Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[AlcoHoDL]

That’s wisest!

Speaking of AI and wise men, here's how Stable Diffusion AI thinks the ancient Greek philosopher Heraclitus of Ephesus looked like in 500 BC:



[Source]

[1714298722]

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[1714298722]

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[1714298722]

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[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[eXPHorizon]

You know you hit the spot when they start mobbing up with random trash bullshit 🤭

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Lida93]

Wow! What a way to express hatred towards a thing.

And  9 years after this FUD bitcoin is still making giant strides. I think pain went straight to the other camp.

[jojo69]

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Antisthenes]

~ me

~ me ~

How about you take a step back and stop thinking only about your silly idiotic self.

I was a bit surprised to wake up to a greater than $38K BTC price this morning.

Hey, I’m totally surprised you still post here tbh. Pay that good?

USA is also a good place to visit but they dont issue visa easily.

The USA is what?
Don’t get me wrong, I’m sure it has nice places to visit and some nice people, but WTF are you talking about?
American citizens with 3 working brain cells and above, that can afford to, are massively fleeing their country.

I gather that you are conceding the effectiveness of yours truly... in your own little inartful way.

Your … effectiveness, is only as good as my lifeless keyboard.

Now I have a question for you punk, why is it that Bob and microgoosens never ever merit your sorry ass posts?

Quotes:
"Bitcoin is rat poison squared."
"Bitcoin is disgusting and contrary to the interests of civilization."

Okay, let’s all pretend that you’re that gullible. Pfff.

A sad day for investors as Charlie Munger was certainly one of the greats. It will be interesting to see how Berkshire Hathaway adjusts its strategy going forward and this will certainly be a wake up call to Warren Buffett that he needs to have a solid succession plan in place. I will await whatever wise words Warren Buffett has to say about this.

Sucking two dicks in one go, bravo!

Bitcoin IS rat Poison, he just didn't realize who the Fucking Rats are.

Ahhh, the rats you refer to - are the cats, and the rat is … well … you, bud.
Now a dog, will brake both of your backs.

Thank you for doing your part, Charlie.

Yeah, sorry you didn’t make it Charlie.

$40k by Friday?

Bawb!
How nice of you to drop a word.

#keep.droping

Alittle more than 75% of all Bljatcoins in existence is owned by the Chinese / Chajnese Gov. And you are supporting that 🤭🤣

Tell me why I care.

First things first, you’re better than hating the Chinese.
Secondly, sure, I can relate that China holds the most corn to any other country, despite the mining ban shenanigans, and the US recently overtaking mining dominance.
Finally, what can this mean? China is the world’s leading industry already, so going onboard the Bitcoin standard instead of any FIAT, only good will come to the pleb holders.

And please, don’t tell me that it seeks to destroy it.

Gotta say, I've been having a lot of fun with the Bing AI image creator... It is super detailed, just a lot of prompts are blocked as being "unsafe"; sometimes apparently for no reason. Its my right to be able to see AI Jesus shaking hands with Benjamin Netanyahu. Finally, there's a reason to use Bing.

I’d like to tell you that there is a special place for you in Hell, but there is not.
When you die in this world - demon nutildah - that will be the end of you for all Aeons to come, rest assured.

Its not perfect but it is better than it was before...

You and all alike, can never achieve perfection in anything that you do, because you lack the most basic components. Love & compassion.

Don't you feel bored that you keep posting for years and no one gives a shit?

I give a shit to what he has to say, which is in total contrast to reading what you have to say.

I should have patients like you. I easily lose interest in something after a certain period of time.

Job well done, bravo. Are you proud of your little ego too?

I am curious if you were able to convince anyone 

Actually I’ve had a lot of hints from his posts, is that OK with you doc?

Please Please don't feed(or quote)the trolls 🙏

Yeah yeah, do us all the favour and the three of ya fuck right off.

#fuck.off.in.one hour

If you're tired of reading such things, why don't you just click on ignore that user and in the future you won't see such posts at all?

Indeed, but in reality they will still take a peep and continue to troll at will.
But the problem is that we have three trolls jumping on one post. I’m thinking he is on to something, just can’t yet see what.

Dude, this guy is actually so salty, the dead sea would taste like lemonade compared to his mood.

Three trolls and one decorated sock-puppet!

Just ignore him. I know i can't resist to actually reply to his bullshit sometimes, so don't be like me.

I can see you guys are “resisting” just fine my posts, so why not his?

From a different article about Neonazi networks, i learned that this hand signal means "white power" in the racist universe.

Your best bud Arrie - the old Nazi fart - would have told ya.

You know you hit the spot when they start mobbing up with random trash bullshit 🤭

+1

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[d_eddie]

Here we stand, eyes up
Waiting for an all time high
Smiling and hopeful




#haiku

[JayJuanGee]

Wow.

Looks like a passage (breeze) way that sirazimuth^** might build.



**Or, alternatively Jack from the Shining...   Remember.?. "all work and no play makes Jack a dull boy"

Alittle more than 75% of all Bljatcoins in existence is owned by the Chinese / Chajnese Gov. And you are supporting that 🤭🤣

 

That is very interesting data that no one would have appreciated had you not pointed it out.


You are such a "smartie" to be providing us with the counter-to-belief information with which we really "need to" grapple..

Did grandma tell you that or was it something that you thought about while watching cartoons?

[Biodom]

First Munger at 99 and 10.5 mo, now Kissinger at 100.
The generations and "times they are a-changin' ".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90WD_ats6eE

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[xhomerx10]

First Munger at 99 and 10.5 mo, now Kissinger at 100.
The generations and "times they are a-changin' ".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90WD_ats6eE

 100!  Wow.

Only the good die young.

[Hueristic]

First Munger at 99 and 10.5 mo, now Kissinger at 100.
The generations and "times they are a-changin' ".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90WD_ats6eE

 100!  Wow.

Only the good die young.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Crif5E67ar0

I've got this on vinyl.

Code:

"Only The Good Die Young"

Come out, Virginia, don't let me wait
You Catholic girls start much too late
But sooner or later it comes down to fate
I might as well be the one
They showed you a statue and told you to pray
They built you a temple and locked you away
But they never told you the price that you pay
For things that you might have done...
Only the good die young

You might have heard I run with a dangerous crowd
We ain't too pretty, we ain't too proud
We might be laughing a bit too loud
But that never hurt no one
So, come on, Virginia, show me a sign
Send up a signal I'll throw you the line
The stained-glass curtain you're hiding behind
Never lets in the sun
Darling, only the good die young

You got a nice white dress and a party on your confirmation
You got a brand new soul
And a cross of gold
But, Virginia, they didn't give you quite enough information
You didn't count on me
When you were counting on your rosary

They say there's a heaven for those who will wait
Some say it's better but I say it ain't
I'd rather laugh with the sinners than cry with the saints
The sinners are much more fun...
You know that only the good die young

You say your mother told you all that I could give you was a reputation
She never cared for me
But did she ever say a prayer for me?

Come out, come out, come out
Virginia, don't let me wait,
You Catholic girls start much too late,
But sooner or later it comes down to fate
I might as well be the one,
You know that only the good die young
Tell you baby
You know that only the good die young
Only the good die young
Only the good
Only the good die young 

[JayJuanGee]

Looks like $36k is this cycle's Vegeta price.

$36000 / 4 = $9000

Coincidence? Probably.

Hopefully, he's already dead. Again.

in that case next cycle ATH might be at 4x 69k = 276k...   I'd say that's acceptable..

Definitely. I'd be more than happy with a 4x gain every Halving. Some (most?) of us here would call that extremely conservative, borderline bear-talk. Saylor would suggest a doubling / year, which is 16x / Halving. In an ideal world, maybe. In the real world (China, pandemic, Ukraine, Israel, FTX, SEC, AI destroying the world, etc.), 4x / Halving (i.e., sqrt(2) = 1.4x / year) seems quite reasonable (to me at least), and more than any other investment can provide.

I surely am questioning if 4x every 4 years is really sustainable into the future. which seems that it would be a doubling every two years.  Surely we are seeing a lessening of the rate of increase, and spot price does not seem to be the place to be making those kinds of measures.. and look at the actual numbers that put into my entry-level fuck you chart that show the changes in 6-month increments.  I did not have that actual data in there before, and I just updated it on November 23rd.  

I am not even saying that the pattern of two years up two years down has to be exactly repeatable into the future, but we should be trying to be somewhat reasonable in terms of not expecting a different pattern unless it actually starts to show on the chart and yeah there could be some blow-out upside results, but they are not even closed to guaranteed to happen even if they might have some decently good odds in favor of some short term grand-face-ripping breaks to the upside.

Part of the reason that I made my whole fuck you status chart even more conservative on November 23rd, and I could not even wait until the end of the month when the actual number for the 6 month period is realized (which is probably going to be around $29,051) is because my earlier chart (that I had already made more conservative with more of downwardly sloping upside curve rather than more of a straight-line upward curve is because it seems like both of my last two 6-month period had overshot by around 10% each time... that is a lot of overshooting for 6 months... so I personally would rather undershoot than overshoot...so in that regard, my adjustments are seeming to be more likely to be having to make the numbers higher every 6 month period rather than lower.

Think about each of the three last 6 month periods, they were each ONLY a bit over 10% if we were to average them out...

and maybe they were aberrations in regards to the crazy-ass shit that was contributing to BTC under performance in the last year and a half including the BTC price being extendedly below the 200-week moving average for quite a bit of the last 18 months... so in that regard, sure, I am more than willing to accept that overshooting in the opposite direction may well be likely, but still I don't think straight-line or graduating curve is going to capture the reality as well as the way I did my chart, even if I likely ended up lowballing my numbers a bit more than necessary based on my own desires not to be considered as someone who gets things wrong to the upside.. and I think that my numbers are still pretty bullish.. and especially if we end up having several overshoots, then we just end up adjusting as we go and maybe we adjust future numbers or maybe we just keep my numbers as conservative, even if there might be some short term bullishness in the numbers.

Actually 50% per year for the next one or two cycles seems more than reasonable even though they are higher than my current numbers.

Now that I am talking through some of this, I am feeling that I overdid my SOMA chart too much.. but still I think it is better to stick with it and maybe updated it if the next 1 to 2 six month periods start to show way higher than 15% to 16% numbers then I might update all of the numbers accordingly.. but I don't even feel like I am being wishy-washy about it because it seems to me just a matter of how much is the appreciation, and have always been more conservative in my personal expectations about BTC prices, so frequently even when we are doing shitty as fuck, I am thinking that we are doing way better than I expected, even though 2015 was a bit of a bummer and also having so much time below the 200-week moving average in the last 18 months was a bit of a bummer too. but still our past performance of even having the 200-week moving average to have been as high as it was - which still was probably getting pushed up from the 2017 performance and the lack of a drop in 2018 and the bullish bear year that we had in 2019.. and all of those factors surly pushed up the 200-week moving average by the time we got to 2021 less spectacular bull and 2022's ongoing revelations of scandals that have even been dragging into 2023. but none of us are complaining about 2023.

Definitely. I'd be more than happy with a 4x gain every Halving. Some (most?) of us here would call that extremely conservative, borderline bear-talk. Saylor would suggest a doubling / year, which is 16x / Halving. In an ideal world, maybe. In the real world (China, pandemic, Ukraine, Israel, FTX, SEC, AI destroying the world, etc.), 4x / Halving (i.e., sqrt(2) = 1.4x / year) seems quite reasonable (to me at least), and more than any other investment can provide.

"Experts" say it will be more like 4x, 3x, 2x... for future cycles, but as a Supercycle-aficionado, i can't really second that thought.

"Experts"?

yeah right.  

That is very specific.  

I see they finally managed to get the "messed up" hands issue sorted. Unless you've just been lucky in creating this one.

Its not perfect but it is better than it was before...

From a different article about Neonazi networks, i learned that this hand signal means "white power" in the racist universe  

I heard some experts, and even saw some "live shots" of the symbol - seeming to mean: "Wall Observer"

Who would-a thunk?

There may be a way to do WO with two hands.  One hand would show the W  which is three fingers up and then the other hand would show the O.. but then Fillippone would have to use his other hand (if you know what I mean?) to hold the camera.  And I have my doubts that he is that talented.

[philipma1957]

First Munger at 99 and 10.5 mo, now Kissinger at 100.
The generations and "times they are a-changin' ".
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90WD_ats6eE

Queen "Another one Bites the dust"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE