N12 (OP)
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September 06, 2011, 06:46:15 PM |
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Does this really like like a healthy, historically normal correction to you? ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2Fb3kaH.png&t=663&c=1A7hl14TVqje1g)
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NothinG
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September 06, 2011, 06:54:26 PM |
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I don't see why everyone has their panties in a wad.
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N12 (OP)
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September 06, 2011, 06:56:12 PM |
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I don't see why everyone has their panties in a wad.
Because there is a lot at stake. Will the log chartists please stand up? Show me evidence this is a normal correction and not an exceptionally deep and long one!
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Elwar
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Viva Ut Vivas
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September 06, 2011, 06:58:27 PM |
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This: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2F1.bp.blogspot.com%2F_0jshcRmzyKA%2FSjtm8Mw7shI%2FAAAAAAAAXQg%2F6qOS8UaGhOM%2Fs400%2FScreenHunter_7258.jpg&t=663&c=z07rBorwp2Loog)
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First seastead company actually selling sea homes: Ocean Builders https://ocean.builders Of course we accept bitcoin.
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fcmatt
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September 06, 2011, 06:59:35 PM |
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This: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2F1.bp.blogspot.com%2F_0jshcRmzyKA%2FSjtm8Mw7shI%2FAAAAAAAAXQg%2F6qOS8UaGhOM%2Fs400%2FScreenHunter_7258.jpg&t=663&c=z07rBorwp2Loog) Hey Elwar, you did not start your chart at 0.000001. Why is that? Are you trying to show some type of bias here that others who post a chart starting at .000001 do not seem to have? ;-)
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Jixtreme
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September 06, 2011, 06:59:58 PM |
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*standing*
Math major here, vouching for log chart.
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Elwar
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Viva Ut Vivas
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September 06, 2011, 07:01:14 PM |
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This: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2F1.bp.blogspot.com%2F_0jshcRmzyKA%2FSjtm8Mw7shI%2FAAAAAAAAXQg%2F6qOS8UaGhOM%2Fs400%2FScreenHunter_7258.jpg&t=663&c=z07rBorwp2Loog) Hey Elwar, you did not start your chart at 0.000001. Why is that? Are you trying to show some type of bias here that others who post a chart starting at .000001 do not seem to have? ;-) The random chart I found on the Internet did not start at .000001 I just wanted to feel included in the chart posting. ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif)
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First seastead company actually selling sea homes: Ocean Builders https://ocean.builders Of course we accept bitcoin.
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ElectricMucus
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Marketing manager - GO MP
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September 06, 2011, 07:12:58 PM Last edit: September 06, 2011, 07:35:59 PM by ElectricMucus |
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Log chartist reporting. What's up? ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) srsly what's your problem, just thing of it this way: Blow up the chart to 2030 or so and draw a tanh() funtion over it. It only behaves linearly (or exponential on a linear chart) because we are looking at a small fraction of it. here did that for ya: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fimg694.imageshack.us%2Fimg694%2F984%2Fuselesspredictionchart.png&t=663&c=sIZphjk_nq404w)
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greyhawk
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September 06, 2011, 07:27:30 PM |
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I scrolled to the end of that huge picture in hope there was a funny ending to it. There wasn't. ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif)
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ElectricMucus
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Marketing manager - GO MP
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September 06, 2011, 07:36:31 PM |
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I scrolled to the end of that huge picture in hope there was a funny ending to it. There wasn't. ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif) k fixed Sorry not very creative ![Undecided](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/undecided.gif)
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d'aniel
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September 06, 2011, 07:42:26 PM |
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Log chartist reporting. What's up? ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) srsly what's your problem, just thing of it this way: Blow up the chart to 2030 or so and draw a tanh() funtion over it. It only behaves linearly (or exponential on a linear chart) because we are looking at a small fraction of it. Are you modelling the diffusion of Bitcoin with the logistic differential equation? Is that why you used tanh?
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ElectricMucus
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Marketing manager - GO MP
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September 06, 2011, 07:44:02 PM |
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Log chartist reporting. What's up? ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) srsly what's your problem, just thing of it this way: Blow up the chart to 2030 or so and draw a tanh() funtion over it. It only behaves linearly (or exponential on a linear chart) because we are looking at a small fraction of it. Are you modelling the diffusion of Bitcoin with the logistic differential equation? Is that why you used tanh? I'm sorry I have no idea what you are talking about ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) But you might be on to something here ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
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d'aniel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
September 06, 2011, 08:02:18 PM |
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Log chartist reporting. What's up? ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) srsly what's your problem, just thing of it this way: Blow up the chart to 2030 or so and draw a tanh() funtion over it. It only behaves linearly (or exponential on a linear chart) because we are looking at a small fraction of it. Are you modelling the diffusion of Bitcoin with the logistic differential equation? Is that why you used tanh? I'm sorry I have no idea what you are talking about ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) But you might be on to something here ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Oh. If you're interested: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffusion_of_innovations. Notice the graph at the top of the page, and the "logistic function" link underneath.
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ElectricMucus
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September 06, 2011, 08:08:15 PM |
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Log chartist reporting. What's up? ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) srsly what's your problem, just thing of it this way: Blow up the chart to 2030 or so and draw a tanh() funtion over it. It only behaves linearly (or exponential on a linear chart) because we are looking at a small fraction of it. Are you modelling the diffusion of Bitcoin with the logistic differential equation? Is that why you used tanh? I'm sorry I have no idea what you are talking about ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) But you might be on to something here ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Oh. If you're interested: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffusion_of_innovations. Notice the graph at the top of the page, and the "logistic function" link underneath. thanks, I've already looked it up, pretty interesting. But we have a problem: Scaling the function to the actual data would be quite a demanding task, and would require skillfull programming instead of naive curve drawing by hand ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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wee baby seamus
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September 06, 2011, 08:40:39 PM |
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are you guys just drawing lines with paint, or are you actually fitting to some curve or something? nothing's properly labeled so I can't tell, but it seems like you're just making this shit up
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Synaptic
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September 06, 2011, 08:42:07 PM |
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are you guys just drawing lines with paint, or are you actually fitting to some curve or something? nothing's properly labeled so I can't tell, but it seems like you're just making this shit up
Welcome to Bitcoin. Please purchase your tokens now.
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d'aniel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
September 06, 2011, 08:43:04 PM |
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Log chartist reporting. What's up? ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) srsly what's your problem, just thing of it this way: Blow up the chart to 2030 or so and draw a tanh() funtion over it. It only behaves linearly (or exponential on a linear chart) because we are looking at a small fraction of it. Are you modelling the diffusion of Bitcoin with the logistic differential equation? Is that why you used tanh? I'm sorry I have no idea what you are talking about ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) But you might be on to something here ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Oh. If you're interested: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffusion_of_innovations. Notice the graph at the top of the page, and the "logistic function" link underneath. thanks, I've already looked it up, pretty interesting. But we have a problem: Scaling the function to the actual data would be quite a demanding task, and would require skillfull programming instead of naive curve drawing by hand ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) lol Plus, I think you'd want to use the linear scaling when fitting the logistic function. Would be a pretty bad fit, then ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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d'aniel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
September 06, 2011, 08:49:00 PM |
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are you guys just drawing lines with paint, or are you actually fitting to some curve or something? nothing's properly labeled so I can't tell, but it seems like you're just making this shit up
Mostly just having fun with some math. I wouldn't place much confidence in the predictive power of this model. Too many significant hurdles yet to be overcome to say it's just a simple matter of spreading the word.
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Minsc
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September 06, 2011, 11:38:42 PM |
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1DcXvfJdeJch9uptKopte5XQarTtj5ZjpL
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