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Question: When will we see a new ATH? (Credit to: Biodom)
2019 - 14 (8.9%)
Early 2020 - 35 (22.2%)
Late 2020 - 47 (29.7%)
Early 2021 - 14 (8.9%)
Late 2021 - 25 (15.8%)
2022 - 4 (2.5%)
2023 - 0 (0%)
2024 - 4 (2.5%)
After 2024 - 3 (1.9%)
Never - 12 (7.6%)
Total Voters: 158

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 21431542 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (129 posts by 23 users deleted.)
NamelessOne
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May 08, 2013, 01:51:50 AM
 #5761

HAHA 230 up, 230 down. Always gotta wonder if it is a mistake, or simply someone buying up so they can sell down immediately, hoping the price will drop.
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Frozenlock
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May 08, 2013, 01:56:33 AM
 #5762

God this is tense.
hmmmstrange
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May 08, 2013, 01:57:02 AM
 #5763

Damm lag. If it wasn't for the idiots lagging gox it would be down to 90 already. Stop lagging so we can get our cheap coins!
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May 08, 2013, 01:58:02 AM
 #5764

How can the lag prevent the price from going down?  Huh
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May 08, 2013, 01:58:06 AM
 #5765

A hero has stepped forward on team green (or maybe everyone else just stepped back). Fireworks soon?
telemaco
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May 08, 2013, 02:00:15 AM
 #5766

No decisive movement yet, eh? Alright then, summary time. (sorry for the sloppy style, this is more or less stream of consciousness)

Ignoring the possibility of continuation of the horizontal trend (that'd be boring), what are arguments in favor of continuation of the correction, i.e. downwards trend (red line in my previous chart) vs. continuation of upwards trend (green line)

(1) forum sentiment: cautiously bullish ("I'll buy for sure when we get lower") seems to be quite prevalent

(2) post bubble, volume on the way down was significantly higher than on the way up. suggests selling pressure, but could also mean sellers are running out of ammo.

(3) EMAs: D1, H4 undecided (just crossed over from above), H1 still bearish, but tendency towards crossover from below.

(4) total trading volume (in USD) is maybe on the low end for what is necessary to support the long-term upwards trend. (pointed out by WackyWilly)

(5) re: converging trendlines, as pointed out by 100x, me, and others: post-bubble, bit more evidence for the downward trend (3 vs 2 points of contact)

(6) If supporting trend (green line in my chart) = January 9 long-term expon. trend, then we're a bit ahead, should be hitting 100 only mid-May.

(7) order book (yes, I know, fake walls everywhere): total bid/total ask: 105. average of price if all sold at current prices, all bought at current prices: 120.5

pro bull: 1, 7
pro bear: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.

Hmmm... I don't like the way my own summary looks. My gut tells me we should be going up, but my little collection of evidence points to continuation of the correction.

/pseudoscience


6 could be pro bull no?... converging on 100, and next week is mid May

5 could change



also H4 and D1 are always too late for a too fast moving market like this. When they signal bearish we are almost changing trend.
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May 08, 2013, 02:00:27 AM
 #5767

Yup, fireworks soon.


hmmmstrange
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May 08, 2013, 02:04:15 AM
 #5768

Stop with lagging the gox price up, i need it to drop 25% so i can get my $90 coins back.
oroboras
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May 08, 2013, 02:04:47 AM
 #5769

Climbing too steeply - I expect a bit of a drop now, maybe down to $110 - I hope so!

EDIT: $90 would be very nice! - but highly unlikely tonight I think.
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May 08, 2013, 02:08:17 AM
 #5770

StevenPine
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May 08, 2013, 02:10:33 AM
 #5771

The lag is pretty silly, I don't know wy Mt.Gox puts up with people putting up bids of 0.01 @ 0.01 and then removes them, it's obvious spam to lag the server, they should at least throttle bids and asks that are far outside the range of current spot.
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May 08, 2013, 02:10:55 AM
 #5772

I'm buying back in now at a huge loss. These guys lagging gox are going to push it up to $125. Gox really needs to put an end to this exploit.
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May 08, 2013, 02:11:04 AM
 #5773

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CQFEY9RIRJA
Frozenlock
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May 08, 2013, 02:11:49 AM
 #5774

The lag enables you to remove your walls in time.  Grin
humanitee
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May 08, 2013, 02:36:38 AM
 #5775

Anyone know where I can get the complete historic price data of Gox in USD? I was using BitcoinCharts but they don't allow you to specify beginning times at the moment.
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May 08, 2013, 02:45:04 AM
 #5776

Take 2000 data points each time until you reach the beginning of history?  Grin
http://bitcoincharts.com/about/markets-api/

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May 08, 2013, 02:45:09 AM
 #5777

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May 08, 2013, 02:47:44 AM
 #5778

The bubble leaked out some air... and now is growing again.... and what i suspect is a big burst... cheers
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May 08, 2013, 02:48:09 AM
 #5779

Anyone know where I can get the complete historic price data of Gox in USD? I was using BitcoinCharts but they don't allow you to specify beginning times at the moment.


You can use Mt.Gox own API. Works for all time.

https://data.mtgox.com/api/2/BTCUSD/money/trades/fetch?since=1 [18.07.2010]
https://data.mtgox.com/api/2/BTCUSD/money/trades/fetch?since=1309108565842636 [26.06.2011]

Quote
The first 200,000+ trades used sequential integers for their tid values, up to 218868. After this, unix microstamps are used instead, starting with 1309108565842636.

To obtain all data, first fetch trades since 0, then feed in the last tid from the data you just fetched to get the next block of data. Repeat this process up until current data (note, make sure to limit your requests, e.g. 10 every 10 seconds, to avoid being blocked by the anti-DDoS filters)

The above method will work seamlessly across the tid transition

The primary field specifies whether the trade was originally ordered in the given currency - since trades may appear on multiple tickers, you may need to ignore trades with primary: 'N' values

As noted above, since gives the tid after which to obtain trades, so for example, passing since=10 will return trade data starting with the trade whose tid is 11.

https://bitbucket.org/nitrous/mtgox-api/overview#markdown-header-moneytradesfetch
humanitee
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May 08, 2013, 02:50:07 AM
 #5780

Stuff I wasn't aware of.

Thanks man!
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