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#DAX30 Surges to 24,000: What’s Behind the Record-Breaking Rally?

On May 20, 2025, Germany’s benchmark stock index, the #DAX30, crossed the 24,000-point threshold for the first time in its history, reaching an all-time high of 24,079.40. This historic milestone reflects growing investor confidence in the prospects of Europe’s largest economy.

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The surge of the #DAX30 beyond the 24,000 mark was driven by a combination of key factors:

• Improved geopolitical climate: Global tensions have eased — most notably between the United States and China. Signs of de-escalation in trade policy between the world’s largest economies have bolstered investor confidence. Additionally, an improved negotiation climate in Eastern Europe, particularly due to reduced conflict in Ukraine, has helped lower market uncertainty.
  
• Strong corporate earnings: Major German corporations within the #DAX30 have posted robust quarterly results. Leading the charge were technology giants (e.g., SAP) and industrial powerhouses (such as Siemens and BMW), which reported increased profits despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. This has reinforced confidence in the resilience of German businesses.
  
• ECB monetary policy expectations: Markets are pricing in a potential easing of the European Central Bank’s monetary policy. Although interest rates remain elevated, growing signals of a possible rate cut in the second half of 2025 are stimulating equity markets and making stock investments more attractive.
• Export growth and trade optimism: The reduction of trade barriers, a stronger euro, and a rebound in global trade have positively impacted export-driven German companies. As one of the world’s leading export economies, Germany is benefiting from a renewed global demand recovery.
• Hopes for domestic reforms: The German government is actively pushing investments in infrastructure, digital transformation, and the green economy. These initiatives are boosting investor sentiment, particularly in the technology and sustainable energy sectors.
• Technical momentum: From a technical perspective, the breakout above the 24,000 level served as a catalyst for speculative capital inflows. Many traders and funds that follow trends and resistance levels initiated buy positions after the breakout, amplifying the upward momentum.

This combination of fundamental and technical drivers has created a powerful growth impulse for the #DAX30. According to analysts at FreshForex, the index may continue its upward trajectory — provided current macroeconomic stability is maintained.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 22, 2025 GBPUSD

Events to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims

16:45 EET. USD - Services PMI

GBPUSD:

The GBP/USD pair rose for the fourth consecutive day, trading around the 1.3430 mark during Asian hours on Thursday. The pair's rise is attributed to a weaker US dollar, which continues to face challenges after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, following similar downgrades by Fitch Ratings in 2023 and Standard & Poor's in 2011.

Moody's has forecast that US federal debt will rise to 134 per cent of GDP by 2035, up from 98 per cent in 2023, and that the budget deficit will widen to nearly 9 per cent of GDP. This deterioration is attributed to rising debt service costs, expanding entitlement programmes and declining tax revenues.

On Monday, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack and San Francisco Fed President Mary K. Daley expressed growing concern about the health of the U.S. economy during a panel event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. While key economic indicators continue to demonstrate strength, both officials acknowledged a decline in consumer and corporate confidence, attributing this shift in sentiment to the impact of US trade policy.

On Wednesday, the British pound (GBP) continued to rise in value following the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which was better than expected. The United Kingdom (UK) Office for National Statistics has reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.5% year-on-year, compared to forecasts of 3.3% and March's reading of 2.6%. This represents the highest level since November 2023. Meanwhile, core inflation rose 1.2% for the month, compared to a forecast of 1.1% and the previous reading of 0.3%.

Stronger-than-expected UK data has shown inflationary pressures to be rising, which is a key factor in preventing the Bank of England (BoE) from continuing to maintain expansionary monetary policy. Traders are likely to monitor the release of S&P Global's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, scheduled for Thursday.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3380, TP 1.3550

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 23, 2025 USDJPY

Event to pay attention to today:

2:30 EET. JPY- Consumer Price Index

USDJPY:

The Japanese Yen (JPY) rose on Friday following the release of Japan's consumer inflation data, which opens the door to further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, investors seem convinced that policymakers will assess tariffs and trade flows before making the next move. Nevertheless, this is still a significant divergence compared to bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower borrowing costs again in 2025. This further favours the yen against its US counterpart.

Meanwhile, trade talks between the US and Japan appear to be progressing as officials continue to meet regularly. Moreover, Japan's chief tariff negotiator Ryosei Akazawa is set to visit the US around 30 May for another round of talks with the Trump administration. This raises hopes for a trade deal soon and is seen as another supportive factor for the Japanese Yen. In addition, the emergence of new US Dollar (USD) selling did not help the USD/JPY pair to take advantage of the previous day's good bounce from the 142.80 area, or more than two-week low.

Trading recommendation: SELL 143.40, SL 143.60, TP 142.40

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Digital gold breaks records: Bitcoin broke through the $111,000 mark

On May 22, 2025, Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) reached a new all-time high, surpassing the $111,000 mark. Notably, this record was set on the day marking the 15th anniversary of Bitcoin Pizza Day - a symbolic date commemorating the first real-world purchase made with #BTCUSD in 2010.

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Several major factors have contributed to the recent rise of Bitcoin:

• Institutional Investment: The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs by BlackRock, Fidelity, and others has opened the door for large-scale investors to access #BTCUSD, boosting both liquidity and demand.
  
• Regulatory Clarity: The adoption of clear cryptocurrency regulations in the U.S. and the EU has increased trust in digital assets and attracted more conservative capital.
  
• Banking Integration: Support for #BTCUSD by apps like PayPal, Revolut, and major banks has simplified access for millions of users and expanded its real-world usage.
  
• Macroeconomic Instability: Inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the weakening of fiat currencies have strengthened demand for #BTCUSD as "digital gold" and a means of capital preservation
• Halving and Technological Progress: The reduction in BTC issuance and the ongoing development of the Lightning Network are reinforcing Bitcoin’s scarcity and enhancing its fundamental value.
  

Surpassing such a significant price level has reinforced #BTCUSD’s position as one of the key assets in today’s financial markets, confirming its status as "digital gold." The rally has sparked a wave of optimism and renewed activity on crypto exchanges, while also drawing increased interest in digital assets from the broader public.

FreshForex analysts share the view that #BTCUSD still holds significant growth potential. In our assessment, the breakout above $111,000 in May signals a continuing upward trend and the possibility of further gains, driven by growing institutional interest.

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 26, 2025 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

17:30 EET. EUR- ECB President Christine Lagarde to deliver a speech

EURUSD:

EUR/USD continues to rise for the second consecutive session, trading near 1.1390 during Asian hours on Monday. The euro (EUR) is strengthening amid a Bloomberg report that US President Donald Trump has agreed to extend 50 per cent tariffs for the European Union (EU) until July 9. Sunday. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen wrote on social media that the EU is ready to move quickly in trade talks with the United States (US) but needs more time to reach a deal. US markets will be closed on Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday.

On Friday, President Trump threatened to impose 50 per cent tariffs on imports from the European Union in a post on the Truth Social website, as Brussels sent Washington a less than ideal trade proposal. Trump stated, ‘Our discussions with them are going nowhere! Therefore, I am recommending direct 50 per cent tariffs on the European Union starting June 1, 2025.’

Additionally, EUR/USD is rising as the US Dollar continues to lose ground due to uncertainty surrounding the US economy. The US budget deficit could widen further when Trump's ‘one big beautiful bill’ passes through the Senate, raising the risk that bond yields will remain high for longer. Higher bond yields could lead to higher borrowing costs for consumers, businesses and governments.

US markets remain under pressure amid a deteriorating US debt profile as Moody's downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1. According to Moody's forecasts, US federal debt will reach 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2023, and the budget deficit will increase to nearly 9% of GDP.


Trading recommendation: BUY 1.1420, SL 1.1400, TP 1.1520

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 27, 2025 GBPUSD

Event to pay attention today:

17:00 EET. USD - Consumer Confidence Indicator

GBPUSD:

The GBP/USD pair extended its winning streak for the third consecutive session, trading near 1.3570 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair is near the 39-month high of 1.3593 seen on Monday. The pair continues to rise amid a weakening US Dollar (USD) due to growing concerns over the United States (US) debt problems.

The dollar faces challenges as easing trade tensions between the United States and the European Union (EU) increase traders' appetite for risk. U.S. President Donald Trump extended the deadline for imposing tariffs on the European Union (EU) from June 1 to July 9 after a phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Sunday. On Friday, Trump threatened to impose 50 percent tariffs on imports from the European Union (EU).

In addition, the US dollar is attracting sellers as the United States (US) faces budget deficit concerns ahead of the Senate's consideration of Trump's “one big beautiful bill”. According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the bill would increase the deficit by $3.8 billion as it would provide tax breaks on tip income and American-made auto loans.

Trump's bill includes provisions such as tax cuts, spending increases and raising the debt ceiling. This could worsen the U.S. government's fiscal position and increase the risk that bond yields will rise longer. Higher bond yields could increase the cost of borrowing for consumers, businesses and governments.

Additionally, the Pound Sterling (GBP) is rising as traders reassess the Bank of England's (BoE) monetary policy outlook following the release of better-than-expected inflation and retail sales data for April released last week. According to Reuters, the futures market indicates that UK rates will fall by around 38 basis points (bps) in 2025, suggesting one interest rate cut of 25 bps and a roughly 50/50 chance of a second cut.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3550, SL 1.3510, TP 1.3640

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Dive into the oil storm of 2025!

In 2025, oil prices declined due to rising output from OPEC+ countries, growing inventories in the U.S., weakening global demand, a stronger dollar, and ongoing trade tensions between major economies. Further pressure came from OPEC+’s plan to boost production by 411,000 barrels per day — three times more than previously scheduled. A final decision is expected at the May 31 meeting. This move aims to strengthen the Alliance’s market position, particularly against U.S. shale producers, but it has deepened the supply-demand imbalance, pushing prices to their lowest levels in four years.

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Despite current challenges, several factors could support a recovery in oil prices:

   1. Rising demand in emerging markets: Developing economies are expected to continue increasing energy consumption as they grow, boosting oil demand.

   2. Limited investment in production: Lower investment in exploration and drilling — especially in a low-price environment — may lead to tighter future supply, which can support prices.

   3. Geopolitical risks: Conflicts and instability in oil-producing regions can disrupt supply chains, traditionally driving prices higher.

   4. Slower non-OPEC+ output growth: While non-OPEC+ production is expected to rise in 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts slower growth in 2026, easing pressure on prices.

   5. Possible OPEC+ output cuts: If the current production increase fails to deliver the desired results, OPEC+ may reverse course and reduce output to stabilize the market.



In 2025, the oil market is under strain due to surging OPEC+ output, inventory surpluses, weak global demand, and economic uncertainty. Yet, despite prices plunging to four-year lows, there’s still room for recovery. Future price trends will hinge on OPEC+ decisions, emerging market demand, geopolitical events, and investment patterns in the energy sector. The upcoming OPEC+ meeting could be a turning point for the entire market.

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[FreshForex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for May 28, 2025 USDJPY

Event to pay attention today:

21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Meeting Minutes

USDJPY:

The Japanese yen (JPY) fell to a one-week low against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Wednesday, although the intraday decline was not extended. Comments from Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato indicated that the government will take some measures to curb the recent sharp rise in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields. This, along with the overall positive tone on risks, is undermining the safe-haven Yen and acting as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid some US Dollar (USD) buying for the second day in a row.

However, JPY bears are refraining from aggressive bets amid expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again. This is a significant divergence from expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to lower borrowing costs in 2025, which should limit losses for the low-yielding JPY. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and geopolitical risks should support the safe-haven yen. In addition, bearish sentiment in the US dollar may limit further upside for the USD/JPY pair.

Trade recommendation: SELL 144.20, SL 145.20, TP 142.20

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[FreshForex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for May 29, 2025 EURUSD

Event to pay attention today:

15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims

EURUSD:

EUR/USD continues its downward trend for the third consecutive session, trading at around 1.1240 during Asian trading hours on Thursday. Preliminary data on US GDP for the first quarter on an annualised basis, personal consumption expenditure prices on a quarterly basis and initial jobless claims will be released later in the day.

The EUR/USD pair is depreciating as the US dollar (USD) strengthens after a US federal court ruled on Wednesday to block US President Donald Trump's introduction of ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. A panel of three judges at the International Trade Court in Manhattan ruled that Trump did not have the authority to do so and declared the move unconstitutional and beyond the scope of presidential powers.

On Wednesday, minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on the latest policy showed that Federal Reserve (Fed) officials generally agreed that heightened economic uncertainty justified their patient approach to adjusting interest rates. Fed officials emphasised the need to keep interest rates unchanged for some time, as recent policy changes cloud the US economic outlook.

However, the negative impact on the risk-sensitive euro (EUR) may be limited thanks to easing trade tensions between the US and the European Union (EU). Last week, President Trump extended the deadline for imposing tariffs on imports from the EU from 1 June to 9 July.


Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1240, SL 1.1260, TP 1.1150

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Market Fundamental Analysis for May 30, 2025 GBPUSD

Event to pay attention today:

15:30 EET. USD - Core PCE Price Index

GBPUSD:

GBP/USD showed an unstable recovery on Thursday, rising back to the 1.3500 mark, as markets prepare for Friday's release of the latest US inflation data on the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index.

US President Donald Trump's “Executive Order on Imposing Retaliatory Tariffs Worldwide” faced its first serious legal challenge after US trade court judges ruled against it. The tariffs remain in place for now as the Trump administration appeals the decision. However, investors face a long and difficult road ahead as they continue to wait for some clarity on policy from the Trump administration.

The US PCE inflation index for April will be released on Friday and will be the last key indicator of the week. Average market forecasts suggest that annual figures will continue to decline, but in the near term, the curve should start to rise as the direct impact of Trump's tariffs on prices begins to be reflected in the underlying data. The PCE inflation index for April is expected to decline to 2.5% year-on-year from 2.6%, while the monthly figure is forecast to rise to 0.1% from zero in March. It will take some time for the full impact of tariffs on inflation indicators to manifest, and most of the import duties imposed only came into effect at the end of the PCE reporting period.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3480, SL 1.3450, TP 1.3580

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 2, 2025 USDJPY

Event to pay attention today:

17:00 EET. USD - ISM Manufacturing Index

USDJPY:

On Monday, the Japanese yen (JPY) maintained its lead over the US dollar for the third day in a row and appears poised for further strengthening amid a combination of favorable factors. The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Friday showed that core inflation accelerated more than expected in May and confirmed forecasts that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates. In addition, ongoing trade uncertainty and geopolitical risks are proving to be key factors supporting the Japanese yen as a safe haven.

Meanwhile, comments by Japan's chief trade negotiator, Ryosei Akazawa, indicate progress in trade negotiations with the US and fuel hopes for an early conclusion of an agreement this month, which in turn provides additional support for the Japanese yen. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is attracting new sellers amid growing recognition that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue to lower borrowing costs amid signs of weakening inflation. This is further benefiting the lower-yielding Japanese yen and pulling the USD/JPY pair below the 143.00 mark during the Asian session.

Trading recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.00, TP 142.40

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 3, 2025 EURUSD

Event to pay attention today:

17:00 EET. USD - JOLTs Job Openings

EURUSD:

EUR/USD is down after rising more than 0.50% in the previous session, trading near 1.1420 during Asian hours on Tuesday.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday threatened to double import tariffs on steel and aluminum that will take effect on Wednesday to increase pressure on global steel producers and intensify the trade war. "We're going to increase tariffs by 25%. We're going to increase from 25% to 50% tariffs on steel to the United States, which will further strengthen the U.S. steel industry," he said, as quoted by Reuters.

In addition, the US dollar attracted sellers' attention after the closely watched Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers' index showed a third consecutive monthly decline in output. The index fell to 48.5 in May from 48.7 in April. The figure was weaker than expectations of 49.5.

The European Union (EU) expressed “strong” regret over Trump's plan to double U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, which could derail bilateral trade talks. The European Commission (EC) said on Saturday that Trump's decision on tariffs “undermines ongoing efforts” to reach a deal and warned of “countermeasures”, BBC reported.

Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1390, SL 1.1490, TP 1.1190

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 4, 2025 GBPUSD

Events to pay attention today:

11:30 EET. GBP - Services PMI

17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services Business Activity Index

15:15 EET. USD - ADP Employment Change

GBPUSD:

On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair lost its bullish momentum, settling just above 1.3500. The latest Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy report hearings in the British Parliament failed to inspire traders, and market sentiment remains neutral as traders hope for an easing of trade tensions between the US and China.

Investors are still counting on a trade agreement between President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, despite the ongoing escalation of trade disputes, as both sides accuse each other of violating the terms of the preliminary trade agreement. Trump administration officials continue to insist that Trump and Xi will soon hold direct talks, but specific details remain unknown.

The number of JOLTS job openings rose to 7.391 million in April, defying forecasts of a decline to 7.1 million. On the other hand, US factory orders data for April fell more than expected, dropping 3.7% from the previous month, the lowest figure in 15 months. The previous month also saw a sharp downward revision, from an initial reading of 4.3% to 3.4%.

The results of the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) survey in the US will be released on Thursday, and investors are hoping for a slight improvement in the overall sentiment of business operators. The ISM Services PMI is forecast to rise to 52.0 in May from 51.6 in April.

Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3520, SL 1.3500, TP 1.3620

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5 stocks that shook the market in May

May 2025 turned out to be a landmark month for the U.S. stock market. Several top companies posted impressive gains driven by explosive demand for AI technologies, advancements in autonomous transport, and strong corporate strategy.

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Here are the five market leaders that set the tone in May:

1. Nvidia – The AI Powerhouse

Nvidia (#NVIDIA) surged 25% in May, becoming the most valuable U.S. company with a market cap of $3.45 trillion — surpassing even Microsoft. The rally was fueled by stunning data center results, with revenue hitting $39.1 billion (+427% YoY). Its new Blackwell chip series has already sparked massive interest from leading AI developers. UBS analysts raised their price target to $175, predicting further growth in high-performance computing.

2. Apple – A return to growth

Apple (#Apple) saw a solid 7% gain, rebounding from earlier struggles. The company announced $500 billion in long-term investments over the next five years to create new jobs and manufacture AI servers in the U.S. This move restored investor confidence and supported the stock’s recovery.

3. Tesla – Robotaxis drive momentum

Tesla (#Tesla) jumped 25%, boosted by the announcement of its robotaxi launch in Austin, Texas, scheduled for June 12. Combined with improving market conditions and a pause in EU tariff pressure, Tesla shares reclaimed center stage. Wedbush analysts see potential for the stock to hit $500 as the company expands its autonomous and AI-driven initiatives.

4. Moderna – Biotech breakthroughs

Moderna (#Moderna) gained 7% following positive results from new cancer drug trials. The company also revealed plans to cut operational costs by $1.7 billion by 2027, aiming to boost overall efficiency. Investors welcomed the strategic pivot beyond COVID-related products.

5. Alcoa – Aluminum and geopolitics

Alcoa (#Alcoa) rose 6.5% on reports that the U.S. may ban aluminum imports from Russia. This geopolitical development, along with steady dividends and renewed investor interest in commodities, positioned Alcoa as a top-performing metals stock for the month.

May 2025 confirmed the market’s focus on AI, autonomous transport, biotech, and raw materials. Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Moderna, and Alcoa led the charge — and FreshForex analysts recommend riding this momentum for active trading on high-performing stocks.

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[FreshForex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for June 5, 2025 USDJPY

Event to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims

USDJPY:

The Japanese yen (JPY) is showing moderate weakness against the strengthening US dollar (USD) during Thursday's Asian session, temporarily interrupting the upward movement that began after reaching a weekly low the day before. However, the potential for further yen depreciation remains limited amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue its cycle of interest rate hikes. These expectations were further confirmed by the publication of statistics showing that real household incomes in Japan have declined for the fourth consecutive month, reflecting the impact of sustained inflationary pressure.

The yen is also being supported by continued investor caution caused by expectations of potential negotiations between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. Against this backdrop, there remains a high degree of uncertainty in global trade policy, as well as geopolitical risks, which strengthens the position of the Japanese currency as a reliable safe haven asset in times of instability.

The release of weak macroeconomic data from the US on Wednesday reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates in 2025. This factor is putting pressure on the US dollar and, combined with the low yield of the Japanese yen, is helping to hold back the growth of the USD/JPY currency pair.

Looking ahead, the yen retains its potential to strengthen, especially if the Bank of Japan continues to demonstrate its readiness to tighten monetary policy amid persistent inflation and weak real incomes. Higher interest rates, combined with a possible slowdown in the pace of rate cuts in the US, could contribute to sustained demand for the yen from both speculative capital and investors seeking stability amid an unstable external environment.

Trading recommendation: BUY 143.00, SL 142.60, TP 144.10

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 6, 2025 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change

EURUSD:

The EUR/USD pair is trading in a limited range around 1.1440 during Asian trading hours on Friday.

Investors' attention will be focused on the official US employment data as it will affect market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy outlook. The US economy is estimated to have added 130,000 new workers, down from the 171,000 hired in April. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar's value against six major currencies, rises to 98.80.

The dollar index rebounded on Thursday following comments by U.S. President Donald Trump in a post on the Truth.Social website suggesting a de-escalation of trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. “The call lasted about an hour and a half and ended very positively for both countries.” wrote Trump.

Meanwhile, the euro (EUR) is trending negative, while comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials indicate that the monetary policy expansion cycle is now complete.

Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1400, SL 1.1500, TP 1.1200

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 9, 2025 GPBUSD

GBPUSD:

The GBP/USD pair rose during the Asian session on Monday and so far appears to have paused its corrective decline from the highest level since February 2022 around 1.3615 reached last week.

The US Dollar (USD) failed to capitalize on Friday's positive US jobs data and started the new week on a subdued note, which in turn is seen as a key factor supporting the GBP/USD pair. Moreover, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey's remarks last week that the central bank would take a gradual and cautious approach to interest rate cuts amid trade uncertainty served as a tailwind for the currency pair.

Meanwhile, a stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report dampened hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut rates soon this year. This is deterring dollar bears from new bets and limiting GBP/USD's upside.

On Monday, there will be no market-important economic data released from either the UK or the US, leaving the GBP/USD pair at the mercy of dollar price action.

Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3535, SL 1.3635, TP 1.3335

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Market Fundamental Analysis for June 10, 2025 USDJPY

An Events to pay attention today:

09:00 EET. JPY - Change in equipment orders

13:00 EET. USD - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

USDJPY:

The Japanese yen (JPY) is attracting new sellers during Tuesday's Asian session as optimism about the resumption of trade talks between the US and China undermines demand for safe-haven assets. This, along with moderate gains in the US dollar (USD), pushes the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 145.00 mark to a nearly two-week high in the last hour. However, a combination of factors may keep JPY bears from aggressively betting on the direction of the move and limit the currency pair's gains.

Amid signs of rising inflation in Japan, the upward revision of first-quarter GDP confirmed bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates. This marks a significant divergence from the relatively dovish policy of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which should limit the USD's rise and have a favourable impact on the lower-yielding Japanese yen. In addition, ongoing trade uncertainty and growing geopolitical tensions support the prospect of some bargain hunting in the Japanese yen.

On Tuesday, senior US and Chinese officials will meet for the second time in London for talks aimed at resolving the ongoing trade dispute between the world's two largest economies. Investors remain hopeful for a breakthrough on export controls on commodities such as rare earth metals, which continues to support risk appetite and undermines the Japanese yen's safe-haven status.


Trading recommendation: SELL 144.90, SL 145.10, TP 144.00

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Top stocks now on FreshForex: Ferrari, Palantir, Shell & more

Dear Trader,

We’ve expanded our stock offering on FreshForex — dozens of new global companies are now available for trading. Follow the latest trends and take advantage of corporate momentum with fresh names on the list.

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Highlights from the latest additions:

Ferrari (RACE) – A symbol of prestige and power. The stock shows steady performance with enough price swings to suit both day traders and long-term strategies.

Palantir (PLTR) – A key player in data analytics and government contracts, constantly in the spotlight.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) – A cybersecurity leader gaining momentum in today’s digital-first world.

Shell, ConocoPhillips – Energy giants benefiting from global price shifts and geopolitical factors. Great for trend following and portfolio hedging.

GitLab, Cloudflare – Strong representatives of the new wave of tech. Ideal for those who focus on innovation-driven markets.

Domino’s Pizza – A globally recognized consumer brand with steady demand.

Roblox (RBLX) – A popular platform among younger audiences and a standout in the interactive entertainment space.

Also now available: Walmart, Citigroup, Nasdaq, Dell, BlackRock, Chevron and many others.

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[FreshForex]

Market Fundamental Analysis for June 11, 2025 EURUSD

Event to pay attention to today:

15:30 EET. USD - Consumer Price Index

EURUSD:

EUR/USD is losing ground after rising during the previous two sessions, trading around 1.1410 during Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair is devaluing as the US dollar is supported by easing tariff tensions between the US and China.

US Commerce Secretary Howard Luttin on Tuesday proposed possible solutions with China and noted that the two countries had reached a framework agreement on the implementation of the Geneva Consensus. Chinese Vice Minister of Commerce Li Chenggang said that the communication with the US was rational and frank, and that he would report on the framework agreement to the Chinese leadership. However, according to Bloomberg, officials on both sides will seek approval from their leaders before implementing the agreement.

US Treasury yields remain stable as traders remain cautious ahead of inflation data releases. The consumer price index (CPI) report is expected to provide insight into the impact of recent tariffs on the economy and overall inflation trends. At the time of writing, the yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bonds are 4.01% and 4.46%, respectively.

Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its rate by 25 basis points, bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since November 2022. In addition, the central bank also revised its inflation forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downward, indicating that it is nearing the end of the current easing cycle.

Trade recommendation: SELL 1.1415, SL 1.1445, TP 1.1360

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