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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115346 times)
wheelz1200
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March 28, 2024, 09:18:09 PM
 #15041

Took a couple nights off and am diving into 3 games tonight:

Knicks -13.5. - maybe a Homer fan pick but knicks are playing great basketball and Toronto is just spiraling right now.  On the road but I still like the Knicks chances to cover here

Lakers -4.5.  On the road but they are making a push for a playoff spot and right now they need to climb the ranks to not get an away game in the playin.

Pacers -2.5. All away games today but I like the surging Pacers here.  They match up better than the bulls do here.

2-1 last night not bad.  Big mitch back in for the Knicks!  I know I'm a fan but once OG comes back and julius this is not going to be a team wants to play a 7 game series against.

Tonight we only got 2 games and gonna follow my away game sweep here

Celtics -16.5 away at the Hawks.  So many Hawks players out this shoukd be easy work for the celts.

The next game was tough but I got the Bucks here.  I know Pelicans have been surging and they are home but I like the Giannis matchup here.  Was kind of a toss up but laying down with basically a pickem.

Good luck and enjoy the games!

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March 28, 2024, 10:42:38 PM
Last edit: March 29, 2024, 02:31:02 AM by morvillz7z
 #15042

Z. Williamson 4+ assists / CJ McCollum 20+ PA / T. Murphy III 4+ rebounds @1.64  X

Since Ingram's injury, Zion has led the Pelicans in assists and potential assists. The Pels went small against OKC for the majority of the game, with Zion isos at the top of the key attempting to collapse the defense and kick to open shooters. I expect to see more of the same. He is averaging almost 7 assists per game /L3.

The Pelicans will be without their backup point guard Alvarado, which means stacked minutes for CJ, who by the way has led the team in FGA since Ingram's injury. He should crush that 20+ PA line with ease. The Bucks are routinely trash against opposing guards, they give up the second most points to opposition PGs this season.

T. Murphy III averages just over 7 rebounds per game /L3, while the Bucks give up the second most rebounds to opposing shooting guards. Murphy takes over a lot of Ingram's rebounding duty and has been crashing the glass.

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March 29, 2024, 12:31:21 PM
 #15043

Indiana Pacers VS Los Angeles Lakers

The game will commence at Gainbridge Fieldhouse home for the Indiana Pacers, right now the odds are 1.66 for the Pacers and 2.28 for the Lakers, Isaiah Wong is questionable and Bennedict Mathurin are out for this season while Gabe Vincent, Jarred Vanderbilt, and Christian Wood can not play for the Lakers Anthony Davis and LeBron James are questionable if they can play for this game so for this game I think that the Los Angeles Lakers will have a hard time against the Pacers in this game as both Lerbon and Davis are out while they also got so many injuries are the same time so my pick will be the Indiana Pacers.

Denver Nuggets VS Minnesota Timberwolves

The game will commence at Ball Arena home of the Denver Nuggets, right now the odds are 1.38 for the Nuggets and 3.15 for the Timberwolves, right now Zeke Nnaji and Vlatko Cancar can not play because of certain injuries Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic both are questionable if they can play for this game, while Jaylen Clark and Karl-Anthony Towns can not play for the Timberwolves Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert both are questionable if they can play for this game, so for this game this can be a close game but because Jokic and Murray can still play there is a possibility that they can manage something in this game so my pick will be the Denver Nuggets.

Sacramento Kings VS Dallas Mavericks

The game will commence at Golden 1 Center home for the Sacramento Kings, right now the odds are 1.88 for the Kings and 1.97 for the Mavericks, Trey Lyles can not play for the Kings because of a knee injury Kevin Huerter is out for this season and Sasha Vezenkov is questionable if he is able to play While Josh Green can not play for the Mavericks, Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber and Brandon Williams are all questionable if they can play for this game, and so for this game, I really don't trust if Luka is in a position where he is just playing limited time so my pick is the Sacramento Kings.
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March 29, 2024, 01:26:01 PM
 #15044

Celtics -16.5 away at the Hawks.  So many Hawks players out this shoukd be easy work for the celts.


I thought the same but turned out the Hawks are not giving that win to the Celtics. The game went to overtime and there Murray broke their hearts with the dagger shot. I believe this is the first time this seasont the Celtics lose 2 straight, so regardless of their opponents, I think I'm ready to gamble for them whatever the spread is.

Next sched will be against the Pelicans, Celtics here for sure.
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March 29, 2024, 04:55:40 PM
 #15045

Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-14.5) Loss!
New Orleans Pelicans - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks ML Loss!

Both lost. That was not fun watching my money taken away but that was fun watching 2 upsets in one day. Grin The Hawks really played hard to win against the top seed and the Pelicans surely proved they are not to be underestimated even without BI.

Later we have 12 games. Yeah, that's a lot.
Here are my picks.

Orlando Magic - Los Angeles Clippers - Orlando Magic (-1.5) This will be a good game to watch, I hope I can get up early to witness it.
Washington Wizards - Detroit Pistons - Washington Wizards (-3.5)
Indiana Pacers - Los Angeles Lakers - Indiana Pacers (-3.5) - Another good game. The Lakers had been winning their games and are now on their 5th winning streak. That last game without Lebron showed how deep their bench talent could be. The Lakers won last time 150 - 145 so this is a revenge game for the Pacers.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Philadelphia 76ers - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5)
Brooklyn Nets - Chicago Bulls - Chicago Bulls (-1.5)
San Antonio Spurs - New York Knicks - New York Knicks (-10.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder - Phoenix Suns - Oklahoma City Thunder (-1.5)

I will go live betting for the remaining games. They look fun. Nuggets versus Wolves. Kings vs Mavs.

Good luck to all.

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March 30, 2024, 01:36:32 PM
 #15046



2-1. still in red overall. had a one day break, now let's proceed.

Cavaliers -10.5 (loss)
This like a rematch but this time at the homecourt of the Hornets. Still, it doesn't matter as I don't see the Hornets winning here or even covering the spread since they also struggle at home (9-24).


Rockets +6 (win)
Hottest team so far, they might even upset the OKC who played a back to back game, but I'll take the + points all day.


Warriors +5 (win)
If the Warriors will loss, hopefully they'll cover. I just like them because I know they'll play hard in a situation where every game is very important.


Updated record 48(W)-49(L)..... 49%

still stuck below 50% despite winning 2 out of 3.. guess we need to win more to hit that passing rate.

Boston -6...
After two losses the Hawks handed to them, they are now desperate to break that losing streak. Therefore, I'm expecting a big win here, a double digit is already ensure

Atlanta Hawks +3.5
I think the momentum will continue, if they were able to beat the Celtics twice, for sure they can give the Bucks a tough game.

Magic -13.
With 3 straight losses at home, they are not happy with that so they'll make sure they'll bounce back with a dominant win. I'm seeing 20+ win by the home team here.

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March 30, 2024, 02:30:28 PM
 #15047

~snip~

Magic -13.
With 3 straight losses at home, they are not happy with that so they'll make sure they'll bounce back with a dominant win. I'm seeing 20+ win by the home team here.

I love all the picks but I'll tail this one. This is just likely a gift for us bettors because Memphis has no more business in wining, they are already out. See, most teams that are already eliminated are not winning anymore, so there's no question that the Magic will win here, and I like that the spread is high, it looks confusing to others but actually an easy bet to make.

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March 30, 2024, 07:31:42 PM
 #15048

Atlanta Hawks +3.5
I think the momentum will continue, if they were able to beat the Celtics twice, for sure they can give the Bucks a tough game.

We'll see...  I think the Bucks will own the Hawks.

Today's action really doesn't give you much to think about.  I guess unless you think the Hawks will pull off an upset.  I'm not a huge fan of the Orlando Magic either but they're playing well and the Grizzlies are awful so that should be a decent bet.  All together, I'm surprised the odds are as high as they are on this one.  I think it's a decent bet to follow to be honest.

New Orleans Pelicans - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Orlando Magic - Memphis Grizzlies
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Orlando Magic

Atlanta Hawks - Milwaukee Bucks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Milwaukee Bucks

Odds
2.49

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March 31, 2024, 12:53:52 PM
 #15049

still stuck below 50% despite winning 2 out of 3.. guess we need to win more to hit that passing rate.

Boston -6...  (win)
After two losses the Hawks handed to them, they are now desperate to break that losing streak. Therefore, I'm expecting a big win here, a double digit is already ensure

Atlanta Hawks +3.5 (loss)
I think the momentum will continue, if they were able to beat the Celtics twice, for sure they can give the Bucks a tough game.

Magic -13. (win)
With 3 straight losses at home, they are not happy with that so they'll make sure they'll bounce back with a dominant win. I'm seeing 20+ win by the home team here.

Updated record 50(W)-50(L)..... 50%

2-1 again and I'm back to 50%.. not yet in the profit side but we will continue to try.

Early picks for the games later.

Nuggets -5.5..
2 straight losses at home, it will not happen again and I'm seeing this one a double digit win for the Nuggets despite Mitchell being back. last game he only scored 12 points from a poor shooting night, so I guess he is not 100% back yet.

Rockets +2.5
They are hosting the Dallas which is also in a winning streak, but I don't know, I just like the Rockets here to cover or even win.

Kings -12.5
After a disappointing performance against Dallas, I think they are again gonna have a blowout win against the Jazz who are currently at 8 losing streak. This team struggled on the road, so I would not be surprise if the Kings will win by 20 or more.

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March 31, 2024, 03:15:58 PM
 #15050

Lots of good games on today.  Coming off a winless night a couple nights ago I need to hit it big today.  Chasing the losses and doubling my bets.  Here is my 3 I'm on so far:

Nuggets -4.5 at home.  Seems like a suspect line but I will bite.  Nuts at home I will take em.

Lakers -6.5.  Just don't believe in the Nets.  Late season push Lakers win by double digits here.

Mavericks -2.5.  I don't like betting against the Rockets right now but they can't win them all.  Think Dallas matches up well here and break their run.

Enjoy the games and good luck!

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March 31, 2024, 04:22:01 PM
 #15051

I missed today's game but I have got my picks on yesterday's game here are the results, I got only 1 win and 2 losses but still, it was a really great game that was

Indiana Pacers VS Los Angeles Lakers - WON

We can see that LeBron James and Anthony Davis are struggling maybe because of their injuries it was likely a closed game in the 1st half, and then the 2nd half was imminent when James and Davis were not available anymore and are struggling in that situation we can see that the Indiana Pacers has a high chance in getting this win for sure T.J. McConnell, Tyrese Haliburton, and Pascal Siakam was really gaining the upper hand in this game

Denver Nuggets VS Minnesota Timberwolves - LOSE

Even though Nikola Jokic has something like a Wrist injury he still got his team into a fighting chance but due to Jamal Murray not playing and with Jokic's Wrist injury it was eventually trampled by the Minnesota Timberwolves, and it was Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley Jr., and Anthony Edwards efforts that make the Timberwolves won this game.

Sacramento Kings VS Dallas Mavericks - LOSE

This was really a close game between the Kings and the Mavericks Despite the efforts of Kyrie Irving who gave his all in this game and Luka Doncic's gameplay in making a pass those assists were really amazing and the tandem of Irving and Doncic were proven very effective even with the efforts of the Sacramento Kings spreading the score to most players it was not enough as it was really a close game were the Mavericks efforts was not wasted.

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March 31, 2024, 06:00:39 PM
 #15052

Had a good rest yesterday.
I like your picks @stadus, might copy some of them.

We have 10 games. Here are my picks for today.
Denver Nuggets - Cleveland Cavaliers - Denver Nuggets -5.5 - copied from @stadus. Yeah, I don't Coach Malone would just let this become a third losing streak especially at home.  This game is starting in 1 hour and 30 minutes as of time of writing.
Washington Wizards - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (-10.5)
Charlotte Hornets - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-12.5) - They are finally winning again and they have the momentum. I bet that spread will be covered easily if they will play right.
Brooklyn Nets - Los Angeles Lakers - Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) - Every win is important for this team. With the bench stepping up their game, they can win this.
New York Knicks - Oklahoma City Thunder - New York Knicks (-1.5) - This is an entertaining matchup. I will definitely watch it.
Sacramento Kings - Utah Jazz - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) Copied from @stadus too but adjusting the spreads below -10 only.

Good luck everyone.

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April 01, 2024, 11:43:21 AM
 #15053



2-1 again and I'm back to 50%.. not yet in the profit side but we will continue to try.

Early picks for the games later.

Nuggets -5.5..
2 straight losses at home, it will not happen again and I'm seeing this one a double digit win for the Nuggets despite Mitchell being back. last game he only scored 12 points from a poor shooting night, so I guess he is not 100% back yet.

Rockets +2.5
They are hosting the Dallas which is also in a winning streak, but I don't know, I just like the Rockets here to cover or even win.

Kings -12.5
After a disappointing performance against Dallas, I think they are again gonna have a blowout win against the Jazz who are currently at 8 losing streak. This team struggled on the road, so I would not be surprise if the Kings will win by 20 or more.


Updated record 52(W)-51(L)..... 50%

2 of 3 again. My rockets can't beat a strong team like Dallas, but that's fine at least we end up having a winning day.

So again we go...

Indiana -12.5
This must be a win by the home team as they can't afford to go down at 7. Nets are on a back to back game, I think the home team are just too much, so Pacers should cover.

Bulls -2.5

Both teams need a win but I like the home team here.. .

Pelicans +1
I'm thinking they'll have a strong bounce back game after being dominated by the Celtics.  They cannot loss twice in a row now while trying to keep that spot they are holding. There's a reason why they are only +1... that means moneyline for me.

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April 01, 2024, 02:44:28 PM
 #15054

^
Yeah, Dallas is just too much for them. Cheesy But it could've been awesome if they won that game. I think that will become one of the longest winning streaks in the league this season.

Denver Nuggets - Cleveland Cavaliers - Denver Nuggets -5.5 Won!
Washington Wizards - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (-10.5) Won!
Charlotte Hornets - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-12.5) Loss! Spread not covered, I need 1 more point!
Brooklyn Nets - Los Angeles Lakers - Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5) Won!
New York Knicks - Oklahoma City Thunder - New York Knicks (-1.5) Loss! One-point game. Grrrr.
Sacramento Kings - Utah Jazz - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) Won!

6 games later. Here are my picks.
Too many high spreads. I hope they can cover it.
Orlando Magic - Portland Trail Blazers - Orlando Magic (-14.5)
Charlotte Hornets - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-15.5)
Indiana Pacers - Brooklyn Nets - Indiana Pacers (-10.5)
Chicago Bulls - Atlanta Hawks - Chicago Bulls (-1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns ML

Fingers are crossed, no traps today.
Good luck everyone. Have a great day.

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April 01, 2024, 05:31:14 PM
 #15055

Not taking anything too crazy today.  I did take the Phoenix Suns over the New Orleans Pelicans because I don't ever consider the Suns underdogs to the Pelicans...  Even though the Pels have been playing well lately and I assume the Suns have someone out with an injury given the odds, I still think they'll come through with a win today.  We'll see...

Charlotte Hornets - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Odds
2.16

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April 01, 2024, 06:24:30 PM
 #15056

Lots of good games on today.  Coming off a winless night a couple nights ago I need to hit it big today.  Chasing the losses and doubling my bets.  Here is my 3 I'm on so far:

Nuggets -4.5 at home.  Seems like a suspect line but I will bite.  Nuts at home I will take em.

Lakers -6.5.  Just don't believe in the Nets.  Late season push Lakers win by double digits here.

Mavericks -2.5.  I don't like betting against the Rockets right now but they can't win them all.  Think Dallas matches up well here and break their run.

Enjoy the games and good luck!

Nice 3-0 sweep last night.  The only thing that sucked was the Knicks dropping a tough one against okcity.

Tonight I got 3 bets in:

1) Hornets +17.5.  Logic says Celtics destroy here but Hornets are home and I think they can keep this either close enough or backdoor a cover near the end of the game.
2) Pacers-12.5.  At home and against the Nets who are on the second night of a back to back.  Gimme the Pacers here.
3) bulls -2 at home against the Hawks.  Toss up game but since it's almost a pickem  give me the home team here.

Good luck everyone!

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April 01, 2024, 09:44:30 PM
Last edit: April 02, 2024, 02:12:50 AM by morvillz7z
 #15057

CJ McCollum 20+ PA / T. Murphy III 5+ rebounds / H. Jones 1+ stocks @1.72   won

The above play has a 100% hit ratio since Ingram's injury against Orlando, it's 5 out of 5. One of the more impressive stats is that T. Murphy, a shooting guard, leads the team in total rebounds over that 5-game stretch with 8.4, more than Zion and Valanciunas. By the way, H. Jones' run of 1+ stocks has already reached 22...👀

It looks good on paper, and besides it's the only game important enough for both teams. The Suns are only two games behind the 6th seed (Pels) if they want to avoid the uncertainty of a play-in game/s.

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April 02, 2024, 01:54:48 PM
Last edit: April 02, 2024, 11:11:46 PM by danherbias07
Merited by OgNasty (1)
 #15058

New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Odds
2.16

Well, you are not wrong. Wink They won great today. Booker played monsterfully.  Grin

Orlando Magic - Portland Trail Blazers - Orlando Magic (-14.5) Loss! Close game, did not cover.
Charlotte Hornets - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-15.5) Loss! Ergh!
Indiana Pacers - Brooklyn Nets - Indiana Pacers (-10.5) Win! Covered.
Chicago Bulls - Atlanta Hawks - Chicago Bulls (-1.5) Loss!
New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns ML Win! Man, I should've put some spreads here. My instincts told me that but I didn't listen.

Not bad. 2/5 But that is why I don't like high spreads.

Later, we have 9 games. Here are my picks.
Washington Wizards - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-10.5)
Toronto Raptors - Los Angeles Lakers - Los Angeles Lakers (-10.5)
Philadelphia 76ers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5) Don't be surprised by the spreads, SGA and Jalen Williams are questionable. Not because Embiid is back.
Edit: Oh God! I am seeing Embiid in props. I think he will play!
Miami Heat - New York Knicks - Miami Heat (-1.5)
Minnesota Timberwolves - Houston Rockets - Houston Rockets (8.5) This is going to be a fun game. After that frustrating broken winning streak, will they still play as confidently as those last games?
Denver Nuggets - San Antonio Spurs - Denver Nuggets (-13.5)

Playing live betting later for the last 3 games. Good luck everyone.

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April 02, 2024, 06:21:22 PM
 #15059

Not the best odds today so I probably couldn't recommend you chase this one and feel good about it.  Still, rolling after yesterday's win has me wanting to chase that high to another victory.  I thought about tossing the 76ers in there as well since Joel Embiid is supposed to make a comeback, but I'll wait and see how he looks on the floor before putting any money behind him.  Good luck!

Toronto Raptors - Los Angeles Lakers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Lakers

Washington Wizards - Milwaukee Bucks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Milwaukee Bucks

Minnesota Timberwolves - Houston Rockets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Minnesota Timberwolves

Denver Nuggets - San Antonio Spurs
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Odds
1.77

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April 02, 2024, 07:51:49 PM
 #15060

I don't know but I will go with my Knicks here against the Heat at ML. They are in somewhat of a skid but losing on a very close game. So I think this is going to be another classic match up between the two although the Heat will have the homecourt advantage. But I will go with my Knicks here at ML as a betting underdog,  Cheesy.

With that, I wouldn't mind putting some money for them.

And same with others, watch the game early and do live betting as well.

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