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Author Topic: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1)  (Read 237575 times)
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October 13, 2025, 11:57:27 PM
 #36841

PSG has been really consistent in the last five seasons this is a very big record that it will be difficult for other teams to come and break . It will take sometimes before any team can do something special like what PSG has done.  But this has gone to show the quality of French ligue 1 the standard and quality of the teams has really reduced because there has not been a good team that has really challenged PSG for the title race.


The seasons that Monaco and Lille won the league title they were really impressive and had great players, for any team to win the league anytime some soon such a team should invest in players which could be consistent because in terms of player investments the other teams has not done much.

Last season, PSG even managed to secure the trophy early before the season ended, which shows that there was no team in Ligue 1 strong enough to match them. Although overall the competition in Ligue 1 is not very competitive, PSG has proven that they are still capable of winning the Champions League trophy. I think PSG’s success last season has helped build a better narrative about Ligue 1.

Without wealthy investors acquiring other clubs, it seems difficult for other Ligue 1 contenders to build a squad as strong as PSG’s. The financial gap makes it increasingly easy for PSG to maintain its dominance over a long period of time. This season, nothing has changed, PSG is not only the favorite in Ligue 1, but also one of the top favorites in the Champions League.

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October 14, 2025, 04:26:32 AM
 #36842

But do you really believe that a team like Marseille can win the French championship? Paris Saint-Germain is a team that is clearly stronger than all the others and will be able to do a lot in this championship, not only in France but also in Europe. They will have no problems winning.

Let's have a look at the last 10 champions in the Ligue 1.

- PSG : 8 times

- Monaco : 1 time

- Lille : 1 time

This is enough data to prove how dominant PSG are in this league... Expecting a different champion is really difficult because of that. In those 2 years, I don't know how it happened but Monaco - Lille duo made it somehow.  Grin

Of course the chance of a title for other teams isn't 0% mathematically but really a low probability anyway.
Its more enough proof how PSG dominance in Ligue 1 last ten season since acquisition easily for PSG winning domestic league, huge financial difference with other Ligue 1 team participants its reason why the other team can't stop PSG dominance back to back for winning Ligue 1 trophy. Last 10 season only 2 season PSG loss dominance after Lille and AS Monaco winning the domestic league and last four season ago Lille won Ligue 1 and PSG have dominance almost four season in a row. Considering the Ligue 1 composition team, difficult for stopping PSG keep defend the Ligue 1 tittle this season although at the current standing have one point remaining with Marseille.

Not easily for other Ligue 1 team such as AS Monaco, Marseille or Lille become the winner have bad performance after second half season and always difficult for defeating PSG at crucial match. Only Marseille so far success defeating PSG at first half season match but its happening after PSG playing with not full team.


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October 14, 2025, 12:22:54 PM
 #36843

PSG have 16 points and a goal difference of 13-5, Strasbourg have 15 points and a goal difference of 14-7, statistically very close results. Therefore, 1.30 doesn't seem like a good return on the risk. But considering that PSG is much stronger on paper and playing a direct competitor could give them the motivation to show their best, I'd take PSG with a -1 handicap at odds of 1.81. So 1.30 is bad but 1.81 is good  Cool
It totally makes sense to go for the -1 handicap here. From what I’ve seen in the H2H, whenever PSG plays at home against Strasbourg, they usually win by a 2-goal margin. So I’m on board with taking that handicap option to get better odds that match the risk you’re taking.

But honestly, I’m curious, which bookmakers is offering -1 handicap odds at @1.80? I’ve checked a few places and the -1 handicap odds are only around @1.42.

Right now, I’m also thinking BTTS could be a good shout at odds @1.79.

Any bookmaker. You're talking about the Asian handicap, which is actually quoted at 1.42, while I'm talking about the regular handicap, which is quoted at 1.81. In my opinion, Asian handicap is an "option," so unless otherwise specified, it's just the standard one. Incidentally, I honestly don't understand the popularity of Asian handicap, it's sometimes annoying because there are odds for this type of betting, but not for the traditional one.

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October 14, 2025, 01:38:16 PM
 #36844

Ligue 1 is always full of surprises, even smaller teams can cause upsets early in the season. PSG stays the favorite, but clubs like Lille and Monaco often give strong value on odds. Checking form and player fitness before matches really helps. Who’s your pick for top 3 this season?

My top 3 for this season will be:

1 - PSG (will be champions)

2 - Olympique de Marseille (will finish second)

3 - Monaco (will finish third)

So far, Strasbourg has surprised me a lot because they're currently in third place. They've signed some young players. I don't know if they're playing because I haven't had time to watch a Strasbourg match against a Ligue 1 team. But I confess that I didn't expect that after seven Ligue 1 matches, they'd remain in third place. Maybe they'll finish in the European competition qualifying position. Lyon is also starting well; I believe they'll fight for European competition spots. Lille also has potential, but they've performed poorly in their last three matches.
I don’t see any other club in the french league one beating PSG to the French league cup this season and Marseille have been impressive too so far this season. Strasbourg have been impressive too but I doubt they will be able to stamd the test of time and remain at the top of the league till the end of the season.

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October 14, 2025, 01:45:47 PM
 #36845

As it stand now pSG is  the only strongest club in the French league which no team will be able to to challenge them for the title because they are the complete team in the league. Marseille seems to be the only one that hold them but not 100%, Last season they did very well and this season they are at it again. I don't think anytime soon a team will come out here from French League to claim the trophy out of psg's hand, this will only happen when one of the clubs got a lot of investment like PSG did to be the Champions all the time. Currently I don't see anything that can compete with PSG, they are in a free zone now.
French Lig 1 is a one team league unlike Spanish La Liga that is a two-team league and English Premiership that is a multi-team league. Like you said, no team can challenge PSG, not now and not in the near future and it is looking like none of the dear dare to try. So, at the beginning of the season, they already surrendered to PSG to win the title and I know this have been affecting PSG negatively in the aspect of making them weak to face stronger opponents when they play the champions league. I just hope that they have been able to break free from that limitation as they have finally won the champions league last season.

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October 14, 2025, 02:14:30 PM
 #36846


French Lig 1 is a one team league unlike Spanish La Liga that is a two-team league and English Premiership that is a multi-team league. Like you said, no team can challenge PSG, not now and not in the near future and it is looking like none of the dear dare to try. So, at the beginning of the season, they already surrendered to PSG to win the title and I know this have been affecting PSG negatively in the aspect of making them weak to face stronger opponents when they play the champions league. I just hope that they have been able to break free from that limitation as they have finally won the champions league last season.
This is why Premier League is the best League in the world because for anyone to predict the Premier League winner seem very difficult to do so unlike the two leagues you mentioned, their prediction is very easy to do because they act like a constant k. I easily find it easy to support a team from Ligue 1 because normally I support a team that is trying and the only team that have that capacity in the French League PSG. PSG has been the dominated team in the French League for almost two decades now and i haven't noticed any sign of the decline from their performance rather they continue to grow and grow beyond our expectation. They really prove to be among the top teams all over the world by winning the champions League trophy which was there target for a very long time.

R


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October 14, 2025, 02:19:06 PM
 #36847

So, at the beginning of the season, they already surrendered to PSG to win the title and I know this have been affecting PSG negatively in the aspect of making them weak to face stronger opponents when they play the champions league. I just hope that they have been able to break free from that limitation as they have finally won the champions league last season.

If you look at Transfermarkt, you can see how well the PSG squad is valued. They are far superior to other teams. This means that with strong financial strength, PSG has become a wealthy team with many quality players, so I don't think their league dominance is too surprising.
Then, Enrique's arrival was like a strong breeze in the hot summer, cooling the team. He managed to create a panacea for PSG, as we see today. They won the Champions League after decades. I believe this trend will continue, and PSG will continue to dominate.

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October 14, 2025, 04:03:13 PM
 #36848


French Lig 1 is a one team league unlike Spanish La Liga that is a two-team league and English Premiership that is a multi-team league. Like you said, no team can challenge PSG, not now and not in the near future and it is looking like none of the dear dare to try. So, at the beginning of the season, they already surrendered to PSG to win the title and I know this have been affecting PSG negatively in the aspect of making them weak to face stronger opponents when they play the champions league. I just hope that they have been able to break free from that limitation as they have finally won the champions league last season.
This is why Premier League is the best League in the world because for anyone to predict the Premier League winner seem very difficult to do so unlike the two leagues you mentioned, their prediction is very easy to do because they act like a constant k.
According to what source? I don't buy that idea my dear because it is not supported by data. In the last FIFA ballon d'or award, most of the awards were won by people in Spanish La Liga and players in English Premier League were rarely in the major award categories. If we use available data and without attaching emotions, it will be hard to say that the English Premiership is the best league in the world. Even if we go on the basis of no single team dominating the league, then we should be talking about Italian Serie A where it is not always easy for a team to win the league consecutively.



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October 14, 2025, 04:56:36 PM
 #36849

No, I disagree if you think Strasbourg could try to pull off a surprise.
Now think again which Ligue 1 club is capable of beating Paris Saint-Germain at home???
To date, no club has prevented PSG from winning at home, and for PSG, playing at home is like a reputation they must uphold, and no club will try to hold or beat Paris Saint-Germain.
That's more or less likely for PSG because, considering the quality of the players in other Ligue 1 teams besides PSG, it's certainly very difficult for any other team to beat PSG, especially if it were to happen at PSG's home ground. This will obviously be hard for many to believe, because PSG will still play well in front of their own fans and won't let their fans down after losing at home to a lesser Ligue 1 team like Strasbourg. Other teams will have to rely on a much greater degree of luck if they want to beat PSG at any given moment.
As it stand now pSG is  the only strongest club in the French league which no team will be able to to challenge them for the title because they are the complete team in the league. Marseille seems to be the only one that hold them but not 100%, Last season they did very well and this season they are at it again. I don't think anytime soon a team will come out here from French League to claim the trophy out of psg's hand, this will only happen when one of the clubs got a lot of investment like PSG did to be the Champions all the time. Currently I don't see anything that can compete with PSG, they are in a free zone now.
There is no doubt that PSG is the strongest team in Ligue 1 and it is not possible for any team to surpass them and maintain the top position of the points table until the end of the season. Marseille temporarily surpassed PSG to the top of the points table but in the next match PSG confirmed the top position of the points table again, which means that PSG has a kind of kingdom in Ligue 1 and they are the only kings of this kingdom. Despite the injury problems of most of PSG's players this season, their performance will be normal in the French league and it will be seen that they will win the league title with a few matches left.
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October 14, 2025, 05:13:45 PM
 #36850

But do you really believe that a team like Marseille can win the French championship? Paris Saint-Germain is a team that is clearly stronger than all the others and will be able to do a lot in this championship, not only in France but also in Europe. They will have no problems winning.

Let's have a look at the last 10 champions in the Ligue 1.

- PSG : 8 times

- Monaco : 1 time

- Lille : 1 time

This is enough data to prove how dominant PSG are in this league... Expecting a different champion is really difficult because of that. In those 2 years, I don't know how it happened but Monaco - Lille duo made it somehow.  Grin

Of course the chance of a title for other teams isn't 0% mathematically but really a low probability anyway.
For more than a decade now PSG are always favorites in winning the league every year, they are very dominant each season, they keep bringing in more quality and that one reason why they still remain at the very top.

This season they are favorite, they have the quality to still win it and I believe they would. When you look at other teams challenging them for the title you will see that they lack qualities compared to what PSG have.

It always good to see the such competition in the league, it makes the league more competitive and interesting. Though PSG have a higher percentage to win the league but I think it won’t come easy.

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October 14, 2025, 06:08:01 PM
 #36851


French Lig 1 is a one team league unlike Spanish La Liga that is a two-team league and English Premiership that is a multi-team league. Like you said, no team can challenge PSG, not now and not in the near future and it is looking like none of the dear dare to try. So, at the beginning of the season, they already surrendered to PSG to win the title and I know this have been affecting PSG negatively in the aspect of making them weak to face stronger opponents when they play the champions league. I just hope that they have been able to break free from that limitation as they have finally won the champions league last season.
This is why Premier League is the best League in the world because for anyone to predict the Premier League winner seem very difficult to do so unlike the two leagues you mentioned, their prediction is very easy to do because they act like a constant k.
According to what source? I don't buy that idea my dear because it is not supported by data. In the last FIFA ballon d'or award, most of the awards were won by people in Spanish La Liga and players in English Premier League were rarely in the major award categories. If we use available data and without attaching emotions, it will be hard to say that the English Premiership is the best league in the world. Even if we go on the basis of no single team dominating the league, then we should be talking about Italian Serie A where it is not always easy for a team to win the league consecutively.
Actually you'll be happy that I can't be able to answer this question, but know, I'm not a kind of person that talks without fact. Spanish league will have the opportunity of winning all their awards but that doesn't mean they are the best League in the world. I also believe that Spanish league is two teams league the reason why I said that if it is not Barcelona it will be Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid only comes in once in every 5 Seasons.

So as regard to the source you asked for you can check HERE, even Italian Serie A came before Spanish league.

R


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October 14, 2025, 06:17:28 PM
 #36852

Snip
French Lig 1 is a one team league unlike Spanish La Liga that is a two-team league and English Premiership that is a multi-team league. Like you said, no team can challenge PSG, not now and not in the near future and it is looking like none of the dear dare to try. So, at the beginning of the season, they already surrendered to PSG to win the title and I know this have been affecting PSG negatively in the aspect of making them weak to face stronger opponents when they play the champions league. I just hope that they have been able to break free from that limitation as they have finally won the champions league last season.
Even though French ligue 1 is a one way traffic league. I think that, the quality of the league is good because what is used in measuring the quality of a team is known by how good the teams from a particular league fare in the champions League.and last season PSG was fantastic as they win all the teams from these leagues that you mentioned.


What is happening in the French ligue is that most of the teams are not challenging PSG and this is why PSG is always having an edge over the other teams.because PSG has been investing in their team.



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October 14, 2025, 08:52:11 PM
 #36853

I agree with you that Paris Saint Germaine usually struggles at the beginning of the season in the French league before they'll finally return to the peak of their form. It usually leaves the impression that they'll probably not retain the title again but at the end, you'll still see them going all the way to win it.
Marseille have unarguably been the best performing team in the league this campaign but do they have all it takes to remain that consistent till the end of the season? I strongly don't doubt. In as much as I'll want to see a new winner other than PSG, I doubt that PSG with the current squad and manager will fail to win the league this season.

Exactly, my friend, PSG is like this right now thanks to Luis Enrique, who has done his job very well, and part of his success is the team he himself proposed and asked the Sheikh to form. Furthermore, in the UCL, the performance he put in against Barcelona was on another level, so given these things, I also doubt that PSG will be crowned.

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October 14, 2025, 09:14:11 PM
 #36854

The opening game of matchday 8 on Fri could be pretty interesting. PSG are hosting Strasbourg and the distance between these 2 teams is only 1 point. Of course, PSG are the favourite, but I think Strasbourg is more than capable of fighting for the win, even despite PSG's home advantage.
In their last game, Strasbourg demolished Angers 5-0, whereas PSG had to satisfy themselves with only one point against Lille.
If PSG loses points, and Marseille defeats Le Havre (as they are expected to), we're going to see a change of the table leader, which surely would make things much more interesting.

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October 14, 2025, 09:48:15 PM
 #36855

Yes I agree! PSG are the top team in the league as things stand but Strasbourg have also been impressive so far this season and holding the third position spot on the table. I also believe they will put up a good fight against PSG which could go either ways. However PSG are still favourites to win this game but we will see what Strasbourg can do.


PSG is undoubtedly ahead in head-to-head statistics. PSG has won 9 of the last 14 head-to-head matches and Strasbourg has won only one. But the interesting thing is that Strasbourg won the last match they played against PSG. Strasbourg is in very good form this season too. They have won 5 of the 7 matches. They are in third place in the table. If they can win against PSG, Strasbourg will be able to occupy the top spot in the table. So both teams will try their best to win. This is going to be one of the most competitive matches in Ligue 1.
This look like one of those games where we can say PSG has the upper hand and will most likely win against all odds but strasbourg is not such a weak team and so they are very likely to be of a tough contender against PSG, anyways I just want to see an enjoyable game since we know already that the dominance has always been a PSG thing and so the best soe should win.

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October 15, 2025, 01:23:41 AM
 #36856

This look like one of those games where we can say PSG has the upper hand and will most likely win against all odds but strasbourg is not such a weak team and so they are very likely to be of a tough contender against PSG, anyways I just want to see an enjoyable game since we know already that the dominance has always been a PSG thing and so the best soe should win.
There's always a chance if Strasbourg plays well and can at least hold PSG to a draw, they're already much better. Everyone wants to see exciting matches in Ligue 1, which makes for a more interesting competition. Strasbourg beat Marseille, who also beat PSG, and if they can play better, there's always hope for more. Strasbourg has been consistent, having only lost two matches so far, and I think this match will make it a bit difficult for PSG to get all three points.

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October 15, 2025, 05:55:35 AM
 #36857

This look like one of those games where we can say PSG has the upper hand and will most likely win against all odds but strasbourg is not such a weak team and so they are very likely to be of a tough contender against PSG, anyways I just want to see an enjoyable game since we know already that the dominance has always been a PSG thing and so the best soe should win.
Strasbourg should not be underestimated in any case, remember they won PSG in their last meeting. This is a club that's covered with low esteem but they managed to bounce back and winning games with ease efforts. Paris Saint-Germain are topping the Ligue One table with good points. PSG stats this season, 5W 1D 1L and this is probably stable for an elite team like PSG. Luis Enrique wouldn't be sober if his team is mounted with pressure, he fixed the club and they're already for the big games.

The dominance of PSG is also a good one, knowing how they're able to pull stunts and win games is forever surprising. PSG is not a weak team neither is Strasbourg, bothsides will fight for their winning points this weekend.

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October 15, 2025, 06:15:51 AM
 #36858

The opening game of matchday 8 on Fri could be pretty interesting. PSG are hosting Strasbourg and the distance between these 2 teams is only 1 point. Of course, PSG are the favourite, but I think Strasbourg is more than capable of fighting for the win, even despite PSG's home advantage.
In their last game, Strasbourg demolished Angers 5-0, whereas PSG had to satisfy themselves with only one point against Lille.
If PSG loses points, and Marseille defeats Le Havre (as they are expected to), we're going to see a change of the table leader, which surely would make things much more interesting.

If Strasbourg beat Paris Saint-Germain, it could make Ligue 1 even more interesting & I think the majority of people expect that to happen.


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Look at the odds currently on the market, they're truly lopsided. Paris Saint-Germain has @1,29 odds, while Strasbourg has @9,6 odds. With those odds, can we really believe Strasbourg can even hold Paris Saint-Germain to a draw? seems a little impossible.

R


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pewboy
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October 15, 2025, 12:09:08 PM
 #36859

There's always a chance if Strasbourg plays well and can at least hold PSG to a draw, they're already much better. Everyone wants to see exciting matches in Ligue 1, which makes for a more interesting competition. Strasbourg beat Marseille, who also beat PSG, and if they can play better, there's always hope for more. Strasbourg has been consistent, having only lost two matches so far, and I think this match will make it a bit difficult for PSG to get all three points.

If Strasbourg pushes, it could really give PSG a hard time, it wouldn't be the first time that a small team has tripped up a "big" team.
It doesn't mean anything that they beat Marseille who in turn beat PSG, each match is different from the other, as always the result depends on the physical and mental state of the players. I just hope it a fun.

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October 15, 2025, 04:51:55 PM
 #36860

Yes I agree! PSG are the top team in the league as things stand but Strasbourg have also been impressive so far this season and holding the third position spot on the table. I also believe they will put up a good fight against PSG which could go either ways. However PSG are still favourites to win this game but we will see what Strasbourg can do.


PSG is undoubtedly ahead in head-to-head statistics. PSG has won 9 of the last 14 head-to-head matches and Strasbourg has won only one. But the interesting thing is that Strasbourg won the last match they played against PSG. Strasbourg is in very good form this season too. They have won 5 of the 7 matches. They are in third place in the table. If they can win against PSG, Strasbourg will be able to occupy the top spot in the table. So both teams will try their best to win. This is going to be one of the most competitive matches in Ligue 1.
This look like one of those games where we can say PSG has the upper hand and will most likely win against all odds but strasbourg is not such a weak team and so they are very likely to be of a tough contender against PSG, anyways I just want to see an enjoyable game since we know already that the dominance has always been a PSG thing and so the best soe should win.

Although PSG appears to be superior to Strasbourg, PSG cannot underestimate them. The available odds show PSG's superiority, where they have a very high potential to win compared to Strasbourg. However we can see that Strasbourg is only slightly behind PSG in terms of points which means they are a tough opponent for PSG. I personally predict that PSG will face some difficulties in this upcoming match, where PSG will try to maintain their position at the top of the standings by adding points in this match. So I'm a little doubtful about PSG's performance in this unpredictable match. Moreover I see that PSG has appeared less confident in some of their away matches. I personally still have to see their performance in the first half or even need to see their starting lineup. So I can make a more accurate prediction.

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