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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26912807 times)
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ChartBuddy
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November 05, 2025, 09:01:15 AM


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November 05, 2025, 09:44:20 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), cAPSLOCK (1), Paashaas (1), d_eddie (1)

Spoiler: (mostly) OT

Following up on the Muscarin experiment.
I had a night of energizing sleep. Surprisingly, because i used to wake up at the same level of tiredness than i went to sleep.
Next thing i noticed was the good old Earworm generator got energized as well (Sleep Token's "Infinite Baths", FYI).
It was harder to follow through conversations with simultaneously present background noises, which were all feeling annoying and almost overwhelming again, and a hint of the ability to (intentionally keep) focus was still there, leading to the assumption of a half-life in the range of 4-5 hours. It reminded me a little bit of Ritalin, but mixed with Benzodiazepine. Blood flow was considerably improved, but blood pressure was also lowered. My wife complained my body being to "hot" when we went to sleep, sadly she was speaking only of temperature. The bowel got activated, but not in unpleasant ways. I'd call step one a success. It was showing me what the Attention Deficit and Hyperactivity in adult AD(H)D really means by completely stripping those symptoms for about 8 hours, and gradually fading them in again in about the same time.

A little introduction into AD(H)D:

Imagine you want to dig a hole in the garden, you go outside to the shed, already thinking about something else, when the the grass suddenly catches your attention for being a little too high. So you open the door to the shed and look at the mower and think "this needs to be done first". While filling the tank, you notice foliage lying around the trees, so you get the rake and start making piles. An hour later, you notice you got thirsty, need to pee and leave the garden for taking care of that inside the house. Inside the house, you notice the dishwasher peeping it's ending score,  so you take out the stuff and put it away, to discover that the dishwasher could need a quick clean, which you do thoroughly for the next 40 minutes or so, but then you really feel you got to goo and take a pee. In the bathroom, you remember the hole you wanted to dig.
So out to the garden again, your eyes are catching the mower, so you start it up and turn around, look at those piles of leaves and think you best gonna put it away before mowing, so you stop the mower and do just that. You get done in 10 minutes but the wheelbarrow got dirty in the process, so you clean it, even more intensive that needed, when you find the wheel could need new bearings. Luckily you have impulse-ordered some a few months ago in foresight. So off to the basement to look for the bearings, which are found after half an hour, but not beacuse they were stowed away somewhere deep, but you walked by a pile of clothes that definitely needed a wash, right now. But before you could do that, the washing machine needs to be emptied, the clothes hung up, and wrinkle-free at best too. You had to keep the bearings in one hand, not to forget about what your original plan was, and to lay them to the side and forget where you put them in a few seconds.
OK, so bearings changed in a matter of minutes, but when putting back the tools you needed, you notice that you're really thirsty, go inside take a glass out of the cabinet and notice it's not perfectly clean, which makes you look at every glass in the same cabinet, putting the not perfectly clean ones aside and start cleaning them, which really gets you more thirsty, but you know, if you don't finish the current task now, you will probably never do it. Later, all the glasses are dried, clear and back in the cabinet, but ordered by size and shape, which took another five minutes. Then you take one and drink some tap water. Feels great. A little later, while reading the newspaper and drinking some freshly brewed coffee, you remind that damn hole again (do you too?), so it's off to the garden again where you spot the mower. DAMN!
Mowing the lawn for one hour, putting it all away, but you really have no time to clean things now. You run to the shed, grab the shovel and look at a pile of tools you wanted to clean last time, but they are all stained and dirty.
The story is already long enough, so i'll fast forward:
In the evening, you have perfectly cleaned all your tools in the shed, but you feel quite wasted, suddenly you remember that appointment you missed and start thinking "i should call. How would i apologize? I need a good reason, so lets find one..." probably not making that call this evening, but maybe tomorrow, and.... HOLY FUCK, did i even dig that hole??!! (Which makes you feel terribly useless for the rest of the evening, and probably the next few days too, so you decide to cancel all phone calls and meetings).
Three days ago, i wouldn't even remember what the purpose of this little story was, mid-typing.

I wrote that on 40+mg of mushroom powder, which is yesterdays dose halved, and that's probably why it didn't get a mess, or more messy than it already got. Quite stringent, i think, and i even remember what i wrote, what this posting is (or should be) about and that i have to go buy some important things next. These three things, i surprisingly remember today. I didn't have to scroll up dozens of times to remember what i already wrote. I didn't spot errors, i hit the backspace key about 20-30 times less often than usual. I feel confident to send this post without feeling the need of editing it a couple of seconds later (and rinse/repeat that for a few times).

My earworm reappeared shortly for a few moments while typing this, my coffee cravings returned, but less intensive. I finally feel something like being aware of time passing. Yesterday felt like the day had two extra hours.
It seems that the sweet spot of dosage is around 60mg for the current batch i ordered, which should last for two years after doing the maths, and it feels truly life changing.
So if you know somebody close to you who is battling ADHD and doesn't tolerate stimulants well or wants to get off amphetamines that his/her insane doctor prescribed, and this person is able to safely dose, take and secure substances (for those with kids) which are not approved, this might be well worth a try.

Now i won't bother you with OT any longer for today, i finally have a plan for the day, i even remember it quite well and now it's time to go on with it.


In all excitement, i missed the Bitcoin funeral yesterday. Sorry  Grin
Have a nice day.

EDIT: OK, quickly re-reading, i did find a few minor errors, but i was able to leave them as they are. This is not the me i got used to, but i like some things about it.
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November 05, 2025, 10:01:13 AM


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November 05, 2025, 11:01:18 AM


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bitcoinPsycho
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November 05, 2025, 11:45:53 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1)

I hear Willy and Markus will be returning shortly  Wink
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November 05, 2025, 11:46:10 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)

Here we go again... More day price heat maps! This time I plotted the day closing price, and also all ATHs from 2016 up to October 31, 2025. Without further ado, here are the heat maps:

Day Closing Price (2016 ~ 2025)



Just look at that blood red color. Isn't it beautiful? Like the dawn of a fine day.


All-Time-Highs (2016 ~ 2025)



...getting a glimpse of Bitcoin's peaks throughout its history. More such dots to come, and brighter, for sure!

Have fun everyone!
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November 05, 2025, 12:01:21 PM


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November 05, 2025, 01:01:18 PM


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November 05, 2025, 01:07:45 PM

Here we go again... More day price heat maps! This time I plotted the day closing price, and also all ATHs from 2016 up to October 31, 2025. Without further ado, here are the heat maps:

Day Closing Price (2016 ~ 2025)



Just look at that blood red color. Isn't it beautiful? Like the dawn of a fine day.


All-Time-Highs (2016 ~ 2025)



...getting a glimpse of Bitcoin's peaks throughout its history. More such dots to come, and brighter, for sure!

Have fun everyone!
Yes, History will prove itself.
After every failure comes a new peak.
Patience is the real key!
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November 05, 2025, 01:09:22 PM
Last edit: November 05, 2025, 02:00:37 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Hmm The Italians had a bad time tonight.

Mikie  Sherrill crushed Jack Ciattarelli. 56% to 43%

And Zoran Mamdani smashed Andrew Coumo. 48 to 41% with Curtis Sliwa getting 8%

Here's the thing. The economically conservative types are all projecting that M. will wreck New York like all socialists and communists wreck. But that's different when you're talking about someone that controls one area.

He will be made to look like a genius, but all of the funds that cause things to seem like they're flourishing will be sucked out of the areas of the United States that produce.

It'll be a good magic trick though.

Damn it, I said I was going to hibernate and then the great giant price drop suck me back in and now I'm talking about NYC politics.


It will be a very interesting time and show to watch.

Looking at him calling out trump right now.


You ever watch trump promote wrestling back in the day?


this will be trump vs mamdani

seems like it should be quite a show.

Phil - It'll be most interesting to see how New York City handles the communist new mayor Zoran Mamdani as he makes the city to become like socialist (communist) Havana, Cuba!!!  New Jersey is joined at the hip with NYC and will be flushed down the toilet too. All the NE blue states are fucked...  Stupid Dims that voted for the maxist will deserve what they get!  

Free - Free - Free ..... Ain't gonna work! Never has, never will! Only stupid people believe that shit... Socialism is a death wish! 
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November 05, 2025, 01:48:10 PM

Hmm The Italians had a bad time tonight.

Mikie  Sherrill crushed Jack Ciattarelli. 56% to 43%

And Zoran Mamdani smashed Andrew Coumo. 48 to 41% with Curtis Sliwa getting 8%

Here's the thing. The economically conservative types are all projecting that M. will wreck New York like all socialists and communists wreck. But that's different when you're talking about someone that controls one area.

He will be made to look like a genius, but all of the funds that cause things to seem like they're flourishing will be sucked out of the areas of the United States that produce.

It'll be a good magic trick though.

Damn it, I said I was going to hibernate and then the great giant price drop suck me back in and now I'm talking about NYC politics.


It will be a very interesting time and show to watch.

Looking at him calling out trump right now.


You ever watch trump promote wrestling back in the day?


this will be trump vs mamdani

seems like it should be quite a show.

Phil - It'll be most interesting to see how New York City handles the communist new mayor Zoran Mamdani as he makes the city to become like socialist (communist) Havana, Cuba!!!  New Jersey is joined at the hip with NYC and will be flushed down the toilet too. All the NE blue states are fucked...  Stupid Dims that voted for the maxist will deserve what they get!    
New York is a city full of surprises
let's see what drama it brings this time
New York always runs its own way
let's see if Mamdani's touch makes the city like Havana
Or if it takes another step forward
Either way, it will be quite interesting to see!
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November 05, 2025, 01:58:34 PM
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Day Closing Price (2016 ~ 2025)


All-Time-Highs (2016 ~ 2025)


Have fun everyone!

all these bitcoin heatmaps really catch my attention. but since we're talking about bitcoin, i'd definitely like to see more recurring patterns, order, and predictability. i think what happens within a cycle is truly completely random. i've examined the days and months when new all-time highs (aths) were set, along with daily price changes and percentage changes, but they still don't help me make a prediction for the next few weeks or months.

bitcoin is an interesting thing that manages to be both unpredictable and cyclical at the same time.

Why not keep on buying?  HODL does not seem to be enough, unless you already reached a large enugh stash?  Are you considering that folks (representative normies) have a large enough bitcoin stash?  

What are the statistics?  How many coins do normies hold?

 What about you?  You have ONLY been registered here since July 2024.  Were you able to accumulate enough coins in that period of time in order to have enough coins to just HODL through these kinds of dippening times?

I am having a hard time imagining very many scenarios in which anyone who had gotten into bitcoin within the past couple of years would have enough bitcoin by now to just HODL from here on out without buying more from time to time.  Sure, it is possible, but sounds like a minority scenario to me.
actually, hodl is a phenomenon that explains why we shouldn't just sell bitcoin. i don't know why we didn't make an acronym that says why we should keep buying. maybe it could have been bodl. i actually meant that it makes sense to buy when the price of bitcoin drops, seeing it as a discount, but writing hodl at the end made the message a bit confusing.

also, you can hodl even if you only have 1 satoshi. not everyone needs to use bitcoin to retire or pass it on to their children. if “ownership” is what matters here, then i don't need to force myself to buy more to achieve that. maybe it's enough for me to just not sell until i reach the dollar amount i have in mind.

still, i keep buying. the amounts might seem excessive to some, too little to others. i think what matters is testing yourself. if i have more bitcoin next month than i do now, that's enough for me. after all, none of us will ever catch up to the strategy, right? race with yourself.
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November 05, 2025, 02:01:14 PM


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November 05, 2025, 02:04:04 PM



New York is a city full of surprises
let's see what drama it brings this time
New York always runs its own way
let's see if Mamdani's touch makes the city like Havana
Or if it takes another step forward
Either way, it will be quite interesting to see!


Socialism is a death wish! Only stupid people voted for the communist...
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November 05, 2025, 02:55:29 PM

If it's all about OGs dumping, it should stop at 100k, right?

You need a meme for your post.

right?

right?


Right.

Well, so far so good. Theory holds.
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November 05, 2025, 03:00:03 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)



New York is a city full of surprises
let's see what drama it brings this time
New York always runs its own way
let's see if Mamdani's touch makes the city like Havana
Or if it takes another step forward
Either way, it will be quite interesting to see!


Socialism is a death wish! Only stupid people voted for the communist...

Hardly surprising, considering we have full generations that will be unable to own a house even if they work their whole lives. Inflation does things...
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November 05, 2025, 03:01:17 PM


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November 05, 2025, 03:14:32 PM

I personally do not agree that the bull market is over, for one simple reason. And it is that there was no such thing this year at all. It was a year with multiple crashes and recoveries, each time going 1-2% higher than the previous ATH. I would define this as a sideways movement with an indication of an upcoming bull market. Even now we are 20% below the last ATH and at level 0 compared to the beginning of the year. At the moment there is one unknown and that is whether this crash is not due to a still unknown to us large bankruptcy like FTX, sales of a large amount of bitcoins by a large investor like Tesla, etc. If this is the case, we will have a bear market, despite the fact that we have not had a bull market. Whether in a year we will hit -80% as we always have and will "rejoice" at prices of 30K or whether we will hold at some higher level like 100K, 90K, 70K,... I do not dare to predict. But I am partially prepared for this. Based on my expenses from the previous 4 years, I gradually sold over 110K for the next 4 years of life expenses. I also bought a new car for 100K euros, so I hope I will not have any new major expenses so that I do not have to sell at prices about 30K. Yes, it will be unpleasant for me to drop out of the status that I virtually had at 126K, but this is a choice that I have always made. It is better to feel poor and humiliated than to have sold too much and watch the price break through 150K, 200K, etc. without it bringing me any benefits.
Finally some good posts, much better than those OGs that are angry about the price movement but are too coward to admit it. This feels better.  Wink

Not to mention that in just 5-6 years the current 1m will be equivalent in purchasing power to at most 500K, or maybe 100K.
This claim is a bit too extreme.
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November 05, 2025, 03:27:22 PM

I personally do not agree that the bull market is over, for one simple reason. And it is that there was no such thing this year at all. It was a year with multiple crashes and recoveries, each time going 1-2% higher than the previous ATH. I would define this as a sideways movement with an indication of an upcoming bull market. Even now we are 20% below the last ATH and at level 0 compared to the beginning of the year. At the moment there is one unknown and that is whether this crash is not due to a still unknown to us large bankruptcy like FTX, sales of a large amount of bitcoins by a large investor like Tesla, etc. If this is the case, we will have a bear market, despite the fact that we have not had a bull market. Whether in a year we will hit -80% as we always have and will "rejoice" at prices of 30K or whether we will hold at some higher level like 100K, 90K, 70K,... I do not dare to predict. But I am partially prepared for this. Based on my expenses from the previous 4 years, I gradually sold over 110K for the next 4 years of life expenses. I also bought a new car for 100K euros, so I hope I will not have any new major expenses so that I do not have to sell at prices about 30K. Yes, it will be unpleasant for me to drop out of the status that I virtually had at 126K, but this is a choice that I have always made. It is better to feel poor and humiliated than to have sold too much and watch the price break through 150K, 200K, etc. without it bringing me any benefits.
Finally some good posts, much better than those OGs that are angry about the price movement but are too coward to admit it. This feels better.  Wink

Not to mention that in just 5-6 years the current 1m will be equivalent in purchasing power to at most 500K, or maybe 100K.
This claim is a bit too extreme.

@BitHodlers  - You'll see some reasonably logical posts along with some far-out bizarre idiotic posts by many of the OGs here. It's truly amazing what some of these OGs post that makes no sense at all. Sometimes I wonder if a lot of these OGs aren't battling serious mental issues...
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November 05, 2025, 03:38:21 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Worst bull-run ever.

Indeed.

Bull market (if you can even call it that) is cooked. Not selling any more below $120,000 so I am likely done selling until 2028/29.

Four year cycle vindicated sadly.


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