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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (8.9%)
8/4 - 16 (12.9%)
8/11 - 8 (6.5%)
8/18 - 6 (4.8%)
8/25 - 8 (6.5%)
After August - 74 (59.7%)
Total Voters: 124

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26488772 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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July 06, 2021, 02:01:27 PM


Explanation
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July 06, 2021, 02:24:42 PM

Kraken — June 2021 Market Recap & Outlook

Quote
In July, a significant amount of BTC will be unlocked from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). Some analysts have already pegged this event as bearish. However, our team will explain why this may end up being a non-event, or even a bullish catalyst.

Price performance may have been lackluster in June but industry developments certainly lifted animal spirits. For instance, El Salvador made headlines around the world after it adopted BTC as an official national currency, parachain auctions launched on Kusama, and the NFT sector - which has been lagging behind - bounced back with strong fundraising rounds.


Had the same massage bro,

Wtf bearish but “maybe bullish”?Huh
Wtf

Sending to all client there getting scared

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July 06, 2021, 02:31:21 PM

Kraken — June 2021 Market Recap & Outlook

Quote
In July, a significant amount of BTC will be unlocked from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). Some analysts have already pegged this event as bearish. However, our team will explain why this may end up being a non-event, or even a bullish catalyst.

Price performance may have been lackluster in June but industry developments certainly lifted animal spirits. For instance, El Salvador made headlines around the world after it adopted BTC as an official national currency, parachain auctions launched on Kusama, and the NFT sector - which has been lagging behind - bounced back with strong fundraising rounds.

Had the same massage bro,

Wtf bearish but “maybe bullish”?Huh
Wtf

Sending to all client there getting scared

Yeah, I don't know... Has left me with a bittersweet feeling. I'm kind of expecting a dip to be honest.

SOMA feeling.
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July 06, 2021, 02:37:23 PM

Stage D and points of interest and control. I guess Bitcoin is just going to sit here and take it while second alt season heats back up. $33k to $37k ranging AOI with a $27.5k to $44.1k BOP


https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-targets-36k-key-wyckoff-level-with-altcoins-set-to-grind-up-heavier


BTC/USD Wyckoff scenario as of July 6. Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter


BTC/USD 1-day annotated candle chart. Source: Filbfilb/Twitter
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July 06, 2021, 02:59:41 PM
Merited by fillippone (3)

Kraken — June 2021 Market Recap & Outlook

Quote
In July, a significant amount of BTC will be unlocked from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). Some analysts have already pegged this event as bearish. However, our team will explain why this may end up being a non-event, or even a bullish catalyst.

Price performance may have been lackluster in June but industry developments certainly lifted animal spirits. For instance, El Salvador made headlines around the world after it adopted BTC as an official national currency, parachain auctions launched on Kusama, and the NFT sector - which has been lagging behind - bounced back with strong fundraising rounds.

Had the same massage bro,

Wtf bearish but “maybe bullish”?Huh
Wtf

Sending to all client there getting scared
Yeah, I don't know... Has left me with a bittersweet feeling. I'm kind of expecting a dip to be honest.

SOMA feeling.

This is a non event. Each month the shares bought 6 months ago can be sold on the secondary market, which has nothing to do with the spot exchanges. So now the bitcoins bought on Jan above 30K with a positive premium can be sold at lower prices with a negative premium - definitely not attractive. The negative premium could attract new buyers who don't have an access to the spot market, which is bullish in general. But there is no big rush because after 6 months if the premium is still negative, there might not be a (big) profit, selling on the secondary market. So everyone is looking for another means of purchasing bitcoins, like the two Canadian ETF's.
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July 06, 2021, 03:00:56 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)


Look there Buddy.

I think we mighta got off on the wrong foot.

So let's try this again.

I wanna see my fuckin numbers on that chart by sunrise. Or else. Capice?



You just made him an offer he can't refuse.

Btw, what shoe size does buddy have?
(Asking for a friend of my cousins' friends brother who generously offered to help with buddy's unwillingness to display higher prices. He just asks for a little favor in return.)


(source: https://www.storypick.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/cement-shoes.jpg)

I mean seriously, everybody who has been around for some time here should know better, the BTC-price discovery doesn't work that way by threatening a buddy bot.
The only way to efficiently increase the price is by loudly and desperately yelling at red candles on your screen (@vapourminer: the little girl scream definitely is an option here too).
Just make sure the yelling is really directed toward the red candle, otherwise a green candle could feel it is yelled at and the whole thing could backfire.
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July 06, 2021, 03:01:35 PM


Explanation
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July 06, 2021, 03:15:22 PM

Buddy is continuing to hold up his end of the deal 34k+

and the diff is working magic

it finally is moving at the -5%  number I thought would happen for this next period.

Quote

https://diff.cryptothis.com/

Latest Block:   689907  (a few seconds ago)
Current Pace:   89.9014%  (436 / 484.98 expected, 48.98 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   19932791027262.74                           
Current Difficulty:   14363025673659.96                           
Next Difficulty:   between 12936784586655 and 13777090946100
Next Difficulty Change:   between -9.9299% and -4.0795%
Previous Retarget:   last Saturday at 2:25 AM  (-27.9427%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   July 17, 2021 at 4:58 PM  (in 11d 5h 43m 50s)
Next Retarget (latest):   July 18, 2021 at 4:09 PM  (in 12d 4h 54m 49s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 14h 33m 35s and 15d 13h 44m 34s
...
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July 06, 2021, 03:38:20 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Today I don’t know which is more depressing

Belgium weather ups and downs
Belgium traffic
BTC sideways

Though only one is a longtime certainty for succes
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July 06, 2021, 04:01:27 PM


Explanation
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July 06, 2021, 04:27:46 PM
Last edit: July 06, 2021, 04:55:34 PM by aysg76
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Regular investment of fixed amount  keeping the pump and dump aside for a certain period until I run out of so called inflationary and centralised fiat could help me relax more.Going on with this strategy from past few months.Contributing at my level going opposite of the bears so don't give a fuck about them.

EDIT: Will a post a detailed thread about this investment strategy of mine.
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July 06, 2021, 04:49:25 PM

Regular investment of fixed amount  keeping the pump and dump aside for a certain period until I run out of so called inflationary and centralised fiat could help me relax more.Going on with this strategy from past few months.Contributing at my level going opposite of the bears so don't give a fuck about them.


Yeah I do a weekly dca.
And mine and hold the btc.

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July 06, 2021, 05:01:27 PM


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July 06, 2021, 05:12:56 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), fillippone (3), vapourminer (2), JayJuanGee (1), bitebits (1)

@WClementeIII
Tick Tock. $BTC

https://twitter.com/wclementeiii/status/1412440156662120450?s=21


@Blockwork
China bans Facebook → Creates Weibo
China bans Youtube → Creates Youku
China bans Google → Creates Baidu
China bans Whatsapp → Creates WeChat
China bans Bitcoin → Creates e-yuan
https://twitter.com/blockworks_/status/1412399705368190981?s=21


@mikealfred
Institutional investors are quietly buying now. They will wait to announce their investments until #Bitcoin  is back at all time highs in the fall. Don't be the person buying their announcements. Buy now and front-run the smartest money on the planet.
https://twitter.com/mikealfred/status/1412440151263830017?s=21


@Bloqport
JUST IN: Allied Payment announces partnership with NYDIG, enabling community banks & credit unions to offer consumers the ability to buy, sell & hold #Bitcoin .

Allied is the first in the industry to embed this service in a bill pay platform.
https://twitter.com/bloqport/status/1412414905647611910?s=21


@danheld
2013: "Bitcoin crashes to $50"
2015: "Bitcoin crashes to $200"
2018: "Bitcoin crashes to $3,000"
2021: "Bitcoin crashes to $30,000"

Notice a pattern?
https://twitter.com/danheld/status/1412422912011902983?s=21
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July 06, 2021, 06:01:06 PM

Today I don’t know which is more depressing

Belgium weather ups and downs
Belgium traffic
BTC sideways

Though only one is a longtime certainty for succes

 There's always Belgian chocolate for that Smiley
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July 06, 2021, 06:01:36 PM


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July 06, 2021, 06:39:27 PM
Merited by fillippone (2), AlcoHoDL (1)

Moon time.

Oops. Disregard. Carry on.

My bad.

Sorry.

I tried.

EDIT: ... but on the bright side, holy fucking shit is my $30 daily DCA doing very well since I started.

How is this idea

Huobi market shows that BTC fell below 33500 USDT and now stands at 33499.5USDT, a drop of 4.84% in 24H.

So?

How about this miners that have gear are whaling.
The farm I manage  used to earn 1700 x .00000480 = 0.00816 btc a day or  522 usd when coins were 64k
now It earns 1700 x .00000922 =  0.015674 btc a day or  523 usd  a day  today

For all non-Chinese farms this is a golden opportunity that has never occurred til this year.

....

I suspect that the gear shutdown was not done in China against the Likes of Bitmain,Cannan/Avalon,Innosilicon,WhatsMiner/Microbt
My guess is they engineered the shut down because they have no gear to sell due to the chip shortage.

So if you own a 17eh farm bitmain claimed to have that it was making:

17,000 x 0.0048 = 81 coins a day
now it makes
17,000 x 0.0092 = 156 coins a day

They only needed to have a few farms out of china to do this.

We know this

1) no new gear due to a lack of chips = true
2) bitmain claimed to have 10% of the world hashrate = true
3) at least 1 large cloud farm viabtc shut down = true
4) bitmain + viabtc had that farm as a joint venture = true
5) 50% of the worlds hash in btc is shut off = true
6) almost 50% of the world hash in ltc+doge is shut off= true
7) before the shuts downs bitmain claimed to have 10% or btc hash= true
8 ) miners with farms outside of china are earning same cash but 2x the coins =true

the only thing we do not know is where is the 17eh that Bitmain claimed to have. = true
If it was outside China this is all a huge bull move on their part. = true.


So it all bears a lot of watching to see if it is the most amazing bull coiling for a moon shot in price. Well over the old 64k high!

I cleaned up typos and pulled out the shit coin info. From my other post in a different thread.

My hope is this posts ages very well.

oh I have a $50 usd DCA for BTC along with the mining we do.

Just to put in my superficial 2 satoshis assessment for some members to attempt to identify and appreciate what might be better practices.

If guys are generating income in bitcoin (or even shitcoins that they are cashing into fiat) on a regular basis, it makes quite a bit of sense to set up a regular DCA, whether that be daily, weekly or some other period of time that is reasonable for such a person that is attempting to ongoingly aggressively stack satoshis.  Hopefully, there is no real immediate need to have those dollars to be liquid in the coming years, even if we might consider 4 years as our current considerations for new money that is put into bitcoin.  Of course, there is still some questioning regarding whether our BTC top is yet in for this particular, and sure our current top is $64,895, and of course there is a lot of theorizing (perhaps even the majority of the louder voices that are making such claims that the "top is already in." 

Many of us longer bitcoiners are taking such claims of the "top already being in" with a considerably large grain of salt, even though we are being accused of talking our books too.. so even though none of us really appreciate being accused of talking our books, there still does seem to be a considerable amount of evidence that the fat lady has not yet sung for this particular cycle... but time will tell, won't it.. and we should have some pretty good ideas by the end of this calendar year (and sure we should likely know sooner, but who knows around here), and sure we might not even get confirmation until the next calendar year (referring to 2022), and so I am not going to be surprise about any of those kinds of delayed (pumpening) scenarios playing out and attempts to suggest (or assert) that all previous (and seemingly currently valid) BTC price prediction models are all wrong, but likely when we zoom out and we attempt to see the same picture, we will likely find that the BTC price performance pattern is not really very far off of the currently valid BTC price prediction models, even though we have difficult times being able to figure out where the fuck we are at while we are in the midst of the progress of exponential s-curve adoption or whatever other blah blah blah that happens to be our reality that we are being told is "not happening" - even though it is.  hahhahahaha... sucks to be a no coiner or one of those smarter than everyone else fucktards that are going to end up buying their coins in the supra $200k arena because they thought that $35k was too expensive. 

Just want to also say that regarding the guys who are also pretty big whales, but probably sold too many coins at various points in the $16ks or whatever, sure there might be some regret so you engage in a dollar cost averaging to buy back coins, but part of the fact of the matter still exists that sometimes we may end up selling way too many coins way too soon, and I am not completely sure if DCAing is the resolution of that rather than just living with the consequences of those kinds of earlier sales.  Each of us should be trying to figure these matters out for ourselves, and I do understand that sometimes even mistakes that I have made along the way such as not securing some of my coins well enough end up in real BIG losses, but in the end, some of the other aspects of BTC prices going up 5x or 6x and then correcting to ONLY 3.5x correction zone can make even large mistakes (such as losing 30% or more of your BTC stash) showing your overall BTC collection as still profitable, because instead of being 3.5x in profits with BTC prices in the $34ks to $35ks, you are ONLY 2x in profits (or something like that).  I guess my point is that sometimes mistakes are made and guys might be profitable as fuck, but might be trying to hold themselves out as a kind of genius, but bitcoin's level of profitability does cause a lot of us appear to be kind of like geniuses even though we made a lot of mistakes along the way that should not really be considered best practices, but might be a decently adequate mitigating of losses approach given whatever mistakes that we had made earlier. 

Hopefully, many of us are here to try to learn from our mistakes and the mistakes of others in order to lessen the likelihood that we are making mistakes, even though we may well not be able to eliminate all of our ongoing mistakes - even here there may be some guys who are way more allocated in cash than they should be because they are placing a higher than rational probability that BTC is going to go below $20k or something like that, and even though they would become quite well off if BTC prices do actually go below $20k, they are likely putting too much value on that bet which causes their play to be more like gambling on down rather than adequately pee paring their lil selfies for UP... which has tended to be a common mistake in times like these...

I spoke to an admittedly no-coiner in-law of mine in the past couple of days and we came to a bit of a logger head when he actually admitted that he was a no-coiner, but he bragged about getting into BTC and various shitcoins at around $20k (and thinking that he may have been more heavily into shitcoins, but kind of avoiding getting into too many specifics with him because he did say he gained on some lost  on some but overall he had gained) and then he got out in the $50ks or something and he is feeling so smart because he is purporting to NOT be in anything - even though I told him that I don't play like that and I am in bitcoin and have a long term approach.. but sure he will be feeling smug if the BTC prices go down to sub $25k or whatever might happen to be his reentrance price point, or maybe a passage of time in the $35ks of 6 months or more, he might be willing to get back in at $30k.. because he is so smart, you know. .. so then when I am just sitting back and just HODLing my BTC and they might be going down in value if the price drops, he is not worried about the price dropping, but he has no current level of preparation for UP, and he does not feel any strong urge to prepare for UP either because he has got a vision that may well end up playing out and cause him to be able to get more bang for his buck and in the meantime have more assurance that when he does actually get back in  that his bet on UP at that point is going to be solid... so I cannot proclaim that I know, except to say that a lot of smarter than everyone else have missed out on profitable bitcoin days (which might not be too many per year) when they wait out matters.. and from $10k to $20k was no laughing matter to say that you got in at $20k rather than already having had been in at $10k.. so the future can play out in ways that we are not really able to tell at this point, but we have seen bitcoin go on an upward tear, and before you know it sub $50k is not possible anymore even though we have already been floating in the mid $35ks for more than 6 weeks already (which can end up being a blip of time in the whole scheme of things).
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July 06, 2021, 06:48:37 PM
Last edit: May 15, 2023, 11:34:54 PM by fillippone

Today I don’t know which is more depressing

Belgium weather ups and downs
Belgium traffic
BTC sideways

Though only one is a longtime certainty for succes

 There's always Belgian chocolate for that Smiley


Or you could watch the Euro 2020....

Ops....


Speaking of which:

ITA
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@ddmrddmr @VB1001 @LUCKMYFLY @famesuosmortos are you ready?
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July 06, 2021, 06:52:57 PM
Merited by fillippone (2)

Today I don’t know which is more depressing

Belgium weather ups and downs
Belgium traffic
BTC sideways

Though only one is a longtime certainty for succes

 There's always Belgian chocolate for that Smiley


Or you could watch the Euro 2020....

Ops....


EK is just warm up for WK
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July 06, 2021, 06:57:49 PM
Merited by DeathAngel (3), fillippone (3), JayJuanGee (1)

@intocryptoverse
Just because someone told you all of 2021 would be bullish for #Bitcoin  does not mean it will play out like that.

Just because the same people told you all of 2022 would be bearish for #Bitcoin  does not mean it will play out like that.
https://twitter.com/intocryptoverse/status/1412476342080258049?s=21
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