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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115383 times)
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February 22, 2024, 07:08:34 PM
 #14801

Mavericks vs Suns
The Phoenix Suns entered the All-Star break in top form. In the last matchup between these two teams, Phoenix won against Dallas despite being down in the first half. The games between these two teams usually end in Dallas' favor. Phoenix broke that resistance in the last matchup, but it wasn't easy. Dallas has led at halftime against Phoenix in each of the last eight matchups. In such a tough matchup, the trend seems worth betting on. I'm going with Dallas.

Cavaliers vs Magic
Cleveland had a great streak before the All-Star break and was the best team coming into the break. They have escaped from the tough environment in the Eastern Conference and are chasing at the top Boston. The Cavaliers have been especially effective at home and although Donovan Mitchell's illness is a concern, the fact that he has started practicing is encouraging. Orlando, on the other hand, has finished 6 of its last 7 games with high scores. Paolo Banchero may miss a game for the first time this season. It will be good to check his status at game time. I believe that Cleveland will not be easily defeated at home and will come out victorious in this game.

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February 22, 2024, 07:59:19 PM
 #14802

Mavericks vs Suns
The Phoenix Suns entered the All-Star break in top form. In the last matchup between these two teams, Phoenix won against Dallas despite being down in the first half. The games between these two teams usually end in Dallas' favor. Phoenix broke that resistance in the last matchup, but it wasn't easy. Dallas has led at halftime against Phoenix in each of the last eight matchups. In such a tough matchup, the trend seems worth betting on. I'm going with Dallas.

Tough loss by the Dallas that time as they loss by 23 points. 132-109 was the score.
However, Irving was out that time and this game later he is gonna play with his new crew as well. The line up will be tested but I believe Dallas are gonna avenge their loss and will beat the Suns.

Cavaliers vs Magic
Cleveland had a great streak before the All-Star break and was the best team coming into the break. They have escaped from the tough environment in the Eastern Conference and are chasing at the top Boston. The Cavaliers have been especially effective at home and although Donovan Mitchell's illness is a concern, the fact that he has started practicing is encouraging. Orlando, on the other hand, has finished 6 of its last 7 games with high scores. Paolo Banchero may miss a game for the first time this season. It will be good to check his status at game time. I believe that Cleveland will not be easily defeated at home and will come out victorious in this game.
Cleveland hasn't been playing well at home recently. On their first game from a road trip, 76ers beat them, and then in the 2nd, although they won but the Bulls made it a close game losing by 3 points only. Maybe they will win but will not cover the spread, so I'm gonna ride with the moneyline here.

R


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February 22, 2024, 10:37:12 PM
Last edit: February 23, 2024, 03:15:00 AM by morvillz7z
 #14803

Celtics ML / K. Porzingis 2+ 3pts @1.97  won

The first couple of games right after the All-Star weekend are often tricky. I've seen anomalies and inconsistencies in player/team performance after extended breaks before. Hopefully, this will not affect the Celtics and Porzingis.

KP has covered 2+ 3pts in 5/L5 and 9/L10. I wouldn't say volume is there since he's only averaging around 5 3pt attempts per game /L10, but his 3pt% is rather high at around 48%. He does land a favorable matchup in Vucevic, a below-average defender, and the Bulls as a team rank near the bottom of the league in defending catch-and-shoot threes.

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February 22, 2024, 11:16:38 PM
 #14804

Celtics ML / K. Porzingis 2+ 3pts @1.97

The first couple of games right after the All-Star weekend are often tricky. I've seen anomalies and inconsistencies in player/team performance after extended breaks before. Hopefully, this will not affect the Celtics and Porzingis.

KP has covered 2+ 3pts in 5/L5 and 9/L10. I wouldn't say volume is there since he's only averaging around 5 3pt attempts per game /L10, but his 3pt% is rather high at around 48%. He does land a favorable matchup in Vucevic, a below-average defender, and the Bulls as a team rank near the bottom of the league in defending catch-and-shoot threes.

Agreed I'm laying off of any betting except maybe betting against the Lakers.  Bron nursing a bum ankle and I know they don't want that to linger so he might get some bench time here.  Other than that enjoying the next couple of days without laying down on them until the break dust settles.

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February 22, 2024, 11:40:17 PM
 #14805

We are back! Finally!
Here are my picks for today!

Toronto Raptors - Brooklyn Nets - Brooklyn Nets ML @1.99
Indiana Pacers - Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers (-10.5) @1.74 - Aaron Nesmith is out for the Pacers. Well, they have Haliburton so this should be easy.
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML @1.97 - Still no Randle, Robinson, and OG. Now, no Hartenstein and Bojan Bogdanovic are probable to play for the Knicks. But, I am still hoping Brunson could lift his team up.
Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-7.5) @1.82 - Patrick Williams and Torey Craig are both not available to play due to injuries. Boston has a full healthy roster on the other hand.
Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) @1.90 - This will be a fun rivalry game. We know Doncic and Booker had always been playing a competitive game whenever they met. We will see. Bradley Beal is questionable to play.
New Orleans Pelicans - Houston Rockets - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5) @1.68 - Brandon Ingram is questionable to play for the Pelicans but they are on their third winning streak and they are playing at home and I wish they can continue it.

That's it for me, going for live betting on the remaining games.
Good luck everyone and have a great day. Wink

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February 23, 2024, 02:06:18 PM
 #14806

I'm listing the games that I'm interested in betting and my possible picks which are bolded.

Clippers +2 vs OKC
Lakers +4.5 vs Warriors
Suns +3 vs Dallas

These three games look like playoff matchups; this should end up as close games, and I love the underdog here taking a few points that could lead to a win if indeed it's going to be close. Also, just for fun, I'm taking a parlay on all moneyline of my bets.

Not a good start mate, you would have gone perfect if you had taken the opposite side. It's the home teams that had dominated the games since all these three home teams had won via double digit.

Dallas by 10
OKc by 22
Warriors by 18 (LA playing without Lebron)

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February 23, 2024, 04:38:24 PM
 #14807

Toronto Raptors - Brooklyn Nets - Brooklyn Nets ML - Loss! I didn't find out the news about Coach Vaughn being fired. How I discovered it before I made the bet.
Indiana Pacers - Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers (-10.5) - Win! No problem for the Pacers.
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML - Win! Another no problem.
Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-7.5) - Win! It's an easy win for the Celtics.
Dallas Mavericks - Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) - Win! That was a fun offensive game.
New Orleans Pelicans - Houston Rockets - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5) - Win! No Ingram, no problem.

Later. 10 games.
I would not check for exhausted teams who will play back-to-back games. They just came from a long vacation so I bet they still have the energy.

Here are my picks.
Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors - Atlanta Hawks (-4.5) - I wish the Hawks had their good rest, they better be a consistent team now. Capela seems to be out of the injury reports too.
Philadelphia 76ers - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5) - After that loss against the Magic yesterday, that may have warmed them up.
Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-2.5) - This team is also angry after losing against the Mavs, they might try to force a win on this one.
Memphis Grizzlies - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-10.5) - They lost against the OKC Thunder, but I doubt they will against the Grizzlies although I would not underestimate those young players there.
Golden State Warriors - Charlotte Hornets - Golden State Warriors (-10.5)
Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-10.5)

That's it. Good luck everyone, have a nice day.

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February 23, 2024, 04:53:03 PM
 #14808

Mavericks vs Suns
The Phoenix Suns entered the All-Star break in top form. In the last matchup between these two teams, Phoenix won against Dallas despite being down in the first half. The games between these two teams usually end in Dallas' favor. Phoenix broke that resistance in the last matchup, but it wasn't easy. Dallas has led at halftime against Phoenix in each of the last eight matchups. In such a tough matchup, the trend seems worth betting on. I'm going with Dallas.

Cavaliers vs Magic
Cleveland had a great streak before the All-Star break and was the best team coming into the break. They have escaped from the tough environment in the Eastern Conference and are chasing at the top Boston. The Cavaliers have been especially effective at home and although Donovan Mitchell's illness is a concern, the fact that he has started practicing is encouraging. Orlando, on the other hand, has finished 6 of its last 7 games with high scores. Paolo Banchero may miss a game for the first time this season. It will be good to check his status at game time. I believe that Cleveland will not be easily defeated at home and will come out victorious in this game.

Well, you got 1 win and that is the Dallas Mavericks versus the Phoenix Suns, Devin Booker was working pretty much in this game he was really struggling in pursuing a win but Luka Doncic's curse has gotten into the Phoenix Suns once again as he decimated the Suns with a Double-double of 11 assist and 41 points, with a little help from Kyrie Irving, but maybe the recent beef of Luka Doncic has come alive again and was pretty much shown in this game.



Now the Result of my picks for games was Yesterday and it was really awful all my picks were lost this time, and not having an edge with the odds helped.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks

Philadelphia 76ers (1.87) - LOST - I thought that the Philadelphia 76ers would have their way as even though they don't have Joel Embiid I thought they can still do it, but the teamwork and play of Brunson to the team has got a major role for them, as Josh Hart and Precious Achiuwa had a great defensive and offensive rebounding for the team, while Bojan Bogdanovic and Donte DiVincenzo was great in getting those scores when the team needed the most.

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers (2.52) - LOST - Now I thought having the backup of the refs would make the Los Angeles Lakers dominated the game was not really enough, it was the ferociousness of the offense of the Golden State Warriors was really enough to bust that Free Throw contingency that the referees was giving to the Lakers, and Anthony Davis and Lebron James can not get Stephen Curry has shown why he is the goat on this game with the help of Andrew Wiggins and Trace Jackson-Davis the Warriors have conquered even though the Lakers does have the help of the referee's.
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February 23, 2024, 06:20:17 PM
 #14809

Tossing another parlay out there today.  Yesterday's didn't do as well as I'd liked but a new day calls for new fun with the NBA.  I'd never recommend anyone follow my picks because I don't put any real thought behind them, but here they are.

Los Angeles Lakers - San Antonio Spurs
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Lakers

Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder - Washington Wizards
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder

Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Memphis Grizzlies - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Total Odds
3.13




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February 23, 2024, 06:44:07 PM
 #14810

Updated record 15-15 (50%) ---loss all my 4 picks. 0-4

Starting a fresh journey after the all star break (no more break this time) Cheesy

I got these teams winning later.

1- Suns -4. A back to back game but it's a must win in Houston. Bradly Beal Still out, but let Book and Durant take care of the business.
2-Clippers -9 - they are not the Bucks, sure they can beat this undermanned team.
3-Wolves -4.5 - Bucks might continue to struggle and Wolves might still owned them.
4-Lakers -10 - Both teams are playing back to back, but Lakers are back at home, though Lebron is still "Q", I think the home team can handle the Spurs.

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February 23, 2024, 10:56:59 PM
 #14811

Easy money last night think it's gonna be easy money tonight.  Coming out of the break with a loss and a second game of a back to back against a young team.  Spurs should give them enough trouble to keep it to single digits or even come away with a win.  The books seem to always over estimate teams like Lakers, cowboys, yankees.  Easy betting targets.

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February 24, 2024, 08:33:56 PM
 #14812

Starting a fresh journey after the all star break (no more break this time) Cheesy

I got these teams winning later.

1- Suns -4. A back to back game but it's a must win in Houston. Bradly Beal Still out, but let Book and Durant take care of the business.  - loss
2-Clippers -9 - they are not the Bucks, sure they can beat this undermanned team. - loss
3-Wolves -4.5 - Bucks might continue to struggle and Wolves might still owned them.  -loss
4-Lakers -10 - Both teams are playing back to back, but Lakers are back at home, though Lebron is still "Q", I think the home team can handle the Spurs. loss

Updated record 15-19 (44%) Another losing streak.  Sad

Still making some picks and let see how this goes.

1- Detroit is on a losing streak again so definitely I'm gonna pick them with the spread of +8. I like a desperate home team to win as well.
2- Boston is just too strong now dominating their opponents, so I'll take the -6.5
3- Wolves on a back to back home game, and might be bouncing back after losing to the Bucks. Against a visiting less defensive Brooklyn Nets, it's Timberwolves -8.5 all day.

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February 24, 2024, 10:51:43 PM
 #14813

Starting a fresh journey after the all star break (no more break this time) Cheesy

I got these teams winning later.

1- Suns -4. A back to back game but it's a must win in Houston. Bradly Beal Still out, but let Book and Durant take care of the business.  - loss
2-Clippers -9 - they are not the Bucks, sure they can beat this undermanned team. - loss
3-Wolves -4.5 - Bucks might continue to struggle and Wolves might still owned them.  -loss
4-Lakers -10 - Both teams are playing back to back, but Lakers are back at home, though Lebron is still "Q", I think the home team can handle the Spurs. loss

Updated record 15-19 (44%) Another losing streak.  Sad

Still making some picks and let see how this goes.

1- Detroit is on a losing streak again so definitely I'm gonna pick them with the spread of +8. I like a desperate home team to win as well.
2- Boston is just too strong now dominating their opponents, so I'll take the -6.5
3- Wolves on a back to back home game, and might be bouncing back after losing to the Bucks. Against a visiting less defensive Brooklyn Nets, it's Timberwolves -8.5 all day.

I'm not gonna bet the knicks/Boston game I think it's gonna be a good one.  Knicks are down julius, OG and Mitch from the starting lineup so not a bad bet.

I'm going the other way in the Detroit game, they are pretty bad right now.  Gimme orlando -7.5 I have them.

And Wolves I'm on that one too.  Nets stink and expect them to lose by more than double digits here.  Just hope cam thomas doesn't have one of them freak 40 points games.

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February 25, 2024, 12:10:19 AM
Last edit: February 25, 2024, 03:22:52 AM by morvillz7z
 #14814

Magic ML / F. Wagner 18+ points @1.66  X

This is a great spot for Franz Wagner. The Pistons have been terrible at defending the PnR this season, and they give up a ton of points in the paint, which is exactly where Wagner excels. He set a career-high against them earlier this month with 38 points and added 27 in the other game between the two teams. Wagner has covered 18+ points in 7/L10, averaging just over 23 points with a solid 53% FG in that span.

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February 25, 2024, 08:57:51 AM
Merited by Questat (2)
 #14815

Updated record 15-19 (44%) Another losing streak.  Sad

Still making some picks and let see how this goes.

1- Detroit is on a losing streak again so definitely I'm gonna pick them with the spread of +8. I like a desperate home team to win as well.
2- Boston is just too strong now dominating their opponents, so I'll take the -6.5
3- Wolves on a back to back home game, and might be bouncing back after losing to the Bucks. Against a visiting less defensive Brooklyn Nets, it's Timberwolves -8.5 all day.

And I made 3 out of 3. Good day after struggling in the couple of days.

That will make my updated record to Updated record 18-19 (49%) good day  Sad

And moving on for the upcoming games, here are my picks again.

1-Clippers -6.5.. last time they win but did not cover the spread, I miss the winning like 20 points and this might be it at home.
2-Nuggets +1 - Warriors been rolling, however, I like the Nuggets which I believe is the better team.
3-Suns -4... 2 losing streak, they need to get back in the winning track, and if that happen, I'm sure they'll cover

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February 25, 2024, 04:24:05 PM
 #14816

11 games! Wooh!

One game is about to start in a couple of hours.
Philadelphia 76ers - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-2.5) - Sorry Philly, I don't think they can handle the Bucks without Embiid although Giannis is said to be probable to play.
Phoenix Suns - Los Angeles Lakers - Phoenix Suns (-1.5) - Bradley Beal is out and Nurkic is probable. Well, they still have KD and Booker while the Lakers are filled with injury reports.
Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks - Indiana Pacers (-1.5) - Luka Doncic is probable to play for the Mavs. Jalen Smith and Aaron Nesmith are both out for the Pacers.
Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5) - Mitchell is probable but I doubt they will lose this one. I just hope the spreads will be covered.
New Orleans Pelicans - Chicago Bulls - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5) - I am trusting the bench of the Pelicans here. Ingram and Zion are questionable to play and McCollum is out.
Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5) - This will be a good one to watch. Both are young teams and I bet it will be a fast-paced game.
Atlanta Hawks - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic ML - Trae Young out and Okungwu out, this could be a bad day for the Hawks.

Betting live for the last few games.
Good luck everyone. Have a great day.

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February 25, 2024, 05:50:45 PM
 #14817

Tossing another parlay out there to see if I can keep my losing streak alive.  Nothing too controversial here.  I didn't bet the Lakers/Suns because I think that could go either way, but I'll be watching.

Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder

New Orleans Pelicans - Chicago Bulls
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New Orleans Pelicans

Utah Jazz - San Antonio Spurs
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Utah Jazz

Odds
6.13

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February 26, 2024, 11:02:06 AM
 #14818

And I made 3 out of 3. Good day after struggling in the couple of days.

That will make my updated record to Updated record 18-19 (49%) good day  Sad

And moving on for the upcoming games, here are my picks again.

1-Clippers -6.5.. last time they win but did not cover the spread, I miss the winning like 20 points and this might be it at home.  loss
2-Nuggets +1 - Warriors been rolling, however, I like the Nuggets which I believe is the better team. win
3-Suns -4... 2 losing streak, they need to get back in the winning track, and if that happen, I'm sure they'll cover win

updated recordUpdated record 20-20 (50%) back to 50%, small improvement but getting better  Sad

Clippers not so good in that game, I thought they were complete but turns out PG was missing. But regardless, I think they can beat the kings at home but they are not ready for it, still a profitable day though, so let's move forward.

1- Miami Heat +7.5
They have perfected their last 3 road games, so I'm wondering why they are this underdog, but regardless I'm still riding the trend though, if they will lose at least they'll cover, even without Jimmy I believe.

2-Knicks -11
Playing at home with an impressive record, I think they can handle the Pistons. Lost last game to the Celtics, they'll bounce back this game.

3-Pacers -6.5
2 consecutive wins at home with a huge margin, they should win here and cover even they are on a back to back game.

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February 26, 2024, 01:01:49 PM
 #14819

1- Miami Heat +7.5
They have perfected their last 3 road games, so I'm wondering why they are this underdog, but regardless I'm still riding the trend though, if they will lose at least they'll cover, even without Jimmy I believe.

I love the Miami Heat moneyline here too. Getting +7.5 points even on the road is just too attractive for me. And with their win streak, there's no reason to bet against them. Similarly, with the Miami Heat, the Sacramento Kings are also on a 3-game win streak. However, in the 2 games they won against Denver and the Spurs, the winning margin was only 4 and 5, so this +7.5 might be a gift.

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danherbias07
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February 26, 2024, 04:12:32 PM
 #14820

Rsults:
Philadelphia 76ers - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-2.5) - Won! Too easy for the Bucks.
Phoenix Suns - Los Angeles Lakers - Phoenix Suns (-1.5) - Won! This is the first time I saw Grayson Allen shooting some volume in the three-point range. 6/12 for the sharpshooter.
Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks - Indiana Pacers (-1.5) - Won! Myles Turner! 33 points. Wow.
Washington Wizards - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5) - Loss! The Cavs had the 12-point lead at one point in the 4th quarter but they got messy and turned the ball over many times which led to a 7-point run for the Wizards, so the spread was not covered.
New Orleans Pelicans - Chicago Bulls - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5) - Loss! This was just not right. The Pelicans had the lead in the first half.
Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5) - Won! Easy win for the Thunder.
Atlanta Hawks - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic ML - Loss! Surprised by the Hawks. Jalen Johnson stepping up his game.

Later, 4 games only.
Here are my picks.

Indiana Pacers - Toronto Raptors - Indiana Pacers (-4.5) - Back-to-back home game for the Pacers, I don't think that will be a problem.
New York Knicks - Detroit Pistons - New York Knicks (-10.5) - Brunson can somehow carry the team. He might go nuts in this home game.
Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (8.5) - Looks like a trap for me. We have seen the Heat win games using their bench, I will take the +8 just to be sure.

Good luck everyone, have a great day.

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