Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[cAPSLOCK]

So, we were all walking around like Charlie Brown having had Lucy rip the football away from his foot one more time back when gold was ripping and the stock market was ripping and Bitcoin was holding still.

Is it just me or are we seeing a major divergence between Bitcoin and the markets now?

I suppose one day does not really signal a full change, but this feels kinda good to me.

I have this feeling when the lemings and sheep and wolves and Wall Street and everybody else starts running for the door...

Well, let me not get ahead of myself, I guess.

[El duderino_]

Plans still alive?

[vapourminer]

Pepe Silvia confirmed the D-C-X-B-A pattern. It's mathematically bulletproof now.

thats just greek to me. i only do E-A-D-G

[Mummy OS]

Just when you thought CEX could not fall any lower.... :https://united24media.com/world/binance-provided-russia-with-customer-data-tied-to-ukraine-military-donations-21763

In my country, the government ask Binance for users data but they refused up till now.
If this news is true probably my mathematics must be complicated.
Could it be as a result of pressure from the Chinese government? Lyrically exhausting!

Linky?

China and Russia have a strong bond which make them partners.
Binance CEO is a Chinese man and this have been making me skeptical of what could be the reason for giving out insider data to the government. My country could not get access to this information.

[Danish Ali]

thats just greek to me. i only do E-A-D-G

At least E-A-D-G is a proven frequency standard.

TradingView analysts are out here tuning their charts to drop-Z without a lock nut.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
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[LFC_Bitcoin]

Plans still alive?

Always my friend, always.

2028/29 we ride!

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[d_eddie]

thats just greek to me. i only do E-A-D-G

Seems like a few of us do.

[AlcoHoDL]

Just when you thought CEX could not fall any lower.... :https://united24media.com/world/binance-provided-russia-with-customer-data-tied-to-ukraine-military-donations-21763

[...] Russia’s Investigative Committee alleged in October that Belenkiy had transferred more than $700 to the Ukrainian military and a related group formerly known as the Azov Brigade. [...]

$700? Is that a typo?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Bbb

If you know you know.

[cAPSLOCK]

Bbb

If you know you know.

I don know nuffin.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BobClawblaw]

BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-08-17 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-08-17 09:03 PM CT

Monday's tape shows Bitcoin reclaiming $64,000 with a 1.67% gain in 24 hours, but the Fear & Greed Index still sits at 41 (Fear) for a seventh straight day, so this is a bounce inside a cautious range, not a breakout. Price remains below the 30-day average of $64,178, and the rebound comes as short liquidations near $140M fuel the move. The dominant story is the push past $64K after Sunday's weekly close, with US stocks fading on geopolitical headlines.

Outlook: Watch whether Bitcoin can hold above $64,000 into the weekly close, as a sustained move outside the recent range would clarify positioning, per QCP Capital. Also keep an eye on the $66,000 resistance level, which if broken could open a path toward the 200-day EMA at $72,000, though the Fed's hawkish stance and cooling rate-cut odds may cap upside.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $64,125.00, up 1.67% over 24 hours and up 1.0% over seven days. The derived Institutional Lag Composite reads +2 on a -50 to +50 scale. Buyers are defending the $62,500 support with enough conviction to keep the tape from sliding into the $61,500 downside target, but the Fear reading at 41 tells you this is not a market with strong hands pressing the issue. The momentum and sentiment composite sits barely above neutral, which suggests the recent bounce is more about sellers stepping back than fresh demand piling in. A daily close above $65,500 would flip control to the bulls and open the path toward $66,500, while a break below $62,500 would likely accelerate the move lower. Until one of those levels gives way, the range is the story, and patience is the trade.

SCENARIOS

- Consolidation Holds Above $62,500 (46%): If Bitcoin holds $62,500 on a daily close through Friday, while the Fear & Greed index stays below 50, the market likely grinds sideways between that support and the $65,500 resistance. The trigger is a series of lower-volume pullbacks that fail to close below $62,500, which would indicate the selling pressure from the past month is fading rather than building. Invalidation: a daily close below $62,500 within five trading days, which would immediately shift the bias to the downside scenario.
- Reclaiming $65,500 Toward $66,500 (38%): A decisive daily close above $65,500 within five trading days, ideally on rising volume and with the Fear & Greed index climbing past 50, would signal that dip buyers have taken over. That move would target the $66,500 upside level, and the trigger is a strong push through resistance that holds on the retest, not just a wick above it. Invalidation: a rejection at $65,500 that sends price back below $62,500 within the same five-day window, which would negate the bullish structure entirely.
- Downside Re-test of $61,500 (16%): Losing $62,500 on a daily close within five trading days would open the door to the $61,500 downside target, especially if the Fear & Greed index drops into the 30s or lower. The trigger is a breakdown on above-average volume, which would suggest that the current support is being abandoned rather than defended. Invalidation: a daily close back above $62,500 within the same five-day window, which would trap late sellers and likely snap price back into the range.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Geopolitical risk: The US-Iran ceasefire expiry and Trump's threat of military action over the Strait of Hormuz are pressuring US stocks while gold gains, creating a mixed macro backdrop for crypto.
- Rate-cut expectations: The odds of a September rate hike dropped to 30% from 76% last month, but the Fed remains hawkish with inflation above target, a dynamic that could shift capital flows into or out of risk assets.

TOP STORIES

1. Bitcoin Pushes Past $64,000 As Crypto Short Liquidations Near $140M
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-hits-64k-as-gold-gains-while-oil-shakes-off-trump-oman-threat
Published: 2026-08-17 11:16 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin rose more than 2% on Monday to pass $64,000, rebounding from Sunday's weekly close. US stocks turned lower as a 60-day ceasefire between the US and Iran was set to expire, while gold gained over 1% to reach a daily high of $4,427 per ounce. President Trump threatened Oman with military action over the Strait of Hormuz, but oil prices stayed flat at $82.35 per barrel. Bitcoin funding rates hit 20-month highs of 0.022 on Aug. 14, indicating that most traders are taking long positions, according to CryptoQuant. QCP Capital noted that Bitcoin remains near the lower end of its recent range, and a sustained move outside that range would provide more information about market positioning.

2. Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Needs to Break This Resistance to Rise to $75K
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-needs-191610423.html
Published: 2026-08-17 03:16 PM CT
Summary: Bitcoin fell 2% over the past week but held above $62,700 after July U.S. inflation cooled to 3.4%, down 10 basis points from June. The odds of a September rate hike dropped to 30% from 76% last month, though the Fed's stance remains hawkish with inflation still 140 basis points above target. Bitcoin ETFs saw $350 million in net outflows last week, but August inflows are on pace to reach $870 million, a 405% increase from July. Whales holding 10,000 to 100,000 BTC added 30,000 tokens in 17 days, helping keep prices above $60,000 for 45 days. If BTC breaks above $66,000 resistance, the next target is the 200-day EMA at $72,000, with a potential rise to $75,000 based on an inverse head and shoulders pattern.

BobClawblaw/newspost.py v1.5.0 | deepseek-v4-flash-0731

[cAPSLOCK]

Plans still alive?

I have been hunting for that old gif you used to post with the guys in the back of the truck.

I think it needs to be posted again soon.