Bitcoin Forum
May 01, 2026, 11:46:37 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 30.2 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

Pages: « 1 ... 30996 30997 30998 30999 31000 31001 31002 31003 31004 31005 31006 31007 31008 31009 31010 31011 31012 31013 31014 31015 31016 31017 31018 31019 31020 31021 31022 31023 31024 31025 31026 31027 31028 31029 31030 31031 31032 31033 31034 31035 31036 31037 31038 31039 31040 31041 31042 31043 31044 31045 [31046] 31047 31048 31049 31050 31051 31052 31053 31054 31055 31056 31057 31058 31059 31060 31061 31062 31063 31064 31065 31066 31067 31068 31069 31070 31071 31072 31073 31074 31075 31076 31077 31078 31079 31080 31081 31082 31083 31084 31085 31086 31087 31088 31089 31090 31091 31092 31093 31094 31095 31096 ... 35742 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26965834 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Torque
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3822
Merit: 5504



View Profile
August 15, 2022, 05:08:04 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Least anyone thinks my statements are bearish, I define "more sideways" as any price between where we are now and $40k.

I would say that is pretty fkn bullish.

Don't lump me in with the "WhE ArE GoInG tO CrASh BeLOw $17K !!!!" nutters, pls.    Roll Eyes

Although I stand by what I said: no new bullrun possible with a) Fed still raising rates and b) China economy still crashing.

The Fed is playing a game of chicken with EM on rates:
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-unexpectedly-cuts-rates-terrible-econ-data-confirms-alarming-slowdown-yields-plunge

China and others will soon cave.
Gachapin
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1554
Merit: 2968


bitcoin retard


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 05:17:36 PM


Least anyone thinks my statements are bearish, I define "more sideways" as any price between where we are now and $40k.

I would say that is pretty fkn bullish.

Don't lump me in with the "WhE ArE GoInG tO CrASh BeLOw $17K !!!!" nutters, pls.    Roll Eyes

Although I stand by what I said: no new bullrun possible with a) Fed still raising rates and b) China economy still crashing.

I know I know...

I merited it for the nice meming skills, not for the precision of the content Cheesy
Biodom
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 4480
Merit: 6169



View Profile
August 15, 2022, 05:35:23 PM

This is very interesting comparison of bitcoin price verses addresses holding more then 10k$ worth of bitcoin.
You can see when price of bitcoin touched 69k$ on 11 Nov 2021, the addresses have gone done. That means Whales were in selling mood at that time. Now as price has gone down, whales are once again accumulating bitcoins.
Key Takeaway: whales are called whales because of this reason.

My few satoshis that I extracted from this graph.



Image source

You and the twitter guy both seem to misinterpret the graph.
It is not the graph of people with more than $10K in a wallet, it is a graph of wallets with more than 10K bitcoin.
Naturally, as the total number of bitcoin got mined from 0% to 90%, the number of such wallets should rise in the graph just like that.
Additionally, one can conclude that large whales were selling/distributing bitcoin since 2016.
Their slice of the pie is melting, which is a natural progression as well, correlating with an exponential increase in wallets containing 0.1-1 btc (shown in prior discussions and here: https://coingape.com/retail-bitcoin-holders-with-balance-0-01-0-1-btc-reaches-new-high/).
some additional stats are here (check the references as well):
https://bitcoinist.com/how-many-people-actually-have-at-least-1-bitcoin/

Here is what I have to say on this matter.
The graph says "number of addresses with balance >10k" vs "bitcoin price". It doesnt matter how many bitcoin wallet has, a wallet will be counted as long as it has more then balance of 10k. For instance, if wallet has 0.42 bitcoins or more then its counted, as 0.42 bitcoin equals 10,000$ (as of today). On same ground, on 19 Nov 2021 when price of bitcoin was at 69K then those address that have 0.14 or more bitcoins will be included in that graph as on that day 0.14 bitcoins equals 10,000$.

https://coingape.com/retail-bitcoin-holders-with-balance-0-01-0-1-btc-reaches-new-high/
Data here is about wallets having balance in terms of bitcoins i.e. 0.01 - 0.1 and its prior to June 2021. So we don't have data about how things were when Bitcoin was at its ATH (19 Nov 2021) versus current rate.

I tried to find that myself on glassnode but since I don't have a premium account, I get access to data till 14 August 2021 not latest one.
Again just my few cents that I extracted from my little research. Suggestions / Corrections are welcome.  


On the left is the number of wallets...on the right is the price.
Does the number 100, 60, 40...say anything.? Of course it does..it says that they are talking about the number of wallets with >10K bitcoins (not $$).
Do you think that there are only about 100 wallets with more than $10K?
Of course, not, there are probably about a million of such wallets according to https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html
mRTHroo
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 67
Merit: 61


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 05:37:53 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

The broker has 3.6 million users and its new trading platform developed in partnership with the Nasdaq can scale to support one million users for bitcoin trading.



Source
LFC_Bitcoin
Diamond Hands
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 4256
Merit: 12769



View Profile
August 15, 2022, 05:49:42 PM
Merited by fillippone (3), buwaytress (2), CLS63 (1)

Not seen any WO bro’s throw the sign for a while. Here I am at Anfield, game kicks off in just over an hour. I noticed Wasabi have a small partnership with LFC which is kinda cool.



(Phone signal awful in these seats. Sorry for poor quality image)
Little Mouse
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 2772
Merit: 3600


Marketing Campaign Manager |Telegram ID- @LT_Mouse


View Profile WWW
August 15, 2022, 05:53:55 PM

I noticed Wasabi have a small partnership with LFC which is kinda cool.



(Phone signal awful in these seats. Sorry for poor quality image)
I thought Wasabi Wallet lol.
It partnered long ago.
ThemePen
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 1484
Merit: 984


I stand with Palestine.


View Profile WWW
August 15, 2022, 05:54:14 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

63 days bottoming.
 
If this trend of shortening bottoms is to have any validity then something should start to happen this week.


https://mobile.twitter.com/JohalMiles/status/1559186990792413184
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 06:04:58 PM


Explanation
348Judah
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Activity: 1442
Merit: 670


Vave.com - Crypto Casino


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 06:23:42 PM

The football team Villarreal CF has made it to the bitcoin level with a sign up with zoomex, a cryptocurrency exchange for sponsorship, i can't imagine how wide the adoption will go in sport game clubs with the use of bitcoin in making their payments transactions with players.
https://twitter.com/BTC_Archive/status/1559166222641631233?t=Mo4nVl-71M_IWNHPfTQYsQ&s=19
WatChe
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1624
Merit: 1012



View Profile WWW
August 15, 2022, 06:29:43 PM
Last edit: August 15, 2022, 06:59:56 PM by WatChe


On the left is the number of wallets...on the right is the price.
Does the number 100, 60, 40...say anything.? Of course it does..it says that they are talking about the number of wallets with >10K bitcoins (not $$).
Do you think that there are only about 100 wallets with more than $10K?
Of course, not, there are probably about a million of such wallets according to https://bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html

Yes I have to agree with your argument. Thank you for correcting me.






Bitcoin is everywhere!


https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1558888028298412033?t=Cgu02NClD9f6RnR0ToaPDg&s=19

this is how we roll... bitcoin is irresistible, bitcoin is everywhere, clear your doubts about it and join the train to invest today.

old one...  Roll Eyes





Image source
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 07:04:52 PM


Explanation
JayJuanGee
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 4438
Merit: 14364


Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 07:20:16 PM
Last edit: August 15, 2022, 07:38:06 PM by JayJuanGee
Merited by Hueristic (1)

here's how Greg Foss make his own explanation mathematically about bitcoin used as global asset and his concluding approach towards the increase in bitcoin and its adoption as it increases in value from the global asset gradually against all other forms of assets

https://twitter.com/mcshane_writes/status/1558946443506982914?t=S1yimfZIsRZnUCbXcFxnnA&s=19
less of the talks, the conclusion is just make sure you buy bitcoin.

Perhaps members here would send you more smerits if you tried to make your images more presentable?  size.

For sure that infographic makes sense if you know what Foss's argument is.

So he is asserting that the whole current addressable market of value that bitcoin could represent is $900 trillion, and if bitcoin were to capture 5% of that addressable market, then bitcoin would be worth $210k at this time.  

Yet our current bitcoin price is quite a bit below $210k, which means that you should continue to buy bitcoin.  

on the other hand, if you do not believe the model, then you better rethink your thinkings about the model because it is fairly conservative model (and still buy bitcoin while you are rethinking your model.. hahahahaha)  

It's a great argument, once you understand it... and that graph is a wee bit mathematical.. but if you continue to think about what it means, then it should start to make sense for anyone who is older that 10 years old (presumably able to employ logic.. hahahaha and some folks younger than 10 years old should be able to understand these kinds of concepts and logic, too).

The current failure to capture & subsequently hodl $25,000 doesn’t fill me with confidence that the bottom is in. I would advise you all to have dry powder loaded on exchanges for potential lower lows. I’ve seen this movie too many times before.

Honeybadger will wake up & start going on a tear but maybe not for a year or more.

Sure no problem.. .but pee pare ur lil selfie for UP, too..

In other words, be careful in terms of overly preparing for a DOWN that may or may not end up happening.

Remember $4k in 2019.... there was a bit of dancing around before the BTC price finally broke above it.

I surely have buy orders down to around $13k, but it is quite possible that we will never see sub 200-week moving average, ever again (I mean in this cycle).

Remember 2015?

We spent more than 8 months largely around mid-$200s, and we had one test of $300 in July, yet in January 2015 we had a dip down to around $150... and then again in August we had another test of $200.. but it did not really break below $200, but it sure felt dire and low to get a second test of down around 8 months after the first test of down.. and those kinds of test are not inevitable, even if they happen, and there were still quite a few folks who failed to prepare for UP during that time, and any coins that you bought through most of 2015 would have been good to buy even if your confidence was not that great and even if you might have had some cash in reserves just in case the BTC price dropped lower..

so it was not completely easy to get back above $300.. but it ended up happening. and then those sub $300 prices were not even available.. and the same ended up being true for sub $500 coins in May 2016.. so the dire gloom about dips being inevitable or having high odds of happening should not preclude you from making sure that you are prepared for up (even if you are simultaneously preparing for down (just in case))...



Fuck crypto.

The current failure to capture & subsequently hodl $25,000 doesn’t fill me with confidence that the bottom is in. I would advise you all to have dry powder loaded on exchanges for potential lower lows. I’ve seen this movie too many times before.

Honeybadger will wake up & start going on a tear but maybe not for a year or more.
Would love to see around $12k-$13k though I have started buying ever since it got down to $17k.

Hopefully you are prepared for Up too, little mouse.. just in case your downity prayer does not end up happening as you be hopening.

Lot's of people end up fucking themselves when they either get too greedy in their downity preparations.. and at the same time failing/refusing to do the prudent things, such as DCAing or at least having some preparations for UP.. rather than hoping for a bargain that may well not end up happening... and you might even be lucky to get any more coins below the 200-week moving average which is at about $23k right now.

The current failure to capture & subsequently hodl $25,000 doesn’t fill me with confidence that the bottom is in. I would advise you all to have dry powder loaded on exchanges for potential lower lows. I’ve seen this movie too many times before.

Honeybadger will wake up & start going on a tear but maybe not for a year or more.

I would normally disregard such a bearish post by LFCB but taking into account the guy almost caught the previous ATH and cashed out near the top this makes me feel concerned. Selling now and buying back at $17k-$15k-$13k seems too easy to be true. Easy money. What if there will be no last bottom as there was no blowoff top? Play safe and hodl or gamble?  Undecided

Horey sheit.. !!

anyone selling to buy back lower is dumb as fuck.

Even though there are ways to shave some of while the price is going up to have insurance in case it goes down.. but that is a different story than any kind of need to be selling large portions of your stash at these prices.

On the other hand: Do whatever the fuck you want.  Sell all your BTC waiting for the price to make a lower low (such as sub $17,593), and have fun staying poor..   even waiting for sub 200-week moving average or alternatively sub $21k could end in the same results.. the HFSP results.
serveria.com
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2744
Merit: 1370


Privacy Servers. Since 2009.


View Profile WWW
August 15, 2022, 07:29:20 PM



Well-deserved!  Grin
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 08:04:52 PM


Explanation
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 09:04:56 PM


Explanation
348Judah
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Activity: 1442
Merit: 670


Vave.com - Crypto Casino


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 09:20:33 PM

Quote
[Perhaps members here would send you more smerits if you tried to make your images more presentable?  size.

Thanks for the observation


As a bitcoiner what else could i have anticipated for than the real candle stick with bitcoin, in knowing this, which is the only legitimate night to candle with bitcoin while other candle remain an alternative.



every monday is a good day for a start of business for the week, here we are on to it.
best night, watch candle with bitcoin.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 10:04:55 PM


Explanation
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 11:03:29 PM


Explanation
Republikcoin.com
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3416
Merit: 1105


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile
August 15, 2022, 11:53:12 PM

every monday is a good day for a start of business for the week, here we are on to it.
best night, watch candle with bitcoin.
I watch almost every day and sometimes buy as much Bitcoin as I can without seeing what day it is and never think about dating someone. Because I enjoy life more when I see the market start to move up and also when it goes down when I want to make some purchases including Bitcoin. So if you want to do business with the crypto space, I don't think you have to start on Monday, because anyone can start on any day.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2898
Merit: 2483


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
August 16, 2022, 12:01:25 AM


Explanation
Pages: « 1 ... 30996 30997 30998 30999 31000 31001 31002 31003 31004 31005 31006 31007 31008 31009 31010 31011 31012 31013 31014 31015 31016 31017 31018 31019 31020 31021 31022 31023 31024 31025 31026 31027 31028 31029 31030 31031 31032 31033 31034 31035 31036 31037 31038 31039 31040 31041 31042 31043 31044 31045 [31046] 31047 31048 31049 31050 31051 31052 31053 31054 31055 31056 31057 31058 31059 31060 31061 31062 31063 31064 31065 31066 31067 31068 31069 31070 31071 31072 31073 31074 31075 31076 31077 31078 31079 31080 31081 31082 31083 31084 31085 31086 31087 31088 31089 31090 31091 31092 31093 31094 31095 31096 ... 35742 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!