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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (0.8%)
7/28 - 11 (9%)
8/4 - 16 (13.1%)
8/11 - 7 (5.7%)
8/18 - 6 (4.9%)
8/25 - 8 (6.6%)
After August - 73 (59.8%)
Total Voters: 122

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26486464 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Tzupy
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September 29, 2014, 09:44:26 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy
wachtwoord
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September 29, 2014, 09:45:12 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink
inca
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September 29, 2014, 09:46:27 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink

Yeah i am not sure I have seen tzupy every give a bullish response. Then again it has been a long bear market.
Davyd05
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September 29, 2014, 09:49:06 AM

Patience is all I need. However it be nice to see the bears get it together and create a new low. Failing to do so since the the era of China ban nd the goxxing.
Wandererfromthenorth
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September 29, 2014, 09:50:28 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink
But the SR crash was a totally different situation AND type of crash. The two scenarios have 0 in common.
inca
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September 29, 2014, 09:52:03 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink
But the SR crash was a totally different situation AND type of crash. The two scenarios have 0 in common.

History rhymes, not repeats.
Wary
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Who's there?


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September 29, 2014, 09:52:52 AM

The exact annualised inflation rate jumps around every day, depending on how many bitcoins were mined in the last 24 hours.

It is around 10-14% currently, but will halve to around 5% at block height 420,000.
Say, 12%. It's not much, but unfortunately if works with "multiplicator": Since only about 20% of bitcoins are in circulation (the rest is on hodl), effect of new coins is 5 times stronger. I.e. this 12% inflation affects prices with the strength of 60% one.  That is we need 60% annual user base growth just to maintain current price.
prophetx
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he who has the gold makes the rules


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September 29, 2014, 09:53:06 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink

yes but last year was a different situation.  we had willy bot on mtgox buying up BTC that was no longer held by the exchange (or in the processes of being fleeced).

this year we have a glut of ASICs causing block times to be in the 8 minute range which means that the daily supply of BTC is 20% higher than it should.  also several very large early wallets moved at the end of 2013 and the first half of 2014.

i actually bought back in right after the SR drop...
prophetx
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he who has the gold makes the rules


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September 29, 2014, 09:55:44 AM

going to the Moon is a choice we make  Grin

Davyd05
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September 29, 2014, 09:56:32 AM

going to the Moon is a choice we make  Grin



Were stocking fuel for Mars, don't cha know?
wachtwoord
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September 29, 2014, 09:57:14 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink
But the SR crash was a totally different situation AND type of crash. The two scenarios have 0 in common.

Haha, you're saying it's different this time?  Cheesy

Ah well, it might be, it might not. Short term my opinion is as good a guess as anyone's.
MemCiD
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September 29, 2014, 09:58:04 AM

Honestly.. I think it'll bounce back up today!
prophetx
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he who has the gold makes the rules


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September 29, 2014, 09:59:27 AM

going to the Moon is a choice we make  Grin



Were stocking fuel for Mars, don't cha know?

going to Mars is a suicide mission until they can have a space station around Mars

edit:

which i don't think the current world leadership is capable of the kind of long term planning that is required to achieve that...
wachtwoord
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September 29, 2014, 09:59:46 AM

Meanwhile on coinfloor...



Dat wall...

So solid. Much scare.

I can read your buy order. Nice one though Wink
Wandererfromthenorth
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September 29, 2014, 10:00:38 AM

I won't be closing my shorts anytime soon
ChartBuddy
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


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September 29, 2014, 10:01:16 AM


Explanation
marcus_of_augustus
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Eadem mutata resurgo


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September 29, 2014, 10:04:31 AM

The exact annualised inflation rate jumps around every day, depending on how many bitcoins were mined in the last 24 hours.

It is around 10-14% currently, but will halve to around 5% at block height 420,000.
Say, 12%. It's not much, but unfortunately if works with "multiplicator": Since only about 20% of bitcoins are in circulation (the rest is on hodl), effect of new coins is 5 times stronger. I.e. this 12% inflation affects prices with the strength of 60% one.  That is we need 60% annual user base growth just to maintain current price.

not quite, a portion of the new coins will going directly into the "hodl" category so it is less than your 60% ... and it is not a 60% increase in total number of users but total new funds by users to maintain current price.
grappa_barricata
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September 29, 2014, 10:04:56 AM

I won't be closing my shorts anytime soon

i'm betting on 350$ in a couple of days, then maybe a crazy 20%+ bounce but maybe not
Tzupy
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September 29, 2014, 10:05:26 AM

Last year aoriund this time btc entered the rally  Smiley Will history repeat itself?

No chance, after this drop ends and a rebound follows we'll have the biggest drop, which should be scary. Cheesy

People would have given the same answer last year when the market dropped after SR got taken out Wink
But the SR crash was a totally different situation AND type of crash. The two scenarios have 0 in common.

O really? What is that? People sold and bought back lower... Same shit different story.
I think this is a good entry point, not sure if we already hit the bottom or not, but market looks completely oversold. Don't forget shorts on finex are near ATH  Wink


Market looking oversold (and it's not "completely") is normal at this stage, it doesn't mean it won't drop further.
Davyd05
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September 29, 2014, 10:05:41 AM

I won't be closing my shorts anytime soon

Perhaps eating them?
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