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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (9.1%)
8/4 - 16 (13.2%)
8/11 - 7 (5.8%)
8/18 - 6 (5%)
8/25 - 8 (6.6%)
After August - 72 (59.5%)
Total Voters: 121

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26484168 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
xhomerx10
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October 26, 2013, 08:31:14 AM
 #35041

I am officially mining bitcoin!!!  Grin Grin Grin

Hm, is it still profitable? Just canceled my BFL order, bastards....

i don't have a clue!

in 2 years when the contacts are done, ill let you know

my guess, i'll get the $ value i put into it for sure, no problem, but i paid in BTC... I should of held my BTC but i could not resist the numbers, at the time ( when mining difficulty had just started to rise ) it seemed like i was going to double or even triple my BTC ( even considering that dif would keep going up) , so i figured difficulty can not go up that much more then I estimate and i would at least get 110% of my invested BTC back, and so i bought like a mad fool.

difficulty rose way WAY higher / faster than i anticipated, and now i'm holding contracts that are likely not going to make half the BTC i put in...

You can figure it out.  Take the hashing rate of the contract you purchased in hashes/sec divide it by the current difficulty and multiply by 0.013064576229
The result is the number of Bitcoins you will ever make based on the current rate of difficulty rise.  The cost of electricity is not a consideration in this calculation.

Take care
ChartBuddy
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October 26, 2013, 09:01:57 AM
 #35042

ChartBuddy
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October 26, 2013, 10:01:49 AM
 #35043

cedivad
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October 26, 2013, 10:45:03 AM
 #35044

We should open a new mining company. A virtual mining company that sells shares.

We will give you back 25% of your investment in 2 years. No hardware required.
ChartBuddy
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October 26, 2013, 11:01:58 AM
 #35045

rpietila
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October 26, 2013, 11:26:38 AM
 #35046

We should open a new mining company. A virtual mining company that sells shares.

We will give you back 25% of your investment in 2 years. No hardware required.

Yeah. What is the problem?? If we actually bought hardware, that would further diminish the yield by increasing difficulty!!  Grin
TERA
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October 26, 2013, 11:27:27 AM
 #35047

Suddenly large staggered sell walls are stacked on all exchanges. It looks like someone doesn't want us to start an uptrend just yet, or they have some DEEP capitulation to do, like in May/June. I remember both sides of order books being large like this and fighting eachother in May after the conference.
klee
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October 26, 2013, 11:35:02 AM
 #35048

We should open a new mining company. A virtual mining company that sells shares.

We will give you back 25% of your investment in 2 years. No hardware required.

Yeah. What is the problem?? If we actually bought hardware, that would further diminish the yield by increasing difficulty!!  Grin
What if a wicked billionaire bought tons of asics and put them in IDLE mode?
ChartBuddy
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October 26, 2013, 12:01:52 PM
 #35049

ShroomsKit
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October 26, 2013, 12:02:58 PM
 #35050

Any proof those are SR's earnings?

And why in blocks of 324 BTC, seems to be a completely arbitrary number?

324 = FBI on a phone keybord. (it was is Girlfriend sitting in the wafting room doing laundry)

While this sounds like conspiracy, this could be a bigger public scam than the first Pirate to hit the Bitcoin tabloids.  I will reserve judgment until I see an official statement form a related department or many reporters report of a hearing in a US courtroom.    

What?
ardana123
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October 26, 2013, 12:52:47 PM
 #35051

Why is it I see Preet Bharara's name every time a bust happens in relation to the bitcoin world? First liberty reserve, now silk road... This guy is the US attorney for the southern district of New York apparently. So why is he involved in bringing down organisations that deal in money laundering and drug traficing?
Fuyuki_Wataru
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October 26, 2013, 01:01:38 PM
 #35052

I know how vertical chartss work. But the bitcoin charts seem to be horizontal, which confuses me. Anyone care to explain how you read those things?

http://btccharts.com/

ChartBuddy
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October 26, 2013, 01:01:59 PM
 #35053

MikeH
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October 26, 2013, 01:25:29 PM
 #35054

I think blockchain.info's being hammered as people check out the DPR transactions, timing out now.
molecular
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October 26, 2013, 01:40:13 PM
 #35055

I am officially mining bitcoin!!!  Grin Grin Grin

not feathercoin?
molecular
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October 26, 2013, 01:43:12 PM
 #35056

I am officially mining bitcoin!!!  Grin Grin Grin

Hm, is it still profitable? Just canceled my BFL order, bastards....

i don't have a clue!

in 2 years when the contacts are done, ill let you know

my guess, i'll get the $ value i put into it for sure, no problem, but i paid in BTC... I should of held my BTC but i could not resist the numbers, at the time ( when mining difficulty had just started to rise ) it seemed like i was going to double or even triple my BTC ( even considering that dif would keep going up) , so i figured difficulty can not go up that much more then I estimate and i would at least get 110% of my invested BTC back, and so i bought like a mad fool.

difficulty rose way WAY higher / faster than i anticipated, and now i'm holding contracts that are likely not going to make half the BTC i put in...

You can figure it out.  Take the hashing rate of the contract you purchased in hashes/sec divide it by the current difficulty and multiply by 0.013064576229
The result is the number of Bitcoins you will ever make based on the current rate of difficulty rise.  The cost of electricity is not a consideration in this calculation.

Take care


I wouldn't say this is a good way... The bolded assumption almost certainly not going to hold over the course of 6 months, let alone 2 years.

You'd have to calculate different scenarios of difficulty growth.
DougTanner
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October 26, 2013, 02:01:23 PM
 #35057

Looks like we're settling in for a boring weekend. See you Monday!   Wink

ChartBuddy
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October 26, 2013, 02:01:55 PM
 #35058

ag@th0s
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October 26, 2013, 02:08:42 PM
 #35059

More thoughts on being shit at trading and why Macbeth was wrong.
Looking at my trading history I wondered what my position would be if I'd simply bought 1BTC a week for every week since I first traded at Bitstamp on 3rd May.  If I'd bought one coin before midday on every Friday since, I'd now have 26BTC at an average price of $111.51 and in fiat terms (as of today @ $183.49) - I'd have made 64% profit on my outlay.  As it is, I've got less than half the coins - down about $100 and Bitstamp are the only ones who've made any profit Smiley
rpietila
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October 26, 2013, 02:09:51 PM
 #35060

You'd have to calculate different scenarios of difficulty growth.

That does not alter the outcome very much though, as the near future is near certain and after 2 months, not many coins will be generated in any scenario.
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