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Question: 2023/2024 La Liga Champion will be
Barcelona - 29 (23.6%)
Real Madrid - 83 (67.5%)
Atletico Madrid - 1 (0.8%)
Sevilla - 0 (0%)
Valencia - 1 (0.8%)
Villareal - 0 (0%)
Real Sociedad - 0 (0%)
Other - 9 (7.3%)
Total Voters: 123

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Author Topic: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24  (Read 442677 times)
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February 05, 2024, 09:02:20 AM
 #67841

However, I don't think this result is a surprise, this is quite a decent result for both teams because in every fierce Madrid derby match, Real Madrid is quite difficult to win even though Atletico Madrid's overall performance this season is not that impressive.

And regarding the competition for the title, I think there is nothing different, even though there is only a 2 point difference from Girona who is in 2nd place, Real Madrid is still quite the favorite.
Real Madrid will meet Girona in the match next week. I think Madrid is still the favorite to win and I have also bet that Madrid will win the La Liga title this season. I think the match against Girona will be like the Inter vs Juventus match and the match will be won by the leaders. I predict that the match will be won by Madrid and will increase Girona's points. The next few matches will not provide much change because in my opinion, the match to determine first place and La Liga champions will be determined by next week's matches.
The Spanish La Liga this season have been competitive like the days of Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi were still playing in the league but unlike those days that it was always a two horse race between Real Madrid and Barcelona, an average club in the Spanish La Liga have been the other club that's been battling it our with Real Madrid at the top of the Spanish league standings. The club's name is Girona who's is managed by a 48 years old Michel

Yesterday, Real Madrid failed to utilize the opportunity  of extending their lead at the top of the table while was provided for them by Girona who failed to win their home game on Saturday against Real Sociedad by playing out a scored draw against their city rivals Atletico Madrid.

It was a game I had already predicted a win for the home side because I was thinking they'll want to revenge their elimination from the Copa Dey Rey competition by the same opponents but Atletico Madrid surprising took a point from that particular encounter.

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February 05, 2024, 09:07:38 AM
 #67842

This draw meant that Real Madrid failed to widen the points gap with Girona because this week Girona also achieved a draw.
Madrid derbies are always fierce and in this match it was really dramatic for Atletico Madrid who managed to score a goal to equalize at the end of this match, just as Real Madrid often did several years ago during the Madrid derby match.

However, I don't think this result is a surprise, this is quite a decent result for both teams because in every fierce Madrid derby match, Real Madrid is quite difficult to win even though Atletico Madrid's overall performance this season is not that impressive.

And regarding the competition for the title, I think there is nothing different, even though there is only a 2 point difference from Girona who is in 2nd place, Real Madrid is still quite the favorite.
The draw achieved by the two teams in this week's match makes the competition continue to be interesting in the upcoming matches. Both Girona and Real Madrid will try to get 3 points when the two meet in the next match.  Yes, we will continue to watch these two teams compete strongly in the upcoming match because in their first meeting in the first half of this season, Real madrid was able to beat Girona with a score of 3-0. So the next match will be easier to predict because this match will take place at the Bernabeu which means Real Madrid will be able to beat Girona.

So, that match will be Real Madrid main focus because they want to widen the gap with Girona and that opportunity will come when they meet next week. Bellingham has recently found it difficult to score goals and he must be able to give everything he has when they face Girona. Moreover, this match was quite important for them to get 3 points because Real madrid played in front of their supporters. We will also be presented with two stars from the two teams who are on the rise this season, such as Dovbyk and Bellingham at their second meeting next week.

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February 05, 2024, 09:32:32 AM
 #67843

Instead of taking advantage of Girona's previous draw by winning, Real Madrid instead played a draw against Atletico and even though they only got one point, Real Madrid still topped the standings with a difference of 2 points from Girona. It should have been a 4 point difference if they had won against Atletico but Marcos Llorrente's goal denied them the victory that was in sight. Real Madrid repeatedly had opportunities but their finishing was far from expected.

Apart from that, Ancelotti's selection of players in the second half was also poor and instead of adding attacking type players, Ancelotti seemed to just want to play it safe with that slight advantage. Ancelotti should have included Vinicius instead of Dani Ceballos. The result was that with minimal defenders, Real Madrid conceded in the final minute because Atletico always attacked attacks through aerial passes and took advantage of the height of their players. Real Madrid had to accept this draw because with the limited options in defense they at least did not lose to Atletico.

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February 05, 2024, 09:37:48 AM
 #67844

Real Madrid will meet Girona in the match next week. I think Madrid is still the favorite to win and I have also bet that Madrid will win the La Liga title this season. I think the match against Girona will be like the Inter vs Juventus match and the match will be won by the leaders. I predict that the match will be won by Madrid and will increase Girona's points. The next few matches will not provide much change because in my opinion, the match to determine first place and La Liga champions will be determined by next week's matches.
Girona has really been at the top of their performance this season, they have really been in good form and thy have really a good and impressive performance which could unfailingly get them to win the league title if their top rivals at any point begin to slack but then the current status of Real Madrid doesn't look in anyway like they are slacking .

Real Madrid is definitely the favourite for this game even if it turns out that the odds turn against them and girona eventually wins, I still see them as favourite and I'm very optimistic about their performance seeing how well they have performed so far recently, they have been their very best and a careful look into Madrid performance this season in the la Liga they have lost only once since this season and I don't think they will be wanting to add a loss from this game to the record. If Real Madrid win against girona in their next meeting, the certainty of winning the trophy becomes very high than it has ever been this season.

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February 05, 2024, 09:42:50 AM
 #67845

Sharing points with Atletico Madrid was a painful result because the goal in the last minute came from a former Madrid player himself. In fact Atletico Madrid would have won 3 points if the referee had not ruled out their first goal because the decision was not very correct. But however because of this the Madrid derby is always the fiercest, tightest match and the game is hard, especially for the Atletico Madrid players who incidentally is always like that. Simeone has a tough character and this can also be seen from his style of play where there were almost a lot of fouls, especially in the second half. This draw put Madrid at a disadvantage because they were unable to gain further points from Girona. However it is still interesting because Madrid next match will be against Girona at the Santiago Bernabeu to determine who will lead the top of the La Liga standings.

Atlético were able to take points from Real Madrid in the final extra minutes of the match, and it was a well-deserved draw. And for Girona this is, to some extent, a chance to continue the confrontation, because Real remains 2 points away. But to be honest, no matter how much I want Girona to become champions, it’s hard to believe, and the fact that Girona are still staying so close to Real is something incredible. I thought this round would be decisive and Real would be able to increase their lead.

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February 05, 2024, 10:07:08 AM
 #67846

Atlético were able to take points from Real Madrid in the final extra minutes of the match, and it was a well-deserved draw. And for Girona this is, to some extent, a chance to continue the confrontation, because Real remains 2 points away. But to be honest, no matter how much I want Girona to become champions, it’s hard to believe, and the fact that Girona are still staying so close to Real is something incredible. I thought this round would be decisive and Real would be able to increase their lead.

Let us be honest, Real Madrid played much well and deserves to score more than once with the amount of chances they missed compared to Atletico Madrid even themselves said in X platform that they stole a point from Real Madrid and they didn’t said gained or deserved. I’m also a fan of Barcelona but the truth cannot be denied that the only time Atletico Madrid played this match well was the last few minutes before the end of 90 minutes of the match and Real Madrid dominated with a beautiful gameplay.

Next week we will witness a great match between Girona who’s playing a great football this season and creating history for their team as the first time for the records they are doing. I wouldn’t say it’s impossible for them to steal LaLiga trophy this season from Barcelona and Real Madrid, but won’t be that easy for them to maintain 15 more matches and win at least 12 of them only if they won against the white house. Still they will play in UCL next season as I mentioned before and nobody believed in this team.

.
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February 05, 2024, 10:24:24 AM
 #67847

Atlético were able to take points from Real Madrid in the final extra minutes of the match, and it was a well-deserved draw.
They got a draw with a very late goal from Marcos Alonso but Real Madrid actually got bad news before the match kicks off. Vinicius Jr. suddenly got an injury in warm-up time before the match and Brahim Diaz is a replacement for him. It's hard to say that Brahim played bad because he scored an opening goal for Real Madrid but I believe with Vinicius Jr., Real Madrid will have a more powerful attacking system.

Quote
And for Girona this is, to some extent, a chance to continue the confrontation, because Real remains 2 points away. But to be honest, no matter how much I want Girona to become champions, it’s hard to believe, and the fact that Girona are still staying so close to Real is something incredible. I thought this round would be decisive and Real would be able to increase their lead.
Girona actually don't need to win La Liga to have a beautiful season but they will try best to lift the trophy at the end. They know not many people have belief in them but they don't care about it and simply play their best football in rest of the season. La Liga surpassed 23 matches and there will be 15 matches left till the end so it's worth to try for Girona.
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February 05, 2024, 10:26:01 AM
 #67848

Sharing points with Atletico Madrid was a painful result because the goal in the last minute came from a former Madrid player himself. In fact Atletico Madrid would have won 3 points if the referee had not ruled out their first goal because the decision was not very correct. But however because of this the Madrid derby is always the fiercest, tightest match and the game is hard, especially for the Atletico Madrid players who incidentally is always like that. Simeone has a tough character and this can also be seen from his style of play where there were almost a lot of fouls, especially in the second half. This draw put Madrid at a disadvantage because they were unable to gain further points from Girona. However it is still interesting because Madrid next match will be against Girona at the Santiago Bernabeu to determine who will lead the top of the La Liga standings.
Atlético were able to take points from Real Madrid in the final extra minutes of the match, and it was a well-deserved draw. And for Girona this is, to some extent, a chance to continue the confrontation, because Real remains 2 points away. But to be honest, no matter how much I want Girona to become champions, it’s hard to believe, and the fact that Girona are still staying so close to Real is something incredible. I thought this round would be decisive and Real would be able to increase their lead.

I thought Atletico Madrid might not get any points. But Atletico Madrid were very lucky. They scored in the last minute of the match. Marcos Llorente scored in extra time after 90 minutes to level the match at 1-1 for Atlético Madrid.

Madrid players played very well in the home match. But they could not get 3 points. And that leaves Girona with a chance to retake the top spot in the table. But I am waiting for the match on February 10. Madrid will play at home against Girona. If Madrid wins, Madrid will also be the champion of La Liga this year.

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February 05, 2024, 10:27:15 AM
 #67849

Instead of taking advantage of Girona's previous draw by winning, Real Madrid instead played a draw against Atletico and even though they only got one point, Real Madrid still topped the standings with a difference of 2 points from Girona. It should have been a 4 point difference if they had won against Atletico but Marcos Llorrente's goal denied them the victory that was in sight. Real Madrid repeatedly had opportunities but their finishing was far from expected.

Apart from that, Ancelotti's selection of players in the second half was also poor and instead of adding attacking type players, Ancelotti seemed to just want to play it safe with that slight advantage. Ancelotti should have included Vinicius instead of Dani Ceballos. The result was that with minimal defenders, Real Madrid conceded in the final minute because Atletico always attacked attacks through aerial passes and took advantage of the height of their players. Real Madrid had to accept this draw because with the limited options in defense they at least did not lose to Atletico.
A very painful result for Real Madrid because they had to draw after Atletico Madrid managed to equalize in extra time. However, I can understand this result, because these two clubs are strong clubs, and in the last two meetings, they also beat each other, so this result is not that surprising to me.
But I agree with you about the transition of substitutions, why doesn't Ancelotti try to add to their goals rather than trying to keep the score. Because winning by 1 goal would be very risky for them, because the opponent could also equalize the score with 1 goal, and sure enough that happened in the final minutes. I think Real Madrid in this match was very quickly satisfied, so the satisfaction they felt in such a rushed time meant that in the end they had to be satisfied with a draw.

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February 05, 2024, 11:14:56 AM
 #67850

Instead of taking advantage of Girona's previous draw by winning, Real Madrid instead played a draw against Atletico and even though they only got one point, Real Madrid still topped the standings with a difference of 2 points from Girona. It should have been a 4 point difference if they had won against Atletico but Marcos Llorrente's goal denied them the victory that was in sight. Real Madrid repeatedly had opportunities but their finishing was far from expected.

Apart from that, Ancelotti's selection of players in the second half was also poor and instead of adding attacking type players, Ancelotti seemed to just want to play it safe with that slight advantage. Ancelotti should have included Vinicius instead of Dani Ceballos. The result was that with minimal defenders, Real Madrid conceded in the final minute because Atletico always attacked attacks through aerial passes and took advantage of the height of their players. Real Madrid had to accept this draw because with the limited options in defense they at least did not lose to Atletico.
A very painful result for Real Madrid because they had to draw after Atletico Madrid managed to equalize in extra time. However, I can understand this result, because these two clubs are strong clubs, and in the last two meetings, they also beat each other, so this result is not that surprising to me.
But I agree with you about the transition of substitutions, why doesn't Ancelotti try to add to their goals rather than trying to keep the score. Because winning by 1 goal would be very risky for them, because the opponent could also equalize the score with 1 goal, and sure enough that happened in the final minutes. I think Real Madrid in this match was very quickly satisfied, so the satisfaction they felt in such a rushed time meant that in the end they had to be satisfied with a draw.
Actually, Real played a very dominant game. After the turnovers, they immediately pressed and won the ball back. Atletico tried to take advantage of Real's lack of centre backs by trying to score a header throughout the match and at the end of the match, when there was no centre back to score a header, Atletico scored. I didn't understand why Brahimin, who played brilliantly throughout the match, came off before Rodrygo and Ceballos came on. Real lost 2 points in a very good game because of wrong last passes, selfishness and wrong substitutions. If they beat Girona next week, it's still over.
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February 05, 2024, 11:26:07 AM
 #67851

This derby never fails to entertain and beside doing that this time it also made possible for the La Liga title fight to be wide open and now the next game is crucial between the two leading teams with just 2 points difference between each other.This very weekend we are going to watch this entertaining game and see how it will unfold further for the La Liga.Real is advantaged as it plays at home while Girona needs the win badly here in order to overtake Real once again in the standings.
This draw meant that Real Madrid failed to widen the points gap with Girona because this week Girona also achieved a draw.
Madrid derbies are always fierce and in this match it was really dramatic for Atletico Madrid who managed to score a goal to equalize at the end of this match, just as Real Madrid often did several years ago during the Madrid derby match.

However, I don't think this result is a surprise, this is quite a decent result for both teams because in every fierce Madrid derby match, Real Madrid is quite difficult to win even though Atletico Madrid's overall performance this season is not that impressive.

And regarding the competition for the title, I think there is nothing different, even though there is only a 2 point difference from Girona who is in 2nd place, Real Madrid is still quite the favorite.

Madrid derbies are not easy lately, it's a do or die affair for both sides, I could recall how the was so aggressive against Real Madrid during the first half of the season and went ahead to win the game. Good to see them sharing points at least a good chance for Girona to catch up next week. But will that even happen? Lol

They'll be without the coach who was red carded yesterday night and both the Captain, Herrera and Dutchman and defender Daley Blind. I think that shouldn't have been thought I don't know what was said but it don't seem aggressive. That match official indeed had temper issues.

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February 05, 2024, 11:31:40 AM
 #67852

Instead of taking advantage of Girona's previous draw by winning, Real Madrid instead played a draw against Atletico and even though they only got one point, Real Madrid still topped the standings with a difference of 2 points from Girona. It should have been a 4 point difference if they had won against Atletico but Marcos Llorrente's goal denied them the victory that was in sight. Real Madrid repeatedly had opportunities but their finishing was far from expected.

Apart from that, Ancelotti's selection of players in the second half was also poor and instead of adding attacking type players, Ancelotti seemed to just want to play it safe with that slight advantage. Ancelotti should have included Vinicius instead of Dani Ceballos. The result was that with minimal defenders, Real Madrid conceded in the final minute because Atletico always attacked attacks through aerial passes and took advantage of the height of their players. Real Madrid had to accept this draw because with the limited options in defense they at least did not lose to Atletico.
A very painful result for Real Madrid because they had to draw after Atletico Madrid managed to equalize in extra time. However, I can understand this result, because these two clubs are strong clubs, and in the last two meetings, they also beat each other, so this result is not that surprising to me.
But I agree with you about the transition of substitutions, why doesn't Ancelotti try to add to their goals rather than trying to keep the score. Because winning by 1 goal would be very risky for them, because the opponent could also equalize the score with 1 goal, and sure enough that happened in the final minutes. I think Real Madrid in this match was very quickly satisfied, so the satisfaction they felt in such a rushed time meant that in the end they had to be satisfied with a draw.
Real Madrid yesterday faced one of the strongest teams in the Spanish La Liga sobi wasn't expecting them to easily beat a team that's defeated the on two different occasions this season. Firstly, Real Madrid suffered a defeat to Atletico this season in their first encounter of the season in my the Spanish La Liga before they were eliminated from the Copa Dey Rey from the same Diego Simeone's team.

I expected real Madrid to win the game yesterday and they also lived up to my expectations by being the best team on the pitch in that very game but unfortunately for them, they weren't able to defeat their visitors who scored a stoppage time goal to force Real Madrid to a draw in that game.

Again Vinicius Jr who's currently trying to heal from a minor knock didn't feature in that game as Carlo Ancelotti decided not to take any risk by bringing in the Brazilian in to that game. Real Madrid are still at the top of the Spanish league table and I think they'll definitely end the season with the league title

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February 05, 2024, 11:54:13 AM
 #67853

Madrid derbies are not easy lately, it's a do or die affair for both sides, I could recall how the was so aggressive against Real Madrid during the first half of the season and went ahead to win the game. Good to see them sharing points at least a good chance for Girona to catch up next week. But will that even happen? Lol

They'll be without the coach who was red carded yesterday night and both the Captain, Herrera and Dutchman and defender Daley Blind. I think that shouldn't have been thought I don't know what was said but it don't seem aggressive. That match official indeed had temper issues.
First half, Real Madrid controlling the games and success lead awhile but not focus in additional time make them have losses three points and make lose position with Girona. I watched with the first half match and unbelievable Madrid have conceded in the last minutes before match end, one point not really help Real Madrid keep manage the top position standing with 2 points left from Girona.
I think many players injury make Carlo Ancelotti on difficult position exactly have losses three central defender, its hard for upcoming match Real Madrid will face Girona and if losses three points will make drop to 2nd place position. Need improving performance and keep focus until the end match if Madrid won't losses points on upcoming match.

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February 05, 2024, 11:55:26 AM
 #67854

Despite Real Madrid's defense line being a little fragile due to injuries, Ancelotti's 4-3-3 formation proved effective against Atletico Madrid.
Real Madrid's chance of winning was thwarted when Atletico Madrid scored a goal in the 93th minute. The competition for the league's top spot keeps becoming intense. Real Madrid had recently had five straight victories, but today Atletico Madrid interrupted what would have been their six straight wins. Girona is behind Real Madrid by two points in the LaLiga standings. Girona and Real Madrid will square off by next week to see who can top the LaLiga standings.
If you look at today match, Real Madrid's performance was quite good in pressing Atletico Madrid and it didn't even take long for them to score the first goal. But in this derby match, of course, it goes quite hard until the end of the match. Yes, the score 1-1 was the final result and both teams had to be satisfied with the one point they got from this match. In the course of today's match, Real Madrid certainly had many opportunities to score goals, but unfortunately several golden opportunities failed to be converted perfectly into goals.

With this result, of course Real Madrid failed to widen the points gap with Girona who is in second place in the standings. The two teams are still 2 points apart and of course the competitive tension will look even more impressive in the upcoming match. In fact, for Barcelona it seems like their opportunity has opened up again to compete for the title this season. because Barcelona is only 8 points behind Real Madrid and the season is still quite long, of course there is a chance for them.
Real Madrid were very lucky in yesterday's match that the first score scored by Atletico Madrid was disallowed for offside and if that score had not been disallowed, Real Madrid might have lost yesterday's match.
Yes, it is true that Real Madrid had a lot of opportunities, only Brahim Diaz was able to score and in fact, if the second chance that Brahim Diaz had could be utilized properly when he was in front of Atletico Madrid's goal, I think Real Madrid would be, but Atletico Madrid's defense is very strong. thus making it difficult for Real Madrid to score.
I would not be surprised if this match ended in a draw even though previously I predicted that Real Madrid would win the match, but usually when playing against Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid being the host, it is usually easy to win but Atletico Madrid's defense cannot be underestimated.

There must be a lot of people who lost betting on Real Madrid's win, even I myself also experienced the same thing, even though initially I wanted to bet on the total score, I had the thought of betting on Real Madrid's win, although I was a little disappointed, but at least Real Madrid's position was still a little safe even though they only had 2 points difference with Girona but at least Real Madrid can set a new strategy in the next match to get 3 points.

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February 05, 2024, 12:13:01 PM
 #67855

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano will meet in today's only match in La Liga. This is Rayo Vallecano's home match. The performance of both these teams is quite poor this season. So it is difficult to make predictions about this match.

Sevilla team won only 3 matches this season and vallecano won 5 matches. Sevilla's past record against Rayo Vallecano is not very good as Sevilla have not won against Vallecano in their last 4 matches. 3 matches were drawn and Rayo Vallecano won 1. And looking at the current performance of both teams, I think today's match is most likely to be a draw.

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February 05, 2024, 12:17:24 PM
 #67856

Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano will meet in today's only match in La Liga. This is Rayo Vallecano's home match. The performance of both these teams is quite poor this season. So it is difficult to make predictions about this match.

Sevilla team won only 3 matches this season and vallecano won 5 matches. Sevilla's past record against Rayo Vallecano is not very good as Sevilla have not won against Vallecano in their last 4 matches. 3 matches were drawn and Rayo Vallecano won 1. And looking at the current performance of both teams, I think today's match is most likely to be a draw.

Well , do we even trust Sevilla here or at all lately ? I think not. That's why , personally , I can't bet a single cent on Sevilla and I also think a rebuild in LaLiga 2 would benefit them in the long run because the club has massive debts and this might be the only salvation for them.

You're right with that draw , as this game can't be spectacular and I also cannot expect a lot of goals but I can see Rayo scoring.  Cool

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February 05, 2024, 12:23:24 PM
 #67857

Instead of taking advantage of Girona's previous draw by winning, Real Madrid instead played a draw against Atletico and even though they only got one point, Real Madrid still topped the standings with a difference of 2 points from Girona. It should have been a 4 point difference if they had won against Atletico but Marcos Llorrente's goal denied them the victory that was in sight. Real Madrid repeatedly had opportunities but their finishing was far from expected.

Apart from that, Ancelotti's selection of players in the second half was also poor and instead of adding attacking type players, Ancelotti seemed to just want to play it safe with that slight advantage. Ancelotti should have included Vinicius instead of Dani Ceballos. The result was that with minimal defenders, Real Madrid conceded in the final minute because Atletico always attacked attacks through aerial passes and took advantage of the height of their players. Real Madrid had to accept this draw because with the limited options in defense they at least did not lose to Atletico.
A very painful result for Real Madrid because they had to draw after Atletico Madrid managed to equalize in extra time. However, I can understand this result, because these two clubs are strong clubs, and in the last two meetings, they also beat each other, so this result is not that surprising to me.
But I agree with you about the transition of substitutions, why doesn't Ancelotti try to add to their goals rather than trying to keep the score. Because winning by 1 goal would be very risky for them, because the opponent could also equalize the score with 1 goal, and sure enough that happened in the final minutes. I think Real Madrid in this match was very quickly satisfied, so the satisfaction they felt in such a rushed time meant that in the end they had to be satisfied with a draw.
Actually, Real played a very dominant game. After the turnovers, they immediately pressed and won the ball back. Atletico tried to take advantage of Real's lack of centre backs by trying to score a header throughout the match and at the end of the match, when there was no centre back to score a header, Atletico scored. I didn't understand why Brahimin, who played brilliantly throughout the match, came off before Rodrygo and Ceballos came on. Real lost 2 points in a very good game because of wrong last passes, selfishness and wrong substitutions. If they beat Girona next week, it's still over.
Real Madrid's miss gave Girona another chance as they looked to overtake Real Madrid again in the next match.  But although this is a big opportunity for Girona, it is doubtful whether Girona will be able to take advantage of the opportunity because the next match Girona will play against Real Madrid. That match is very important for both teams.  Whichever team wins that day will qualify for the number one position in the points table. If Real Madrid wins the match then Real Madrid will lead by more than 3 points which will make it very difficult for other teams to dislodge them from the first position.


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February 05, 2024, 12:26:02 PM
 #67858

This draw meant that Real Madrid failed to widen the points gap with Girona because this week Girona also achieved a draw.
Madrid derbies are always fierce and in this match it was really dramatic for Atletico Madrid who managed to score a goal to equalize at the end of this match, just as Real Madrid often did several years ago during the Madrid derby match.

However, I don't think this result is a surprise, this is quite a decent result for both teams because in every fierce Madrid derby match, Real Madrid is quite difficult to win even though Atletico Madrid's overall performance this season is not that impressive.

And regarding the competition for the title, I think there is nothing different, even though there is only a 2 point difference from Girona who is in 2nd place, Real Madrid is still quite the favorite.

I once said as in the previous post, that the matches that Girona and Real Madrid will play will be crucial matches last week. and yeah, the final result of the match between these two teams ended in a draw. Previously, Real Sociedad was unable to take advantage of the momentum to overthrow Real Sociedad at the Estadi Montivili, Girona's headquarters. Real Sociedad was able to hold the match to a draw like in the first meeting. In the end, Ginona only got one point in the match.

Likewise with the Madrid derby match, the battle between the two teams was quite fierce. although Madrid had more chances with 17 total shots, 4 on target and 2 big chances. however, Madrid was only able to convert one opportunity into a goal in the 20th minute. on the other hand, Diego Simeone's team should have been able to equalize in the 49th minute. unfortunately, the goal was canceled because one of the Atletico Madrid players was caught in the offside trap. Luckily for Atletico, in the 90+3 minute, Diego Simeone's team was able to equalize through Marcus LIorente's header from Memphis Depay's assist. in the end, this match ended in a draw. as I said, Madrid should not underestimate ATMs, even though they are playing at the Santiago Bernabeu. In the end, Real Madrid was the same as Girona who only got one point.
Talking about title competition, it would be fun if we just followed every match presented by La Liga. after all, competition is still quite tight and this competition still has a lot of matches left.

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February 05, 2024, 12:36:25 PM
 #67859

In the last 10 years, Real Madrid have only won the La Liga title 3 times, while Bayern have won 10 out of 10 titles, so I think this anology is inappropriate. If we take the current season, then surprisingly the picture is the opposite: Real Madrid has a higher chance of winning La Liga than Bayern has to win the Bundesliga.
Girona obviously cannot keep up with Real's pace and has begun to lose points frequently, Real's advantage over the other two historical rivals is 10 points, so I think that the question of the title holder is 95% closed.

You are right of course, but you based your comment on the wrong assumption. If you look at the past decade then there is no doubt that your statement is correct, but I was rather referring to the status quo in La Liga as of today for this season. I wouldn't have written this if Barcelona was on par with Real Madrid right now, but it is an underdog team from Girona and in the Bundesliga it is Leverkusen. That is why I brought up this comparison. What's the chance that an underdog wins the title being on par with Real Madrid when there are 15 games to go? It would still be a miracle. Now Brahim took the lead and within a few weeks this season could be over if Girona drops points in one or two more games and Real Madrid wins the next home game against Girona. That would be 7 points then.

Actually, I separately highlighted the situation for the current season: Real Madrid has a much higher chance of winning La Liga than Bayern, so this analogy does not work even within the current season. Look, the bookmakers currently see the odds for the Bundesliga title as follows:

Fc Bayern Munich 1.54

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.33

Now compare with the situation in La Liga:

Real Madrid 1.12

Girona 8.33

1.12 and 1.54 is a huge difference in odds. Bayern will not reach this figure even if they win the next game (which will be against Bayer).

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February 05, 2024, 12:47:05 PM
 #67860

Instead of taking advantage of Girona's previous draw by winning, Real Madrid instead played a draw against Atletico and even though they only got one point, Real Madrid still topped the standings with a difference of 2 points from Girona. It should have been a 4 point difference if they had won against Atletico but Marcos Llorrente's goal denied them the victory that was in sight. Real Madrid repeatedly had opportunities but their finishing was far from expected.

Apart from that, Ancelotti's selection of players in the second half was also poor and instead of adding attacking type players, Ancelotti seemed to just want to play it safe with that slight advantage. Ancelotti should have included Vinicius instead of Dani Ceballos. The result was that with minimal defenders, Real Madrid conceded in the final minute because Atletico always attacked attacks through aerial passes and took advantage of the height of their players. Real Madrid had to accept this draw because with the limited options in defense they at least did not lose to Atletico.
A very painful result for Real Madrid because they had to draw after Atletico Madrid managed to equalize in extra time. However, I can understand this result, because these two clubs are strong clubs, and in the last two meetings, they also beat each other, so this result is not that surprising to me.
But I agree with you about the transition of substitutions, why doesn't Ancelotti try to add to their goals rather than trying to keep the score. Because winning by 1 goal would be very risky for them, because the opponent could also equalize the score with 1 goal, and sure enough that happened in the final minutes. I think Real Madrid in this match was very quickly satisfied, so the satisfaction they felt in such a rushed time meant that in the end they had to be satisfied with a draw.
Actually, Real played a very dominant game. After the turnovers, they immediately pressed and won the ball back. Atletico tried to take advantage of Real's lack of centre backs by trying to score a header throughout the match and at the end of the match, when there was no centre back to score a header, Atletico scored. I didn't understand why Brahimin, who played brilliantly throughout the match, came off before Rodrygo and Ceballos came on. Real lost 2 points in a very good game because of wrong last passes, selfishness and wrong substitutions. If they beat Girona next week, it's still over.
Real Madrid's miss gave Girona another chance as they looked to overtake Real Madrid again in the next match.  But although this is a big opportunity for Girona, it is doubtful whether Girona will be able to take advantage of the opportunity because the next match Girona will play against Real Madrid. That match is very important for both teams.  Whichever team wins that day will qualify for the number one position in the points table. If Real Madrid wins the match then Real Madrid will lead by more than 3 points which will make it very difficult for other teams to dislodge them from the first position.

Real Madrid and Girona both drew their last matches. So we have not seen any change in the points table. If Girona had won against Real Sociedad, Real Madrid and Girona would now be level on points.

Everyone is now waiting to watch the Girona vs Madrid match. Whether Girona will be able to win the title will be determined by Girona's performance against Madrid. If Girona don't play well against Madrid and lose then I'd say Girona has no chance of winning the title. This year's La Liga champion will be Real Madrid. But if Girona can pick up a point in this match, the team will continue to push for the title until the end of the season.

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