Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)

[Palakka]

Juventus performance has now dropped drastically when compared to the start of the season, they stayed in the runner-up position for quite a long time, and now their position in third place is also in danger of being ousted by Bologna. It is clear that Juventus is not fine, Allegri squad must immediately recover to achieve victory, which they have found very difficult to achieve in the last few matches. Apart from that, towards the end of the season Juventus must divide their focus between the remaining Serie A matches and the Coppa Italia final. It was their last chance to win their only trophy, and Atalanta cannot be underestimated now, as their performance has been slightly better in the last few matches. Juventus could lose their ticket to appear in the Champions League next season, if they lose the remaining 3 matches with Bologna and Roma appeared consistent. It seems that Allegri will have to be replaced next season, he is no longer suitable to manage Juventus.

Juventus continues to waste the opportunity to be able to strengthen their position in rank 3 this season, the draw they got from Roma is of course quite painful, especially now that Bologna and Roma are getting closer to threatening Juventus position in third place, maybe to qualify for the Champions League next season is still very safe for Juventus,  because this season Serie A get 5 slots to play in the Champions League,  But I don't think it should be for Juventus to waste the rest game  because everything is possible at the end of the season.

For now Juventus needs to improve their performance in order to at least secure 3rd place from the pursuit of other teams especially Serie A only has 3 games left so if they slip of course it will be very difficult to regain that position from Bologna or Roma later, Juventus performance this season is very bad and of course Juventus management should reconsider Allegri as coach,  I think it would be better for Juventus to find another coach who might be better able to get Juventus back as Scudetto contenders next seasons.

[Iranus]

Juventus 1 - Roma 1: Initial reaction and random observations

I expected some similar results from this match. I thought there was a great chance of this match ending in a draw.
But I thought Roma was desperately going to go for a win in this match
because they have to win if they want to solidify their position as the fifth on the table.

Roma and Juventus have one goal for each and they came closely to one more goal for each with a headshot from Christensen and a shot from Chiesa. Roma tried to attack in last 15 minutes and created some opportunities for Abraham, Pellegrini but they could not score any more goal and had to accept only 1 point. They did not try best in this match because De Rossi gradually sent Dybala, Lukaku and Pellegrini out while some other important players like Mancini, El Sharawy did not play in this match.

Roma are still obsessed with Europa League and try to beat Leverkusen in Germany and make a come back. They did not want to use their most important players in defensive and attacking lines for a match with Leverkusen next week.

De Rossi seemed to think that Juventus are strong enough to hold 1 point and he did not want to waste energy of his important players. By this, Roma got only one point and have to pray that Atalanta will not win next matches and make a flippening on table at very end match days of Serie A.

I want to say that if Roma actually are obsessed with the Europa League, and if they are still thinking that they will be able to make a big comeback even though they have a big deficit, it might be a problem.

Because of the way Leverkusen has played in this season, I do not think they are going to actually lose that badly in the second leg against Roma.

Is it possible? Yes
But is it probable? No

So we have to think about probabilities instead of possibilities. Roma should also do that as well. It is highly unlikely that they will actually be able to overcome that deficit. I am not saying that Roma is a bad team. But every odds point against their win. And now Roma has also not been able to win against Juventus. So this is going to put additional pressure on them to win the Europa League.

[mamesso]

~Snip~

The remaining matches for the Juventus team this season are only three more, not five. And with the remaining matches, of course Juventus must be able to continue to get points so that they can be in the top three positions until the end of this season, because Bologna themselves are always ready to take that position if Juventus is no longer consistent in getting points in the remaining matches this season. Even though Bologna's position is not completely safe, Atalanta is also very ready to pursue that position because they still have more games left to play in the remainder of this season.

One of the three games that Juventus will play in the remainder of the season is very crucial for them, Juventus will play an away match at Bologna's headquarters, which is ranked fourth in the standings. The first meeting between these two teams when playing at Juventus Headquarters ended in a draw (1-1), Juventus will have difficulty in this game because Bologna will also be aiming for victory in order to maintain their safe position in the UCL zone.

Bologna is only two points behind Juventus, they are also trying to stay away from Roma, who are only four points behind, who are one rank below them, while Atalanta, who have only played 33 games, is also a threat to Bologna. Juventus is increasingly under pressure in the remaining three matches due to losing too many points in the last four matches. The competition for the top four positions will continue until the end of the season because if Juventus and Bologna make mistakes, their position could be taken by Roma and Atalanta.

Juventus must avoid the worst that could happen to them in the remaining matches this season. Even though Italy will send five representatives to the Champions League next season because they managed to occupy first place in terms of the number of coefficient points, they must maintain their performance to prevent qualifying for the UCL in last place to avoid playing in the UCL Playoffs next season.

[DanWalker]

It will be better if Juventus can at least win one of their remaining matches to seal up their champion league qualification next season, because I am not cool with the draws, however it is better to share points than lose all three points. Juventus position is at threat only if Bologna starts performing poorly like them Juventus that is when they can finish at third position. Atalanta still have two outstanding matches, that if they win they will be on the 5th position which is a threat.

CMIIW, if you look at the coefficient points for next season's UCL spots, Italy is currently in number one position with a coefficient of 19.xxx, or 1 point above Germany. This means next season Italy will definitely get 5 spots for UCL. With Atalanta's position only 57 points, if Juventus manages to get just 1 point from the last 3 matches, assuming Bologna and Roma win all the remaining matches, then Juventus will still have the opportunity to play in the UCL Playoffs next season. Of course it would be better if Juventus win, if something bad happens, 1 point is not bad. the important thing is to get to the UCL play-offs.

Roma boss Daniele De Rossi declared himself ‘proud’ of his team’s effort in tonight’s draw with Juventus.

source: https://romapress.net/daniele-de-rossi-proud-of-teams-performance-in-1-1-draw-with-juventus/

I always think that it is better to make sure instead of somehow managing to do it. You know, it is going to be better for Juventus if they actually make sure that they will go to the Champions League competition next season instead of just doing the bare minimum and letting fate decide what happens. And I don’t think Juventus is going to perform so badly that they will only get one point from the remaining matches. I believe they will be able to make sure that they are going to go to the Champions League competition next season. And it should not take Juventus a lot to get one win in the last three matches. I know they have not performed very well recently but still, Juventus should not be so bad.

[Jody.Drummer]

The fans must be really disappointed with this poor level performance. This was their fourth draw in a row by the way. If the teams below them were a little better on the recent weeks Juventus could have even found themselves out of top four. I can't say Juventus really deserve the Champions League with this kind of a performance. 

Of course, all Juventus supporters are very, very disappointed with this draw, because they hope that Juventus can win this match. In several matches that Juventus played, they never showed very good results and their performance dropped drastically in their matches. If Juventus' performance continues like this and cannot provide a good performance in the remaining matches, I am sure that Juventus will be eliminated from the top 3 of the standings, and Bologna will definitely move up to 3rd position. Because I think Bologna's performance is very good, much better than Juventus at the moment. Therefore, Juventus must improve its performance again so that it can win the remaining matches this season in order to remain in 3rd place in the standings.

When the club they like or support gets unsatisfactory results, they (the fans) will definitely be disappointed with the results achieved, that is certain. However, we also have to see who the opponents they face are, and Juventus' opponent is AS Roma, which is not easy to beat. In fact, I see this draw as a pretty good result for them, because it is not easy to win against As Roma, which has shown improvement since being handled by De Rossi.

It is very unfortunate when Juventus continues to achieve unsatisfactory results like this, even though at the start of the season they were quite promising with their performance being quite good. However, again towards the end of the season they actually declined which made them have to work harder to maintain their position. If they are consistent enough, then they will be able to compete with Inter Milan and maybe Inter Milan won't lock up the title so quickly, but they can't do that.

[masulum]

So lets say there are 4 matches only and they won it all and keep the other scenario the same, means that Juventus will still out from the top 5.
To be safe, Juventus needs to earn at least 4 points in their last 3 matches IMO
Correct me if I'm wrong.

Thank you for corrections, I think Atalanta also have 35 matches already. I'm not aware about their matches before. So, this condition can change everything for Juventus. 1 winning and 1 draw is a must from them to secure 5th positions. Will see current Atalanta matches vs Salernitana. So far Salernitana already scored 1 goal. If Salernitana can maintaim their winning, this will help Juventus going to UCL next season.

[Rampagoe004]

The remaining matches for the Juventus team this season are only three more, not five. And with the remaining matches, of course Juventus must be able to continue to get points so that they can be in the top three positions until the end of this season, because Bologna themselves are always ready to take that position if Juventus is no longer consistent in getting points in the remaining matches this season. Even though Bologna's position is not completely safe, Atalanta is also very ready to pursue that position because they still have more games left to play in the remainder of this season.

Juventus still has a chance to establish third place at the end of the season. Juventus will play Salernitana and Monza and I think Juventus can finish those matches with a win. The deciding match was against Bologna. If Juventus wins then they have secured third place and Bologna could be overtaken by Roma. And if Bologna wins then they will get third place and As Roma's chances of getting the top four will become increasingly slim. This will make every match between the top 6 teams very interesting to watch. Currently, it is beyond expectations that Atalanta lost 0-1 to Salernitana in the 30th minute. Hope Atalanta can make a comeback.

[Swordsoffreedom]

So lets say there are 4 matches only and they won it all and keep the other scenario the same, means that Juventus will still out from the top 5.
To be safe, Juventus needs to earn at least 4 points in their last 3 matches IMO
Correct me if I'm wrong.

Thank you for corrections, I think Atalanta also have 35 matches already. I'm not aware about their matches before. So, this condition can change everything for Juventus. 1 winning and 1 draw is a must from them to secure 5th positions. Will see current Atalanta matches vs Salernitana. So far Salernitana already scored 1 goal. If Salernitana can maintaim their winning, this will help Juventus going to UCL next season.

The first half of the match is almost about to end. And the score is definitely surprising for almost everyone. Because almost all of us expected that the score was going to be the opposite of what it is right now, lol . Salernitana has been able to score in the 18th minute of the match. And since then Atalanta has actually dominated the match. But they have not been able to score and get level in this match. 44 minutes have already been played in this match and I don't think the score is going to change before the halftime break.

But I expect in the second half the score is definitely going to change and Atalanta might actually give a really good comeback and in the end win the match. Because if they do not win, they will not be able to give Roma competition for the fifth position in the table.

[marcous]

~ Snip ~

Juventus still has a chance to establish third place at the end of the season. Juventus will play Salernitana and Monza and I think Juventus can finish those matches with a win. The deciding match was against Bologna. If Juventus wins then they have secured third place and Bologna could be overtaken by Roma. And if Bologna wins then they will get third place and As Roma's chances of getting the top four will become increasingly slim. This will make every match between the top 6 teams very interesting to watch. Currently, it is beyond expectations that Atalanta lost 0-1 to Salernitana in the 30th minute. Hope Atalanta can make a comeback.

Inter have already secured the Scudetto, Milan is quite safe in the runnerup position, while Juventus, Bologna, Roma and Atalanta will continue to be involved in fierce competition to finish in their target place. They will be fighting over tickets to the Champions League and European League, where changes in position in the standings will definitely occur, because they will face each other in the remaining matches ahead. This competition certainly attracts fans to watch their matches, before the season actually ends.

Meanwhile, if you look at the number of points collected, Juventus and Bologna will be able to lock tickets to the Champions League, while Roma looks like they will head to the Europa League again. Atalanta has two possibilities, they could have the chance to go to the European Confederation League, and also have the chance to go to the Champions League next season if they succeed in winning the Europa League trophy this season.

On the other hand, the match between Salernitana and Atalanta has been going on for one round, Atalanta is still trailing 1-0 for the time being. This should be an easy match for Atalanta, and there is still one more half to turn things around or equalize. Atalanta needs capital to host Marseille in the second leg of the Europa League, they cannot afford to lose today.

[KTChampions]

Roma - Juventus 1-1

Match quite hard fought by both teams, it had begun by suggesting that many goals would have flowed in this match, instead we have to settle for a draw. A golden point for Juventus, who maintain a two-point lead over Bologna and keep Roma at arm's length. Three days from the end of the championship this is a point that is more useful to Juventus. Roma, on the other hand, are now at risk, Atalanta are three points behind but two matches behind, and could take advantage of this to overtake Roma in the standings.

At the moment, Atalanta is beating Salernitana 2-1 and I think that in the remaining 20 minutes it is more likely that Atalanta will score a goal than vice versa. Bad news for Roma: now after the game in Leverkusen they will go to visit Atalanta and will have to win in order to be in fifth place and get a ticket to the Champions League. But it seems to me that the fairy tale for Roma is already over and in fact they will find themselves in the same place where they were with Mourinho but without the Europa League final 

[TelolettOm]

Look at how compact the Serie A clubs are from 2nd - 5th positions recently. They might be starting to get bored.

It seems to be true, they are all bored after seeing Inter lock up the Serie A trophy, Milan, Juventus, Bologna and Roma seem to have lost their desire to win. The impact of this draw is now making it difficult for them, especially Juventus, who have the potential to be overtaken by Bologna, because the two will face each other in Week 37, a threat to Allegri's fleet.

Because they really understand that there is nothing to fight over anymore. However, they will remain in their position. Rather than causing injuries to the players or other undesirable things. maybe that's better. However, especially for Roma, this club is actually in a position that is very at risk of being shifted.

As is currently happening, when Atalanta is competing and leading 1-2, it is very likely that Atalanta will win. As a result, Atalanta will be the one who will shift Roma's position in 5th place. Yes, Roma will definitely be shifted, because currently their number of points is the same. Or you can take advantage of this opportunity to immediately take over.

And the match between Atalanta vs Roma next week will be one of the key matches for both of them. Because, if they are able to beat one or the other, then there is a big possibility for both of them to move up or even stay in 3rd place. This will definitely make Roma a little frustrated because they also still have another super match, Roma against Leverkusen.


Prediction Atalanta vs AS Roma



Source: betimate

[FanEagle]

I think a draw is quite fair for both teams after they both played a fairly even match even though they were playing at Roma's home ground and the pressure that is being put on the Roma team with a busy match schedule and also still being behind on points to finish in the top 4 should be beneficial for Juventus. but they couldn't take advantage of it.
Luckily for Juventus because Bologna also didn't win this week so their position in the Serie A standings is still quite safe.
Meanwhile for Roma the result of this draw is quite detrimental, those who are competing to finish in the top 4 have increasingly slim chances.

I think for next season all teams will improve so what happens this season cannot be used as a benchmark.

Honestly, Roma needed the win a lot more, they keep missing chances to pass Bologna, with 3 games left I think, it is not going to happen obviously, Bologna lost so many points in the last few weeks and Roma failed to capitalize on that every single time, when you miss your chances like that, eventually there will be no more chances.

I think it is quite obvious that we are going to end up with a good result one way or another eventually, so we should probably consider what we can do as something quite important. We should be seeing Roma staying at fifth, and to be fair Juventus is lucky as well because while they were a title contender during the first half of the season, they dropped to a level where Bologna could put them in fourth place if they are not careful.

[Mame89]

Roma - Juventus 1-1

Match quite hard fought by both teams, it had begun by suggesting that many goals would have flowed in this match, instead we have to settle for a draw. A golden point for Juventus, who maintain a two-point lead over Bologna and keep Roma at arm's length. Three days from the end of the championship this is a point that is more useful to Juventus. Roma, on the other hand, are now at risk, Atalanta are three points behind but two matches behind, and could take advantage of this to overtake Roma in the standings.

At the moment, Atalanta is beating Salernitana 2-1 and I think that in the remaining 20 minutes it is more likely that Atalanta will score a goal than vice versa. Bad news for Roma: now after the game in Leverkusen they will go to visit Atalanta and will have to win in order to be in fifth place and get a ticket to the Champions League. But it seems to me that the fairy tale for Roma is already over and in fact they will find themselves in the same place where they were with Mourinho but without the Europa League final 

It looks like the competition for the top four in Serie A continues and is getting hotter between Bologna, As Roma and Atalanta. Now Atalanta and As Roma have the same points, namely 60 points, but Atalanta has one game and these two teams are only four points behind Bologna. Juventus' position is also a threat from Bologna if they wipe out all the remaining matches, this will be even more interesting.

Bologna is 2 points away and Juventus have to play against Napoli and Juventus so hopefully in two defeats, and hope As Roma win the last three games then it is not impossible that As Roma can finish in the top four. Roma losing points to Juventus is a very natural thing because their physical condition is very precarious because they have to concentrate on the Europa League. This has been clearly visible in the last few matches.

At this point Roma were seriously betting on fourth place. They are level on points with Atalanta after the win against Salernitana, but they still have a tough opponent against Fiorentina and they will face Roma at home. In fact, these four teams killed each other in the remaining matches until the end of the season. However, my prediction is that Juventus will still be in third place at the end of the season, followed by As Roma in fourth place, Atalanta in fifth place and Bologna in sixth place.

[kawetsriyanto]

Honestly, Roma needed the win a lot more, they keep missing chances to pass Bologna, with 3 games left I think, it is not going to happen obviously, Bologna lost so many points in the last few weeks and Roma failed to capitalize on that every single time, when you miss your chances like that, eventually there will be no more chances.

Yep. The defeat against Bologna made Roma became difficult to finish the season in UCL zone. But AS Roma must forget it, they must focus on the remaining matches. If they can win all remaining matches, they still has a chance to finish in the 4th place. AS Roma will face Atalanta in the upcoming match, this match will determine the position of AS Roma and Atalanta in the end of this season. If AS Roma can defeat Atalanta, I'm sure AS Roma will play in UCL next season because the next 2 matches are easy matches. Genoa and Empoli won't be obstacles for AS Roma. But if AS Roma missed again the full points, they won't have a chance to play in UCL next season.

We should be seeing Roma staying at fifth, and to be fair Juventus is lucky as well because while they were a title contender during the first half of the season, they dropped to a level where Bologna could put them in fourth place if they are not careful.

If AS Roma can beat Atalanta, they probably finish in 4th or 5th place. But If AS fails to beat Atalanta, they probably only finish in the 6th place.
For Juventus and Bologna, the matchday 37 will determine their position in the end of the season. Which team that can win the match, will stay in the top 3 of Serie A. Bologna must beat Juventus if they want to overtake Juventus position. I think it is very possible because Juventus performance looks decreasing much lately.

[lalabotax]

Bologna is 2 points away and Juventus have to play against Napoli and Juventus so hopefully in two defeats, and hope As Roma win the last three games then it is not impossible that As Roma can finish in the top four. Roma losing points to Juventus is a very natural thing because their physical condition is very precarious because they have to concentrate on the Europa League. This has been clearly visible in the last few matches.

Wait a minute, I don't see on the schedule any more matches between Juventus and Napoli. Maybe what is meant is Napoli vs Bologna? Or Bologna vs Juventus? Because this is discussing the possibility of Bologna staying in 4th position or being taken by Atalanta or Roma.

However, Atalanta also has a chance, so if they can consistently win, it is possible that Atalanta will have the opportunity to rise. but it just depends on how they are.

Moreover, Atalanta still has to fight in the Europa League and Copa Italia, so their focus is still quite divided. And also, they need significant and consistently strong performance, so that they can really rise in position. And it's still quite interesting to see who will be in 4-6th place in Serie A until the end.

[BlackBoss_]

However, Atalanta also has a chance, so if they can consistently win, it is possible that Atalanta will have the opportunity to rise. but it just depends on how they are.

Moreover, Atalanta still has to fight in the Europa League and Copa Italia, so their focus is still quite divided. And also, they need significant and consistently strong performance, so that they can really rise in position. And it's still quite interesting to see who will be in 4-6th place in Serie A until the end.

Atalanta already won their late match and now have 60 points as same as Roma but with better goal difference, +5 goals more than Roma, they jump to a fifth position. Atalanta have one extra match from a suspended match and it potentially can help them to make 3-point difference against Roma. Bologna have 4 points more than both Atalanta and Roma and they are leading in this race for a fourth position.

Things start to be bad for Roma because with this result, even if they beat Atalanta in a direct match this weekend in Serie A, but if Atalanta win the suspended match, both clubs will have same total points but with 5-goal difference it will be a disadvantage for Roma.

[Sexylizzy2813]

Atalanta already won their late match and now have 60 points as same as Roma but with better goal difference, +5 goals more than Roma, they jump to a fifth position. Atalanta have one extra match from a suspended match and it potentially can help them to make 3-point difference against Roma. Bologna have 4 points more than both Atalanta and Roma and they are leading in this race for a fourth position.

Things start to be bad for Roma because with this result, even if they beat Atalanta in a direct match this weekend in Serie A, but if Atalanta win the suspended match, both clubs will have same total points but with 5-goal difference it will be a disadvantage for Roma.

It's funny how Inter Milan made sure that the title race comes to a close and they (Inter) made other clubs to start competing for the top 4 to play CL football instead of the league title.
Atalanta are having a very strong vibe in the remaining part of this campaign and I can't see them not finishing in the top 4. I prefer Roma to make way for Atalanta because their form is far way better than the Roma side.
Roma are just managing to be at their very best, I think their poor performance start when Mourinho left the side, he (Mourinho) could have done better and they won't have been in this very position struggling to stay in the top 4, too bad for the Roma team because nothing is stopping Atalanta from securing a spot in the UCL next campaign.

[klidex]

Juventus still has a chance to establish third place at the end of the season. Juventus will play Salernitana and Monza and I think Juventus can finish those matches with a win. The deciding match was against Bologna. If Juventus wins then they have secured third place and Bologna could be overtaken by Roma. And if Bologna wins then they will get third place and As Roma's chances of getting the top four will become increasingly slim. This will make every match between the top 6 teams very interesting to watch. Currently, it is beyond expectations that Atalanta lost 0-1 to Salernitana in the 30th minute. Hope Atalanta can make a comeback.

Yes, Juventus can still maintain 3rd place until the end of the season if it is able to win all the remaining matches, but if Juventus is only able to achieve a draw like in its last 4 matches then there is still a chance for Bologna to overtake because their gap is very narrow and Juventus is not very optimal. Bologna is also not completely consistent it same like Juventus, they often waste opportunities when Juventus only achieve a draw. Bologna also experienced the same thing, so up to now Bologna has not been able to overtake even though they are only 2 points away, even though by winning 1 match Bologna can overtake Juventus.

The matches that Juventus will play in the remaining 3 matches against Monza, Salernitana and also Bologna against mid-table clubs and against clubs at the bottom of the standings should be easy matches for Juventus and must be won but against Bologna it is quite difficult to predict what will happened but Bologna has a big chance to beat Juventus because they are playing at home and determining who is the strongest between the two. In the previous meeting they were only able to achieve a draw, will this time also be a draw like before?

[Sebas.tian]

Napoli failed to used their opportunity well to achieve victory from Udinese home, because there was a lot of opportunity for their strikers to use to score goals from the first half but they missed used them that made the first half to ended up draw 0-0. Udinese players really stood on their ground to challenge Napoli in this match not to score more than 1 goal from the match, because their defense was functioning well and their midfield was very good to make the match difficult for Napoli, which they did to reduced the strength of Napoli in the second half. Many people thought that Napoli will going to maintain the one goal till the end of the match to achieve victory from Udinese, but it was a surprised strategy seen Udinese using extra time to equalized the goal 1-1 draw to share points with Napoli to frustrated their plan .

[TopT3ns]

However, Atalanta also has a chance, so if they can consistently win, it is possible that Atalanta will have the opportunity to rise. but it just depends on how they are.

Moreover, Atalanta still has to fight in the Europa League and Copa Italia, so their focus is still quite divided. And also, they need significant and consistently strong performance, so that they can really rise in position. And it's still quite interesting to see who will be in 4-6th place in Serie A until the end.

Atalanta already won their late match and now have 60 points as same as Roma but with better goal difference, +5 goals more than Roma, they jump to a fifth position. Atalanta have one extra match from a suspended match and it potentially can help them to make 3-point difference against Roma. Bologna have 4 points more than both Atalanta and Roma and they are leading in this race for a fourth position.

Things start to be bad for Roma because with this result, even if they beat Atalanta in a direct match this weekend in Serie A, but if Atalanta win the suspended match, both clubs will have same total points but with 5-goal difference it will be a disadvantage for Roma.

Atalanta struggle is not over yet, friends, they still have three matches to face, which will be against Roma on May 13, Lecce on May 19 and Torino on May 26. If they are able to win the remaining matches, they will get 9 additional points which means there is a chance for Atalanta to take the top 4 positions in the standings.