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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 116270 times)
ralle14
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March 05, 2024, 12:07:27 AM
 #14881

My bets will go against the majority here,
That early bet paid off now that Giannis is out in the Bucks lineup and the odds are leaning to the Clippers(1.80). BOL


The underdog odds on the Lakers make me think it's worth a shot after watching OKC yesterday, throw their comfortable lead against the Suns who didn't have Booker. I like the extra value even though they're more likely to disappoint due to their terrible ATS record.


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jakelyson
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March 05, 2024, 07:44:50 AM
 #14882

My bets will go against the majority here,
That early bet paid off now that Giannis is out in the Bucks lineup and the odds are leaning to the Clippers(1.80). BOL


The underdog odds on the Lakers make me think it's worth a shot after watching OKC yesterday, throw their comfortable lead against the Suns who didn't have Booker. I like the extra value even though they're more likely to disappoint due to their terrible ATS record.



It should be that the Los Angeles Clippers win in this game because Giannis Antotekoumpo wasn't with the Bucks but because of Damian Lillard's beast performance it was a great comeback for the Milwaukee Bucks in the 4th quarter of the game, well, it was expected for Lillard playing like this but against a team that has James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, and Paul George.

The Los Angeles Lakers won against the Thunders led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as it was really a close match, and even if the Los Angeles Lakers had 20 turnovers they still managed to win against the Oklahoma City Thunders that just had 10 turnovers, it was the free throw deficit that once again the Los Angeles Lakers have the Lakers have 18/25 free throws given while the Thunders just have 15/16 but the percentage of success for the Thunders is huge because they only miss 1 Free Throw, but still it was a good bet if you make one for the Los Angeles Lakers.



I will add my picks for tomorrow's game later because I am familiarizing what has happened since I have been busy lately if there are certain suspensions, injuries, or players that can not play I will be ready if I make a pick later.
ralle14
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March 05, 2024, 08:01:38 AM
 #14883

It should be that the Los Angeles Clippers win in this game because Giannis Antotekoumpo wasn't with the Bucks but because of Damian Lillard's beast performance it was a great comeback for the Milwaukee Bucks in the 4th quarter of the game, well, it was expected for Lillard playing like this but against a team that has James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, and Paul George.

The Los Angeles Lakers won against the Thunders led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as it was really a close match, and even if the Los Angeles Lakers had 20 turnovers they still managed to win against the Oklahoma City Thunders that just had 10 turnovers, it was the free throw deficit that once again the Los Angeles Lakers have the Lakers have 18/25 free throws given while the Thunders just have 15/16 but the percentage of success for the Thunders is huge because they only miss 1 Free Throw, but still it was a good bet if you make one for the Los Angeles Lakers.
It was an unfortunate loss for the Clippers. I assumed they had it in the bag after the third quarter and Lillard just had to drop a 40-point performance today.  Tongue

The Lakers are lucky that OKC couldn't convert the chances they've made, they did well to force so many turnovers, but it's not enough after missing too many shots and allowing the Lakers to go on a few small runs. If only they landed more buckets in the second quarter then we might've had a close finish.

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cryptomaniac_xxx
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March 05, 2024, 09:04:05 AM
 #14884

My bets will go against the majority here,
That early bet paid off now that Giannis is out in the Bucks lineup and the odds are leaning to the Clippers(1.80). BOL


The underdog odds on the Lakers make me think it's worth a shot after watching OKC yesterday, throw their comfortable lead against the Suns who didn't have Booker. I like the extra value even though they're more likely to disappoint due to their terrible ATS record.



I thought that the Clippers are going to steal this one from the Bucks as they don't have Giannis. But Dame caught fire and it has domino effect to Bobby Portis and Pat Beverley while the Bucks don't have any answer to that amazing run. Erases that 15 point lead and build their own.

Anyhow, that's the only bet I put up in tonight's game.

Congrats to those who ride on the Bucks and the Lakers as well. With the Lakers win, they separate themselves from the Warriors and solidify their 9th position and now chasing the Mavs.
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March 05, 2024, 03:48:34 PM
 #14885

My bets will go against the majority here,
That early bet paid off now that Giannis is out in the Bucks lineup and the odds are leaning to the Clippers(1.80). BOL


The underdog odds on the Lakers make me think it's worth a shot after watching OKC yesterday, throw their comfortable lead against the Suns who didn't have Booker. I like the extra value even though they're more likely to disappoint due to their terrible ATS record.


I never thought that the Lakers would come back and tie up the game in the 1st quarter. Imagine, from being down 13-2 in favor of OKC to tying the score at 25-25 by the end of the 1st quarter. It's like as I remember of the last Lakers vs Clippers game in the 4th quarter, where the Lakers were trailing 77-96 but ended up winning 116-112. LeBron don't need to be consistent with the points he can really help with it comes to rebound & assist. Thanks to Lebron I win this.


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danherbias07
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March 05, 2024, 04:06:57 PM
 #14886

Brooklyn Nets - Memphis Grizzlies - Brooklyn Nets (-10.5) - Loss! No comment! Cheesy
Milwaukee Bucks - Los Angeles Clippers - Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) - Won! No Giannis, no problem. Damian Lillard did most of the work and then PatBev did his normal thing. Defense!
Minnesota Timberwolves - Portland Trail Blazers - Minnesota Timberwolves (-12.5) - Lost! Did not cover. It seems like they are also exhausted.
Utah Jazz - Washington Wizards - Utah Jazz (-3.5) - Won! This was a fun offensive game.

2/4.

But I got something that got me going.


For the past weeks even before the All-Star, I never really watched a Wizards or a Jazz game because I don't like it. But this game got me to watch them because of my same game multiple props.
1st half, I am almost a winner. I just needed 7 points from Kizma and 3 points for Sexton if I remember it right. And maybe 1 more rebound for Avdija.
I never expected it would be a wild offensive game and the score is the proof of that. I should've added Clarkson in my props because he was damn hot yesterday.

Anyway, 9 games later. Parlay makers, it's your time to shine again.
Here are my picks.

Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (-7.5) - Fultz is questionable.
New York Knicks - Atlanta Hawks - New York Knicks (-1.5) - I am done with the Hawks. Every time I bet for them I lose.
Toronto Raptors - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)
Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat (-10.5) - They were never undermanned. Bench players are strong.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-6.5) Mitchell is out, Struss is out also, and LeVert is questionable. Undermanned.
Dallas Mavericks - Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) - Doncic is questionable.

Good luck everyone!

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March 05, 2024, 05:10:17 PM
 #14887

Here's a couple of picks from me today.  I honestly wouldn't recommend following them because the risk/reward just isn't there, but I felt like I needed to try and get a parlay win after the recent streak of losses.  This is what I came up with to try and break the slump.  Good luck!!

Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Miami Heat

Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Toronto Raptors - New Orleans Pelicans
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New Orleans Pelicans

Odds
1.85

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March 05, 2024, 11:12:37 PM
Last edit: March 06, 2024, 02:37:17 AM by morvillz7z
 #14888

RJ Barrett 25+ PRA / RJ Barrett 1+ 3pt / I. Quickley 10+ RA @1.80  X

My play revolves around Scottie Barnes' injury and the implications it has for the rest of the team going forward. Quickley will now be responsible for nearly all of the Raptors' playmaking duties. He had 11 assists in the game Barnes went down, followed by another 11-assist performance against the Hornets. Pels give the sixth most assists to opposing point guards this season, and Quickley has covered 10+ RA in 4/L5.

The same goes for Barrett, who must be the guy and lead the team on offense. He's coming off four consecutive 20-point games and is averaging slightly over 30 PRA /L5. The Raptors will also be without B. Brown and J. Poeltl, which should allow Barrett to grab a few extra rebounds here and there.

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March 05, 2024, 11:59:55 PM
 #14889

Was looking for a match in the NBA to place a bet on today since when I had San Antonio on the +9.5 and under last week.
Seems that most are on the Pelicans playing the Raptors tonight so will back New Orleans since Zion Williamson hasn't been playing so bad lately, and scored over 20+ points in his last game I watched last month.
-7.5 pts for the handicap seems like a alot so might as well take the over as well for my bet.

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March 06, 2024, 12:03:11 AM
Last edit: March 06, 2024, 02:54:51 AM by ralle14
 #14890

Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-6.5) Mitchell is out, Struss is out also, and LeVert is questionable. Undermanned.
This is also why I picked the Celtics today as my main bet and the Cavs lost their last game against a Knicks team that is missing their best players.

Now against a team with more firepower like the Celtics, surely it'd be another loss and the Celtics are likely to extend their win streak. Hopefully, they can dominate with a big lead in the first half since they don't always score much in the second half.



Edit: What a throw by the Celtics in the fourth quarter.  Lips sealed

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March 06, 2024, 08:12:40 AM
 #14891

Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-6.5) Mitchell is out, Struss is out also, and LeVert is questionable. Undermanned.
This is also why I picked the Celtics today as my main bet and the Cavs lost their last game against a Knicks team that is missing their best players.

Now against a team with more firepower like the Celtics, surely it'd be another loss and the Celtics are likely to extend their win streak. Hopefully, they can dominate with a big lead in the first half since they don't always score much in the second half.



Edit: What a throw by the Celtics in the fourth quarter.  Lips sealed
At some point, it looks like a blowout win by the Celtics again; that was supposed to be money, but that huge run by the Cavaliers gave the Celtics another defeat. Just a one-point victory by the Cavaliers, too bad the Celtics were unable to hold their lead. Now we can say that the Celtics are a real playoff threat. I think all the teams that have beaten the Celtics on their home court. No Mitchell, no problem.

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March 06, 2024, 10:51:56 AM
 #14892

Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-6.5) Mitchell is out, Struss is out also, and LeVert is questionable. Undermanned.
This is also why I picked the Celtics today as my main bet and the Cavs lost their last game against a Knicks team that is missing their best players.

Now against a team with more firepower like the Celtics, surely it'd be another loss and the Celtics are likely to extend their win streak. Hopefully, they can dominate with a big lead in the first half since they don't always score much in the second half.



Edit: What a throw by the Celtics in the fourth quarter.  Lips sealed

No one really expected it mate, it was a total collapse for the Celtics, no one can hit their shots, Tatum had a good look but it was short, same with KP, very hot in the first half, squared for a 3 and I think it will go in, unfortunately it just bounce back.

On the other hand DWade can't missed, Niang as well known for his outside shooting, contributed with that one big 3 in the corner. Really hard to see this outcome specially for Celtics backers, no Donovan Mitchell, so it should be easy double digit win.

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March 06, 2024, 11:44:21 AM
 #14893

......no Donovan Mitchell, so it should be easy double digit win.

This kind of expectation hasn't been happening for games like this in this season. We should be more careful with betting against a team that does not have best player as most of the time they'll cover the spread, and if they got lucky they can win the game. Happened many times already, but you are right, that was a total collapse for the Celtics, they have been dominant but that kind of scenario cannot happen again otherwise, it will be exploited.

So now, this championship team that we are seeing still has its weakness, they loss two times already against a team that have miss their best player/s.

R


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March 06, 2024, 04:49:37 PM
 #14894

Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (-7.5) - Won! Covered.
New York Knicks - Atlanta Hawks - New York Knicks (-1.5) - Loss! Just when I thought the Hawks would lose again. Damn it.
Toronto Raptors - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5) - Won! Covered. It's a blowout game.
Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat (-10.5) - Loss! A good fight was shown by the Pistons. But Jimmy Butler was just too much for them. Did not cover the spreads.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-6.5) - Loss! Wow. The Cavs somehow found a way to win.
Dallas Mavericks - Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) - Loss! 3rd quarter is when Indiana put a gap between them.

8 games later.
Here are my picks.

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (-5.5)
Philadelphia 76ers - Memphis Grizzlies - Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5)
Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks (-1.5) - Both are playing back-to-back games but the Cavs may be undermanned today as Mobley and Max Struss might not play. So it will all depend on their bench.
Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5) - After that loss against the Bucks even if they are Giannis-less, the Clippers will probably force to win this one. I am expecting a high volume of shots so I am also betting for the Over 221.5.
Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-11.5)
Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Good luck everyone!

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March 06, 2024, 05:21:18 PM
 #14895

I lost yesterday's parlay by a single point as the Cavs beat the Celtics by 1...  Today I'm going with a little longer odds in hopes to make up for some of the recent catastrophe that is my gambling picks.

I feel good about the Magic and the Thunder.  The Cavs are the only underdog in this parlay, but they've been playing great lately and the Hawks have been playing without ice trae, so maybe the Cavs will get them today.

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Orlando Magic

Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder

Odds
4.58

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March 06, 2024, 09:29:44 PM
 #14896

Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

The Houston Rockets won against the San Antonio Spurs with aggressive defense and team play. While the Rockets showed that they have potential even if they are not in great shape, the Los Angeles Clippers have been up and down since the All-Star break and have been inconsistent in their recent games. But the Clippers have plenty of individual talent to win games. The Clippers won both games this season, but this time on the road. Houston's defense could give them trouble, but I expect the Clippers to win.

Both teams are dealing with significant injuries, but both teams want to keep winning. The Cavaliers, without key players like Mitchell, Strus and Mobley, beat the Boston Celtics. The Hawks defeated the New York Knicks despite injuries to Trae Young and Onyeka Okongwu. Both teams have roster deficiencies. That's why I expect a low scoring and competitive game, with both teams on a downward trend. Therefore, I expect the total score to be below par in this game as well.

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March 07, 2024, 12:00:12 AM
Last edit: March 07, 2024, 04:35:21 AM by ralle14
 #14897

I somehow find it unusual to like the spread on the Wizards and regardless of their terrible ATS record, i'd hope the rest advantage is enough to hold the Orlando Magic by 7 or less.



This kind of expectation hasn't been happening for games like this in this season. We should be more careful with betting against a team that does not have best player as most of the time they'll cover the spread, and if they got lucky they can win the game. Happened many times already, but you are right, that was a total collapse for the Celtics, they have been dominant but that kind of scenario cannot happen again otherwise, it will be exploited.
I wouldn't say most of the time, but it happens more frequently than expected even in the previous seasons. Sometimes I would see other bettors start saying it ironically because of how common it is.  Tongue

Edit: Another second-half collapse from leading to losing double-digits.  Lips sealed

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March 07, 2024, 04:57:03 AM
 #14898


Edit: Another second-half collapse from leading to losing double-digits.  Lips sealed

This team is so bad... Damn, I thought they are gonna have a blowout win at home, up 20 points IIRC but ended up losing 10 points. That's why they can't criticize the Pistons because they are now on the same level. Kuzma once said " at this level, I don't want to be in that team", referring to the Pistons. LOL.

Sorry mate, you bet on the wrong side, there's no safe bet now although it looks like a winner early.

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cryptomaniac_xxx
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March 07, 2024, 01:18:14 PM
 #14899

I lost yesterday's parlay by a single point as the Cavs beat the Celtics by 1...  Today I'm going with a little longer odds in hopes to make up for some of the recent catastrophe that is my gambling picks.

I feel good about the Magic and the Thunder.  The Cavs are the only underdog in this parlay, but they've been playing great lately and the Hawks have been playing without ice trae, so maybe the Cavs will get them today.

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Orlando Magic

Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder

Odds
4.58


Almost, not quite, as the Hawks won against the Cavs, after their big win and huge comeback from the Celtics the other night, they seems to be exhausted.
Dean Wade only scored 9 points in 30 minutes as compare to his performance against Boston.

Really hard to hit this kind of parlay and even though it's no handicap and just ML, still, there will be just one game that will really messed it up and destroy your multi-bet. Clippers game though is very close, they've been trailing the whole game and finally found their range in the 4th quarter and erases the first quarter lead of 20 points by the Houston Rockets.
Kelvinid
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March 07, 2024, 01:42:28 PM
 #14900

I lost yesterday's parlay by a single point as the Cavs beat the Celtics by 1...  Today I'm going with a little longer odds in hopes to make up for some of the recent catastrophe that is my gambling picks.

I feel good about the Magic and the Thunder.  The Cavs are the only underdog in this parlay, but they've been playing great lately and the Hawks have been playing without ice trae, so maybe the Cavs will get them today.

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Orlando Magic

Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder

Odds
4.58


Almost, not quite, as the Hawks won against the Cavs, after their big win and huge comeback from the Celtics the other night, they seems to be exhausted.
Dean Wade only scored 9 points in 30 minutes as compare to his performance against Boston.

Really hard to hit this kind of parlay and even though it's no handicap and just ML, still, there will be just one game that will really messed it up and destroy your multi-bet. Clippers game though is very close, they've been trailing the whole game and finally found their range in the 4th quarter and erases the first quarter lead of 20 points by the Houston Rockets.

Clippers and Magic have been trailing in the early periods of the game, but they were able to come back and win the game. The same with Cavaliers, they were trailing, able to comeback but still fall short in the end. Parlay looking good but you know, one mistake will ruin it all. Failed last night, let's make a  new one for the upcoming games, I'm watching and waiting to tail @OgNasty .  Smiley

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