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March 01, 2026, 08:26:25 PM *
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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26937785 times)
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Today at 12:54:11 AM

Both Trump and Netanyahu said that the leader of Iran is dead.

He  had a long run 1989 to 2026 he was 86 or 87.

All I hear is propaganda either for him or against him.

I know Iran is mush like USA a lot of loyal followers of the leader so I think a lot of time will be on this war. Not an over and done like

Venezuela.
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Today at 12:55:00 AM
Last edit: Today at 01:16:59 AM by ESG

Interesting that today Bitcoin is rallying much the same way and I believe close to the same amount as gold.

I imagined your mad fairy holding this gleaming hammer,
on a day that started with selling pressure and ended with buying pressure closing at 67k.



NOT ALL JEWS ARE BAD, JUST THE MAJORITY.
.

   It is a delicate and complex subject, which includes the black cabal against the white cabal,
 we can say that the good are so good in this world,
 that they allow with their goodness, the evil to prevail.

  So, knowing how to differentiate Judaism from Zionism would be an important point
 to begin to understand that it is not necessarily necessary to be Jewish to be a Zionist,
 and not necessarily to be a Zionist, and to be a Jew wouldn't be an obligation,
 unless to sell the dominated people, saying that they are on the same side,
 because they attend the same religion.


What is the difference between Zionism and Judaism?

Zionism is a modern political movement and ideology advocating for
Jewish national self-determination and the establishment and preservation of a Jewish state,
 while Judaism is a millennia-old religion and ethnoreligious identity encompassing faith,
law, culture, and peoplehood;
they overlap in many adherents but are distinct concepts
 with different aims and histories
. Recent coverage shows sharp disagreements
 about Zionism’s character—some sources describe it as liberation or nationalism,
others emphasize its entanglement with colonialism and contested policies
—so any clear distinction must account for both historical evolution
 and contemporary political debates

 No, I'm not Jewish, but I believe in God and I know that he created us and gave us free will,
 so that we can do what we want, and he God, not worry about what we're doing,...
 while he lives his life creating things that don't yet exist throughout
 the universes and dimensions outside.

 And at the same time, I am very sad to see humanity destroying everything it created,
 the environment, the fauna and flora, the water, and everything we need to live,
 is being destroyed by ourselves...

 That's my sadness. and it is far from my power to fix it.

##
  And I also see Israel and this whole promised land story,
 like a Trojan horse put there by the Zionists,
 with the aim of doing what has been going on there ever since...
 destabilization, and only then expansion of the promised land....

 is that are happen there some time up to now...
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Biodom
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Today at 02:03:30 AM

Suddenly...68K
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Today at 02:08:16 AM

also:

Berzerker by Fred Saberhagen

good reads

Yeah, that one...great read.
I remember the "goodlife" term.

It's a whole series. I'm currently working my way through them. Though I did jump forward to "Berzerker Kill" which I recently finished. I did Dune last year. The Frank Herbert ones anyway. I felt like they went off the rails a little bit.
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Today at 02:09:59 AM

Suddenly...68K

Actually goes against narrative of the cycles being done in my estimation. It often seems like we keep bouncing off a price in the off period. One of our trolls even made a meme about it. It's gone up a couple of times since then, of course.



EDIT: btw, Frank Herbert kind of predicted something like this or what would result from this in the original "Dune".
Instead, they modified organisms and/or themselves, forming castes/guilds.
We took a different path, apparently.

They had the Butlerian Jihad first. Our paths may not have diverged yet.
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Today at 02:24:59 AM

also:

Berzerker by Fred Saberhagen

good reads

Yeah, that one...great read.
I remember the "goodlife" term.

It's a whole series. I'm currently working my way through them. Though I did jump forward to "Berzerker Kill" which I recently finished. I did Dune last year. The Frank Herbert ones anyway. I felt like they went off the rails a little bit.

I am pretty sure that I just read the first book with that title, but it had several short stories afair.
I thought that i still have it in my personal library, but I couldn't find it now, so maybe I got it from the public library.

Suddenly...68K

Actually goes against narrative of the cycles being done in my estimation. It often seems like we keep bouncing off a price in the off period. One of our trolls even made a meme about it. It's gone up a couple of times since then, of course.



EDIT: btw, Frank Herbert kind of predicted something like this or what would result from this in the original "Dune".
Instead, they modified organisms and/or themselves, forming castes/guilds.
We took a different path, apparently.

They had the Butlerian Jihad first. Our paths may not have diverged yet.

that's true...maybe not yet...and, yeah, that war is what i meant by the highlighted.
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Today at 02:35:26 AM

One main macro issue (IRAN) is starting to go away...  
philipma1957
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Today at 03:00:03 AM

also:

Berzerker by Fred Saberhagen

good reads

Yeah, that one...great read.
I remember the "goodlife" term.

It's a whole series. I'm currently working my way through them. Though I did jump forward to "Berzerker Kill" which I recently finished. I did Dune last year. The Frank Herbert ones anyway. I felt like they went off the rails a little bit.

yeah stopped the dune series with god emperor
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Today at 04:18:43 AM


I am pretty sure that I just read the first book with that title, but it had several short stories afair.
I thought that i still have it in my personal library, but I couldn't find it now, so maybe I got it from the public library.


Yes, that's probably where I first picked him up. I'm a big fan of short stories and anthologies. I used to go to the school library on breaks when I could and read the Space anthology books. I should see if I can locate e-book versions of those oldies.

No e-books but the originals are apparently vintage and running around $50.
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Today at 05:00:22 AM

One main macro issue (IRAN) is starting to go away...  

Iran and Houthis close Red Sea

Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen warn of renewed Red Sea strikes:

Brent closed at 73.700 friday, with red sea closed, it will rise on monday.

i hope that this next fullMoon with total eclipse after tomorrow,
can be seen without clouds hindering the view .

I hope the price of Bitcoin understands that the Red Sea is closed!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------....

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for users to read and download? And we're adding more all of the time!

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Today at 07:06:07 AM
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[...]
You can HODL as long as you get to a certain BTC stack size first, and once you get to a sufficient enough size you can also sell whenever you need to.
[...]
That's exactly where I am, and enjoying it to the max!

Thank you, Bitcoin, for the freedom you've given me.
Thank you, Halving, for showing me how to get it.

You must have changed your formula, since it seems that previously you felt that you needed a minimum of $110k (or something like that).

Surely, you likely realize that I use the 200-WMA within consideration of a multiple of the quantity of BTC in order to determine what is the minimum amount of BTC that is enough to support a given withdrawal level, so then once the quantity of BTC is above that minimum amount of BTC level, then there seems to be a considerable amount of discretion in regards to how to treat the excessive amount of BTC...

So let's say that any particular HODLer wanted to have a certain amount of confidence that his BTC stash would support an income of $80k per year, so then he looks up the suppressed state of BTC prices to see that right now, he would need to have somewhere in the ballpark of 15.2 BTC or more right now to support that withdrawal rate.  Again, emphasizing that right now withdrawal rates are suppressed based on the BTC price being less than 25% above the 200-WMA.

Yet if such guy were to happened to have 21.2 BTC or even more than that right now, then he knows that he has at least 6 extra BTC.. .. Accordingly, he could create a variety of plans around potentially spending some or all of those extra 6 BTC - since they are extra BTC, there is nothing wrong with spending all of them, even though he also appreciates the idea of having a cushion of extra BTC, so he may well purposefully choose to maintain the extra cushion and monitor the situation from time to time in terms of whether the cushion might be growing or shrinking depending on the extent to which he might choose to spend any of his BTC.

Of course, the guy would be in an even more precarious situation if bitcoin were to be his only source of income and/or his ONLY investment asset (besides maybe small amounts of dollars), since there would be more pressure upon a guy if he were ongoingly withdrawing from his bitcoin holdings and had no other source of income and/or savings or investment, yet if a guy also were to have around 40% more BTC than he needs to have, then he has a bit of a financial (and psychological) cushion.

Many of us also might realize that there may well be a stage in our bitcoin accumulation journey in which we are not sure about whether we have reached a status of having enough or more than enough BTC.

Ok. now it is coming back to me.  Your formula is reaching some valuation that is a multitude of the spot price?  And, it seems to me that some kind of valuation like that might have some troubles in being able to continue to carry it out if the BTC price had dropped 40% to 50% from its earlier prices.  No?  Might you not get knocked out of overaccumulation status if you are using multiples of BTC's spot price to determine the extent to which you have enough or more than enough BTC?

Well, I've definitely revised and reconsidered my strategies many times over the years, with regard to buying, HODLing, and selling Bitcoin, and the various criteria for doing so (spot price, 200-WMA price, timing within each 4-year cycle, fiat reserves, age, life plan, etc.).

It's going to sound anti-HODL, and kind of immature/illogical/stupid, but one of my goals was to get back all of my fiat-to-Bitcoin investment amount. Back to fiat. So, if, supposedly, I spent $1000 in total to buy Bitcoin @ $100 / coin, I would now have 10 BTC. I would then sell 0.015 BTC at current price ($67k), to get back my $1000, and still have 9.985 BTC, which would then be completely "free coins", in the sense that I haven't actually spent or lost anything to get them, except the gain I would have got if I had invested the $1000 somewhere else over the years, which would not have gotten me very far in the traditional, fiat system anyway. So, this is purely for psychological reasons, and does not really affect my Bitcoin stash, as the price appreciation is so huge that only a very small amount of BTC needs to be sold to get back to my fiat investment for my entire Bitcoin stash.

^ I hope the above is readable -- I typed it as I thought it.

I would say that anything above 10 BTC (or maybe 20 BTC at the current price) is a good position to be in, for disengaging from financial dependence on outside sources. Then there may come life events that could disrupt this, like a serious medical issue or other major situation that requires a large expenditure, so one must be prepared for such events. Life insurance can cover the medical part, so most employed people shouldn't have to worry about it. Regardless, I would recommend for coiners with more than 10-20 BTC who feel they've reached their accumulation goal, to still have a healthy amount of fiat available for their immediate/mid-term needs -- when in Rome, do as Romans do.


Looks like price has returned to almost where it was (a.k.a. inverse Bart).
Of course, this is just noise, will not even register on a zoomed-out chart.

A good opportunity for no/low-coiners to buy.

Coiners with enough corn will have to wait it out (for the n-th time), or keep on selling small amounts as needed.

Tumbleweeds.

Edit: back down again. Even cheaper corn. note-to-self: stop looking at the 15-min chart!

I will admit that I attempt to temper any of my BTC selling behaviors, especially when the BTC price is in the ballpark of less than 25% higher than the 200-WMA.  Right now the BTC spot price is in the ballpark of 15% higher than the 200-WMA.

I can understand that. Surely, now is not the best time to sell BTC (is there a best time?). The thing is, though, we can't live forever, and, unless you have children to pass your coins to (I don't), there will come a time when you won't be able to enjoy your coins as much as you can now. So, we should act wisely and make good use of our coins while we still can -- otherwise they are just entries on a ledger and don't mean anything in the real-life sense.
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