Statistics of registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019

[ars.petrovich]

Hello. I want to share with you the interesting statistics that the user Aleks_sr laid out in the ru local.
Original: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3899973.0


Bitcointalk registration statistics

I think it will be interesting for newcomers to know how the forum has changed and changing from the moment of its foundation to the present.

Started with 2017 as the most indicative.

2017

Month	Number of registrations	Total number of for the beginning of the month	% of increase	First registered
January	12 677	936 822	1,43%	First user of January 2018
February	13 354	950 176	1,33%	The first user of February 2017
March	14 760	962 853	1,53%	First user in March 2017
April	15 807	977 613	1,62%	First user April 2017
May	23 978	993 420	2,41%	First user in May 2017
June	32 733	1 017 398	3,22%	First user June 2017
July	41 011	1 050 131	3,91%	First user in July 2017
August	42 254	1 091 142	3,87%	First user of August 2017
September	46 186	1 133 396	4,08%	First user of September 2017
October	89 444	1 179 583	7,58%	First user in October 2017/url]
November	97 344	1 269 026	7,67%	First user in November 2017
December	191 537	1 366 370	14,02%	First user of December 2017
Total:	621 085

   

2018

Month	Number of registrations	Total for the beginning of the month	% of increase	First registered
January	224 576	1 557 907	14,42%	First user of January 2018
February	112 212	1 782 483	6,30%	The first user of February 2018
March	97 644	1 894 695	5,15%	First user in March 2018
April	86 898	1 992 339	4,36%	First user April 2018
May	91 993	2 079 237	4,42%	First user in May 2018
June	77 683	2 171 230	3,58%	First user June 2018
July	69 840	2 248 912	3,11%	First user in July 2018
August	54 384	2 318 752	2,35%	First user of August 2018
September	45 362	2 373 136	1,88%	First user of September 2018
October	39 354	2 418 498	1,60%	First user in October 2017
November	35 127	2 457 852	1,41%	First user in November 2017
December	23 504	2 492 979	0,93%	First user of December 2017
Total:	958 575

2019

Month	Number of registrations	Total for the beginning of the month	% of increase	First registered
January	22 234	2 516 483	0,88%	First user of January 2019
February	16 202	2 538 716	0,63%	The first user of February 2019
March	18 932	2 554 918	0,74%	First user in March 2019
April	17 910	2 573 850	0,69%	First user April 2019
May	24 472	2 591 760	0,94%	First user in May 2019
June	22 357	2 616 232	0,85%	First user June 2019
July	??	2 638 589	??	First user in July 2019

100 000 user has been registered April 14, 2013, 11:49:44 PM

500 000 user has been registered March 31, 2015, 05:46:08 AM

1 000 000 user has been registered May 11, 2017, 09:12:46 AM

2 000 000 user has been registered April 03, 2018, 10:30:32 AM

2 500 000 user has been registered 08, 2018, 01:26:27 PM


This post will be updated as information is updated.
Thanks you.

this topic was was created a year ago, so I did mistake.
Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019

[Febo]

Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year.  So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.  

[AdolfinWolf]

Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year.  So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.  

I've been thinking about this as well. It seems like the interest in bitcoin hasn't or isn't increasing nearly as much compared to the previous ATH.

But... Most of the people that signed up during that bull run were A. bounty hunters from (mostly) 3rd world countries, and B. 90% of the people that signed up never made a single post. So what interest was really displayed here..

[logfiles]

Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year.  So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.  

I've been thinking about this as well. It seems like the interest in bitcoin hasn't or isn't increasing nearly as much compared to the previous ATH.

But... Most of the people that signed up during that bull run were A. bounty hunters from (mostly) 3rd world countries, and B. 90% of the people that signed up never made a single post. So what interest was really displayed here..

It's understandable during the period of ATH, there was no merit system.
Most of them were looking to spam and probably farm accounts too.
I think most have realized that it's so hard to do it under the merit system

[rosezionjohn]

It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin.  

I don't know about this. I started in crypto early 2017 but I did not register here until October. The interest when I joined was not so much in bitcoin but interest in making money from airdrops. Many of the airdrops back in 2017 would require hunters to register and comment on their ANN.

[tranthidung]

What a plot!

Code:

. list, abb(30)

     +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | id   week   reguser   day   month2   year        date     week2    month   quarter |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  1      1    100000    14        4   2013   14apr2013   2013w15   2013m4    2013q2 |
  2. |  2      2    500000    31        3   2015   31mar2015   2015w13   2015m3    2015q1 |
  3. |  3      3   1000000    11        5   2017   11may2017   2017w19   2017m5    2017q2 |
  4. |  4      4   2000000     3        4   2018   03apr2018   2018w14   2018m4    2018q2 |
  5. |  5      5   2500000     8        1   2019   08jan2019    2019w2   2019m1    2019q1 |
     +------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

[Indamuck]

So many accounts register that don't even make one post though.  The stats make this forum look a lot more active then it truly is.  Factor in how many people make multiple accounts and the number of actual new users is kinda low.

[malevolent]

2 500 000 user has been registered 08, 2018, 01:26:27 PM

*December 08

Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year.  So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.  

It was bound to happen, the supply of people interested in cryptocurrencies isn't limitless. There's also competition in the form of discord/reddit/telegram/twitter/facebook. It'd be better to compare real cumulative volume across all cryptocurrency exchanges to get a clearer picture of actual interest in Bitcoin/cryptocurrencies.

BTW, forum ad stats also give a rough view of forum activity: https://bitcointalk.org/adrotate.php?adstats

[tranthidung]

Data taken from the OP, then converted.

Assumption:
I assumed that those statistics are for first days of months.

Code:

. list

     +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
     | id   reguser   day   month2   year        date     week2     month   quarter |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  1. |  1    100000    14        4   2013   14apr2013   2013w15    2013m4    2013q2 |
  2. |  2    500000    31        3   2015   31mar2015   2015w13    2015m3    2015q1 |
  3. |  3     93682     1        1   2017   01jan2017    2017w1    2017m1    2017q1 |
  4. |  4    950176     1        2   2017   01feb2017    2017w5    2017m2    2017q1 |
  5. |  5    962853     1        3   2017   01mar2017    2017w9    2017m3    2017q1 |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  6. |  6    977613     1        4   2017   01apr2017   2017w13    2017m4    2017q2 |
  7. |  7    993420     1        5   2017   01may2017   2017w18    2017m5    2017q2 |
  8. |  8   1017398     1        6   2017   01jun2017   2017w22    2017m6    2017q2 |
  9. |  9   1050131     1        7   2017   01jul2017   2017w26    2017m7    2017q3 |
 10. | 10   1091142     1        8   2017   01aug2017   2017w31    2017m8    2017q3 |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 11. | 11   1133396     1        9   2017   01sep2017   2017w35    2017m9    2017q3 |
 12. | 12   1179583     1       10   2017   01oct2017   2017w40   2017m10    2017q4 |
 13. | 13   1269026     1       11   2017   01nov2017   2017w44   2017m11    2017q4 |
 14. | 14   1366370     1       12   2017   01dec2017   2017w48   2017m12    2017q4 |
 15. | 15   1557907     1        1   2018   01jan2018    2018w1    2018m1    2018q1 |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 16. | 16   1782483     1        2   2018   01feb2018    2018w5    2018m2    2018q1 |
 17. | 17   1894695     1        3   2018   01mar2018    2018w9    2018m3    2018q1 |
 18. | 18   1992339     1        4   2018   01apr2018   2018w13    2018m4    2018q2 |
 19. | 19   2079237     1        5   2018   01may2018   2018w18    2018m5    2018q2 |
 20. | 20   2171230     1        6   2018   01jun2018   2018w22    2018m6    2018q2 |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 21. | 21   2248912     1        7   2018   01jul2018   2018w26    2018m7    2018q3 |
 22. | 22   2318752     1        8   2018   01aug2018   2018w31    2018m8    2018q3 |
 23. | 23   2373136     1        9   2018   01sep2018   2018w35    2018m9    2018q3 |
 24. | 24   2418498     1       10   2018   01oct2018   2018w40   2018m10    2018q4 |
 25. | 25   2457852     1       11   2018   01nov2018   2018w44   2018m11    2018q4 |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 26. | 26   2492979     1       12   2018   01dec2018   2018w48   2018m12    2018q4 |
 27. | 27   2516483     1        1   2019   01jan2019    2019w1    2019m1    2019q1 |
 28. | 28   2538716     1        2   2019   01feb2019    2019w5    2019m2    2019q1 |
 29. | 29   2554918     1        3   2019   01mar2019    2019w9    2019m3    2019q1 |
 30. | 30   2573850     1        4   2019   01apr2019   2019w13    2019m4    2019q2 |
     |------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
 31. | 31   2591760     1        5   2019   01may2019   2019w18    2019m5    2019q2 |
 32. | 32   2616232     1        6   2019   01jun2019   2019w22    2019m6    2019q2 |
 33. | 33   2638589     1        7   2019   01jul2019   2019w26    2019m7    2019q3 |
     +------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

[Natalim]

Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.

[Pffrt]

Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.

Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion (less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount.

[Febo]

Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin. Today there is less then it was in November last year.  So much for those that expect new ATH any moment.  

I've been thinking about this as well. It seems like the interest in bitcoin hasn't or isn't increasing nearly as much compared to the previous ATH.

But... Most of the people that signed up during that bull run were A. bounty hunters from (mostly) 3rd world countries, and B. 90% of the people that signed up never made a single post. So what interest was really displayed here..

We are far from new ATH. We are now still in end of 2015 or early 2016.

[Saidasun]

I was actually expecting bigger fluctuation during the time Bitcoin boomed and fell back down again. It would be interesting to look at the data in which people signed up during the boom of Bitcoin and how many users are still active several months after. Whether we are retaining users because they are interested in discussion of Bitcoin or because they wanted to get in on the action and get rich and as soon as it dropped down again they bailed.

[The Sceptical Chymist]

Good stats. It shows how much interest there is out of crypto space about Bitcoin.

Interest, yes, but I'm sure a lot of the registrations are alt accounts looking to participate in bounties and campaigns.

Normally I wouldn't give out merits for a data compilation like this, but I found this interesting and never would have sought out the numbers on my own.  Thanks to OP for compiling them.  I'm not surprised about the 2017 data since the registrations increased as bitcoin shot toward its all-time high.  There probably were a lot of people being drawn in just out of interest based on what the price was doing--and after the crash, during the time when bitcoin was stuck in that $3500 range, registrations went down significantly.  Makes sense.

We are far from new ATH. We are now still in end of 2015 or early 2016.

Given how volatile and unpredictable bitcoin is, we're really not that far away.  It's quite possible that bitcoin could shoot past $20k at some point this year (but I'm hoping it doesn't).

[tranthidung]

I check back my post history, and found something for you, that relates to the OP.
Time Series on monthly statistics of forum (new users, new topics, new posts)

Plots
1) New members and new topics

A quick overview. It seems that monthly statistics on new members and new topics tend to hit peaks each two-year period.
2) New posts

And that one:

As I promised yesterday, I made some quick descriptive analysis today.

Notes:
It's not exact intra-month registered accounts over years due to days on which theymos scrapped data.
However, we can assumed those figures are for intra-month data.

ABSTRACT
(1) 50% of observed months have intra-month registered account range from 2311 to 27790 (the interquartile range);
(2) 50% of observed months have intra-month registered account above or below 10432 (the median);
(3) The intra-month registered account fell 91.6% from its all time high in 2017 at 238400 to 20046; whilst the bitcoin decreased nearly 83.9%.
(4) The demotion on Junior Members in September 2018 probably caused intra-month registered accounts fell considerbaly later months.
(5) The difference in means of before and after periods (cut-off timepoint is Sept. 2018) is -63.6%.

Time-series plot

I don't know where I snapshotted the image, due to lack of thread's author, LOL. Still found it and will post link of the thread later (if I can find it). If you can help, please help me to find the thread.
I actually spent around 15 minutes or more to check back the first 80 pages of Merit & new rank requirements topic. 80 pages made within 3 days after the start of merit system, most of them are pyramid quotes. Honestly, my fingers got hurted due to over-scrolling computer mouse, so I gave up for now. Wholy shit, pyramid quotes!
Scanning pages again, still not found on page #130. 

Someone else's thread similiarly describes what the time-series plot above shown. 

As the chart shown, total monthly registered accounts in recent months dropped dramatically to the median and mean of the year 2015.
I believe that it is right time to say "Thanks theymos, merit system works and actually effective control spammers!"

Basic statistics:
- Mean +/- standard deviation: 22200 +/- 34774
- Median (interquartile range): 10432 (2311 - 27790)
- Min - max: 3 - 238433.

Interquartile range (from p25 to p75 in raw result table)
Data interpretation:
- 50% of observed total monthly registered accounts (just assumed the dataset is for exactly monthly data) ranges from 2311 to 27790 (the interquartile range);
- 50% of observed months have total registered accounts above 10432 (the median), whilst the rest 50% of months have figures below 10432.

Code:

. tabstat regacc, s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)

    variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      regacc |       112  22199.58  34773.29     10432    2310.5     27790         3    238433
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Data source was dumped by theymos there:

We're at a local minimum, but registrations jump around a lot:

Code:

+---------------------+---------------+
| 30day starting      | registrations |
+---------------------+---------------+
| 2009-11-02 00:00:00 |             3 |
| 2009-12-02 00:00:00 |             8 |
| 2010-01-01 00:00:00 |             8 |
| 2010-01-31 00:00:00 |            22 |
| 2010-03-02 00:00:00 |             5 |
| 2010-04-01 00:00:00 |            22 |
| 2010-05-01 00:00:00 |            15 |
| 2010-05-31 00:00:00 |            33 |
| 2010-06-30 00:00:00 |           325 |
| 2010-07-30 00:00:00 |           159 |
| 2010-08-29 00:00:00 |           148 |
| 2010-09-28 00:00:00 |           190 |
| 2010-10-28 00:00:00 |           204 |
| 2010-11-27 00:00:00 |           383 |
| 2010-12-27 00:00:00 |           384 |
| 2011-01-26 00:00:00 |           938 |
| 2011-02-25 00:00:00 |          2202 |
| 2011-03-27 00:00:00 |          2737 |
| 2011-04-26 00:00:00 |          4936 |
| 2011-05-26 00:00:00 |         14048 |
| 2011-06-25 00:00:00 |          6250 |
| 2011-07-25 00:00:00 |          3903 |
| 2011-08-24 00:00:00 |          2938 |
| 2011-09-23 00:00:00 |          1983 |
| 2011-10-23 00:00:00 |          1965 |
| 2011-11-22 00:00:00 |          1835 |
| 2011-12-22 00:00:00 |          1812 |
| 2012-01-21 00:00:00 |          2082 |
| 2012-02-20 00:00:00 |          1901 |
| 2012-03-21 00:00:00 |          2158 |
| 2012-04-20 00:00:00 |          1969 |
| 2012-05-20 00:00:00 |          2057 |
| 2012-06-19 00:00:00 |          2040 |
| 2012-07-19 00:00:00 |          2145 |
| 2012-08-18 00:00:00 |          2419 |
| 2012-09-17 00:00:00 |          2661 |
| 2012-10-17 00:00:00 |          2958 |
| 2012-11-16 00:00:00 |          2763 |
| 2012-12-16 00:00:00 |          2611 |
| 2013-01-15 00:00:00 |          3320 |
| 2013-02-14 00:00:00 |          4933 |
| 2013-03-16 00:00:00 |         13816 |
| 2013-04-15 00:00:00 |         18162 |
| 2013-05-15 00:00:00 |         11318 |
| 2013-06-14 00:00:00 |          8095 |
| 2013-07-14 00:00:00 |          6703 |
| 2013-08-13 00:00:00 |          5505 |
| 2013-09-12 00:00:00 |          4137 |
| 2013-10-12 00:00:00 |          5632 |
| 2013-11-11 00:00:00 |         26804 |
| 2013-12-11 00:00:00 |         28776 |
| 2014-01-10 00:00:00 |         29576 |
| 2014-02-09 00:00:00 |         29839 |
| 2014-03-11 00:00:00 |         22534 |
| 2014-04-10 00:00:00 |         18065 |
| 2014-05-10 00:00:00 |         13071 |
| 2014-06-09 00:00:00 |         12180 |
| 2014-07-09 00:00:00 |         10561 |
| 2014-08-08 00:00:00 |         10925 |
| 2014-09-07 00:00:00 |          9418 |
| 2014-10-07 00:00:00 |          8218 |
| 2014-11-06 00:00:00 |          7974 |
| 2014-12-06 00:00:00 |          8136 |
| 2015-01-05 00:00:00 |         23256 |
| 2015-02-04 00:00:00 |         36913 |
| 2015-03-06 00:00:00 |         33500 |
| 2015-04-05 00:00:00 |          8450 |
| 2015-05-05 00:00:00 |          8577 |
| 2015-06-04 00:00:00 |         10303 |
| 2015-07-04 00:00:00 |         11773 |
| 2015-08-03 00:00:00 |          9725 |
| 2015-09-02 00:00:00 |          7644 |
| 2015-10-02 00:00:00 |         68601 |
| 2015-11-01 00:00:00 |         44059 |
| 2015-12-01 00:00:00 |         39244 |
| 2015-12-31 00:00:00 |         37106 |
| 2016-01-30 00:00:00 |         42233 |
| 2016-02-29 00:00:00 |         24213 |
| 2016-03-30 00:00:00 |         19336 |
| 2016-04-29 00:00:00 |         16031 |
| 2016-05-29 00:00:00 |         19935 |
| 2016-06-28 00:00:00 |         12582 |
| 2016-07-28 00:00:00 |         10646 |
| 2016-08-27 00:00:00 |          9986 |
| 2016-09-26 00:00:00 |          9844 |
| 2016-10-26 00:00:00 |         10718 |
| 2016-11-25 00:00:00 |         10691 |
| 2016-12-25 00:00:00 |         12429 |
| 2017-01-24 00:00:00 |         13664 |
| 2017-02-23 00:00:00 |         13893 |
| 2017-03-25 00:00:00 |         15276 |
| 2017-04-24 00:00:00 |         20585 |
| 2017-05-24 00:00:00 |         31381 |
| 2017-06-23 00:00:00 |         35866 |
| 2017-07-23 00:00:00 |         40726 |
| 2017-08-22 00:00:00 |         45026 |
| 2017-09-21 00:00:00 |         70477 |
| 2017-10-21 00:00:00 |         95568 |
| 2017-11-20 00:00:00 |        144762 |
| 2017-12-20 00:00:00 |        238433 |
| 2018-01-19 00:00:00 |        136872 |
| 2018-02-18 00:00:00 |        107237 |
| 2018-03-20 00:00:00 |         87087 |
| 2018-04-19 00:00:00 |         89659 |
| 2018-05-19 00:00:00 |         83999 |
| 2018-06-18 00:00:00 |         72430 |
| 2018-07-18 00:00:00 |         61360 |
| 2018-08-17 00:00:00 |         43451 |
| 2018-09-16 00:00:00 |         43516 |
| 2018-10-16 00:00:00 |         35335 |
| 2018-11-15 00:00:00 |         31502 |
| 2018-12-15 00:00:00 |         20733 |
| 2019-01-14 00:00:00 |         20046 |
| 2019-02-13 00:00:00 |          2763 | [PARTIAL PERIOD]
+---------------------+---------------+

Statistics over years
In both medians and means, the year of 2018 has been the highest year with its median and mean of monthly registered accounts are 66895 and 64782, respectively.

- The median means that 50% of months in 2018 have total registered accounts above 66895 or below 66895.
- The interquartile range for 2018 is 38393 to 88373. It means 50% of months in 2018 have figures in range from 38393 to 88373.
I always use median and interquartile range for descriptive statistics because they automatically exclude effects of outliers data points.

Code:

. tabstat regacc year10 year11 year12 year13 year14 year15 year16 year17 year18, ///
>         s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)

    variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      regacc |       112  22199.58  34773.29     10432    2310.5     27790         3    238433
      year10 |        13       146  144.3185       148        22       204         5       384
      year11 |        12  3795.583  3560.192    2469.5      1900    4419.5       938     14048
      year12 |        12  2313.667    353.35    2151.5    2048.5      2636      1901      2958
      year13 |        12  11433.42   8798.91      7399      5219     15989      3320     28776
      year14 |        12  15041.42  8092.689   11552.5      8818   20299.5      7974     29839
      year15 |        12  24992.25  19299.52   17514.5      9151   37009.5      7644     68601
      year16 |        12  16553.67  9350.784   12505.5   10668.5   19635.5      9844     42233
      year17 |        12  63804.75  67452.29     38296   17930.5   83022.5     13664    238433
      year18 |        12  67431.75  34995.66     66895     38393     88373     20733    136872
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Percent changes of intra-month registered account:
The figures decreased 91.6% when bitcoin fell 83.9%.
It gives us a potential causal inference that implementation of merit system and new rank requirements have bigger effects than the falls of bitcoin.
One more finding, the intra-month figures after September of 2018 (Junior Member demotions) fell significantly than the before period. I think it make sense.

Detail calculation presented below.

Code:

* BTC price
. di (19800-3190)*100/19800
83.888889
* Intra-month registered accounts
. di (238400-20046)*100/238400
91.591443

The means of before and after Sept. 2018 are 80179 and 29190 (respectively)
The percent of difference is 63.6%

Code:

. tabstat before after, s(n mean sd p50 p25 p75 min max) c(s)

    variable |         N      mean        sd       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      before |         9     80179  30633.52     83999     61360     89659     41451    136872
       after |         3     29190  7570.575     31502     20733     35335     20733     35335
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Code:

. di (80179-29190)*100/80179
63.593959

[stadus]

Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.

Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion (less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount.

It could drop when they temporarily loss their interest, there could also be a correlation to the market movement, but since they have already registered, we can expect they'll be back soon interested in crypto, that's what matters a lot IMO.

[Pffrt]

Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.

Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion (less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount.

It could drop when they temporarily loss their interest, there could also be a correlation to the market movement, but since they have already registered, we can expect they'll be back soon interested in crypto, that's what matters a lot IMO.

True but at the end, most of those accounts are alt as well. To be honest, this forum has only a few people who are either real investor of bitcoin or just love to promote bitcoin.

[Natalim]

Great job, this stats are necessary for advertisers in the forum, that's why I can say signature campaign will always exist in the forum due to the kind of exposure they will get from millions of members.

Not much really, other than signature promotors, bounty hunters, the member would drop significantly to 10% in my opinion (less than 1% as per actmyname). I am too agreed with his logic behind it. The forum was created to spread, support, sharing knowledge about bitcoin but how much of us doing that or holding at least 1 BTC? I doubt the ratio would then be 1% of the current amount.

It could drop when they temporarily loss their interest, there could also be a correlation to the market movement, but since they have already registered, we can expect they'll be back soon interested in crypto, that's what matters a lot IMO.

True but at the end, most of those accounts are alt as well. To be honest, this forum has only a few people who are either real investor of bitcoin or just love to promote bitcoin.

That's 2.6 million in total, and assuming you are correct, what's the percentage of the real investor of bitcoin?

[tranthidung]

I made my analysis here: Assumed monthly statistics on registered accounts of bitcointalk.org (2009-2019). Below is abstract of my analysis, if you want to get full details, please visit my thread.

ABSTRACT

(1) Despite the rise of bitcoin to around $14,000, monthly registered accounts in last few months are too far away from all time high at 238433, in Dec. 2017.
(2) Minimum and maximum are 3 and 238433, in Nov. 2009, and December 2017, respectively.
(3) 50% of months (from Nov. 2009 to June 2019) have total monthly registered accounts in the range from 2611 to 24472 (the interquatile range).
(4) 50% of those months have total monthly registered accounts above or below 10691 (the median).
(5) The lowest and highest medians (of months for each year) found at 148 and 66895, in 2010 and 2018.
(6) From peaks on 20/12/2017, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts decreased 91.3%, and  81%, respectively, on 15/12/2018.
(7) Since 15/12/2018, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts increased 159%, and  7.8%, respectively, on 1/6/2019.

* Details of points (6), (7), please read the second post of this thread.

< ...>
Plot:

Plot

[Alex_Sr]

Thanks for the translation, but it was created a year ago:

Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019

This topic is a double!