ars.petrovich (OP)
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July 23, 2019, 01:21:34 PM Last edit: August 06, 2019, 04:50:23 PM by ars.petrovich |
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Hello. I want to share with you the interesting statistics that the user Aleks_sr laid out in the ru local. Original: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3899973.0Bitcointalk registration statisticsI think it will be interesting for newcomers to know how the forum has changed and changing from the moment of its foundation to the present. Started with 2017 as the most indicative. 2017Month | Number of registrations | Total number of for the beginning of the month | % of increase | First registered | January | 12 677 | 936 822 | 1,43% | First user of January 2018 | February | 13 354 | 950 176 | 1,33% | The first user of February 2017 | March | 14 760 | 962 853 | 1,53% | First user in March 2017 | April | 15 807 | 977 613 | 1,62% | First user April 2017 | May | 23 978 | 993 420 | 2,41% | First user in May 2017 | June | 32 733 | 1 017 398 | 3,22% | First user June 2017 | July | 41 011 | 1 050 131 | 3,91% | First user in July 2017 | August | 42 254 | 1 091 142 | 3,87% | First user of August 2017 | September | 46 186 | 1 133 396 | 4,08% | First user of September 2017 | October | 89 444 | 1 179 583 | 7,58% | First user in October 2017/url] | November | 97 344 | 1 269 026 | 7,67% | First user in November 2017 | December | 191 537 | 1 366 370 | 14,02% | First user of December 2017 | Total: | 621 085 | 2018 Month | Number of registrations | Total for the beginning of the month | % of increase | First registered | January | 224 576 | 1 557 907 | 14,42% | First user of January 2018 | February | 112 212 | 1 782 483 | 6,30% | The first user of February 2018 | March | 97 644 | 1 894 695 | 5,15% | First user in March 2018 | April | 86 898 | 1 992 339 | 4,36% | First user April 2018 | May | 91 993 | 2 079 237 | 4,42% | First user in May 2018 | June | 77 683 | 2 171 230 | 3,58% | First user June 2018 | July | 69 840 | 2 248 912 | 3,11% | First user in July 2018 | August | 54 384 | 2 318 752 | 2,35% | First user of August 2018 | September | 45 362 | 2 373 136 | 1,88% | First user of September 2018 | October | 39 354 | 2 418 498 | 1,60% | First user in October 2017 | November | 35 127 | 2 457 852 | 1,41% | First user in November 2017 | December | 23 504 | 2 492 979 | 0,93% | First user of December 2017 | Total: | 958 575 | 2019 100 000 user has been registered April 14, 2013, 11:49:44 PM
500 000 user has been registered March 31, 2015, 05:46:08 AM
1 000 000 user has been registered May 11, 2017, 09:12:46 AM
2 000 000 user has been registered April 03, 2018, 10:30:32 AM
2 500 000 user has been registered 08, 2018, 01:26:27 PM This post will be updated as information is updated. Thanks you.this topic was was created a year ago, so I did mistake. Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019
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The grue lurks in the darkest places of the earth. Its favorite diet is adventurers, but its insatiable appetite is tempered by its fear of light. No grue has ever been seen by the light of day, and few have survived its fearsome jaws to tell the tale.
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Febo
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July 24, 2019, 10:54:02 AM |
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Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year. So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.
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AdolfinWolf
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July 24, 2019, 12:27:45 PM |
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Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year. So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.
I've been thinking about this as well. It seems like the interest in bitcoin hasn't or isn't increasing nearly as much compared to the previous ATH. But... Most of the people that signed up during that bull run were A. bounty hunters from (mostly) 3rd world countries, and B. 90% of the people that signed up never made a single post. So what interest was really displayed here..
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logfiles
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Top Crypto Casino
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July 24, 2019, 12:35:04 PM |
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Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year. So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.
I've been thinking about this as well. It seems like the interest in bitcoin hasn't or isn't increasing nearly as much compared to the previous ATH. But... Most of the people that signed up during that bull run were A. bounty hunters from (mostly) 3rd world countries, and B. 90% of the people that signed up never made a single post. So what interest was really displayed here.. It's understandable during the period of ATH, there was no merit system. Most of them were looking to spam and probably farm accounts too. I think most have realized that it's so hard to do it under the merit system
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rosezionjohn
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July 24, 2019, 01:34:33 PM |
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It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin.
I don't know about this. I started in crypto early 2017 but I did not register here until October. The interest when I joined was not so much in bitcoin but interest in making money from airdrops. Many of the airdrops back in 2017 would require hunters to register and comment on their ANN.
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tranthidung
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Farewell o_e_l_e_o
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July 24, 2019, 01:46:13 PM |
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What a plot! . list, abb(30)
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | id week reguser day month2 year date week2 month quarter | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 1. | 1 1 100000 14 4 2013 14apr2013 2013w15 2013m4 2013q2 | 2. | 2 2 500000 31 3 2015 31mar2015 2015w13 2015m3 2015q1 | 3. | 3 3 1000000 11 5 2017 11may2017 2017w19 2017m5 2017q2 | 4. | 4 4 2000000 3 4 2018 03apr2018 2018w14 2018m4 2018q2 | 5. | 5 5 2500000 8 1 2019 08jan2019 2019w2 2019m1 2019q1 | +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
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Indamuck
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July 24, 2019, 02:27:14 PM |
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So many accounts register that don't even make one post though. The stats make this forum look a lot more active then it truly is. Factor in how many people make multiple accounts and the number of actual new users is kinda low.
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malevolent
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July 25, 2019, 03:27:38 AM Last edit: July 25, 2019, 04:23:03 AM by malevolent |
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2 500 000 user has been registered 08, 2018, 01:26:27 PM
* December 08 Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year. So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.
It was bound to happen, the supply of people interested in cryptocurrencies isn't limitless. There's also competition in the form of discord/reddit/telegram/twitter/facebook. It'd be better to compare real cumulative volume across all cryptocurrency exchanges to get a clearer picture of actual interest in Bitcoin/cryptocurrencies. BTW, forum ad stats also give a rough view of forum activity: https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adstats
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Signature space available for rent.
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tranthidung
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July 25, 2019, 03:58:16 AM |
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Data taken from the OP, then converted. Assumption:I assumed that those statistics are for first days of months.. list
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | id reguser day month2 year date week2 month quarter | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 1. | 1 100000 14 4 2013 14apr2013 2013w15 2013m4 2013q2 | 2. | 2 500000 31 3 2015 31mar2015 2015w13 2015m3 2015q1 | 3. | 3 93682 1 1 2017 01jan2017 2017w1 2017m1 2017q1 | 4. | 4 950176 1 2 2017 01feb2017 2017w5 2017m2 2017q1 | 5. | 5 962853 1 3 2017 01mar2017 2017w9 2017m3 2017q1 | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 6. | 6 977613 1 4 2017 01apr2017 2017w13 2017m4 2017q2 | 7. | 7 993420 1 5 2017 01may2017 2017w18 2017m5 2017q2 | 8. | 8 1017398 1 6 2017 01jun2017 2017w22 2017m6 2017q2 | 9. | 9 1050131 1 7 2017 01jul2017 2017w26 2017m7 2017q3 | 10. | 10 1091142 1 8 2017 01aug2017 2017w31 2017m8 2017q3 | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 11. | 11 1133396 1 9 2017 01sep2017 2017w35 2017m9 2017q3 | 12. | 12 1179583 1 10 2017 01oct2017 2017w40 2017m10 2017q4 | 13. | 13 1269026 1 11 2017 01nov2017 2017w44 2017m11 2017q4 | 14. | 14 1366370 1 12 2017 01dec2017 2017w48 2017m12 2017q4 | 15. | 15 1557907 1 1 2018 01jan2018 2018w1 2018m1 2018q1 | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 16. | 16 1782483 1 2 2018 01feb2018 2018w5 2018m2 2018q1 | 17. | 17 1894695 1 3 2018 01mar2018 2018w9 2018m3 2018q1 | 18. | 18 1992339 1 4 2018 01apr2018 2018w13 2018m4 2018q2 | 19. | 19 2079237 1 5 2018 01may2018 2018w18 2018m5 2018q2 | 20. | 20 2171230 1 6 2018 01jun2018 2018w22 2018m6 2018q2 | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 21. | 21 2248912 1 7 2018 01jul2018 2018w26 2018m7 2018q3 | 22. | 22 2318752 1 8 2018 01aug2018 2018w31 2018m8 2018q3 | 23. | 23 2373136 1 9 2018 01sep2018 2018w35 2018m9 2018q3 | 24. | 24 2418498 1 10 2018 01oct2018 2018w40 2018m10 2018q4 | 25. | 25 2457852 1 11 2018 01nov2018 2018w44 2018m11 2018q4 | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 26. | 26 2492979 1 12 2018 01dec2018 2018w48 2018m12 2018q4 | 27. | 27 2516483 1 1 2019 01jan2019 2019w1 2019m1 2019q1 | 28. | 28 2538716 1 2 2019 01feb2019 2019w5 2019m2 2019q1 | 29. | 29 2554918 1 3 2019 01mar2019 2019w9 2019m3 2019q1 | 30. | 30 2573850 1 4 2019 01apr2019 2019w13 2019m4 2019q2 | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------| 31. | 31 2591760 1 5 2019 01may2019 2019w18 2019m5 2019q2 | 32. | 32 2616232 1 6 2019 01jun2019 2019w22 2019m6 2019q2 | 33. | 33 2638589 1 7 2019 01jul2019 2019w26 2019m7 2019q3 | +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
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Natalim
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July 25, 2019, 05:11:47 AM |
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Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.
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Pffrt
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July 25, 2019, 06:58:54 AM |
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Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.
Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion ( less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount.
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Febo
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July 25, 2019, 10:32:31 AM |
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Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year. So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.
I've been thinking about this as well. It seems like the interest in bitcoin hasn't or isn't increasing nearly as much compared to the previous ATH. But... Most of the people that signed up during that bull run were A. bounty hunters from (mostly) 3rd world countries, and B. 90% of the people that signed up never made a single post. So what interest was really displayed here.. We are far from new ATH. We are now still in end of 2015 or early 2016.
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Saidasun
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July 25, 2019, 10:56:06 AM |
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I was actually expecting bigger fluctuation during the time Bitcoin boomed and fell back down again. It would be interesting to look at the data in which people signed up during the boom of Bitcoin and how many users are still active several months after. Whether we are retaining users because they are interested in discussion of Bitcoin or because they wanted to get in on the action and get rich and as soon as it dropped down again they bailed.
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The Sceptical Chymist
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Cashback 15%
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July 25, 2019, 12:34:35 PM |
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Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin.
Interest, yes, but I'm sure a lot of the registrations are alt accounts looking to participate in bounties and campaigns. Normally I wouldn't give out merits for a data compilation like this, but I found this interesting and never would have sought out the numbers on my own. Thanks to OP for compiling them. I'm not surprised about the 2017 data since the registrations increased as bitcoin shot toward its all-time high. There probably were a lot of people being drawn in just out of interest based on what the price was doing--and after the crash, during the time when bitcoin was stuck in that $3500 range, registrations went down significantly. Makes sense. We are far from new ATH. We are now still in end of 2015 or early 2016.
Given how volatile and unpredictable bitcoin is, we're really not that far away. It's quite possible that bitcoin could shoot past $20k at some point this year (but I'm hoping it doesn't).
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. .HUGE. | | | | | | █▀▀▀▀ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █▄▄▄▄ | ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ . CASINO & SPORTSBOOK ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ | ▀▀▀▀█ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ ▄▄▄▄█ | | |
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tranthidung
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July 26, 2019, 02:24:10 AM Merited by malevolent (2) |
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I check back my post history, and found something for you, that relates to the OP. Time Series on monthly statistics of forum (new users, new topics, new posts)Plots1) New members and new topicsA quick overview. It seems that monthly statistics on new members and new topics tend to hit peaks each two-year period. 2) New posts And that one: As I promised yesterday, I made some quick descriptive analysis today. Notes: It's not exact intra-month registered accounts over years due to days on which theymos scrapped data. However, we can assumed those figures are for intra-month data. ABSTRACT(1) 50% of observed months have intra-month registered account range from 2311 to 27790 (the interquartile range); (2) 50% of observed months have intra-month registered account above or below 10432 (the median); (3) The intra-month registered account fell 91.6% from its all time high in 2017 at 238400 to 20046; whilst the bitcoin decreased nearly 83.9%. (4) The demotion on Junior Members in September 2018 probably caused intra-month registered accounts fell considerbaly later months. (5) The difference in means of before and after periods (cut-off timepoint is Sept. 2018) is -63.6%. Time-series plotI don't know where I snapshotted the image, due to lack of thread's author, LOL. Still found it and will post link of the thread later (if I can find it). If you can help, please help me to find the thread. I actually spent around 15 minutes or more to check back the first 80 pages of Merit & new rank requirements topic. 80 pages made within 3 days after the start of merit system, most of them are pyramid quotes. Honestly, my fingers got hurted due to over-scrolling computer mouse, so I gave up for now. Wholy shit, pyramid quotes! Scanning pages again, still not found on page #130. Someone else's thread similiarly describes what the time-series plot above shown. As the chart shown, total monthly registered accounts in recent months dropped dramatically to the median and mean of the year 2015. I believe that it is right time to say "Thanks theymos, merit system works and actually effective control spammers!" Basic statistics:- Mean +/- standard deviation: 22200 +/- 34774 - Median (interquartile range): 10432 (2311 - 27790) - Min - max: 3 - 238433. Interquartile range (from p25 to p75 in raw result table)Data interpretation:- 50% of observed total monthly registered accounts (just assumed the dataset is for exactly monthly data) ranges from 2311 to 27790 (the interquartile range); - 50% of observed months have total registered accounts above 10432 (the median), whilst the rest 50% of months have figures below 10432. . tabstat regacc, s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)
variable | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max -------------+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- regacc | 112 22199.58 34773.29 10432 2310.5 27790 3 238433 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data source was dumped by theymos there: We're at a local minimum, but registrations jump around a lot: +---------------------+---------------+ | 30day starting | registrations | +---------------------+---------------+ | 2009-11-02 00:00:00 | 3 | | 2009-12-02 00:00:00 | 8 | | 2010-01-01 00:00:00 | 8 | | 2010-01-31 00:00:00 | 22 | | 2010-03-02 00:00:00 | 5 | | 2010-04-01 00:00:00 | 22 | | 2010-05-01 00:00:00 | 15 | | 2010-05-31 00:00:00 | 33 | | 2010-06-30 00:00:00 | 325 | | 2010-07-30 00:00:00 | 159 | | 2010-08-29 00:00:00 | 148 | | 2010-09-28 00:00:00 | 190 | | 2010-10-28 00:00:00 | 204 | | 2010-11-27 00:00:00 | 383 | | 2010-12-27 00:00:00 | 384 | | 2011-01-26 00:00:00 | 938 | | 2011-02-25 00:00:00 | 2202 | | 2011-03-27 00:00:00 | 2737 | | 2011-04-26 00:00:00 | 4936 | | 2011-05-26 00:00:00 | 14048 | | 2011-06-25 00:00:00 | 6250 | | 2011-07-25 00:00:00 | 3903 | | 2011-08-24 00:00:00 | 2938 | | 2011-09-23 00:00:00 | 1983 | | 2011-10-23 00:00:00 | 1965 | | 2011-11-22 00:00:00 | 1835 | | 2011-12-22 00:00:00 | 1812 | | 2012-01-21 00:00:00 | 2082 | | 2012-02-20 00:00:00 | 1901 | | 2012-03-21 00:00:00 | 2158 | | 2012-04-20 00:00:00 | 1969 | | 2012-05-20 00:00:00 | 2057 | | 2012-06-19 00:00:00 | 2040 | | 2012-07-19 00:00:00 | 2145 | | 2012-08-18 00:00:00 | 2419 | | 2012-09-17 00:00:00 | 2661 | | 2012-10-17 00:00:00 | 2958 | | 2012-11-16 00:00:00 | 2763 | | 2012-12-16 00:00:00 | 2611 | | 2013-01-15 00:00:00 | 3320 | | 2013-02-14 00:00:00 | 4933 | | 2013-03-16 00:00:00 | 13816 | | 2013-04-15 00:00:00 | 18162 | | 2013-05-15 00:00:00 | 11318 | | 2013-06-14 00:00:00 | 8095 | | 2013-07-14 00:00:00 | 6703 | | 2013-08-13 00:00:00 | 5505 | | 2013-09-12 00:00:00 | 4137 | | 2013-10-12 00:00:00 | 5632 | | 2013-11-11 00:00:00 | 26804 | | 2013-12-11 00:00:00 | 28776 | | 2014-01-10 00:00:00 | 29576 | | 2014-02-09 00:00:00 | 29839 | | 2014-03-11 00:00:00 | 22534 | | 2014-04-10 00:00:00 | 18065 | | 2014-05-10 00:00:00 | 13071 | | 2014-06-09 00:00:00 | 12180 | | 2014-07-09 00:00:00 | 10561 | | 2014-08-08 00:00:00 | 10925 | | 2014-09-07 00:00:00 | 9418 | | 2014-10-07 00:00:00 | 8218 | | 2014-11-06 00:00:00 | 7974 | | 2014-12-06 00:00:00 | 8136 | | 2015-01-05 00:00:00 | 23256 | | 2015-02-04 00:00:00 | 36913 | | 2015-03-06 00:00:00 | 33500 | | 2015-04-05 00:00:00 | 8450 | | 2015-05-05 00:00:00 | 8577 | | 2015-06-04 00:00:00 | 10303 | | 2015-07-04 00:00:00 | 11773 | | 2015-08-03 00:00:00 | 9725 | | 2015-09-02 00:00:00 | 7644 | | 2015-10-02 00:00:00 | 68601 | | 2015-11-01 00:00:00 | 44059 | | 2015-12-01 00:00:00 | 39244 | | 2015-12-31 00:00:00 | 37106 | | 2016-01-30 00:00:00 | 42233 | | 2016-02-29 00:00:00 | 24213 | | 2016-03-30 00:00:00 | 19336 | | 2016-04-29 00:00:00 | 16031 | | 2016-05-29 00:00:00 | 19935 | | 2016-06-28 00:00:00 | 12582 | | 2016-07-28 00:00:00 | 10646 | | 2016-08-27 00:00:00 | 9986 | | 2016-09-26 00:00:00 | 9844 | | 2016-10-26 00:00:00 | 10718 | | 2016-11-25 00:00:00 | 10691 | | 2016-12-25 00:00:00 | 12429 | | 2017-01-24 00:00:00 | 13664 | | 2017-02-23 00:00:00 | 13893 | | 2017-03-25 00:00:00 | 15276 | | 2017-04-24 00:00:00 | 20585 | | 2017-05-24 00:00:00 | 31381 | | 2017-06-23 00:00:00 | 35866 | | 2017-07-23 00:00:00 | 40726 | | 2017-08-22 00:00:00 | 45026 | | 2017-09-21 00:00:00 | 70477 | | 2017-10-21 00:00:00 | 95568 | | 2017-11-20 00:00:00 | 144762 | | 2017-12-20 00:00:00 | 238433 | | 2018-01-19 00:00:00 | 136872 | | 2018-02-18 00:00:00 | 107237 | | 2018-03-20 00:00:00 | 87087 | | 2018-04-19 00:00:00 | 89659 | | 2018-05-19 00:00:00 | 83999 | | 2018-06-18 00:00:00 | 72430 | | 2018-07-18 00:00:00 | 61360 | | 2018-08-17 00:00:00 | 43451 | | 2018-09-16 00:00:00 | 43516 | | 2018-10-16 00:00:00 | 35335 | | 2018-11-15 00:00:00 | 31502 | | 2018-12-15 00:00:00 | 20733 | | 2019-01-14 00:00:00 | 20046 | | 2019-02-13 00:00:00 | 2763 | [PARTIAL PERIOD] +---------------------+---------------+
Statistics over yearsIn both medians and means, the year of 2018 has been the highest year with its median and mean of monthly registered accounts are 66895 and 64782, respectively. - The median means that 50% of months in 2018 have total registered accounts above 66895 or below 66895. - The interquartile range for 2018 is 38393 to 88373. It means 50% of months in 2018 have figures in range from 38393 to 88373. I always use median and interquartile range for descriptive statistics because they automatically exclude effects of outliers data points. . tabstat regacc year10 year11 year12 year13 year14 year15 year16 year17 year18, /// > s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)
variable | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max -------------+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- regacc | 112 22199.58 34773.29 10432 2310.5 27790 3 238433 year10 | 13 146 144.3185 148 22 204 5 384 year11 | 12 3795.583 3560.192 2469.5 1900 4419.5 938 14048 year12 | 12 2313.667 353.35 2151.5 2048.5 2636 1901 2958 year13 | 12 11433.42 8798.91 7399 5219 15989 3320 28776 year14 | 12 15041.42 8092.689 11552.5 8818 20299.5 7974 29839 year15 | 12 24992.25 19299.52 17514.5 9151 37009.5 7644 68601 year16 | 12 16553.67 9350.784 12505.5 10668.5 19635.5 9844 42233 year17 | 12 63804.75 67452.29 38296 17930.5 83022.5 13664 238433 year18 | 12 67431.75 34995.66 66895 38393 88373 20733 136872 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent changes of intra-month registered account:The figures decreased 91.6% when bitcoin fell 83.9%. It gives us a potential causal inference that implementation of merit system and new rank requirements have bigger effects than the falls of bitcoin. One more finding, the intra-month figures after September of 2018 (Junior Member demotions) fell significantly than the before period. I think it make sense. Detail calculation presented below. * BTC price . di (19800-3190)*100/19800 83.888889 * Intra-month registered accounts . di (238400-20046)*100/238400 91.591443
The means of before and after Sept. 2018 are 80179 and 29190 (respectively) The percent of difference is 63.6%. tabstat before after, s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)
variable | N mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max -------------+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- before | 9 80179 30633.52 83999 61360 89659 41451 136872 after | 3 29190 7570.575 31502 20733 35335 20733 35335 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
. di (80179-29190)*100/80179 63.593959
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stadus
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Hhampuz for Campaign management
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July 26, 2019, 06:50:42 AM |
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Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.
Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion ( less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount. It could drop when they temporarily loss their interest, there could also be a correlation to the market movement, but since they have already registered, we can expect they'll be back soon interested in crypto, that's what matters a lot IMO.
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| . .Duelbits. | │ | | │ | ▄▄█▄▄░░▄▄█▄▄░░▄▄█▄▄ ███░░░░███░░░░███ ▀░░░▀░░▀░░░▀░░▀░░░▀ ▄░░░░░░░░░░░░ ▀██████████ ░░░░░███░░░░▀ ░░█░░░███▄█░░░█ ░░██▌░░███░▀░░██▌ ░█░██░░███░░░█░██ ░█▀▀▀█▌░███░░█▀▀▀█▌ ▄█▄░░░██▄███▄█▄░░▄██▄ ▄███▄ ░░░░▀██▄▀ | . REGIONAL SPONSOR | | ███▀██▀███▀█▀▀▀▀██▀▀▀██ ██░▀░██░█░███░▀██░███▄█ █▄███▄██▄████▄████▄▄▄██ ██▀ ▀███▀▀░▀██▀▀▀██████ ███▄███░▄▀██████▀█▀█▀▀█ ████▀▀██▄▀█████▄█▀███▄█ ███▄▄▄████████▄█▄▀█████ ███▀▀▀████████████▄▀███ ███▄░▄█▀▀▀██████▀▀▀▄███ ███████▄██▄▌████▀▀█████ ▀██▄███▀██▄█▄▄▄██▄████▀ ▀▀██████████▄▄███▀▀ ▀▀▀▀█▀▀▀▀ | . EUROPEAN BETTING PARTNER | |
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Pffrt
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July 26, 2019, 07:35:39 AM |
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Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.
Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion ( less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount. It could drop when they temporarily loss their interest, there could also be a correlation to the market movement, but since they have already registered, we can expect they'll be back soon interested in crypto, that's what matters a lot IMO. True but at the end, most of those accounts are alt as well. To be honest, this forum has only a few people who are either real investor of bitcoin or just love to promote bitcoin.
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Natalim
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July 26, 2019, 08:15:08 AM |
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Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.
Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion ( less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount. It could drop when they temporarily loss their interest, there could also be a correlation to the market movement, but since they have already registered, we can expect they'll be back soon interested in crypto, that's what matters a lot IMO. True but at the end, most of those accounts are alt as well. To be honest, this forum has only a few people who are either real investor of bitcoin or just love to promote bitcoin. That's 2.6 million in total, and assuming you are correct, what's the percentage of the real investor of bitcoin?
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tranthidung
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2268
Merit: 4010
Farewell o_e_l_e_o
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July 28, 2019, 10:09:13 AM |
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I made my analysis here: Assumed monthly statistics on registered accounts of bitcointalk.org (2009-2019). Below is abstract of my analysis, if you want to get full details, please visit my thread. ABSTRACT(1) Despite the rise of bitcoin to around $14,000, monthly registered accounts in last few months are too far away from all time high at 238433, in Dec. 2017. (2) Minimum and maximum are 3 and 238433, in Nov. 2009, and December 2017, respectively. (3) 50% of months (from Nov. 2009 to June 2019) have total monthly registered accounts in the range from 2611 to 24472 (the interquatile range). (4) 50% of those months have total monthly registered accounts above or below 10691 (the median). (5) The lowest and highest medians (of months for each year) found at 148 and 66895, in 2010 and 2018. (6) From peaks on 20/12/2017, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts decreased 91.3%, and 81%, respectively, on 15/12/2018. (7) Since 15/12/2018, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts increased 159%, and 7.8%, respectively, on 1/6/2019. * Details of points (6), (7), please read the second post of this thread.< ...> Plot:
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Alex_Sr
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July 28, 2019, 01:23:47 PM |
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Thanks for the translation, but it was created a year ago: Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019This topic is a double!
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