🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈

[vella85]

Thursday night was a crap night for me as not only did the Bucs lose but so did my bet on the Baseball. Anyway we can look forward to Sunday's games which I'm still working on as I try and find some value like I have in the past 2 weeks. I will also try and post my picks on here if I have time.

[nutildah]

Who are y'all going with tomorrow? I just put in a non-dangerous parlay with Rams, Chiefs and 49ers to win ML -- comes out to 1.86x. I'm feeling pretty decent about it, but you never know of course. There's usually at least 1 good upset every week.

[morvillz7z]

All-in against the Jets!

I was able to take the spread at -6.5, i honestly think they will lose by 10 pts or more, Cards need a bounce back game after last week's loss to Panthers. Flacco will start in place of Darnold, they will have Le'Veon Bell back but he's been out for a month now, don't expect much from him in his first game, NYJ are just sooo bad...no brainer for me to go against them.

Have the Cardinals ml + Steelers ml + Ravens ml as my main ticket. Murray 1+ rushing TD + DHop 65+ receiving yards and Cards to win @4.00 in a separeate bet.

[tyKiwanuka]

I just put in a non-dangerous parlay with Rams, Chiefs and 49ers to win ML (...)

I have a feeling the Rams might disappoint you. WAS were poor in their last games after that surprising win in week 1 against the Eagles, but Haskins was benched and Allen will take over, who has done very well in his first games with Carolina. QB change (if not for injury) always gives a little push and motivation to teams. On top of that WAS will have Young back today as it seems and Rams already struggled against a weaker Giants defense last week. Not advising a bet on WAS, but if this parlay fails, it will be due to the Rams laying an egg imo


I am trying my luck with Houston -6 today. Texans had a bad start, but against good opposition (Ravens, Chiefs, Steelers, Vikings), so being 0-4 looks worse than it actually is. Nevertheless O'Brien had to leave and they can start all over, pretending they are 0-0. Rumours say that he lost the locker room and a new head coach (although only interim) can do wonders in such cases. Jags are and were a bit so and so, but last two games weren't very convincing against CIN/MIA and both resulted in losses. They are just not healthy right now and their struggling defense will be even weaker with Allen out, Henderson most likely out and Jack not at 100%. This is a divisional matchup, so high-ish HC's are always a bit meh, but JAX defense was already shitty before and is now missing very important players on top.

[ChiBitCTy]

How are you guys liking these afternoon/night games ? Right now I am feeling Seattle over Minnesota, Seattle being at -6.5. O/U is 55 which I am kinda feeling the over for as well. I also like Indianapolis over Cleveland at +1. I think Indy has proven to be pretty damn good and the Browns to me have yet to really prove it.

Anyone have any bets laid out for this second half of games they love ?

[DireWolfM14]

The Raiders are less than minutes away from pulling off the biggest upset of the season.  I almost predicted this after KC's first possession, they seem off a bit.  I don't really have a dog in the fight, but I'm still holding a grudge against the Chiefs from February.  

Go Raiders? 

[vella85]

The Raiders are less than minutes away from pulling off the biggest upset of the season.  I almost predicted this after KC's first possession, they seem off a bit.  I don't really have a dog in the fight, but I'm still holding a grudge against the Chiefs from February.  

Go Raiders? 

You should of put money on it mate, the Raiders won easily which was a huge upset. Now that's the kind of value that can really make people a lot of money with parlays. I didn't play any parlays this week and just placed a straight ML bet on the Colts to win.

The Dolphins are also looking good for an upset win right now.

[morvillz7z]

All-in against the Jets!

Told ya so, perfect 3/3 on the day including the prop bet with Murray and Hopkins, hell yeah!

I think i'm going to skip the rest of the games and walk away clean, even though i wanted to put something on the Vikings, they got a win last week, Cook with 2TDs and Seahawks pass defense is really bad, Thielen and Justin Jefferson are primed to get big numbers imo.

The Raiders are less than minutes away from pulling off the biggest upset of the season.  I almost predicted this after KC's first possession, they seem off a bit.  I don't really have a dog in the fight, but I'm still holding a grudge against the Chiefs from February. 

This was the game that i watched, Raiders clamped the Chiefs in the second half, they couldn't get anything on offense, Mahomes with first inteception of the season. Impressed with Gruden chosing to go on 4th and 1 being 8pts ahead with 2 minutes left and Chiefs no timeouts...this could have backfired badly if they didn't get Carr's QB sneak...but it worked.

Not looking peachy for 49ers either, Garoppolo with 2 interceptions down 23pts...let's see if they can make a comeback.

[DireWolfM14]

Not looking peachy for 49ers

I KNOW, I KNOW.  Stop making it worse. [/s]

They lost to the Eagle last week, now Jimmy G. is looking as bad as Mullens did.  Fuck!  Come on, 9ers, lets see some hustle in the 2nd half.

Damn, G-Money just threw another interception!

[nutildah]

Not looking peachy for 49ers

I KNOW, I KNOW.  Stop making it worse. [/s]

They lost to the Eagle last week, now Jimmy G. is looking as bad as Mullens did.  Fuck!  Come on, 9ers, lets see some hustle in the 2nd half.

Damn, G-Money just threw another interception!

Garoffalo looking absolutely skeevy.

Man, what a blowout. 2 of my "easy picks" were total upsets. I think for my next pick I'll come up with something and then pick the opposite. Either that or hire a monkey to throw darts at a board, one or the other.

if this parlay fails, it will be due to the Rams laying an egg imo

Turns out Rams were my only W, lol.

[tyKiwanuka]

Turns out Rams were my only W, lol

Hehe, yes, I feel you, I had this gazillion times already. You make a parlay and think nothing can go wrong.....it happens, don't worry too much with it....Raiders really a huge surprise. If this was played in Vegas, I could have imagined a Raiders win, but away at Kansas is quite an accomplishment; KC has owned them in the last years, 12-2 since 2013, 7-0 @home.


Seems like Prescott is done for the season with a broken ankle, that looked horrible and I really feel bad for him Red Rifle is taking over for the Cowboys now, NFC East getting worse and worse.....

[wheelz1200]

Turns out Rams were my only W, lol

Hehe, yes, I feel you, I had this gazillion times already. You make a parlay and think nothing can go wrong.....it happens, don't worry too much with it....Raiders really a huge surprise. If this was played in Vegas, I could have imagined a Raiders win, but away at Kansas is quite an accomplishment; KC has owned them in the last years, 12-2 since 2013, 7-0 @home.


Seems like Prescott is done for the season with a broken ankle, that looked horrible and I really feel bad for him Red Rifle is taking over for the Cowboys now, NFC East getting worse and worse.....

I watched that game end to end, what a terrible bunch of teams in the nfc east.  This year might be the worst division of all time.  I mean the eagles, washington, giants and cowboys (especially now).  Throw in the jets and ypu can argue those are the worst 5 teams in the league and 4 from one division.  Do we get to see a 6-10 team win the division and get a home field playoff game  

[ChiBitCTy]

Had a pretty ugly day of fantasy football and betting yesterday.  Damn those Vegas odd's makers are good lol.  I certainly did not expect that Seattle game to be so damn close.  Their defense is just so suspect. 

Tonight's game I'm staying far away from.  We know Michael Thomas is not playing and Jared Cook might sit as well.  With both of those two guys out, Brees could be in for an ugly night.  I do hope they play Tuesday game though.  Will be a great game , regardless of fantasy of gambling implications.  I think the Bills take it and I like them at -3.5.  Placing bet as soon as I heard the game is confirmed good to go.

[South Park]

Seems like Prescott is done for the season with a broken ankle, that looked horrible and I really feel bad for him Red Rifle is taking over for the Cowboys now, NFC East getting worse and worse.....

I watched that game end to end, what a terrible bunch of teams in the nfc east.  This year might be the worst division of all time.  I mean the eagles, washington, giants and cowboys (especially now).  Throw in the jets and ypu can argue those are the worst 5 teams in the league and 4 from one division.  Do we get to see a 6-10 team win the division and get a home field playoff game  

Just when you think things cannot get even worse for the NFC East they did, now the Jets are on another level and I could see them going 0-16, that is how bad they are, but the fact there is not a single good team on the NFC East should be worrying, one of those teams is going to be on the post-season and will get home field advantage, I really think such thing will lead to a change in the rules since it is likely that despite the additional playoff spot a good team will be left out of the playoffs.

Do you think we have seen the last of Dak on Dallas? The guy has no contract and is playing under the franchise tag, that kind of injury will take a lot of time to heal and maybe he is not going to be ready for the beginning of the next season and we will not know if he will ever be the same, are the Dallas Cowboys going to tag him again? Or if they offer him a contract is it going to be as good as what they offered on the off-season?

Dak was playing hardball and wanted a big contract and I find unlikely he is going to find that on Dallas and if Dalton plays good football then Dak becomes spendable, and while some were impressed by his numbers the truth is that a great deal of those numbers can be explained away by the opposite team having such a huge lead over the Cowboys they just played prevent defence allowing Dak to accumulate a lot of yards on the last quarter of those games.

[vella85]

Had a pretty ugly day of fantasy football and betting yesterday.  Damn those Vegas odd's makers are good lol.  I certainly did not expect that Seattle game to be so damn close.  Their defense is just so suspect. 

Tonight's game I'm staying far away from.  We know Michael Thomas is not playing and Jared Cook might sit as well.  With both of those two guys out, Brees could be in for an ugly night.  I do hope they play Tuesday game though.  Will be a great game , regardless of fantasy of gambling implications.  I think the Bills take it and I like them at -3.5.  Placing bet as soon as I heard the game is confirmed good to go.

The afternoon games were ugly for most of us bettors, well more so for the 49ers as the Browns/Colts game was 50/50 in my opinion and I just went with some value with the Colts but it wasn't my week this week after having two good weeks previous but we can't always win. I'm waiting for tomorrows game as I'm just not sure about tonight's game as I think it could go either way. I may see if there are any prop bets worth taking for tonight.

[morvillz7z]

Gruden chosing to go on 4th and 1 being 8pts ahead with 2 minutes left and Chiefs no timeouts...this could have backfired badly if they didn't get Carr's QB sneak...but it worked.

It worked for Gruden, not for Zimmer, bro just fucking kick the field goal, you up 5 points with 2 minutes left SEA with only 1 timeout remaining, they gotta score and convert on a 2pt and you still in the game. I don't know i would never go for it, dumb way to lose the game imo.

As for the game tonight, i initially had Chargers to cover their spread, not feeling it anymore, going for Saints ml + Kamara 1+TD and Murray 30+ rush yards, total odds 2.04

edit; fuck you Zimmer

Not looking peachy for 49ers

I KNOW, I KNOW.  Stop making it worse.

Kittle and Aiyuk cost me my perfect 4-0 record with 15.8 combined points, i can only imagine what it's like for the fantasy managers who had 49ers def with -2pts which is week 5 worst so far.  

[DireWolfM14]

It worked for Gruden, not for Zimmer, bro just fucking kick the field goal, you up 5 points with 2 minutes left SEA with only 1 timeout remaining, they gotta score and convert on a 2pt and you still in the game. I don't know i would never go for it, dumb way to lose the game imo.

I agree, bad call by Zimmer.  The announcers were talking about it too, saying that if there was a crowd in the stadium, Zimmer goes for the FG.  You have to hand it the Seagulls, though that was an awesome closing drive.  I found myself rooting for them despite them being division rivals.  Nothing but respect for Russel Wilson, and that catch by Metcalf, a thing of beauty.

[ralle14]

MNF starts in an hour. I went with the Chargers handicap (+7.5) since all of their losses were pretty close and it's hard to trust the Saints to cover after they've let me down against the Raiders last time. Imo this should be more of a close game since both teams are missing some of their players right?

[bbc.reporter]

The Bills will play on Tuesday night versus the Titans and they will also play versus the Chiefs on Thursday night? One of those games should be postponed, I reckon.

[wheelz1200]

Seems like Prescott is done for the season with a broken ankle, that looked horrible and I really feel bad for him Red Rifle is taking over for the Cowboys now, NFC East getting worse and worse.....

I watched that game end to end, what a terrible bunch of teams in the nfc east.  This year might be the worst division of all time.  I mean the eagles, washington, giants and cowboys (especially now).  Throw in the jets and ypu can argue those are the worst 5 teams in the league and 4 from one division.  Do we get to see a 6-10 team win the division and get a home field playoff game  

Just when you think things cannot get even worse for the NFC East they did, now the Jets are on another level and I could see them going 0-16, that is how bad they are, but the fact there is not a single good team on the NFC East should be worrying, one of those teams is going to be on the post-season and will get home field advantage, I really think such thing will lead to a change in the rules since it is likely that despite the additional playoff spot a good team will be left out of the playoffs.

Do you think we have seen the last of Dak on Dallas? The guy has no contract and is playing under the franchise tag, that kind of injury will take a lot of time to heal and maybe he is not going to be ready for the beginning of the next season and we will not know if he will ever be the same, are the Dallas Cowboys going to tag him again? Or if they offer him a contract is it going to be as good as what they offered on the off-season?

Dak was playing hardball and wanted a big contract and I find unlikely he is going to find that on Dallas and if Dalton plays good football then Dak becomes spendable, and while some were impressed by his numbers the truth is that a great deal of those numbers can be explained away by the opposite team having such a huge lead over the Cowboys they just played prevent defence allowing Dak to accumulate a lot of yards on the last quarter of those games.

The red rocket isn't going to be the next dallas quarterback even if he plays well.  Dak is their guy.  It should be a 6 month recovery from that injury.  There is no better option for Dallas i think so long as he comes back he will come back to a big deal.  If they tagged him again it would be for $40mil plus for the one season (i think upwards of $50mil).  Dalton isn't the answer here.