I still cant make sense of it:
Mar 04 2016 158,427,203,767 -3.10% 1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016 163,491,654,909 13.44% 1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016 144,116,447,847 20.06% 1,031,625,717 GH/s
We had 2 in a row of huge increase. Then a negative... which I still cannot understand. This period we will gain that negative amount plus some... will be interesting to see how much though.
I think the big increases are just that, a lot of hash, aided and abetted by the S7 / Avalon6 / approaching Halving / high price / impending Holiday, was added by the big farms. I think it was those very large increases that then caused the negative.
When any system changes by a large amount in a short period of time the mechanism that is controlling it tends to overcompensate (aka adjusting the shower temperature to quickly) and I think that is what the last difficulty change did. We are now coming back from the overcorrection and probably a small increase on top of that?
Rich