuria is he got KO power that could make anybody sleep in 155.  So if Tsarukyan decides not to strike and be grappling heavy, that risks him getting hit hard on his head and it's good night sweet prince.  Grin  Topuria is a problem in 155. And it's prolly better for him to get Tsarukyan first before giving him a dog and pony show like Pimblett.  Dunno tho.  That's just me.

Anyway, here's Ruffy who's gonna go head to head against Saint Denis.  This is gonna be goood.

Every Mauricio Ruffy Fight Full Fight Marathon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8ACgjo3UJc

R


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September 03, 2025, 01:06:33 PM
 #14568

It will be a huge upset and a big joke if Maddalena beats or knocks out Islam Cheesy I can predict that Topuria will quickly lose interest to him. That is why Topuria should start building a background story against  lightweight contenders. He has already conflict against Peddy, but the rest of the division does not hate him yet Cheesy

Btw, remember when people were hyping Mask vs Zuckerberg fight? Topuria and Tsarukyan are both rich or from rich families Cheesy We might get mini version of rich vs rich fight Cheesy
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September 03, 2025, 04:47:55 PM
 #14569

It will be a huge upset and a big joke if Maddalena beats or knocks out Islam Cheesy I can predict that Topuria will quickly lose interest to him. That is why Topuria should start building a background story against  lightweight contenders. He has already conflict against Peddy, but the rest of the division does not hate him yet Cheesy

Btw, remember when people were hyping Mask vs Zuckerberg fight? Topuria and Tsarukyan are both rich or from rich families Cheesy We might get mini version of rich vs rich fight Cheesy


I'm also wondering the same thing about the Maddalena vs. Islam fight. I wonder if he'll do well in another division. I don't think so. Back then, Volka showed him that fighting someone a little more determined makes things much more difficult, so this fight will likely be more challenging for Islam if he's not comfortable with the weight class.

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