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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 782209 times)
shogun47
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February 23, 2023, 06:27:06 PM
 #44801

This season is a season that Napoli must put to good use after they have had to fast for a title for so long. They are ahead by 15 points, it will be a shame if they can't maintain what they have achieved so far. Empoli is not in a good condition after the 4 matches they have not been able to record a win, I also believe that in this match Napoli will be able to get 3 more points.

Based on statistics this season there is no reason for Napoli to lose points against Empoli although Napoli playing away, is not a problem because Empoli is not a commensurate opponent. Indeed, sometimes there are dramas in several Serie A matches however, because Napoli's ambition for the title this season is very clear, I think Napoli will not do that they will remain focused on collecting more points. Usually what can hamper the dominance of Napoli is an international match such as UEFA but as we know in the first leg they have won and the 2nd leg played at home so obviously there is no burden anymore they will play without burden in all competitions I mean no need to save the mainstay player.
Yes, I think this fight will not be too complicated for Napoli. I'm not saying this match will be very easy for Napoli to go through but at least they don't make the match a burden. Having a 15-point advantage over its closest competitors certainly makes Napoli very comfortable enjoying the top of the standings. With that achievement, I would not exaggerate to say that Napoli will be the champion of Serie A this season. Il Partenopei's journey this season has been amazing and of course it will be very difficult to repeat it next season.

Understandably everyone is so impressed by Napoli's performance that hardly anyone is talking about the other clubs anymore. Wink

Since Napoli won't give it away from here, I think the rankings behind them are worth paying closer attention to. Mourinho is fully focussed on making it to the Champions League I guess. He won it with Porto and with Inter, now participating one more time with Roma would certainly be something he likes. But what if other clubs have a free position and reach out to him next season? Anyone thinks he would leave Roma for a bigger club when Roma qualifies for the CL?

This weekend the highlight is Milan vs. Atalanta. If Atalanta is going to win this, the rankings behind Napoli are tough and very promising for the rest of the season.

For Mourinho to move if he manages to get into the Champions League with Roma for next season it needs the club offering him a seat need to be participating at least in the same competition and of course to offer him a more generous financial offer which means that if the club who offers such things to Mourinho in theory should be better than Roma as they are paying more,that is the only scenario where I see him leaving Roma.

Milan vs Atalanta is a critical game for both teams as both are fighting for a place in the Champions League and it can be anyone game,the bet I think is wise to make in any game Atalanta is playing is over 2.5 goals or both teams to score yes.

That's true if someone offers Mourinho a significantly superior salary he will leave the club, but he does have a contract until 2024 as far as I know. I just read a few headlines that they are in talks to extend the contract, but I think he is going to wait for the results of this season and then he is going to decide what to do next. He is this guy who likes challenges and win trophies with clubs that he hasn't won a trophy with yet. But he is also a guy who is all about money. He knows that he can ask for high salaries, but still he took a cut when he joined Roma.

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February 23, 2023, 07:06:15 PM
 #44802

One of the teams from Serie A, Juventus will continue the Europa League match today. Juventus have consecutive winning statistics in their last three Serie A match
Hopefully Juventus' experience in the Europa League will bring a new mentality to their performance in Serie A. I want to see Juventus end the season with a decent position in the standings, can Juventus finish in the top 4 of this Serie A standings this  season?

When Juventus received a penalty regarding point deductions and that made Juventus drop to the middle of the Serie A standings, or rather in tenth position if I'm not mistaken. But right now, Juventus has come back closer to the top six as Juventus are currently in seventh place.

But unfortunately, Juventus still has a fairly wide gap in points with Roma and Milan who are in third and fourth positions, because Juventus are currently 12 points away from them. Of course, on paper it is a point gap that is difficult to catch.
But somehow, I personally am still pretty sure Juventus will still have a chance to be able to end the season in a better position, or at least in the top five but I hope Juventus can still finish in the top four.

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February 23, 2023, 08:00:26 PM
 #44803

One of the teams from Serie A, Juventus will continue the Europa League match today. Juventus have consecutive winning statistics in their last three Serie A match
Hopefully Juventus' experience in the Europa League will bring a new mentality to their performance in Serie A. I want to see Juventus end the season with a decent position in the standings, can Juventus finish in the top 4 of this Serie A standings this  season?

When Juventus received a penalty regarding point deductions and that made Juventus drop to the middle of the Serie A standings, or rather in tenth position if I'm not mistaken. But right now, Juventus has come back closer to the top six as Juventus are currently in seventh place.

But unfortunately, Juventus still has a fairly wide gap in points with Roma and Milan who are in third and fourth positions, because Juventus are currently 12 points away from them. Of course, on paper it is a point gap that is difficult to catch.
But somehow, I personally am still pretty sure Juventus will still have a chance to be able to end the season in a better position, or at least in the top five but I hope Juventus can still finish in the top four.

Agreed, they received a penalty and unfortunately, this penalty affected this team a lot, I mean we know they just lost 15 points because of that but actually, that penalty made Juventus lose hope for this season. They were trading at top of the table and now they have only 32 points. I believe if they didn't lose those 15 points the had more motivation and they could get more points during this season.

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February 23, 2023, 08:21:43 PM
 #44804

Milan really don't have much thing left to fight for in this season. They lost the Italian Super Cup title to Inter and they have been eliminated by Torino in the Coppa Italia also.

They aren't even in a title race in the Serie A also. They are just fighing for finishing the season in top four to be able to join the Champions League group stage at least. They are still maintaining their presence in the Champions League now and they got an advantageous result against Tottenham also. But I think they are still likely to be eliminated in this or next round. So they have only the current goal in the Serie A left in their hands. The Atalanta match isn't easy for them but it is very important to win this. This will help them increase the point gap with Atalanta also. I think Milan will make it.

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February 23, 2023, 08:23:06 PM
 #44805

I think it is pretty difficult to predict the result of the Milan - Atalanta game. If Milan were able to play like on the first weeks of the season then I would believe in their win comfortably.

But now things are quite different for them. There is a big difference between their performances at defending above all else. In addition, they are worse about scoring multiple goals in one game as well. Their recent results in the Serie A and Champions League combined can be taken into account for that. Therefore I can't trust them fully about this game. When it comes to Atalanta they aren't very convincing either. They have a pretty inconsistent form these days. After considering all this I think we will see at least one goal from each side and I'm thinking of betting on that.

Milan is absolutely unstable right now. So it will be difficult for anyone to trust them. In the last five, they have lost three and won two. So of course they are not consistent right now. But at the same time, Atlanta is also not very stable. Right now, they are performing inconsistently. My prediction is that this match is going to be 50/50 for both of them. I expect both teams to score in this game. But in any case, I will keep Milan ahead in this match. I believe as the defending champions, they should be able to perform well.

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February 23, 2023, 08:34:28 PM
 #44806

The Atalanta match isn't easy for them but it is very important to win this. This will help them increase the point gap with Atalanta also. I think Milan will make it.
I also think Ac milan will beat Atalanta on sunday, there are currently playing better than Atalanta and they have a bigger chance of qualifying for the champions league than them, so i believe they will play that game with more strength and determination than Atalanta.

It is very difficult to predict the Italian seria A teams that will qualify for the champions league, Napoli is the only team that is sure of that for now. AS Roma are doing very well, they are in 3rd position, though Ac milan and Lazio are so close to them, but i believe Mourinho can do it, his goal is to qualify for the champions league with Roma, and now that he has the chance, i don't think he will miss it.


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February 23, 2023, 08:35:44 PM
 #44807

I think it is pretty difficult to predict the result of the Milan - Atalanta game. If Milan were able to play like on the first weeks of the season then I would believe in their win comfortably.

But now things are quite different for them. There is a big difference between their performances at defending above all else. In addition, they are worse about scoring multiple goals in one game as well. Their recent results in the Serie A and Champions League combined can be taken into account for that. Therefore I can't trust them fully about this game. When it comes to Atalanta they aren't very convincing either. They have a pretty inconsistent form these days. After considering all this I think we will see at least one goal from each side and I'm thinking of betting on that.

Milan is absolutely unstable right now. So it will be difficult for anyone to trust them. In the last five, they have lost three and won two. So of course they are not consistent right now. But at the same time, Atlanta is also not very stable. Right now, they are performing inconsistently. My prediction is that this match is going to be 50/50 for both of them. I expect both teams to score in this game. But in any case, I will keep Milan ahead in this match. I believe as the defending champions, they should be able to perform well.

They really are very difficult to predict. As you said, their consistency has dropped dramatically now so seeing this match it is certain that many people will be skeptical about it. It's just that, in this condition, Atalanta is still in the same condition as Milan, so betting on Atalanta is still very risky.
I think I will miss this bet even though I see the odds are pretty good but I still don't have the confidence to bet.

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February 23, 2023, 08:41:56 PM
 #44808

Mourinho had a great season at Roma, so it's only natural that he will try his best to prioritize the team's achievements.
Qualifying for the Champions League next season is the greatest achievement for Roma, and I think they have chance for that this season. Mourinho needs to maintain the mentality of his squad to continue to work optimally for the rest of the season and avoid dropping lot of points.

Apart from Roma, I think Atalanta, Lazio and Milan are very likely to fight for tickets to the Champions League next season and so far their points are not too different. Each must maintain consistency because few mistakes will only reduce the chances of being safe in the top 4 positions. Meanwhile, I don't think Mourinho will leave should Roma fail to qualify for the Champions League next season, I think he is happy at Roma.
Mourinho has made quite a big change for Roma revival this season. tactics in strategy and also the relatively good signing of players in the summer window has had a pretty good impact on Roma in this temporary standings table. I think Roma will be able to take advantage of the rest of the season by picking up a win to be able to compete in the top 4.

ac milan has shown their strength in the last 2 matches by winning. in the rest of this season I think a lot of surprises have happened in the top 4 of the Serie A standings because several big teams are starting to find their best form.

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February 23, 2023, 08:47:30 PM
 #44809

Mourinho has made quite a big change for Roma revival this season. tactics in strategy and also the relatively good signing of players in the summer window has had a pretty good impact on Roma in this temporary standings table. I think Roma will be able to take advantage of the rest of the season by picking up a win to be able to compete in the top 4.

ac milan has shown their strength in the last 2 matches by winning. in the rest of this season I think a lot of surprises have happened in the top 4 of the Serie A standings because several big teams are starting to find their best form.

Mourinho helped Roma a lot because, to be honest, they didn't invest to buy superstar players like the other European teams while their coach Mourinho managed this team very well. If you ask me when the season started Roma couldn't perform well and be stable enough against other teams while right now they are more stable and even trying to get themselves close to second place in the league where they need just three points to reach Inter Milan.

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February 23, 2023, 08:51:09 PM
 #44810

When Juventus received a penalty regarding point deductions and that made Juventus drop to the middle of the Serie A standings, or rather in tenth position if I'm not mistaken. But right now, Juventus has come back closer to the top six as Juventus are currently in seventh place.

But unfortunately, Juventus still has a fairly wide gap in points with Roma and Milan who are in third and fourth positions, because Juventus are currently 12 points away from them. Of course, on paper it is a point gap that is difficult to catch.
But somehow, I personally am still pretty sure Juventus will still have a chance to be able to end the season in a better position, or at least in the top five but I hope Juventus can still finish in the top four.
Juventus showed with good progress after points deduction and ever dropped to 10th standing and right now return back to 7th position behind 12 points left from AC Milan as the last Champion League spot standing team. Personally I think Juventus chance with Serie A have been over for this season but finish at Champion League spot still opening yet.

Seems not problem 12 points gap on standing position awhile, if can consistency performance on 15 matches left actually Juventus will back to the top fourth standing and need waiting until five or seven games later. Realistic with the scudetto have been over after 30 points gap with Napoli managed first standing awhile.

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February 23, 2023, 09:05:10 PM
 #44811

After last night in the champions league match Inter managed to beat Porto at the Giuseppe Meazza stadium, this week they will play an away match against Bologna in Serie A. Head to head in the last 5 matches Inter managed to excel with 4 wins and Bologna only 1 times won. This result will definitely be Inter's victory, especially since they have a target of at least staying in second place in the standings and also widening the distance from their city rivals Milan.

After a poor game with Porto, I was disappointed with Inter (how did this team manage to knock out Barcelona?) and would not have been so confident in their victory over Bologna. At least I don't see the point in betting on Inter to win with such low odds:

5.40 - 3.70 - 1.69

Inter have a good margin in Serie A and I'm sure they don't care 2nd or 4th so they won't give 200% to win.

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February 23, 2023, 09:17:30 PM
 #44812

Inter has put down a nice series in the league, but what is that worth for a team like Inter if you know that you can no longer become champions? Trailing Napoli 15 points. And to think that they managed to win the head-to-head match a few weeks ago. Otherwise you are talking about 21 points behind. The objective will undoubtedly be to get 2nd place and then see if anything is possible in the cup. Qualifying for the CL is also important through the league. Sampdoria is unlucky that the last 3 teams are all relegated, where in many other countries 2 go straight out. Who's going to save that team? And what would Mourinho think about his current performance? He does an excellent job with a 3rd place between all that violence. I think the highest achievable at the moment with this selection.

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February 23, 2023, 09:26:05 PM
 #44813

Napoli will be a guest on the field of Empoli, the home team Empoli is in 12th place on the Serie A rankings. Napoli is now considered a candidate for the Serie A championship, the distance that Napoli created with The second place team is Inter Milan up to 15 points.
The head-to-head record of the two teams is Napoli won 6 matches, while Empoli only won 5 matches.
Napoli is likely to be the winner of this match, while Empoli wants to win or draw is also unlikely.
It's not a problem that it's impossible to win or draw for a home team like Empoli, but with Napoli's current condition there is very little chance for Empoli to win or draw at home. Because Napoli are still very strong and often don't have any problems with their players at the moment, it has made it very difficult for the teams in Serie A this season to chase and fight Napoli in every match. So only the chances of winning and drawing are very small for the home team, not because it's impossible.
I don't think it will be easy for Empoli to play a draw game with Napoli, Napoli being so consistent is something that no team in Serie A is strong enough  to play draw with them. Napoli style of performance is quality and tough ,with the style of performance they possess in their games they will always win in the league. Empoli is the 12 position in the league which they haven't achieve much in the season,  Napoli meeting Empoli will add more to their points to be far ahead of other teams in the league.

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February 23, 2023, 09:36:36 PM
 #44814

Saturday 25th February
Empoli 17:00 Napoli
Lecce 19:45 Sassuolo

Sunday 26th February
Bologna 11:30 Inter Milan
Salernitana 14:00 Monza
Udinese 17:00 Spezia
AC Milan 19:45 Atalanta

Monday 27th February
Verona 17:30 Fiorentina
Lazio 19:45 Sampdoria

Tuesday 28th February
Cremonese 17:30 Roma
Juventus 19:45 Torino

Source: https://www.skysports.com/serie-a-fixtures

Not a big turn we only have one big match, Milan Atalanta

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February 23, 2023, 11:51:34 PM
 #44815

It's not a problem that it's impossible to win or draw for a home team like Empoli, but with Napoli's current condition there is very little chance for Empoli to win or draw at home. Because Napoli are still very strong and often don't have any problems with their players at the moment, it has made it very difficult for the teams in Serie A this season to chase and fight Napoli in every match. So only the chances of winning and drawing are very small for the home team, not because it's impossible.
Napoli's match against Empoli is unlikely to end in a draw because, so far, Napoli has shown in every match that they can always win.
So when they meet Empoli in the upcoming match on February 26, it will be easy for Napoli to win. They are unlikely to give Empoli the chance to score.

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February 24, 2023, 12:03:21 AM
 #44816

Saturday 25th February
Empoli 17:00 Napoli
Lecce 19:45 Sassuolo

Sunday 26th February
Bologna 11:30 Inter Milan
Salernitana 14:00 Monza
Udinese 17:00 Spezia
AC Milan 19:45 Atalanta

Monday 27th February
Verona 17:30 Fiorentina
Lazio 19:45 Sampdoria

Tuesday 28th February
Cremonese 17:30 Roma
Juventus 19:45 Torino

Source: https://www.skysports.com/serie-a-fixtures

Not a big turn we only have one big match, Milan Atalanta


I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
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February 24, 2023, 04:02:40 AM
 #44817

It's not a problem that it's impossible to win or draw for a home team like Empoli, but with Napoli's current condition there is very little chance for Empoli to win or draw at home. Because Napoli are still very strong and often don't have any problems with their players at the moment, it has made it very difficult for the teams in Serie A this season to chase and fight Napoli in every match. So only the chances of winning and drawing are very small for the home team, not because it's impossible.
Napoli's match against Empoli is unlikely to end in a draw because, so far, Napoli has shown in every match that they can always win.
So when they meet Empoli in the upcoming match on February 26, it will be easy for Napoli to win. They are unlikely to give Empoli the chance to score.

I don't really think empoli will be able to get a point against Napoli because napoli team is having the best period ever, not just in the serie A but also in the UCL as they got a fantastic win against Frankfurt in Germany so this team is very strong rn and i don't think a team like empoli will stand against them, just look at the ods to understand

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February 24, 2023, 07:16:42 AM
Last edit: February 24, 2023, 09:40:32 AM by bounceback
 #44818

It's not a problem that it's impossible to win or draw for a home team like Empoli, but with Napoli's current condition there is very little chance for Empoli to win or draw at home. Because Napoli are still very strong and often don't have any problems with their players at the moment, it has made it very difficult for the teams in Serie A this season to chase and fight Napoli in every match. So only the chances of winning and drawing are very small for the home team, not because it's impossible.
Napoli's match against Empoli is unlikely to end in a draw because, so far, Napoli has shown in every match that they can always win.
So when they meet Empoli in the upcoming match on February 26, it will be easy for Napoli to win. They are unlikely to give Empoli the chance to score.
At the moment the Napoli team's performance is on a positive trend after successfully beating Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League, so I believe that the Napoli players don't want to share the same points with the Empoli team at that meeting. Empoli is an easy opponent for Napoli because if you look at the last five matches in Serie A they have only won 1 win, in contrast to the Napoli team who have always won in their last five matches.
Even though Empoli are slightly superior because they are playing at home, they cannot stop the Napoli players who are very motivated to win the Scudetto title this season.

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February 24, 2023, 08:50:38 AM
 #44819

I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
Juventus can be said to be quite stable at this time and also about the fact that their meetings are more often won by Juve, so this match will be very big, Juve won but with a thin score because of their last few meetings and also Juve's goal statistics enough to give an idea that if Juve won most likely with a thin score, but this Milan vs Atalanta match is difficult to predict what the end result.

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February 24, 2023, 09:13:12 AM
 #44820

I think the two main matches of the round are Milan and Atalanta and the second one is Juventus and Torino the old italian derby. Juventus almost always wins the matches against Torino but now i think that Torino might even surprise in this match. For Milan vs Atalanta i think it can go either way with both teams scoring a lot.
Juventus can be said to be quite stable at this time and also about the fact that their meetings are more often won by Juve, so this match will be very big, Juve won but with a thin score because of their last few meetings and also Juve's goal statistics enough to give an idea that if Juve won most likely with a thin score, but this Milan vs Atalanta match is difficult to predict what the end result.
The dealer provides a bigger chance for Juventus to be able to win the match. Of course it will happen because Torino is an average team in my opinion. Juventus are also in good form, they have won 3 matches, while Torino are in the opposite situation. I don't expect that there will be many goals in this match, maybe Juventus will win and score 2 or 3 goals. But I hope they don't underestimate Torino, because it will hurt them if they underestimate their opponent.

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