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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 766586 times)
QueenVera
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January 05, 2024, 07:58:45 PM
 #65661


Juventus got a big winning that helps them to move to round of 16 in Coppa Italia but this also helps them to show off their power to other competitors in the league. The big winning is like an announcement of Juventus to Inter Milan, after their winning against AS Roma in Serie A, that they are actually ready to challenge and beat Inter Milan in the Scudetto race.

In Coppa Italia, I agree that Juventus have good chance to lift the cup even it is not their priority. Juventus in theory are stronger than those clubs in Coppa Italia and if they play with their best performances, they will become a champion there.

Back to Serie A, after this match, Juventus will wait for Inter Milan's slippery performance to take over the first position in coming weeks. Especially, Champions League will return and Inter Milan will have like three to four matches in Serie A without best focus as they will be distracted by two big matches with Atletico Madrid.
Asides the Copa Italia this season, there's no other outside contest Juventus will be a part of. They're aimed at securing the Serie A trophy even if Inter won't make it easy for them. The battle will be intense too and so many game wins are expected from both teams. Tonight, their win is certain in the Copa Italia contest and they'd advance to the finals, although, they'll be rivaled with Roma who are also fierce to bag the trophy.

 So I'd say that this season, Juventus two trophy chances are just slim and with extra effort, the odds are either they take both or take one or take none. Thankfully, they were able to win and advance to the next stage of the Copa Italia yesterday. We anticipate how their next fixture for the contest would turn out. Let's see how the next months would unfold till the season is wrapped up.

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sana54210
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January 05, 2024, 08:06:22 PM
 #65662

This week Inter is playing Verona, Juventus is playing Salernitana, Milan is playing Empoli and Napoli is playing Torino. Only risky one I feel is the Napoli game, Torino is not far away from them and Napoli hasn't had much luck all year, so if they lose then my bet would not be okay.

However, I believe the rest will win, Inter is playing quite well and they are good enough to get a win without a doubt, and I also believe that Milan will not have any trouble at all, Empoli is doing terrible, Juventus is great too, they are trying to win the title so a win is must. Like I said, it is all about Napoli on this parlay, if I can make it work and Napoli wins then I am guessing that there will not be any issues at all for the rest.
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January 05, 2024, 08:25:02 PM
 #65663

It is still a different competition, which should not be underestimated either. It consists of two legs, but still in this Coppa Italia games can end with different results than they would usually do. All teams realize that this is the quickest way to win a trophy and to also qualify for the Europa League, which is quite huge and makes it particularly compelling for weaker clubs in the table to put everything into these Coppa Italia games. Different competition, different psychological rules.
Bologna are in good form but it will be difficult for them to win against Genoa. Let's not forget that this Genoa team managed to steal 1 point from one of the strongest teams in Serie A, Inter Milan, in their last match. Genoa players played very well against Inter Milan. And now they are more confident. So genoa will definitely try to get points against Bologna. Bologna's main strength is their defense. If genoa can somehow break this defense then they have a chance to get the points. However, the match is unlikely to be a goalless draw.
I saw the results of Genoa and it is true that they have quite a lot of close results in their games and not to forget the game they tied against Inter Milan as you said. But I still see the advantage for Bologna here. It's surprising how well they have been doing, but it is their consistency that leads me to believe they have a slight edge over Genoa in this game and of course the advantage to play this game at home. But yes it will more or less be a game of two teams with almost equal strengths, so I don't expect a win with a huge gap here.

We all considered the Bologna team as favourites. However, the Genoa players played very well. They were able to break the strong defense of Bologna. Albert Gudmundsson's goal in the 20th minute of the match led genoa. Since Genoa managed to score the first goal of the match, it will be very difficult for Bologna to win this match. Genoa's players are playing full defensive after scoring. I don't see any attempt in them to increase the goal difference by attacking. After equalizing the match against Inter Milan too, Genona played a poor defensive game and managed to draw the match.

After 40 minutes, Bologna's players had 63% of the ball and had made 6 shots. But they are not able to break Genoa's defense. At the moment I think Genoa's chances of winning or the match will be a draw. Bologna probably won't get 3 points from this match.

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January 05, 2024, 08:44:18 PM
 #65664

I have a feeling that Genoa will score again in second half against Bologna as this team always tends to score at least 2 goals when they meet each other. I also think that Bologna is way ahead in Serie A that it should have been but still a very great team that can achieve a top 6 and actually leave outside teams like Lazio or even Roma which could be crazy.  Shocked

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KTChampions
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January 05, 2024, 08:52:10 PM
 #65665

100%!  Grin That's Mourinho - a 1-0 score is enough to win.
By the way, with the score 1-1, the bookmakers assessed the probability of Roma's victory as 1.2 - quite high, taking into account the fact that the score was slippery and there was little time left until the end of the game, and if Cremonese had scored, it is unlikely that Roma would have had time to win back.
Now in the 1/4 we are waiting for the Roman derby Lazio - Roma. I don’t expect anything interesting from these games, most likely it will be something like 1-0, 0-1 in a stubborn, sticky fight.
I can't even count the times when my friend bet on live games with Roma ahead 1-0. He has this tactic, where if Roma scores the first goal, he bets on "under 1.5 goals" for the game, meaning, basically there won't be any more goals and the game will end 1-0 just as it is at that moment.

Sometimes it's under 1.5 goals, sometimes it's roma winning, it's just usually whatever bet means there won't be any more goals, and he has made a lot of money with it. To be fair he has lost a few as well, not like they do manage to do that every single time, sometimes they get 1-0 ahead and still there are goals in the game, either by Roma or another team, but I think it's quite obvious what Mourinho likes to do so it's not a bad bet at all.

Your friend is very practical. I love different types of bets and “tricks” and know Mourinho very well (since I sympathize with him and follow his career in any championship), but for some reason I did not think of making a profit from it. Although in this case the algorithm is obvious. It is clear that such a strategy does not give either a 100 or 90 percent result, but what matters is that the amount of profit from winning bets exceeds the amount of losses from lost bets. Looks like there's value here.

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January 05, 2024, 09:16:41 PM
 #65666

I have a feeling that Genoa will score again in second half against Bologna as this team always tends to score at least 2 goals when they meet each other. I also think that Bologna is way ahead in Serie A that it should have been but still a very great team that can achieve a top 6 and actually leave outside teams like Lazio or even Roma which could be crazy.  Shocked

I have been wrong about this one it seems unless something happens at the end of the game. We are entering the final phase now and Bologna has many more shots, more shots on target and much higher ball possession, but it is again another game where Genoa is parking the bus and doesn't allow Bologna to get into the perfect position to finally produce some dangerous attacks. I hate games like these as they are horribly boring. But it is the strategy these teams choose once they were able to take the lead.

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January 05, 2024, 10:07:39 PM
 #65667

I have a feeling that Genoa will score again in second half against Bologna as this team always tends to score at least 2 goals when they meet each other. I also think that Bologna is way ahead in Serie A that it should have been but still a very great team that can achieve a top 6 and actually leave outside teams like Lazio or even Roma which could be crazy.  Shocked

I have been wrong about this one it seems unless something happens at the end of the game. We are entering the final phase now and Bologna has many more shots, more shots on target and much higher ball possession, but it is again another game where Genoa is parking the bus and doesn't allow Bologna to get into the perfect position to finally produce some dangerous attacks. I hate games like these as they are horribly boring. But it is the strategy these teams choose once they were able to take the lead.

Well in the end Bologna managed to score a goal and equalize the score in the 95th minute and Bologna deserves it because they continue to try to attack in the second half unfortunately Bologna has not been able to jump to 4th position because still 1 point behind Fiorentina. This should be a good opportunity for Bologna to get closer to top 4 but they miss this opportunity while in the next 2 matches I'm not sure Bologna can secure points because playing 2 away games. On the other hand Genoa consistently did not lose points in the last 4 matches, they continue to collect 1-3 points from each game and stay away from degradation.

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January 05, 2024, 10:29:57 PM
 #65668

Bologna would have been amongst the top four if they had won the match tonight but then a draw was a fair one tho not impressive enough because I expected even much more from them regarding their position and results so far this season, their opponent isn't matching with them in strength according to statistics.

Bologna won the game against Genoa in their last meeting, it was a small margin of 1-0 but it still didn't mean bologna wasn't a bad side I'm the game, I know I'm the second half where they added more pressure, they were very likely to get a second goal but did failed to get the goal making the game end in a draw, both team were able to get a point, Genoa has always tried to put up a fight when they meet they feel are of almost equal strength because they are Also considerd an average team aswell.

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January 05, 2024, 10:36:54 PM
 #65669

Bologna would have been amongst the top four if they had won the match tonight but then a draw was a fair one tho not impressive enough because I expected even much more from them regarding their position and results so far this season, their opponent isn't matching with them in strength according to statistics.

Bologna won the game against Genoa in their last meeting, it was a small margin of 1-0 but it still didn't mean bologna wasn't a bad side I'm the game, I know I'm the second half where they added more pressure, they were very likely to get a second goal but did failed to get the goal making the game end in a draw, both team were able to get a point, Genoa has always tried to put up a fight when they meet they feel are of almost equal strength because they are Also considerd an average team aswell.
A great opportunity was definitely missed for Bologna. They would have been in the top four tonight with a win. They should not have lost points against a lower ranked team like Genoa if they wanted to maintain their claim to the top four.

Genoa managed to get a point from their difficult rival Bologna this away game by using a much more counter-touch game and strong defense. Bologna went to the goal a lot, there were accurate shots, but the result was not enough with only one goal.

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January 05, 2024, 10:41:34 PM
 #65670

Bologna would have been amongst the top four if they had won the match tonight but then a draw was a fair one tho not impressive enough because I expected even much more from them regarding their position and results so far this season, their opponent isn't matching with them in strength according to statistics.

Bologna won the game against Genoa in their last meeting, it was a small margin of 1-0 but it still didn't mean bologna wasn't a bad side I'm the game, I know I'm the second half where they added more pressure, they were very likely to get a second goal but did failed to get the goal making the game end in a draw, both team were able to get a point, Genoa has always tried to put up a fight when they meet they feel are of almost equal strength because they are Also considerd an average team aswell.

It was a narrow escape from the home team, not until the extra minute that they scored the equalizing goal to level the match and share the points. In the overall stats of this game, Bologna did better and has more chances on goal but were unable to convert any of them to goal. If they had lost the match, it would have been a different situation for them to face tonight but the one point is something they can be okay with for now for the efforts they put into the game. After match round 19, Bologna are on 32 points and currently on 5th position. They have had a good start to the season and this will pave a good way for them if they continue in this great form.

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January 05, 2024, 10:44:02 PM
 #65671

We all considered the Bologna team as favourites. However, the Genoa players played very well. They were able to break the strong defense of Bologna. Albert Gudmundsson's goal in the 20th minute of the match led genoa. Since Genoa managed to score the first goal of the match, it will be very difficult for Bologna to win this match. Genoa's players are playing full defensive after scoring. I don't see any attempt in them to increase the goal difference by attacking. After equalizing the match against Inter Milan too, Genona played a poor defensive game and managed to draw the match.

After 40 minutes, Bologna's players had 63% of the ball and had made 6 shots. But they are not able to break Genoa's defense. At the moment I think Genoa's chances of winning or the match will be a draw. Bologna probably won't get 3 points from this match.

At some point during the game the ball possession went up to almost 70% for Bologna I think, but then their biggest issue came into play and that is scoring goals. Out of all the top clubs at the top of the table, Bologna has by far the worst offense and this. could clearly be seen in this game. That is why they are so concerned with defending their goal and keeping a clean sheet because they know that on average they don't score a lot of goals. It almost cost them the game this time again if it wasn't for that very late goal scored by them thanks to Silvestri in the 95th minute of the game. A win would have bin great for them as they could have increased the gap, but now they are getting a bit stuck with only 1 point out of the last 2 games.

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January 05, 2024, 10:52:14 PM
 #65672

I have a feeling that Genoa will score again in second half against Bologna as this team always tends to score at least 2 goals when they meet each other. I also think that Bologna is way ahead in Serie A that it should have been but still a very great team that can achieve a top 6 and actually leave outside teams like Lazio or even Roma which could be crazy.  Shocked
Unfortunately, I think Bologna will win from my expectations because this team is extraordinary in every match because they are in 6th place in Serie A at the moment, but against Genoa they looked very difficult even though they had threatened Genoa's goal several times, but I admit that Martinez did saved several kicks from Bologna.

It was really lucky in the 90+5 minute to equalize the score, the result was a draw, but I felt dissatisfied because I thought Bologna would win because I took a bet on Bologna.

But the free kick from Genoa which hit the post was a little worrying because if there had been a goal they would have been a little weak but fortunately the ball went out. Cheesy

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January 05, 2024, 10:58:27 PM
 #65673

Though game between Bologna and Genoa but the host should win at the end of the fixture. Thiago Motta has done well to push his lads to this extent on the league standing.

the match between genoa vs bologna ended in a dramatic way, even though bologna managed to have a high percentage of possession of the ball, they conceded more quickly (in the 20th minute) by genoa, luckily silvestri managed to score 1 goal in the 95th minute and made the final result of this match draw.

Inter Milan tommorow is my hottest pick, they should have a good idea of Juventus waiting for them to go down so they can get on top. They will have a hard game against Verona even if they play at home, hard to predict a narrow win for the best attacking side in Seria A.

facing Verona later, it is certain that Inter will win smoothly, especially since the match will take place at San Siro, that will automatically increase Inter's chances of winning.

Tougher game between Roma and Atalanta, I'd say it should be a fulltime draw game.

Juventus go away after a successful six one win during the Copa Italia. They should seat up to win. With how they played yesterday, they should win.

Roma vs Atalanta is also a match whose result is difficult to predict, both teams almost have the same strength, but it seems that Atalanta will come out on top.

For the Juventus vs Salernitana match, we no longer need to worry about looking or analyzing which one will win, it's certain that Juventus will win this match lol



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January 05, 2024, 11:03:54 PM
 #65674

Bologna are in good form but it will be difficult for them to win against Genoa. Let's not forget that this Genoa team managed to steal 1 point from one of the strongest teams in Serie A, Inter Milan, in their last match. Genoa players played very well against Inter Milan. And now they are more confident. So genoa will definitely try to get points against Bologna. Bologna's main strength is their defense. If genoa can somehow break this defense then they have a chance to get the points. However, the match is unlikely to be a goalless draw.
Actually not yet with Bologna on the good perform because last match defeated by Udinese over 3-0 and its unbelievable result due Bologna current standings on top fifth than Udinese few points left from relegation zone. I think has the same opportunity with Genoa get three or one point against Bologna have impressive performance in this season but Udinese can motivate Genoa its not possible for defeating Bologna although they have higher standings position.
Genoa have good result in last three matches success hold draw against top teams Juventus and Inter Milan then winning against Sassuolo make confidence for Genoa for defeating Bologna and continue with good trend in domestic league.
Bologna gets draw against genoa. I must say that this is the worst performance from bologna. The club has been making a bunch of chances but it keeps failed to deliver. Bolgona was winning in everything against genoa.
The thing that saddened me if genoa was only making 1 chance but it was also helping the club to get draw against genoa. This is the worst result from bologna. How can a team with more than 70% possessions combined with almost 10 goal attempts could not winning the game? This sucks. I have my bet on genoa but the club is just doing so many stupid thing in the game. Genoa lacks of consistency but bologna is even worse than it since the players are being so wasteful.

This is so dumb. I can't even believe it how bologna was thrashing its chances to get three points. Bologna is always making he big club scared, but it was nothing when it faces the garbage club like genoa.
I thought that bologna would be making more goal during the second half but i was wrong about that. The gameplay of bologna was not even worth to watch the highlight. It's fucking so wasteful.
The fact that all of the players failed to seize their golden opportunity to earn three points was highly disappointing for all of the bettors.

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January 05, 2024, 11:06:03 PM
 #65675

I actually would put Juventus above Inter Milan, to be honest. They are having financial problems as far as I know and it may push them to sell one of their key players. I am already hearing rumors about Calhanoglu being linked with other clubs. They have very intense fixtures coming up as well. Starting from the first week of February, there are going to be matches against Juventus, and then UCL matches as well against Atletico Madrid. Going through these matches and then playing the Serie A match will be really rough.

If they were 5 points ahead like they were before the previous game week, I would have said Inter is ahead. But considering these tough fixtures, I believe Juventus will climb up on Inter Milan. But that does not mean that I am not saying Inter Milan would not win the Scudetto, I am saying Juventus has more chances than Inter Milan.
Juventus have a greater chance of winning the top position in the standings because they don't have a busy schedule this season so they only focus on Serie A.
Meanwhile, Inter Milan will be at a crucial stage in February because they have to do two tough jobs for their progress in either Serie A or the Champions League. that's when the pressure is put on the players where if they fail it will have a bad impact on their players' mentality.

Currently, they are both very close in terms of points, where Inter Milan is only 2 points ahead of Juventus. So there is a big chance that Juventus has a big chance to return to the top of the standings. From a financial perspective, it is true that Inter Milan really needs a lot of money to come in to stabilize their expenses, so if they release star players to other teams, it will have a bad impact on them.

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January 05, 2024, 11:09:38 PM
 #65676

Bologna get other dissapoint result today that they unable to taking advantages from home match because they were failed to win and only can get 1 point from Genoa and actually since the beginning of match Bologna was taking initiative to playing attacking but they have to conceded first when the match still entering 20 minutes but they still control the game with 72% ball possession and Bologna have to wait until extra time of second half to equalized however i think Genoa goalkeeper Josep Martínez should be considers as man of the match and Genoa was lucky to having him in the team because during the match he has made at least 5 fantastic saves which make Bologna players looks frustrate and Genoa defensive lines still secured until end of the match and with this result Genoa was lost their opportunity to taking over 4th place from Fiorentina

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January 05, 2024, 11:10:03 PM
 #65677

Only 1 1 for Bologna.

The dream for them is slowly collapsing, they are going out from the hot spot, out form the cup positions.

for the happiness of Napoli and Roma.

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January 05, 2024, 11:18:53 PM
 #65678

This week Inter is playing Verona, Juventus is playing Salernitana, Milan is playing Empoli and Napoli is playing Torino. Only risky one I feel is the Napoli game, Torino is not far away from them and Napoli hasn't had much luck all year, so if they lose then my bet would not be okay.

However, I believe the rest will win, Inter is playing quite well and they are good enough to get a win without a doubt, and I also believe that Milan will not have any trouble at all, Empoli is doing terrible, Juventus is great too, they are trying to win the title so a win is must. Like I said, it is all about Napoli on this parlay, if I can make it work and Napoli wins then I am guessing that there will not be any issues at all for the rest.
Napoli playing against Torino does seem to carry a degree of risk, considering the close gap on table of the league. But this game is a test for Mazzari on how his team react to his tactics and play the game with determination to win. Napoli need the win for not only the points but also to boost up the team's mentality which is not at the best shape lately.

The other matches aligns with the form and performances of Inter, Juventus, and Milan, which will be surprises if any of them lost. While betting always involves an element of uncertainty, making rational analysis is a normal choice to make. any loss for the big teams will invite more pressure on their maintainance to keep fighting for a better position.

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January 05, 2024, 11:21:05 PM
 #65679

Juventus have a greater chance of winning the top position in the standings because they don't have a busy schedule this season so they only focus on Serie A.
Meanwhile, Inter Milan will be at a crucial stage in February because they have to do two tough jobs for their progress in either Serie A or the Champions League. that's when the pressure is put on the players where if they fail it will have a bad impact on their players' mentality.

Currently, they are both very close in terms of points, where Inter Milan is only 2 points ahead of Juventus. So there is a big chance that Juventus has a big chance to return to the top of the standings. From a financial perspective, it is true that Inter Milan really needs a lot of money to come in to stabilize their expenses, so if they release star players to other teams, it will have a bad impact on them.

At first we thought the same thing but so far it did not have an impact on Inter Milan even since the group stage in the Champions League Inter Milan is still consistent with several matches in Serie A on the contrary Juventus even missed several opportunities, besides that Inter Milan has a complete squad and does not rely on one player they have 3 players in the attack line as a goal scorer if one of them is injured then there are other players who can replace but if the injury is for a long time then it will be a problem. I also see that Inter Milan's chances in the Champions League are very low so I think Inter will end it faster and back to focus on Serie A.

While Juventus do not have a busy schedule but they don't have alternative players as a substitute so if one of the players injured then it will be a big problem, overall Inter Milan is still feasible at the top of the standings but if my prediction is wrong and Inter Milan goes further in the Champions League then that is another advantage for Juventus, let's wait how Inter Milan in the Champions League.

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January 05, 2024, 11:24:20 PM
 #65680

The idea of not having to play the Champions as an advantage is completely BS.

Without the Champions teams have 80 less million to spend in the market, with that money you can buy 3 good players.


So is it better to play 6 - 8 more games during a season or is better not to have  3 more good players?

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