🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread

[TopTort777]

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.

[tokeweed]

^  If not striking then what's Tsarukyan gonna do?

Anyway...  I'm looking at the lines for the event this weekend and it looks like the odds on Ruffy and Borralho moved towards their favor moving their lines down.  Ruffy now is at 1.49 and Borralho is now at 1.76.  It was close just a week ago when they opened.

If they move any more to Ruffy and Borralho's favor, pretty sure it'll come to a point when value will be on Imavov and Saint Denis.  They're not noobs in the game.

[TopTort777]

^  If not striking then what's Tsarukyan gonna do?

If not striking, then Tsarukyan is going to ask Nina Drama to pull of him from the fight again

Found a funny video about how it ends when Michael Chandler calls out for an opponent https://www.instagram.com/reel/DNJShXBRRgT/?igsh=cDFseHBoeGtwYnJ6. Bitcoin will update ATH quicker than Chandler wins a fight. Dunno who he hasnt lost to from and who will be interested in fighting him?

[pawel7777]

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.

So you expect it to go similar to Chim Vs DDP, i.e. Tsarukyan just holding Topuria down just to win rounds? It's possible, but I can't imagine that happening, maybe because we haven't yet seen Topuria struggling on the ground against anyone. But I don't think Arman is as good in wrestling as Chimaev, and Topuria is not as bad as DDP, so it would be much more interesting than that.

I've run it through Fight Analysis Advanced and it seems to agree with you though:

[Pumared]

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.

So you expect it to go similar to Chim Vs DDP, i.e. Tsarukyan just holding Topuria down just to win rounds? It's possible, but I can't imagine that happening, maybe because we haven't yet seen Topuria struggling on the ground against anyone. But I don't think Arman is as good in wrestling as Chimaev, and Topuria is not as bad as DDP, so it would be much more interesting than that.

I've run it through Fight Analysis Advanced and it seems to agree with you though:

I'm almost certain that was Charles Oliveira's strategy... So if he can be more disciplined than Oliveira in this fight, I believe they could be on equal terms. I think it's very unlikely that Topuria will let him off easy.

[Synchronice]

Its believed that Topuria is good at ground games thanks to his bjj black belt, or Topuria is too much confident in his skills. But, I am sure that Tsarukyan has been in this ground game for way longer than Topuria, in addition to his strength, it makes me feel that Topuria who is smaller, have less chances to survive in deep waters. Imho Arman has advantage in control and strength, and that would be enough to take rounds. I dont think that Tsarukyan will choose striking strategy in a fight where stakes are so high.

I also think that Topuria is good at ground game because he escaped Charles Oleveira very well when they were on ground but I don't think that his ground game is at elite level, like on the level of Islam Makhachev because Topuria focuses on boxing, not on wrestling.
Also, Topuria is not smaller than Arman. Actually, they are the same height. Their fight will be interesting but I would love to see Topuria VS Makhachev. If Topuria VS Arman happens, that will be a huge benefit for Makhachev's team because Arman is also a wrestler and it will help Makhachev to build a good strategy against Topuria. I want a surprising super fight

[tokeweed]

^  If not striking then what's Tsarukyan gonna do?

If not striking, then Tsarukyan is going to ask Nina Drama to pull of him from the fight again

Found a funny video about how it ends when Michael Chandler calls out for an opponent https://www.instagram.com/reel/DNJShXBRRgT/?igsh=cDFseHBoeGtwYnJ6. Bitcoin will update ATH quicker than Chandler wins a fight. Dunno who he hasnt lost to from and who will be interested in fighting him?

Lol yeah...  The thing with Topuria is he got KO power that could make anybody sleep in 155.  So if Tsarukyan decides not to strike and be grappling heavy, that risks him getting hit hard on his head and it's good night sweet prince.    Topuria is a problem in 155. And it's prolly better for him to get Tsarukyan first before giving him a dog and pony show like Pimblett.  Dunno tho.  That's just me.

Anyway, here's Ruffy who's gonna go head to head against Saint Denis.  This is gonna be goood.

Every Mauricio Ruffy Fight Full Fight Marathon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8ACgjo3UJc

[TopTort777]

It will be a huge upset and a big joke if Maddalena beats or knocks out Islam I can predict that Topuria will quickly lose interest to him. That is why Topuria should start building a background story against  lightweight contenders. He has already conflict against Peddy, but the rest of the division does not hate him yet

Btw, remember when people were hyping Mask vs Zuckerberg fight? Topuria and Tsarukyan are both rich or from rich families We might get mini version of rich vs rich fight

[Pumared]

It will be a huge upset and a big joke if Maddalena beats or knocks out Islam I can predict that Topuria will quickly lose interest to him. That is why Topuria should start building a background story against  lightweight contenders. He has already conflict against Peddy, but the rest of the division does not hate him yet

Btw, remember when people were hyping Mask vs Zuckerberg fight? Topuria and Tsarukyan are both rich or from rich families We might get mini version of rich vs rich fight

I'm also wondering the same thing about the Maddalena vs. Islam fight. I wonder if he'll do well in another division. I don't think so. Back then, Volka showed him that fighting someone a little more determined makes things much more difficult, so this fight will likely be more challenging for Islam if he's not comfortable with the weight class.

[TopTort777]

That would not be so funny if that would not be true Its good that its only a joke, because Shara sees with his injured eye. Paulo Costa post in his twitter, that he was offered to fight Shara Bullet in Qatar. I think he is talking about UFC FN 263 November 22. Both guys had last fights in June-July and had plenty of time to prepare. Dont know what Costa will get from this fight if he wins. Money and hype only. For Shara this fight will give a place in top15.

[tokeweed]

It will be a huge upset and a big joke if Maddalena beats or knocks out Islam I can predict that Topuria will quickly lose interest to him. That is why Topuria should start building a background story against  lightweight contenders. He has already conflict against Peddy, but the rest of the division does not hate him yet

Btw, remember when people were hyping Mask vs Zuckerberg fight? Topuria and Tsarukyan are both rich or from rich families We might get mini version of rich vs rich fight

I'm also wondering the same thing about the Maddalena vs. Islam fight. I wonder if he'll do well in another division. I don't think so. Back then, Volka showed him that fighting someone a little more determined makes things much more difficult, so this fight will likely be more challenging for Islam if he's not comfortable with the weight class.

I get the hesitation on picking Makhachev because of the new weight class but skill for skill, he's def better than JDM.  Even Belal Muhammad in wrestling mode could beat JDM.  Not really sure why he didn't wrestle fck JDM.

But yeah...  If I were to bet this it would be Makhachev via SUB if the line was good.  Say at least 3.00 or up. I'd settle for less if JDM wasn't undefeated in 16 matches.

Here's a couple of media day vids.

UFC Paris Media Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DbzEE-5jKPk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkRd8UkmetY

[OgNasty]

Conor McGregor has officially announced his intent to run for President of Ireland. I person my don’t think he will be able to get elected but I do appreciate his politics and hope that he doesn’t hurt his own cause by taking votes from others from his party who might have had an actual chance to win. Still, good for him. See the clip below.

https://x.com/fearedbuck/status/1963608873266270607

[pawel7777]

Conor McGregor has officially announced his intent to run for President of Ireland. I person my don’t think he will be able to get elected but I do appreciate his politics and hope that he doesn’t hurt his own cause by taking votes from others from his party who might have had an actual chance to win. Still, good for him. See the clip below.

https://x.com/fearedbuck/status/1963608873266270607

Even though I agree with what he says, this guy is a joke and it's hard to take him seriously. I'm not at all familiar with political affairs in Ireland, but I truly hope they have a more serious person that could properly represent the Irish people and address the mass immigration problems (among others).

The question is if he has the necessary political backing to run for the office. I believe he would need to be nominated by at least 20 of the parliament members.
As for taking the votes from other candidates, I think voting in Ireland allows for multiple-choice voting, where you can rank candidates by preference, so it shouldn't be that much of a problem (although it would still have some effect).

[Pumared]

That would not be so funny if that would not be true Its good that its only a joke, because Shara sees with his injured eye. Paulo Costa post in his twitter, that he was offered to fight Shara Bullet in Qatar. I think he is talking about UFC FN 263 November 22. Both guys had last fights in June-July and had plenty of time to prepare. Dont know what Costa will get from this fight if he wins. Money and hype only. For Shara this fight will give a place in top15.

Paulo Costa is likely to lose this fight against Shara. Even with his impaired vision, he's still better and more lethal than many fighters who are perfectly healthy. And Paulo isn't particularly intimidating with his fighting game, unlike Shara, who even invents his own moves.