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Question: How far will this leg take us?
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26798919 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Ibian
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January 24, 2016, 04:56:55 PM

Big blocktards
The moment you resort to insults you lose the argument.
bargainbin
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January 24, 2016, 04:57:02 PM

...
Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.
...

Depends on what you mean by "for free" :- There's Google...
becoin
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January 24, 2016, 04:58:17 PM

If you increase transaction fees you decrease the number of transactions, so you don't increase the total level of transaction fees.
This is a very naive argument. It is like saying this place is not attractive to people because it is overcrowded...
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January 24, 2016, 04:58:31 PM

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/42fggm/chinese_community_has_voiced_consensus_opinion_to/

I think this is why we are starting to go up. Miners providing clear road map.

Also, I'm interpreting this as a miner revolt. Not siding with core or classic. Just changing 1mb to 2mb and nothing else. I'm happy with the move but not everyone might be.


Copied from Google translate.


[Currency] 1992 consensus reached circle gathering support 2MB, against less than 90% count bifurcated force consensus
Lai Bite mine pool | 01-24 | Look landlord
This post was last at 2016-1-24 22:25 edited by 莱比特 mine pool

Author : Lai Bite mine pond river Thatcher stakeholders : Bitcoin / litecoin miners, who hold out

January 23 afternoon, the coldest day in Beijing, good Bitcoin (haobtc.com) organized a party in full swing in currency circles. Participants in the development of good bitcoins, bitcoin block expansion, force mining operator, on Bitcoin future prospects and other topics heated discussion.

On the block expansion, the participants reached the following consensus and hoped that all bitcoin businesses and users to join this broad nine (90%) di (2MB) consensus:

1, Bitcoin need expansion to 2MB.
2, against less than 90% count bifurcated force consensus.

Meeting participants :
Good Bitcoin CEO Wu Gang, super bitcoin, Thief, Bear, etc.
Continental CEO Wu Ji Han Bit
Ants mine pool Panzhi Biao
Ants mining machine Li Ying Fei
Guo Hong Btc123 only
Wells Fargo Funds Zhao Guofeng
Cloud coins cat
Too wallet than Wenhao
Look currency Fangfang
Soso Bitcoin Linjia Peng
(Many participants, if missing, please forgive me)
...


Finally some intelligent thinking. Thank you miner revolt. A non political fork from 1-2 MB that is driven entirely by miners and not an attempt to take over future network control is exactly what is needed.

Call it Bitcoin Core 2MB or something, get a 90% majority of hashing power behind you, fork and then step back and let the experts in at bitcoin core do there thing and work continue working on making bitcoin better a with segregated witness which is complicated and should not be rushed.

A contentious hard fork would be a disaster. An apolitical miner driven fork would probably still cause some to grumble but it is probably something everyone could live with. This is promising.


Why are you calling experts the people who don't see the need to move the blocksize limit, which you agree is needful?
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January 24, 2016, 04:58:40 PM

We wont give our costumers what they need
Your customers need free money. No doubt about that.

...especially with other better and efficient services raising... this really seems like a smart move.
Yes, it is a smart move. Get rid of such customers! Let them go to and ruin the other 'efficient services'.
If it is the only type of customers you have then you don't offer value in your service and you should change your business!

Read my previous comment, you really fail to understand the issue here, it is not about free or cheap transactions (although this is how we always advertised bitcoin) but it is about Block size, 90% of transactions in the queue have a valid paid fees. but there is no space to include them.

However, If you want me to pay $1 fee for a $20 worth of goods/services then I am telling you that Bitcoin is for sure failing.
RAJSALLIN
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January 24, 2016, 04:58:51 PM

It is the [use cost] that need to be increased!



Said no successful business in a competitive market anywhere.

Longterm Bitcoin has to gather enough fees to survive, without fees no miners.

Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.

by long term you mean a couple of years from now ? or when the block reward is almost zero ? we have to define what is long term first then we can discuss what is right.

longterm i mean when blockreward is zero, yes. nevertheless we should already be aware of that fees are not something "evil" but overall necessary. its a balance between allowing 0-fee transactions to process, while still having enough pressure to have some fees paid.

Doesn't the  increase in hash rate despite being lower in price than the 2013 high suggest it's way to early to discuss increasing fees? Yes there is the halving coming but why would it be any different from the ones before. Let bitcoin really grow before touching fees.
ChartBuddy
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January 24, 2016, 05:02:23 PM

Coin



Explanation
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January 24, 2016, 05:08:41 PM


Longterm Bitcoin has to gather enough fees to survive, without fees no miners.

Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.

edit: the fees will longterm lead 1:1 to Bitcoins security. the higher the gathered fees the higher the security of the network.

Without fees, no miners. So people will pay fees to keep their transactions getting on the blockchain and miners will select transactions which help pay for their business. This isn't rocket science.

The problem comes when someone comes along and interferes in this negotiation between customer and service provider and distorts the value proposition.
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January 24, 2016, 05:10:13 PM

longterm i mean when blockreward is zero, yes. nevertheless we should already be aware of that fees are not something "evil" but overall necessary. its a balance between allowing 0-fee transactions to process, while still having enough pressure to have some fees paid.

I have seen *no one* argue for miners to be forced to process zero fee transactions. Nor could you without massive effort and changes to the protocol.
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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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January 24, 2016, 05:15:53 PM

do you think may the bitcoin prices go up again like today ? i bought little bitcoin but prices start to drop again. i am nervous.. what are your predictions ?

maybe you invested too much?

If you're getting nervous about every little price swing, what will you do when bitcoin goes -30% or +50% like it will surely do again some time in the future? Panic? Act on emotion?

make a plan (something like dollar cost averaging every week) and stick to it!

Don't invest what you can't afford to lose.

If you don't have enough money: try to earn more and cut expenses. Also cut expenses.

EDIT: oh and my personal favorite: whatever you do, don't ever commit all available funds/resources. Always leave some room for the possibility of a bad decision. (I will never understand people who go "all in", or "fully out")




+1.   Great post. 
Richy_T
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January 24, 2016, 05:17:05 PM

Can miners fork to 2MB and still stay with Core?

Or they're back on Classic??

Miners as individuals can do what they want. The issue becomes when they mine that first 1.01MB block and it gets rejected by the network (or not).
mmitech
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January 24, 2016, 05:17:09 PM

Can miners fork to 2MB and still stay with Core?

Or they're back on Classic??


The block size is one of the consensus rules of Bitcoin, nodes check consensus parameters when they connect to another node so once miners raise the block size to 2MB they will get disconnected from Core for "misbehaving".
mmitech
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January 24, 2016, 05:19:39 PM

Can miners fork to 2MB and still stay with Core?

Or they're back on Classic??

Miners as individuals can do what they want. The issue becomes when they mine that first 1.01MB block and it gets rejected by the network (or not).

actually, they will just be on their own fork, it will get rejected from other nodes that runs Core but it will be valid on their chain and they will keep mining higher blocks, it will be the longest chain with most work, as Satoshi implied before: Bitcoin will be what the longest chain with the most work decides it to be.
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January 24, 2016, 05:25:22 PM


Why are you calling experts the people who don't see the need to move the blocksize limit, which you agree is needful?

I call bitcoin core experts because they are experts that is not disputable much their competition are experts too. Scaling is a complex topic. There are strong disagreements about what is optimal. No one has made a definitive case but everyone agrees bitcoin needs to scale.

A politically driven contentious hard fork that seems to be much more about who gets to control the future of bitcoin rather then actually about increasing the block size is a known evil. Bitcoin is intrinsically just a computer ledger. It's value comes from the talent of those involved in its ecosystem. The goal is to grow that ecosystem not rip it apart.
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January 24, 2016, 05:26:26 PM

It is the [use cost] that need to be increased!



Said no successful business in a competitive market anywhere.

Longterm Bitcoin has to gather enough fees to survive, without fees no miners.

Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.

edit: the fees will longterm lead 1:1 to Bitcoins security. the higher the gathered fees the higher the security of the network.


Nobody will disagree with that. The question is if those fees will be paid by many tx, or just a few. If you limit the size of blocks to 1 MB (and hence, the number of tx to ~1700), the average fee/tx has to become very expensive (~$5 per tx).
BlindMayorBitcorn
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January 24, 2016, 05:28:31 PM

It is the [use cost] that need to be increased!



Said no successful business in a competitive market anywhere.

Longterm Bitcoin has to gather enough fees to survive, without fees no miners.

Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.

edit: the fees will longterm lead 1:1 to Bitcoins security. the higher the gathered fees the higher the security of the network.


Nobody will disagree with that. The question is if those fees will be paid by many tx, or just a few. If you limit the size of blocks to 1 MB (and hence, the number of tx to ~1700), the average fee/tx has to become very expensive (~$5 per tx).

With 1MB blocks Danny Hamilton estimates fees could reach as high as $100 a transaction.
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January 24, 2016, 05:32:16 PM


With 1MB blocks Danny Hamilton estimates fees could reach as high as $100 a transaction.

Schweeet. The rest of Planet Earth will be beating down the blockchain's doors for the honour of one transaction. I can see them being given as wedding presents or instead of a dowry.
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January 24, 2016, 05:33:45 PM

Nobody will disagree with that. The question is if those fees will be paid by many tx, or just a few. If you limit the size of blocks to 1 MB (and hence, the number of tx to ~1700), the average fee/tx has to become very expensive (~$5 per tx).

Size is already 1mb, "blocks are full", "mempool has a backlog of XX mb" and tx fees for 1st block inclusion are currently at 0.04USD.

https://bitcoinfees.21.co/

"The fastest and cheapest transaction fee is currently 30 satoshis/byte, shown in green at the top.
For the median transaction size of 369 bytes, this results in a fee of 11,070 satoshis."

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January 24, 2016, 05:38:33 PM

...
Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.
...

Depends on what you mean by "for free" :- There's Google...

you pay google by advertisement

maybe we can put some advertisements on every TXs  Wink

"sponsored by Coca-Cola"
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January 24, 2016, 05:42:29 PM

It is the [use cost] that need to be increased!



Said no successful business in a competitive market anywhere.

Longterm Bitcoin has to gather enough fees to survive, without fees no miners.

Or in your business language: We can give away our product for free, said no successful business ever.

edit: the fees will longterm lead 1:1 to Bitcoins security. the higher the gathered fees the higher the security of the network.


Nobody will disagree with that. The question is if those fees will be paid by many tx, or just a few. If you limit the size of blocks to 1 MB (and hence, the number of tx to ~1700), the average fee/tx has to become very expensive (~$5 per tx).

With 1MB blocks Danny Hamilton estimates fees could reach as high as $100 a transaction.

Not sure how that works. Tx cost is (BTC $Price) * (25 BTC per block) / (2.7tps * 60sec * ~10mins) = 10,000 / 1620 = $6.17 <==lowest cost possible, i.e. blocks are full.
What am I doing wrong?
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