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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26965569 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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May 14, 2025, 11:01:15 AM


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May 14, 2025, 11:37:26 AM

I alway define my Personal and being specific
I don’t let “enough” be a vague feeling

How much BTC do I need ?
I try to break that down in fiat terms and BTC terms. This makes it easier to gauge my position without chasing the market endlessly.


I try as much as possible to separate emotion from strategy.most times strategy would be boring but Stick to it. I try not to make allocation decision by emotion

Each time I find myself checking charts or panicking about dips, I feel like I might be overexposed.i try to adjust until volatility feels manageable.

I consider: “Would I be okay if BTC dropped 50% tomorrow and stayed there for 2 years?” If not, I rethink my risk.

I Accumulate Early, Adjust Later, if I can front-load, front-load,especially when I am early in the journey.
Oncce I  hit my accumulation targets, I try to scale down purchases and switch focus to maintenance I start stacking small amounts, improving self-custody.

I build a stress-tested system
I write down my BTC strategy so if someone else had to follow it  he won't be asking me questions.

I include rules for accumulation, maintenance, potential exit, and emotional response during drawdowns or euphoric highs.

The less I need to think during volatility, the better.

Engaging With the Right People
You mentioned the WO thread, which is a great resource. Stay in touch with people who don’t flinch, and who think long-term.

Try avoid voices pushing short-term trading, leverage, or emotional decisions.

My goal isn’t to time Bitcoin perfectly. It is to be in Bitcoin when it matters most,and to stay there long enough to benefit. Sir, you seem to be doing that already.
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May 14, 2025, 12:01:21 PM


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philipma1957
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May 14, 2025, 02:25:46 PM

Enough buddy.
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May 14, 2025, 02:42:46 PM

Enough buddy.
you can't rise if you don't fall.
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May 14, 2025, 02:45:03 PM

I find some people want to know more than we can know and starts to develop and imagine some analogies to make his way of think more rational.

I mean if you surf in this thread or in X you can see thousands of analogies wanting to be the number 1 explanation on WHY and HOW the BTC is gonna be the king or why we are gonna have the next bullrun,etc,etc.

I find it interesting but at some point i feel like some people starts to lose their minds and the fundamentals of BTC.

A lot of graphs making ahhh look, the salary net against BTC have a correlation of 0.05 so....

Look the money suply when the SP500 reach the 548545 fibonacci number makes it

The tax of 15% over oil multiplicated over the GDP of Kazajstan gives us some insight.. bla bla.

I mean some are really good ones but some others seems like people wanting to be more inteligent than others and in the end losing up the north and the fundamentals of BTC.
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philipma1957
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May 14, 2025, 04:35:29 PM

Enough buddy.
you can't rise if you don't fall.

its not the drop bro it is the multiple postings.


i blocked him twice today
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May 14, 2025, 04:43:27 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)

Enough buddy.
you can't rise if you don't fall.

  These motivational metaphors don't really resonate with me.   There's no guarantee of rising if you fall, you're totally rangebound between flat on your face and two meters and why would I want to fall if only to rise again in the first place, Laura?
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May 14, 2025, 05:10:41 PM


its not the drop bro it is the multiple postings.

i blocked him twice today
Lol don't mind me. I knew you were stopping buddy
Still can't tell why I still posted that..... I'm sure I wasn't high... Kinda.


 These motivational metaphors don't really resonate with me.   There's no guarantee of rising if you fall
Me too. Not really a fan of motivational quotes   
Just had this in my head is better to be a Penis than been a breast
And this came up  Smiley



Came across a news that lead was turned into Gold while minute and inconsequential https://www.google.com/amp/s/abcnews.go.com/amp/Technology/scientists-turn-lead-gold-1st-time-split/story%3fid=121762241
But it shows a possibility


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May 14, 2025, 06:07:02 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

I find some people want to know more than we can know and starts to develop and imagine some analogies to make his way of think more rational.

I mean if you surf in this thread or in X you can see thousands of analogies wanting to be the number 1 explanation on WHY and HOW the BTC is gonna be the king or why we are gonna have the next bullrun,etc,etc.

I find it interesting but at some point i feel like some people starts to lose their minds and the fundamentals of BTC.

A lot of graphs making ahhh look, the salary net against BTC have a correlation of 0.05 so....

Look the money suply when the SP500 reach the 548545 fibonacci number makes it

The tax of 15% over oil multiplicated over the GDP of Kazajstan gives us some insight.. bla bla.

I mean some are really good ones but some others seems like people wanting to be more inteligent than others and in the end losing up the north and the fundamentals of BTC.

It is beyond getting to know everything. Sometimes when i scroll through those threads it feels like they are trying to build castles in the sky by relying on complex charts and robust analogies.

It is like they are contexting on who will come up with the best "macro thesis" to prove that bitcoin is meant to rule the financial system.

Last time i check the fundamentals of bitcoin never changed. It still remains (fixed supply, decentralisation, and growing adoption) as the focused point. We dont need any voodoo before we believe the long term capacity of Bitcoin. So, im dissapointed why they prefer clout instead of true facts. Because people have forget about the fundamentals while straining their brains for intellectual clout.

In the end, those things wont matter since its all about personal conviction. Speculations and predictions might only make us feel how smart we are to some extent but relying on the fundaments will make us understand the market beter.
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May 14, 2025, 06:32:02 PM

...is better to be a Penis than been a breast...

They both get sucked and spew white stuff.
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May 14, 2025, 07:01:12 PM

...is better to be a Penis than been a breast...

They both get sucked and spew white stuff.
Penis rises when it falls. Breast don't.
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Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

...is better to be a Penis than been a breast...

They both get sucked and spew white stuff.

Not by me they “both” don’t.  Cheesy
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May 14, 2025, 07:59:10 PM
Last edit: May 15, 2025, 04:52:26 AM by JayJuanGee

can it be done over and over?
I'm afraid if we don't wrap it soon, a batslap is coming. The chief bot was explicit enough.

The tongue of this here bot is twisted because the cat has it (in part).

billions and billions
Let's have some fun,,,
Since you keep saying billions and billions

then,,,
I think you've become a billionaire. Smiley

If we refer to sats, then a billion start 10 bitcoin, and so billions would be 20 bitcoin or more.  It seems that I had this dilemma before in regards to what is the difference between millionaire and multi-millionaire, and I could not exactly decide the definition.

In bitcoin, we could have some mili-sats, even thought there remains some controversy about them as a unit even though they have been used on lighting network.

Another thing is that we do not necessarily need to have "billions and billions" of our own in order to talk about or refer to "billions and billions" that exist as a topic that has become increasingly relevant to replace the topic of "millions and millions," which used to be a BIG thing (or at least all of the rage of days gone by).

So by analogy in the digital realm, colliding two ETHs could give us more cornz??
Sorry, but experiments were showing that you only get 0.5 ETH2 by colliding two ETH. Unfortunately 1.5 ETH are "lost" in the form of "gas", while the remaining 0.5 ETH2 keep remain staked for forever-1 days.

I am about to vomit.

If that is possible?

Enough buddy.
you can't rise if you don't fall.

Down before up?

I have heard that somewhere before.

Down before up does not always work out too well.. even though it sounds good in theory.

I find some people want to know more than we can know and starts to develop and imagine some analogies to make his way of think more rational.

I mean if you surf in this thread or in X you can see thousands of analogies wanting to be the number 1 explanation on WHY and HOW the BTC is gonna be the king

Bitcoin is already the king.

or why we are gonna have the next bullrun,etc,etc.

We are already in a bullrun since November 2022, even though we might not have had realized it until either mid or late 2023.

I find it interesting but at some point i feel like some people starts to lose their minds and the fundamentals of BTC.

Are those people in the room with us, now?

A lot of graphs making ahhh look, the salary net against BTC have a correlation of 0.05 so....

I frequently like to talk about how bitcoin might be able to replace salary, even though it could take 4-10 years or longer, unless a guy is able to front load his investment into bitcoin.

Look the money suply when the SP500 reach the 548545 fibonacci number makes it

Sure, we can measure bitcoin against the S&P 500, yet the S&P 500 seems to have a lot of perversion within it based on dollar debt, and bitcoin is likely a hedge against various dollar-based systems, even though frequently bitcoin will also move in short term correlation with dollar liquidity, yet at the same time, bitcoin does have the unfair advantage of being in its earliest of times of adoption, so in that regard, bitcoin's price performance is going to continue to greatly outperform the S&P 500 - especially with from time to time outbursts to the upside.  So hopefully you are not overly distracted by the S&P 500 or other traditional financial indictors that are greatly perverted by dollar debt systems.

The tax of 15% over oil multiplicated over the GDP of Kazajstan gives us some insight.. bla bla.

I don't know this reference point.  

I mean some are really good ones but some others seems like people wanting to be more inteligent than others and in the end losing up the north and the fundamentals of BTC.

I would think in any conversation, there are going to be guys with greater or worse insight, and many of us got started in bitcoin with ONLY focusing on number go up aspects, and surely bitcoin continues to have that number go up angle of relating to bitcoin's essence (even though sure, there is more to bitcoin than merely number go up)....   I suppose that many of us stay in bitcoin, too, because we expect number to continue to go up, otherwise, it would not be a very wise place to keep decent portions of value as well as spending our time and energies in a bitcoin direction.

...is better to be a Penis than been a breast...
They both get sucked and spew white stuff.
Penis rises when it falls. Breast don't.

Have you ever heard of "headlights?" or does that ONLY happen during cold weather? asking for a friend.

...is better to be a Penis than been a breast...
They both get sucked and spew white stuff.
Not by me they “both” don’t.  Cheesy

That is a reasonably good point that OgNasty finally made..

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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