NFL/NCAAF 2016 Picks, Tips, Discussion

[Junko]

A couple of Early Bird Special picks. One for this weekend's NFL games and one College Football Playoff Semifinal game which will be played on New Year's Eve:


NitrogenSports, 1% bets, picks in bold:


Sunday Dec. 11: Cincinnati Bengals -4  (1.948) @ Cleveland Browns

This season's motto has been, "Always bet against the Browns." Cleveland is that bad. Barring any weird injuries or news, the spread will only get bigger as the week goes on if at all.



Saturday *Dec. 31: Alabama Crimson Tide -15.5 (1.850) vs. Washington Huskies

College Football Playoff Semifinal. Game will be played at a neutral site (Peach Bowl - Atlanta, Georgia). The line opened with Alabama as the favorite at -11 and will likely continue to increase up until game time barring any freak injuries/news. Basically, Bama is in top championship form with their smothering defense which has overwhelmed its opponents. Note again - this game will be played on New Year's Eve, December 31.




I'll have more NFL picks for this coming weekend. Just wanted to get these early picks in before the lines moved even more.

[vella85]

I have a play for Monday Night's Colts-Jets game (NFL).

NitrogenSports, NFL, 1% bet, pick in bold:

Monday Dec. 5: Indianapolis Colts -1.5 (1.905) @ New York Jets

Last week's Jets game against their hated division rivals, Patriots, was the Jet's "Super Bowl" in which they played close and hard, but eventually fell short. They will be emotionally drained and won't have much to give against the Colts Monday night. For the Colts, franchise QB Andrew Luck will be good to go having cleared concussion protocol and are only one game back in the division race, which will be their only way of getting into the playoffs. So they should be highly motivated. It will be a bit of a chilly night at Met Life Stadium, but the weather will be clear with a slight 5-10mph breeze and 0% chance of any precipitaion. Expect Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton to hook up regularly.

I also have the Colts winning tonight but now they are the dogs and paying $1.92 at the money line so I'll be taking that. With Luck back I think the Colts win but it will be a close game. Good luck mate and let's hope your winning streak continues tonight.

[Junko]

I also have the Colts winning tonight but now they are the dogs and paying $1.92 at the money line so I'll be taking that. With Luck back I think the Colts win but it will be a close game. Good luck mate and let's hope your winning streak continues tonight.

Thanks, mate. I'm taking the Colts ML also now, see below. Good Luck to you too!


Adding another play to tonight's pick.

NitrogenSports,  NFL, 1% bet, pick in bold:

Indianapolis Colts ML (2.026) @ New York Jets

A lot of money has been coming in on the Jets, most likely due to their good showing in a loss last week against the Patriots last week in front of a big betting market - one that extends from New England through New York and down to the Philadelphia and Maryland areas. As I mentioned previously, the Jets put up an all out effort because that game was their "Super Bowl" and that same alacrity just won't be there when they host Indy, imo.



To go along with my earlier Indianapolis Colts -1.5 (1.905) @ New York Jets

[vella85]

Good choice mate as they are getting out to over $2.00 now which I like a lot. I also just put some more money on them @2.01 money line. Big money is coming for the Jets at the money line and not too long ago the Colts were at 74% with the money line on Vegas and now they are into 69% so they are still favorites with the public betting but dogs on all sportsbooks.

[vella85]

The Colts were never in doubt at the money line and also at the point spread. This win capped off a nice weekend and Monday for you mate with a nice profit. I also made up for my 2 losses yesterday with this Colts win. Well the game isn't finished yet but there is no way the Jets can win. I'm so happy with this win because not only did I clean up tonight but because I have the Colts to win the NFC South division and I also have them on to win the Super Bowl. Well I'm one step closer to them winning the Division at least now equal with the Texans and Titans on wins.

Once again mate congrats on your picks!

[Junko]

The Colts were never in doubt at the money line and also at the point spread. This win capped off a nice weekend and Monday for you mate with a nice profit. I also made up for my 2 losses yesterday with this Colts win. Well the game isn't finished yet but there is no way the Jets can win. I'm so happy with this win because not only did I clean up tonight but because I have the Colts to win the NFC South division and I also have them on to win the Super Bowl. Well I'm one step closer to them winning the Division at least now equal with the Texans and Titans on wins.

Once again mate congrats on your picks!

Thanks, Bud! Yep, it wasn't even close. A nice easy win for both of us. I like these kinds of picks where it's over early and you don't have to sweat it out to the very end. Good to see you were able to make it into the black for the weekend on your NFL picks (I told you that you would  ) and that your Colts Super Bowl pick is still live. Nice.

Monday's results:

Indiannapolis Colts -1.5 (2.026) : Win +1.03 bet units
Indiannapolis Colts ML (1.905) : Win +0.90 bet units

Monday Total: +1.93 bet units
Thread Total: +4.88 bet units

[Junko]

Adding another Early Bird pick for the weekend.


Sunday 11 Dec. NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, pick in bold:


Washington Redskins PK (1.921) @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles are hot garbage as a team. They looked lifeless last week against the lowly Cincinnati Bengals who man-shamed them. Philadelphia's rookie head coach is absolutely clueless in all aspects - poor decision making, poor play calling, the team seems unprepared for games, undisciplined, poor execution, etc, etc. The players play with no heart. The game seems too fast for their rookie QB Wentz right now causing him to make poor decisions with the ball. His OL can't give him any protection.  His accuracy is bad and his receivers don't give him much help anyway. The Eagles defensive secondary is getting consistently clowned week after week after week.

Meanwhile, the Redskins aren't that great either, but they at least seem to have some semblence of competence. Kirk Cousins, having gotten franchise-tagged by the Redskins, has incentive and is playing for a big payday in a lucrative contract. And he does have weapons in his WRs. The Redskins should have been opened by at least -3 to -3.5 pts imho. I will happily jump on the spread being PK.

[shadobitz]

The Colts were never in doubt at the money line and also at the point spread. This win capped off a nice weekend and Monday for you mate with a nice profit. I also made up for my 2 losses yesterday with this Colts win. Well the game isn't finished yet but there is no way the Jets can win. I'm so happy with this win because not only did I clean up tonight but because I have the Colts to win the NFC South division and I also have them on to win the Super Bowl. Well I'm one step closer to them winning the Division at least now equal with the Texans and Titans on wins.

Once again mate congrats on your picks!

Thanks, Bud! Yep, it wasn't even close. A nice easy win for both of us. I like these kinds of picks where it's over early and you don't have to sweat it out to the very end. Good to see you were able to make it into the black for the weekend on your NFL picks (I told you that you would  ) and that your Colts Super Bowl pick is still live. Nice.

Monday's results:

Indiannapolis Colts -1.5 (2.026) : Win +1.03 bet units
Indiannapolis Colts ML (1.905) : Win +0.90 bet units

Monday Total: +1.93 bet units
Thread Total: +4.88 bet units

Congrats man on this nice prediction and impressive win there, I was unlucky with under 50 points because Indiannapolis Colts played so offensive and almost destroyed New York Jets there, next time will be careful about to place bet on this kind pick.

[Junko]

Thanks man. Yeah, your under pick was definitely unlucky. The Jets were held to below their already low scoring average. But I don't think many people could have predicted Andrew Luck would do so well throwing 4 TDs after coming off missing time for a concussion.

[Junko]

Adding a parlay for this weekend:

NitrogenSports NFL, 3-Leg Parlay 1% bet, (6.950)

      1. Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)
      2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)
      3. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

[vella85]

Adding a parlay for this weekend:

NitrogenSports NFL, 3-Leg Parlay 1% bet, (6.950)

      1. Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)
      2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)
      3. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

Your fast this week posting your picks for this week, I'm still yet to go through the games but I do like your Bama in the NCAAF even though it's a few weeks off. I think it will be Bama and Ohio in the Championship game and I just put Ohio on to win it all @5.50 If these 2 teams face off in the Championship game it will be a great game to watch. Who do you like to win the NCAAF Championship mate?

[Junko]

Your fast this week posting your picks for this week, I'm still yet to go through the games but I do like your Bama in the NCAAF even though it's a few weeks off. I think it will be Bama and Ohio in the Championship game and I just put Ohio on to win it all @5.50 If these 2 teams face off in the Championship game it will be a great game to watch. Who do you like to win the NCAAF Championship mate?

Hehe, well, I mostly only bet NFL and NCAA-F so I like to look at the lines as soon as they come out and jump on any games/lines that I see that I really like before they start moving away from what I would bet. And I try to post my picks here on the forum at the same time I book them bc it's prolly more helpful to anyone who might be following.

As far as the College playoffs, straight up, I think Bama will easily beat Washington. Their defense is too good.

I think Clemson will beat Ohio State straight up. They both have top defenses and highly capable offenses. Despite his interception rate, Clemson's Watson is the better QB and has more weapons to throw to. Their offense has no problems putting up points. Ohio St's QB J.T. Barrett is good too, but Clemson's D line is loaded. They are ranked sixth in the nation in sack percentage. Ohio St's O line is good, but has been inconsistent at times.

I don't have a futures bet on it, but in the Championship game, I personally think it will be Clemson taking on Alabama in a rematch of last year's title game. And straight up, it will be the same result : Alabama winning. Clemson will put up a fight just like they did last year, but Bama's defense is even more better than last year. Their defense is so nasty, they could beat some NFL teams.

But Good Luck on your Ohio St futures pick, mate. Those are nice odds. If Bama is in the Championship game I will likely parlay it with an NFL pick or something depending on the line/odds.

[victoryboy]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders straight on any team could be cause of loss because Kansas City won more games whenever it came to play against Oakland Raiders but this time things can be go out of control. I took for total to be under 48.5 as most of the times they hardly touched the figure of 40 in their matches as total. If this game goes difficult then under 48.5 is perfect @1.63 odds.

[fiscorcle]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders straight on any team could be cause of loss because Kansas City won more games whenever it came to play against Oakland Raiders but this time things can be go out of control. I took for total to be under 48.5 as most of the times they hardly touched the figure of 40 in their matches as total. If this game goes difficult then under 48.5 is perfect @1.63 odds.

You are right there. Oakland is strong this year with their performance but they are going into Kansas City's home stadium so they will not win there from their past tells from that.
Best to bet on points being under 48.5.

[bithasher]

Asian handicap is another good way which can be relayed on for this only game between Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders. After navigating through all the odds and possibilities I reached the conclusion that +5 @1.751 Ah for Oakland Raiders is providing protection plus chances. I also see equal chances for either side to win this upcoming game.

[Junko]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders straight on any team could be cause of loss because Kansas City won more games whenever it came to play against Oakland Raiders but this time things can be go out of control. I took for total to be under 48.5 as most of the times they hardly touched the figure of 40 in their matches as total. If this game goes difficult then under 48.5 is perfect @1.63 odds.

You are right there. Oakland is strong this year with their performance but they are going into Kansas City's home stadium so they will not win there from their past tells from that.
Best to bet on points being under 48.5.

I can see the under happening this game.

Asian handicap is another good way which can be relayed on for this only game between Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders. After navigating through all the odds and possibilities I reached the conclusion that +5 @1.751 Ah for Oakland Raiders is providing protection plus chances. I also see equal chances for either side to win this upcoming game.

I agree, this game could go either way. The Raiders have been good to me bettingwise this season, but I will be taking the Chiefs -3.5 in this game between bitter division rivals.


Thursday 8 Dec. NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, pick in bold:


Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (2.016)

This is a huge game for both teams. The winner will take the division lead. Both teams have been amazing and both have had lots of magic this season. Like I said above, the Raiders have hooked me up nicely this season on various occasions, but I have to go with the Chiefs tonight. I usually like the home team on Thursday nights with a short week and both teams having played Sunday. The Raiders played Sunday, take Monday to recover, one day to prepare on Tuesday and then fly out to Kansas City on Wednesday where the temperature for tonight's game will be clear and below freezing (the pitch has underground heaters though). The Chiefs are tremendous on defense. KC handled the Raiders pretty easily earlier this season in Oakland. In his career, Carr is 1-4 against the Chiefs with a completion percentage of 57.7 and has 5 INTs to 6 TD passes. There's no team Carr has thrown more interceptions against. The Chiefs thrive on their defense and getting turnovers. Arrowhead Stadium will be rocking tonight fo sure.



Good Luck to all !

[th3nolo]

Adding a parlay for this weekend:

NitrogenSports NFL, 3-Leg Parlay 1% bet, (6.950)

      1. Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)
      2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)
      3. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

I almost disagree with your picks of this week maybe I'm wrong but Pittsburgh vs Buffalo Bills, I think this is a precarious pick, why I said that? Buffalo have the best rushing offense in the NFL and Pittsburgh has a winning streak of three games against teams that have worst defense in the NFL

Mi pick for this game is Buffalo +2

The Buccaneers have been playing well I like so much this team but is a match against Saints I'll take ML. 49erz vs New York this game will be exciting, I like your prediction Buccaneers -2.

[vella85]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders straight on any team could be cause of loss because Kansas City won more games whenever it came to play against Oakland Raiders but this time things can be go out of control. I took for total to be under 48.5 as most of the times they hardly touched the figure of 40 in their matches as total. If this game goes difficult then under 48.5 is perfect @1.63 odds.

You are right there. Oakland is strong this year with their performance but they are going into Kansas City's home stadium so they will not win there from their past tells from that.
Best to bet on points being under 48.5.

I can see the under happening this game.

Asian handicap is another good way which can be relayed on for this only game between Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders. After navigating through all the odds and possibilities I reached the conclusion that +5 @1.751 Ah for Oakland Raiders is providing protection plus chances. I also see equal chances for either side to win this upcoming game.

I agree, this game could go either way. The Raiders have been good to me bettingwise this season, but I will be taking the Chiefs -3.5 in this game between bitter division rivals.


Thursday 8 Dec. NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, pick in bold:


Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (2.016)

This is a huge game for both teams. The winner will take the division lead. Both teams have been amazing and both have had lots of magic this season. Like I said above, the Raiders have hooked me up nicely this season on various occasions, but I have to go with the Chiefs tonight. I usually like the home team on Thursday nights with a short week and both teams having played Sunday. The Raiders played Sunday, take Monday to recover, one day to prepare on Tuesday and then fly out to Kansas City on Wednesday where the temperature for tonight's game will be clear and below freezing (the pitch has underground heaters though). The Chiefs are tremendous on defense. KC handled the Raiders pretty easily earlier this season in Oakland. In his career, Carr is 1-4 against the Chiefs with a completion percentage of 57.7 and has 5 INTs to 6 TD passes. There's no team Carr has thrown more interceptions against. The Chiefs thrive on their defense and getting turnovers. Arrowhead Stadium will be rocking tonight fo sure.



Good Luck to all !

I also like the Chiefs tonight and I took them at the money line yesterday when they were @1.62 I went with the money line as a safe bet as I think it will be a close game. I do however hope they cover the spread for you mate. The Raiders are yet to loose playing away this season but I think tonight they get their first road loss and go 5-1 on the road while the Chiefs become 5-1 at home.

[Junko]

Adding a parlay for this weekend:

NitrogenSports NFL, 3-Leg Parlay 1% bet, (6.950)

      1. Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)
      2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5)
      3. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

I almost disagree with your picks of this week maybe I'm wrong but Pittsburgh vs Buffalo Bills, I think this is a precarious pick, why I said that? Buffalo have the best rushing offense in the NFL and Pittsburgh has a winning streak of three games against teams that have worst defense in the NFL

Mi pick for this game is Buffalo +2

The Buccaneers have been playing well I like so much this team but is a match against Saints I'll take ML. 49erz vs New York this game will be exciting, I like your prediction Buccaneers -2.

Hey, it's all good. My 3 part parlay is a gamble for sure, especially taking Pittsburgh -2 as one of the legs. You make a fair point about Pittsburgh winning against teams with bad defenses. But while they have won against poor defenses, the Steelers have looked good doing so. Big Ben is in championship form and has an array of weapons to throw to. Buffalo literally melted last week against Oakland giving up 29 pts in a come from ahead loss to the Raiders. Sure, the Bills have the best running attack in the league and no doubt Shady will gash the Steelers defense, but the Bills will have their own hands full trying to contain Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown and if they fall behind and are forced to abandon the run then they become one-dimensional and easier to defend. Like I said, it's a gamble and I can surely be wrong, but that's my reasoning behind taking Pitt -2 in this parlay.

Thursday 8 Dec. NitrogenSports NFL, 1% bet, pick in bold:


Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (2.016)

This is a huge game for both teams. The winner will take the division lead. Both teams have been amazing and both have had lots of magic this season. Like I said above, the Raiders have hooked me up nicely this season on various occasions, but I have to go with the Chiefs tonight. I usually like the home team on Thursday nights with a short week and both teams having played Sunday. The Raiders played Sunday, take Monday to recover, one day to prepare on Tuesday and then fly out to Kansas City on Wednesday where the temperature for tonight's game will be clear and below freezing (the pitch has underground heaters though). The Chiefs are tremendous on defense. KC handled the Raiders pretty easily earlier this season in Oakland. In his career, Carr is 1-4 against the Chiefs with a completion percentage of 57.7 and has 5 INTs to 6 TD passes. There's no team Carr has thrown more interceptions against. The Chiefs thrive on their defense and getting turnovers. Arrowhead Stadium will be rocking tonight fo sure.



Good Luck to all !

I also like the Chiefs tonight and I took them at the money line yesterday when they were @1.62 I went with the money line as a safe bet as I think it will be a close game. I do however hope they cover the spread for you mate. The Raiders are yet to loose playing away this season but I think tonight they get their first road loss and go 5-1 on the road while the Chiefs become 5-1 at home.

Thanks, man. I hope they cover too, though I think it will be a close game as well. In any case, it should be a great game to watch because of the rivalry and especially given how each of these teams seem to have been touched with some kind of magic this season.

[cryptoburst61]

I bet on your picks junko for nfl and i hope Kansas city can hold onto the lead. I said in vella topic that I bet on them at the ml and -3.5 spread so I hope they can. I bet on redskins ml but a little worried because the eagles have a good home record this season where they win most of there games.