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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (8.9%)
8/4 - 16 (12.9%)
8/11 - 8 (6.5%)
8/18 - 6 (4.8%)
8/25 - 8 (6.5%)
After August - 74 (59.7%)
Total Voters: 124

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26488197 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
xulescu
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April 15, 2014, 10:55:14 AM

I think I will start closing my longs soon. BFX swaps are worrisome.
p0peji
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April 15, 2014, 10:55:27 AM

big bulltrap coming up.  Grin
Ivanhoe
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April 15, 2014, 10:55:45 AM

I thought all the MACD's were pointing down? What happened guys?!? Grin
p0peji
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April 15, 2014, 10:58:11 AM

BTC-e price spike was to squeeze the shorts, now we can go down again.
dreamspark
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April 15, 2014, 10:59:28 AM

BTC-e price spike was to squeeze the shorts, now we can go down again.

Hope you closed your  $445 short before this run...
ChartBuddy
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


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April 15, 2014, 11:00:21 AM


Explanation
p0peji
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April 15, 2014, 11:00:52 AM

BTC-e price spike was to squeeze the shorts, now we can go down again.

Hope you closed your  $445 short before this run...

Closed it at 465 and went long, so I am not rly sad about that.
ShroomsKit
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April 15, 2014, 11:01:43 AM

I think I will start closing my longs soon. BFX swaps are worrisome.

You do that. Yeah those bfx swaps look real bad  Cheesy
Whatever that is.
aminorex
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April 15, 2014, 11:01:48 AM


TERA always has valid argument and graces the forum with balance. too bad he's not a bull though  Cheesy shroomskit just wanna be loved.

Hate to disagree on this point.  TERA always has an argument.  The conclusion is correct more often than the argument is valid.
TERA
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April 15, 2014, 11:02:23 AM

I thought all the MACD's were pointing down? What happened guys?!? Grin
Wrong. The 1D MACD crossed up and I predicted a rally exactly to this level.
Ivanhoe
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April 15, 2014, 11:03:33 AM

I thought all the MACD's were pointing down? What happened guys?!? Grin
Wrong. The 1D MACD crossed up and I predicted a rally exactly to this level.
Ofcourse, but that's not what i read in this topic.
freebit13
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April 15, 2014, 11:05:14 AM

And how the hell I'm ever going to guess correctly at when the "best place is?"

The whole reason I sold at 400 was to try and come back in at a lower point. All that did was waste money and energy if I really believe in a long-term hold of btc.
If you want to make short-term profits, don't buy, stay away... you'll get eaten... if you "believe in long-term hold of btc", then now is as good a time to buy as any. If you buy and hold for a year, you're bound to make a profit, but you'll need patience  Wink
dreamspark
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April 15, 2014, 11:06:33 AM

BTC-e price spike was to squeeze the shorts, now we can go down again.

Hope you closed your  $445 short before this run...

Closed it at 465 and went long, so I am not rly sad about that.

Good lad.
chessnut
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April 15, 2014, 11:06:40 AM


TERA always has valid argument and graces the forum with balance. too bad he's not a bull though  Cheesy shroomskit just wanna be loved.

Hate to disagree on this point.  TERA always has an argument.  The conclusion is correct more often than the argument is valid.


well of coarse it's not valid cos he/she's not a bull Cheesy
but give a dog a bone.
Zule
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April 15, 2014, 11:06:44 AM

I thought all the MACD's were pointing down? What happened guys?!? Grin
Line lovers are loudest when it goes sideways.
TERA
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April 15, 2014, 11:07:24 AM

EW analysts: Is this an elliot wave?

dreamspark
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April 15, 2014, 11:07:48 AM

I thought all the MACD's were pointing down? What happened guys?!? Grin
Wrong. The 1D MACD crossed up and I predicted a rally exactly to this level.

Time to short yet then TERA?
Zule
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April 15, 2014, 11:09:07 AM

Elliot is waving from a train, yelling CCMF
podyx
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April 15, 2014, 11:09:22 AM

BTC-e price spike was to squeeze the shorts, now we can go down again.

Hope you closed your  $445 short before this run...

Closed it at 465 and went long, so I am not rly sad about that.

JayJuanGee
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April 15, 2014, 11:10:06 AM

Then everyone said if it broke 400 we were screwed and there was NO good news from China at all so I sold at 399.

unfortunately a lot of people lose btc by trying to gauge sentiment here before realising most posts are just random gibberish and those that post those things usually don't believe it themselves.

you've taken a hit but you'll recover, just remember to only trade with a portion of your btc (or just hold) so you can be patient and not freak out at sudden movements.


There were a lot of fancy charts and lines and people with autistic math friends Wink

I've learned my lesson.



You have not learned your lesson though.  The biggest lesson is patience.  and buying back here and now is not the best place to have made a trade.

And how the hell I'm ever going to guess correctly at when the "best place is?"

The whole reason I sold at 400 was to try and come back in at a lower point. All that did was waste money and energy if I really believe in a long-term hold of btc.


You may need to reflect on the matter.  NONE of us can really know your situation better than you. 

However, for example, it is possible that you could have taken your lumpsum that you just bought in with and to strategically decided how to invest it over the next weeks or even months.

 Maybe, for example half right away, then 15% at $490 15% at $480 and 20% at $470? Of course there are other scenarios, too.. and surely it is possible that we will never see $499 again. 

To figure out a strategy that will cause you NOT to act too quickly and with your whole BTC investment would likely take a little more work, but it may save you in the long run.   

On the other hand, what you did may be more suitable to you, and maybe you already know that.    NOW, on the other hand, if BTC prices drop back to $400 or $300, what are you going to do?  you will just wait it out?  or buy more?  or what? 

I am also somewhat anxious when n the price is dropping and I am buying.. and the value of my whole portfolio is dropping.

My personal plan is to continue to buy as the price drops.  otherwise I mostly HODL. 

I do some other variations, but that is usually with a small number of coins.  Sometimes I win with those other coins, but frequently it is a big waste of time for me and my personality to try to trade (at least I have NOT figured out a sure technique, yet).  On the other hand, I foresee that if the price shoots up (for an extended period of time) past my average buy in price, I may take some profits... that is if i think that the price is way above the likelihood that it will continue to go up.. I may wait until $1,500 before I do that? NOT sure yet, will have to see how quickly the price goes up, if at all.

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