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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26811137 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
peonminer
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November 03, 2015, 04:45:11 AM

Where can we get the highest margin trades? I swear I saw an email before of somewhere offering 100x leverage.
AZwarel
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November 03, 2015, 04:46:59 AM
Last edit: November 03, 2015, 05:00:02 AM by AZwarel

So what happens when someone is leveraged 20Xlong and the price drops 5%?  A forced liquidation, which causes the price to drop another percent or two, causing more forced liquidations and so on. A margin call cascade can cause the price to plummet in hours.  Wiped out bulls have no money left to take advantage so it just keeps dropping.  

Hell, even I can't take advantage because my giant pile of fiat is lent out.  

So when does it finally stop? When bears cover their shorts. The problem is that there aren't enough bears left.  Many of them got wiped out in the pump.  

This kind of volatility is terrible for bitcoin. Money with a wildly fluctuating value is not very useful.

Here is another commodity with tremendous real life usage with pretty wild long term volatility (yet still the basis of our modern civilization):



I do not want to be a dick, but we had 1-1,5 years of relative price stability, it did not increased adaptation 10 folds or any x*n folds, as suggested by "against volatility" agents.

People answer to unforeseeable events (forced to react, such as a volcano erupts) IMO way greater than "steady slow growth". That is why bitcoin will have many more bubbles/crashes ahead of it till a theoretical equilibrium price achieved after MS adaptation. We are not machines -as humans - , "feelings"*, aka. irrational acting should be counted into the price movement.

*i list principles here as well. Like, no matter what "USD"/BTC we achieve, i will never sell my last few BTC for the next 10 years on principle. Costs aside. If enough people do the same, supply side withers.
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November 03, 2015, 05:00:30 AM

Just sold @366 USD where are the rest of the profit takers I want to buy back for less dammit  Angry

Damn son, where are your balls.  What are you for halloween, a bitch?



It would be nice when the price goes up to know why it is doing so. I don't pretend to be someone that makes money by trading, for me, this volatility is undermining Bitcoin as an asset ahead of this Marshall's auction as I stated, so I sold off some as a precaution.  

Is this new money coming in? Or a few whales moving the price and enticing existing Bitcoin users to leverage themselves in the hopes this is finally going to take off?

This is a good time to sell some if you like Bitcoin as a currency and an asset. If you like Bitcoin as a lottery ticket, then by all means use your credit cards and HODL  Roll Eyes

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November 03, 2015, 05:00:56 AM

So what happens when someone is leveraged 20Xlong and the price drops 5%?  A forced liquidation, which causes the price to drop another percent or two, causing more forced liquidations and so on. A margin call cascade can cause the price to plummet in hours.  Wiped out bulls have no money left to take advantage so it just keeps dropping. 

Hell, even I can't take advantage because my giant pile of fiat is lent out. 

So when does it finally stop? When bears cover their shorts. The problem is that there aren't enough bears left.  Many of them got wiped out in the pump. 

This kind of volatility is terrible for bitcoin. Money with a wildly fluctuating value is not very useful.

Stop your whining and grow a pair. Millionaires can push the market much more than my small 20x leveraged long will do. If the entire future of bitcoin's value was subject to some traders deciding to go 20x long it would have already been destined to fail anyways. The technology is where the value is, not the current price or how people hedge around it.
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November 03, 2015, 05:01:22 AM

Coin

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billyjoeallen
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November 03, 2015, 05:11:53 AM

Bitcoin is finding its true value, which will take years. Until then, enjoy volatility. It's not going to steadily increase until Bitcoin finds its place in the world. It's going to be exponential growths and sell offs. This isn't horrible, just how things will go.

It won't have much of a place in the world @ 7 TPS.  That kind of capacity can only support ~605,000 people making one transaction per day.  I personally make about three blockchain transactions/day. 
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November 03, 2015, 05:20:11 AM

2500
billyjoeallen
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November 03, 2015, 05:21:05 AM


Stop your whining and grow a pair. Millionaires can push the market much more than my small 20x leveraged long will do. If the entire future of bitcoin's value was subject to some traders deciding to go 20x long it would have already been destined to fail anyways. The technology is where the value is, not the current price or how people hedge around it.

Millionaires don't get to be millionaires by buying something that has already gone up 40% in a week.  They already bought if they're buying at all and now it's the dumb money pouring in.  there may well be enough greater fools for you to profit, but the technology is a network that has a SEVEN TRANSACTIONS PER SECOND LIMIT.  If any of these newcomers try to take their coins out of the exchange and do something with them, the network will crash.  604800 transactions/day max. 

I have a pair. Grow a brain.
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November 03, 2015, 05:24:02 AM

 Fuck Me Backwards!!!

$380+

lyth0s
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November 03, 2015, 05:25:40 AM


Stop your whining and grow a pair. Millionaires can push the market much more than my small 20x leveraged long will do. If the entire future of bitcoin's value was subject to some traders deciding to go 20x long it would have already been destined to fail anyways. The technology is where the value is, not the current price or how people hedge around it.

Millionaires don't get to be millionaires by buying something that has already gone up 40% in a week.  They already bought if they're buying at all and now it's the dumb money pouring in.  there may well be enough greater fools for you to profit, but the technology is a network that has a SEVEN TRANSACTIONS PER SECOND LIMIT.  If any of these newcomers try to take their coins out of the exchange and do something with them, the network will crash.  604800 transactions/day max.  

I have a pair. Grow a brain.

You're extremely short sighted. Be sure to sell your bitcoins as soon as you feel the bull run is over and there is no more "dumb money" pouring in, in order to maximize your dollar profits. Once you have sold out of this extremely limited  network with its 7 tps limit let us know and then you are welcome to join the ranks of NLC as an outside critic.

Edit: "Millionaires don't get to be millionaires by buying something that has already gone up 40% in a week." --Do you think I got into bitcoin just this week?
JorgeStolfi
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November 03, 2015, 05:25:40 AM

You say it because you are sad that you got no profit with the recent bull attack because you have no Bitcoins

I bought 0.00000000 BTC when I first learned abot bitcoin -- in nov/2013, when the price was ~1200$.  So, even though my investment was fairly modest, and (as you already know) I have been able to double my holdings every day since then, I am still quite disappointed by the loss of almost 70% of the money that I put into this coin.
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November 03, 2015, 05:30:51 AM

Just sold @366 USD where are the rest of the profit takers I want to buy back for less dammit  Angry

Damn son, where are your balls.  What are you for halloween, a bitch?



It would be nice when the price goes up to know why it is doing so. I don't pretend to be someone that makes money by trading, for me, this volatility is undermining Bitcoin as an asset ahead of this Marshall's auction as I stated, so I sold off some as a precaution.  

Is this new money coming in? Or a few whales moving the price and enticing existing Bitcoin users to leverage themselves in the hopes this is finally going to take off?

This is a good time to sell some if you like Bitcoin as a currency and an asset. If you like Bitcoin as a lottery ticket, then by all means use your credit cards and HODL  Roll Eyes



Lottery. I do hodl for now* :-) And yes, there are new adopters (as they were for the last 6 years); for some reason people here can not imagine that others catch the BTC fewer as well, but they do. It is indeed growing exponentially (if you manage to "convert" only 2 guys near to you, than that is exponential!).

*actually am buying asap. I totally see this going out of control, if not in the short run, in the long run. I genuinely think we will NEVER gonna see the 2hundreds again in the long run (1-2 deep spikes might happen, unlikely). Like ever. Again.
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November 03, 2015, 05:32:51 AM

$3 $1 left until $400 equiv in yuan...  Shocked

The entire exchange landscape is miles ahead of what it was the last time we had mania like this. The rails in and out have been heavily upgraded in the last two years.
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November 03, 2015, 05:34:35 AM

$380 buff @finex  Cool
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November 03, 2015, 05:37:44 AM



Edit: "Millionaires don't get to be millionaires by buying something that has already gone up 40% in a week." --Do you think I got into bitcoin just this week?

We're not talking about you. We're talking about the millionaires that are supposedly going to continue the pump so you can profit off your 20X long.
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November 03, 2015, 05:39:17 AM
Last edit: November 03, 2015, 05:51:29 AM by AZwarel

$3 $1 left until $400 equiv in yuan...  Shocked



Got a call 20 minutes ago from an old friend working for Citibank in Bahrain (remind you, it is 6:48 AM where i am -yes, still awake:). TLDR: "please get me some BTC, am just back from a conference about "blockchain" in Dubai". 'nuf said.  Grin
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November 03, 2015, 06:01:21 AM

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November 03, 2015, 06:08:25 AM

$365 @finex  Grin
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November 03, 2015, 06:09:23 AM

Small dumps everywhere.

Is this the top or just another bear trap, like the one in the weekend?
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November 03, 2015, 06:11:02 AM

Small dumps everywhere.

Is this the top or just another bear trap, like the one in the weekend?

Sell now Wink

There will be 2 buyers for every coin you give up. The people who have been riding this upshot have by now told all they're friends who are now scrambling to buy. I know mine are.
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