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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1%)
7/28 - 11 (10.8%)
8/4 - 16 (15.7%)
8/11 - 7 (6.9%)
8/18 - 5 (4.9%)
8/25 - 7 (6.9%)
After August - 55 (53.9%)
Total Voters: 102

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26459813 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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June 16, 2021, 02:01:26 PM


Explanation
philipma1957
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June 16, 2021, 02:03:24 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (2), vapourminer (1)

Current Difficulty charts are quite interesting .

Quote
https://diff.cryptothis.com/

Latest Block:   687812  (3 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   90.4244%  (357 / 394.80 expected, 37.8 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   21047730572451.55                            
Current Difficulty:   19932791027262.74                            
Next Difficulty:   between 18028300318867 and 19275475811685
Next Difficulty Change:   between -9.5546% and -3.2977%
Previous Retarget:   last Sunday at 4:06 PM  (-5.2972%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   June 28, 2021 at 3:35 AM  (in 11d 17h 41m 6s)
Next Retarget (latest):   June 29, 2021 at 3:41 AM  (in 12d 17h 46m 48s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 11h 29m 8s and 15d 11h 34m 51s


...


I have found that downward difficulty trend can put pressure on price.

Although a lot of gear that mines uses specialty power supplies. It is possible that there are missing components that prevent the power supplies from being sold.

Note no power supplies for bitmain
https://shop.bitmain.com/product/parts
or innosilicon
https://www.innosilicon.com/html/product/parts/index.html
or whatsminer
https://www.whatsminer.com/mall/classify-accessories.html
or cannon/avalon

Now all those companies cloud mine

If they hold back psu's from us and mining drops there cloud mining ops have less completion .

This angle is developing or appears to be.


cAPSLOCK
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June 16, 2021, 02:06:18 PM

Your boy LFC_Bitcoin, taking in some culture @ Van Gogh interactive art exhibition in UK.

Reppin BTC mask, not impressed with the dump.




You spelled BITCOIN on your hat wrong.  Otherwise awesome!
cAPSLOCK
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June 16, 2021, 02:21:08 PM

Here is a CURRENT visualization of the "centralized" lightning network!!



Where is that from? I did a quick search and initially, it seems there are at least 12k lightning nodes with open channels. This is even more than the count shown by bitnode / earn other website that tracks regular bitcoin full nodes that are publicly seen (including mine.)

I'd say it's a good thing that both networks have more than 10k nodes each at this time. Each LN node probably doubles as a bitcoin full node too, maybe just not seen (although it both should be visible on the network.)

https://lightninglayer.com/map

 Takes a while to render.

edit: Whoa! It uses a lot of memory as well.  Firefox is using 13 Gigs and counting with that page open.  You can move around, pan, zoom and see the node names on the map.  

Amazing, yes?  And this is just PUBLIC channels.  I have seen several estimations on private ones being in the real of 30% to 100% of the number of public channels.  And of course in that cloud of nodes there are the BIG custodial providers like Bluewallet, and WoS etc which are currently servicing THOUSANDS of clients.

I think many people heard arguments against lightning back in 2017 and have just stuck with them.  It will be centralized, payments will fail etc.  During the last 4 years several earth shattering upgrades quietly went in like "multi-path-payments", which completely changes the game.

Currently there are more lighting nodes than there are bitcoin nodes.  By a factor of 2x if I am correct. (But I am not sure if Bitnode.com is reliable as a source of truth here)


It is a little scary though.  Because Bitcoin has been battle tested for 12 years, and attacked over and over.  But the Lightning network, which is going to enable Bitcoin to scale and work before CSBCs can get their pants on has not.  And a LOT of value is pouring into it.

You have to imagine some pretty smart black hats are trying to find a vulnerability.  And if they do, it could be catastrophic.

But if they don't?

I am personally betting a pretty large sum of money on the latter.  I hope I am right. Wink

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June 16, 2021, 02:31:41 PM

No significant movement yet. Maybe the weekend will make it clearer where we're headed to?
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June 16, 2021, 03:01:35 PM


Explanation
philipma1957
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June 16, 2021, 03:20:46 PM

So downward diff is now in step with downward price.

Lets see how long they march together.
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Flippin' burgers since 1163.


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June 16, 2021, 03:44:06 PM
Merited by LoyceV (2), JayJuanGee (1)

I missed the boat:


https://twitter.com/dergigi/status/1405127156175413250
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June 16, 2021, 04:01:26 PM


Explanation
philipma1957
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June 16, 2021, 04:03:50 PM
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So diff and price are locked in a downwards trend.

What can break us out of this?

proudhon. where the fuck are you?
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June 16, 2021, 05:01:26 PM


Explanation
proudhon
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June 16, 2021, 05:08:10 PM

So diff and price are locked in a downwards trend.

What can break us out of this?

proudhon. where the fuck are you?

You rang?
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June 16, 2021, 05:55:05 PM

So diff and price are locked in a downwards trend.

What can break us out of this?

proudhon. where the fuck are you?

You rang?

Can we call you llurch now?

(see what I did there??  haha a funny - and before you call me out, I could not figure any way to make a funny using the spelling of "alpaca" and Lurch))
lightfoot
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I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)


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June 16, 2021, 05:57:40 PM

So diff and price are locked in a downwards trend.

What can break us out of this?

proudhon. where the fuck are you?
Diff dropped due to the Chinese moving miners again, right? Man I should invest in FedEx companies.
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June 16, 2021, 06:02:11 PM


Explanation
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June 16, 2021, 06:20:26 PM

Two rate hikes by the end of 2023?
They would probably do at least 4 (1%) by the end of 2022 at the latest.
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June 16, 2021, 06:37:59 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (3)


https://luchopoletti.com/collections/collectors-edition/products/dr-satoshis-orange-pill-translation-1-english-acrylic-panel

is on the way to me Cool
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June 16, 2021, 06:44:34 PM

The CEO of BitCoin has spoken:

"With the first country in the world which implemented BitCoin as a legal tender I declare every strong volatility is 'strengstens verboten' from now on."

[Sign and Seal of the CEO of BitCoin]



Something about the misspelling of bitcoin like that really irks me, even for a joke... but frequently I do appreciate dweebs spelling bitcoin like that, and if they continue to spell it like that, even when they are called out (or asked to fix their spelling), and if they refuse to fix it, that is a pretty strong sign that they are disingenuous, likely NOT very smart about what is bitcoin and also likely butt hurt too.

Your boy LFC_Bitcoin, taking in some culture @ Van Gogh interactive art exhibition in UK.

Reppin BTC mask, not impressed with the dump.




Whoaza.. you must surely be a true bitcoiner to have eyes like that in dee real life (irl).

Scary though.. just saying.

So downward diff is now in step with downward price.

Lets see how long they march together.

Are we expecting a mining death spiral?

Anyone?

Anyone?

So diff and price are locked in a downwards trend.

What can break us out of this?

proudhon. where the fuck are you?

Don't you have to zoom out a bit philip?

You seem to be repeating this same idea as if you are rooting for DOWNity.

In essence, I would say, who cares?  Let it play itself out, whether we are talking about one or two difficulty periods or whatever it takes.  Seems that bitcoin can handle this, and not even sure if BTC prices are going DOWNity yet or we may well just be experiencing a fake out.

Hopefully peeps are prepared for either BTC price direction... and sure flat is in there as well, but we just don't seem to have much preparations needed for flat, except perhaps just DCAing on a regular basis.. whether that is daily, weekly, bi-weekly or some other reasonable/convenient time period to be injecting more value into BTC and accumulating it (aka stacking sats).

It may well be prudent to also be a wee bit aggressive in making sure that you reasonably reach some kind of meaningful BTC accumulation goals, too.. think about the Michael Saylors of the world, they are not going to be waiting around for peeps like you to make sure that you acquire your $20 bitcoin per week, so if you can it may well be more reasonable and prudent to attempt some kind of DCA like $500 to $2k per week (if you can) depending upon how many BTC that you may already have and what might be your target BTC accumulation levels.  

For a starter BTC accumulation level think 1% to 10% of your investment portfolio as being a good beginning allocation into BTC, but of course there is a need to individually tailor too..... so if you do not know shit, then think 1% to 10% as you study your own situation and then figure out where you would like to be in terms of accounting for your various individual specifics, to the extent that you are able to do so... and surely also having a reasonable beginning target BTC accumulation level can at least get some no coiner (and under-allocated precoiner) peeps started.
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June 16, 2021, 06:54:59 PM

So diff and price are locked in a downwards trend.

What can break us out of this?

proudhon. where the fuck are you?

You rang?

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June 16, 2021, 07:01:25 PM


Explanation
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