⚽ Polish League - Ekstraklasa Prediction & Discussion Thread ⚽

jagiellonia is well on its way to securing the polish championship this year!
thanks to a clear 6-0 win against promoted łks łódz and śląsk wrocław's 2-2 draw at piast gliwice, the lead is now 4 points.
another promoted team could now leave the relegation places - thanks to the 1-1 against radomiak, puszcza now occupy 15th place with 25 points

there was a draw and a home win at the start of the 27th matchday yesterday
the points were shared yesterday in the game between cracovia and łks łódz (2-2) and the defeat of the polish champions raków (1-2 at radomiak) means that the club can now say goodbye to the championship fight this season

Quote from: cygan on April 03, 2024, 04:26:26 PM

jagiellonia is well on its way to securing the polish championship this year!
(...)

Still quite a long way to go with 8 games left till the end of the season and with few tough games left to play, including an away match against Legia, which is a 50% favourite (Jagiellonia estimated chances of a win are only 24%).
But if they don't waste that advantage and manage to drive it till the end, this would be the first time Jagiellonia will reach for the title despite the club being over 100 years old (established in 1920).

Quote from: pawel7777 on April 06, 2024, 11:27:32 AM

✂️
this would be the first time Jagiellonia will reach for the title despite the club being over 100 years old (established in 1920).

that would be very desirable on my part.
then, after raków became polish champions for the first time in the club's history last year, we would now have another club with jagiellonia, who would also hold this trophy in their hands for the first time in their club's history

the 27th matchday ended yesterday with a 2-1 away win for górnik zabrze at zagłebie lubin.
the top match legia vs. jagiellonia, which took place on sunday, ended 1-1 and since śląsk wrocław won their home match against warta poznań 2-1, the lead is now only 2 points
there have also been changes in the relegation places, with korona kielce and puszcza swapping places again

the 28th matchday started yesterday with 2 home wins each.
warta poznań celebrated an important 1-0 win against korona kielce in front of a home crowd and pogoń szczecin outclassed promoted ruch chorzów 5-0 at home

there was a surprise on matchday 28, with top-of-the-table jagiellonia losing 1-3 at home vs. cracovia
śląsk wrocław were unable to take advantage of this and also lost their game at górnik zabrze 0-2
puszcza surprisingly won 2-1 at home against lech poznań and the top match between raków and legia ended 1-1. this is what the table looks like after this matchday:

at the start of matchday 29, korona kielce celebrated a very important home win yesterday. with a clear 4-0 victory against radomiak, the club picked up 3 important points against relegation.
and the polish champions can now finally say goodbye to the title race - raków lost their home game 0-1 against górnik zabrze yesterday

the 29th matchday ended yesterday with a 5-2 home win for warta poznań against stal mielec. the important victory means that wait is now 4 points ahead of 16th place in the table.
but the clubs puszcza and korona kielce were also able to pick up 3 important points against relegation with their victories - in any case, it remains very exciting at the bottom.
at the top of the table, jagiellonia now have a 4-point lead over śląsk wrocław and lech poznań again

the following results were announced yesterday at the start of the 30th matchday:
piast gliwice celebrated a 2-0 home win against warta poznań and are now temporarily in the middle of the table with 38 points.
table leaders jagiellonia were held to a 2-2 draw at home to pogoń szczecin yesterday. as a result, the two clubs śląsk wrocław and lech poznań now have the chance to close the gap on the leaders to 2 points

unfortunately, śląsk wrocław and lech poznań were unable to take advantage of the opportunity to catch up with jagiellonia.
śląsk even lost surprisingly at home to promoted ruch chorzów 2-3 and lech poznań drew goalless at home to cracovia
you can see all the other results from matchday 30 and the table below:

two favorites lost ground at the start of the 31st matchday yesterday...
górnik zabrze went down 0-5 at cracovia and lech poznań surprisingly lost 1-2 at promoted club ruch chorzów.
so today jagiellonia (away at stal mielec) have another chance to take another big step towards their first polish championship

and jagiellonia also failed to seize the opportunity and lost 2-3 away at stal mielec on matchday 31...
the big winner of the matchday was śląsk wrocław, who can now close the gap on jagiellonia to 2 points thanks to a 2-1 away win at łks łódz - it seems that some clubs are now getting nervous and don't want to be polish champions Wink

yesterday the start of matchday #32 begins with two 4-0 home wins.
In the first game piast gliwice defeated łks łódz and in the second game there was also no chance for cracovia in the away game in wrocław

after the 32nd matchday, ruch chorzów are the second of three relegated teams. due to the victory of puszcza (1-0 against warta poznań), the club no longer has a chance of saving 15th place in the table
and the polish championship will now be decided between jagiellonia and śląsk wrocław - both clubs are still separated by 2 points with 2 games to go

Quote from: cygan on May 14, 2024, 11:12:27 AM

It's also going to be hard for Korona Kielce to escape relegation. They're currently in the 16th place and are 4 points behind Puszcza and Cracovia. They are the favourite to win their next game against Ruch Chorzów, since Ruch is considered weaker and has nothing left to play for. But their final game is an away match against Lech, who still has a chance for the 3rd place (giving them a spot in the European Conference League qualifiers), so they'll be super-motivated. It'll be really hard for Korona to earn any points there. And both, Lech and Korona tend to perform much better at home.

due to jagiellonia's draw (1-1 at piast gliwice) and śląsk wrocław's 2-0 home win against radomiak, there will now be a showdown for the polish championship on the last matchday - both clubs have 60 points...
a third relegated team is also still being sought - korona kielce, warta poznań and puszcza are among the candidates

Quote from: cygan on May 21, 2024, 02:54:46 PM

a third relegated team is also still being sought - korona kielce, warta poznań and puszcza are among the candidates

Warta is in a tough spot, they couldn't imagine any worse game to play in the final round than an away match against a highly motivated leader of the table fighting for the title.
They are currently outside of the relegation zone and the 16th Korona also has a hard game to play against Lech, but I don't think Lech has much left to play for (other than just for keeping their 4th place). There's a risk that Lech might do Korona a favour and let them win, although I don't think their fans would appreciate that.

And correct me if I'm wrong but I think Radomiak is also not yet safe from relegation.