radiumsoup
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January 06, 2016, 10:44:36 PM |
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Phil, have you determined if there is a correlation with the weather and the hash rate/solved blocks, or is it still speculation?
Sun went down and hash went up. so I have to think part of the shifts are due to heat issues with the bifury plant if that's true, they won't survive the spring at all, let alone summer...only 4 things really matter at a datacenter, and that's power, cooling, security, and connectivity. It would be pretty bad (for them) if they screwed up such a fundamental aspect of the buildout.
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PGP fingerprint: 0x85beeabd110803b93d408b502d39b8875b282f86
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philipma1957 (OP)
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'The right to privacy matters'
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January 06, 2016, 10:53:29 PM Last edit: January 07, 2016, 05:30:18 PM by philipma1957 |
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+4.5% = lolxxxx +4.7% = radiumsoup +5.0% = adaseb +5.5% = Quickseller +6.5% = Amph +6.6% = indiemax +6.9% = torepia +7.3% = ingiltere +7.4% = flikflak +7.5% = Mikestang +7.6% = ailikun +7.7 % = Valkir +7.8% = zebedee +8.1% = edonkey +8.2% = tennozer +8.5% = vapourminer +8.9% = blindminer +9.5% = gkv9 +10.2% = Chris_Sabian +10.4% = VirosaGITS +10.8% = d57heinz No new accountsThe contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier. You must have 30 posts or more. http://bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 392083 Total BTC 15.052M Difficulty 103880340815 Estimated 108825370073 in 1037 blks >>>> (+4.75%) Network total 882568.294 Thash/s Blocks/hour 7.12 / 506 s So far under 5%
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dukeneptun
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January 06, 2016, 11:36:00 PM |
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+8.0% = dukeneptun Trying my luck, even though I suck at guessing Bitcoin price and other Bitcoin related predictions.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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'The right to privacy matters'
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January 06, 2016, 11:43:14 PM |
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+4.5% = lolxxxx +4.7% = radiumsoup +5.0% = adaseb +5.5% = Quickseller +6.5% = Amph +6.6% = indiemax +6.9% = torepia +7.3% = ingiltere +7.4% = flikflak +7.5% = Mikestang +7.6% = ailikun +7.7 % = Valkir +7.8% = zebedee +8.0% = dukeneptun +8.1% = edonkey +8.2% = tennozer +8.5% = vapourminer +8.9% = blindminer +9.5% = gkv9 +10.2% = Chris_Sabian +10.4% = VirosaGITS +10.8% = d57heinz No new accountsThe contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier. You must have 30 posts or more. http://bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 392083 Total BTC 15.052M Difficulty 103880340815 Estimated 108825370073 in 1037 blks >>>> (+4.75%) Network total 882568.294 Thash/s Blocks/hour 7.12 / 506 s So far under 5%
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adaseb
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CoinPoker.com
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January 07, 2016, 12:17:58 AM |
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Yes we are under -2.9% for yesterday. Looks like its highly unlikely we will see a double digit difficulty increase with only 7 days left.
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flikflak
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January 07, 2016, 12:30:43 AM |
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Some data relating to bitfurys heat issues (time is UTC not local)
Date Blocks mined Temps °F hi/lo
Jan. 03 20 unknown Jan. 04 33 33.3/-20.4 Jan. 05 23 37/31 Jan. 06 13 49/33
This is not enough data yet, but there seems to be a correlation.
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jakals
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January 07, 2016, 12:39:19 AM |
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+%5.1 = jakals. this is my prediction.waiting the result
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adaseb
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CoinPoker.com
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January 07, 2016, 01:19:16 AM |
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Its nice to see it take over 2 hours to solve 6 blocks.
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HerbPean
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January 07, 2016, 01:30:11 AM |
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+7.9% = HerbPean
Thanks
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notlist3d
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January 07, 2016, 04:21:48 AM |
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+8.3 = Notlist3d
Thanks
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philipma1957 (OP)
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'The right to privacy matters'
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January 07, 2016, 05:23:26 AM |
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+4.5% = lolxxxx +4.7% = radiumsoup +5.0% = adaseb +5.1% = jakals +5.5% = Quickseller +6.5% = Amph +6.6% = indiemax +6.9% = torepia +7.3% = ingiltere +7.4% = flikflak +7.5% = Mikestang +7.6% = ailikun +7.7 % = Valkir +7.8% = zebedee +7.9% = HerbPean +8.0% = dukeneptun +8.1% = edonkey +8.2% = tennozer +8.3% = Notlist3d +8.5% = vapourminer +8.9% = blindminer +9.5% = gkv9 +10.2% = Chris_Sabian +10.4% = VirosaGITS +10.8% = d57heinz No new accountsThe contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier. You must have 30 posts or more. http://bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 392083 Total BTC 15.052M Difficulty 103880340815 Estimated 109226236186 in 1037 blks >>>> (+5,14%) Network total 921395.481 Thash/s Blocks/hour 7.43 / 484 s So far under 5.25% Now it is going to be pretty warm in Tbilisi, Georgia The sun will rise soon. Temps are 39.4 f and blocks should slow over the next 9-10 hours. lets see what happens
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kilo17
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aka "whocares"
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January 07, 2016, 05:40:32 AM |
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+5.7 If it isn't to late
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Bitcoin Will Only Succeed If The Community That Supports It Gets Support - Support Home Miners & Mining
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RichBC
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January 07, 2016, 08:12:05 AM |
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Wow this forecasting is hard... Went to bed in the UK with 1 3/4 Hours to go on the Day. If the Blocks had come in at 10 Min Intervals that would have made a 148 Block +2.7% Day.
But.. it's as if someone threw a switch, only 3 Blocks were found in the last 1 3/4 Hours giving a 142 Block -2.13% Day. Just shows the 1 Day is a very short time in Luck / Variance terms.
Rich
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gangnam2016
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GET IN - Smart Ticket Protocol - Live in market!
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January 07, 2016, 08:41:55 AM |
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+9% = gangnam2016
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needmoney
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I am a good bro
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January 07, 2016, 08:46:07 AM |
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+8.4% = needmoney
Please
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d57heinz
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Bitcoin Talks Bullshit Walks
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January 07, 2016, 01:51:57 PM |
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Wow this forecasting is hard... Went to bed in the UK with 1 3/4 Hours to go on the Day. If the Blocks had come in at 10 Min Intervals that would have made a 148 Block +2.7% Day.
But.. it's as if someone threw a switch, only 3 Blocks were found in the last 1 3/4 Hours giving a 142 Block -2.13% Day. Just shows the 1 Day is a very short time in Luck / Variance terms.
Rich
well that method i used to predict diff worked really well seemingly up until i exposed what i was doing here and let them in on how i was watching them play with our money. Its no doubt a huge farm turning on and off.. 600 peta swings over a days time isnt variance completely. its a huge farm coming on coupled with a streak of luck from the large pools.. Makes it look larger than it really is.. But i still think we have time to hit 1 exahash by months end. Once the network levels off for a month or so check out the swings in variance on this chart.. they are usually less than 10 % swings. you can see it clearly when it settled down a couple days ago.. went up and down no more than 50 ph between 1-1-2016 and 1-3-2016 then you can see the switch was thrown around the 4th and back to craziness
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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alh
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January 07, 2016, 04:55:22 PM |
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OK, I aam in..... +7.4% = alh Personally I don't think the wild swings are for nefarious purposes, but just digesting all the new hash being turned by Bitmain (sales & internal), BitFury (internal), and Avalon ( ?).
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VirosaGITS
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January 07, 2016, 05:06:43 PM |
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OK, I aam in..... +7.4% = alh Personally I don't think the wild swings are for nefarious purposes, but just digesting all the new hash being turned by Bitmain (sales & internal), BitFury (internal), and Avalon ( ?). Phil's theory that its the Russian's plant overheating is a pretty good one. Either way, it doesnt do much nefariousness. Overall it just mean the diff will raise slower.
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Tmdz
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January 07, 2016, 05:13:41 PM |
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+7.2=Tmdz
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philipma1957 (OP)
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'The right to privacy matters'
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January 07, 2016, 05:24:50 PM |
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+4.4% = philipma1957 +4.5% = lolxxxx +4.7% = radiumsoup +5.0% = adaseb +5.1% = jakals +5.5% = Quickseller +5.7% = Kilo17 +6.5% = Amph +6.6% = indiemax +6.9% = torepia +7.1% = alh >>>>>>>>>>>> not your first pick of 7.4 that was taken +7.2% =Tmdz +7.3% = ingiltere +7.4% = flikflak +7.5% = Mikestang +7.6% = ailikun +7.7 % = Valkir +7.8% = zebedee +7.9% = HerbPean +8.0% = dukeneptun +8.1% = edonkey +8.2% = tennozer +8.3% = Notlist3d +8.4% = needmoney +8.5% = vapourminer +8.9% = blindminer +9.0% = gangnam2016 +9.5% = gkv9 +10.2% = Chris_Sabian +10.4% = VirosaGITS +10.8% = d57heinz No new accountsThe contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier. You must have 30 posts or more. http://bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 392182 Total BTC 15.055M Difficulty 103880340815 Estimated 108263969307 in 938 blks Network total 656414.349 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.30 / 680 s
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