jeremypwr (OP)
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March 19, 2021, 07:45:43 PM |
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Maybe the market just got full up, guess more people heard about it now. it probably has a limited number of available slots These are both reasons as to why I think it was gone sooner than later. Also note that it was made available 4 hours before kick off this time; rather than the standard 2 hours. Steve's been really busy lately but I'm sure he'll be able to give a better explanation. In any event, if the Blackjack hits tonight, I'll split my winnings with anyone active who missed the cut off.
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 19, 2021, 08:51:31 PM |
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HALF TIME
FULHAM vs LEEDS
Goals: 2 Cards: 1 Corners: 6
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Trofo
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March 19, 2021, 09:04:15 PM |
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Maybe the market just got full up, guess more people heard about it now. it probably has a limited number of available slots These are both reasons as to why I think it was gone sooner than later. Also note that it was made available 4 hours before kick off this time; rather than the standard 2 hours. I am quite sure the reason is wrong time. This promo gets available 2 hours before the game. Someone made it available 4 hours before probably because they thought the game should start at earlier time. I have a feeling we are either winning this one or loosing the bet for first time. First half total is 9 which is quite high, usually second half has much more action then first so keeping fingers crossed.
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arallmuus
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March 19, 2021, 09:28:32 PM Last edit: March 19, 2021, 09:43:24 PM by arallmuus |
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Im just wondering, why are yours at 20.79 instead of exactly 21 btw? I have a feeling we are either winning this one or loosing the bet for first time. First half total is 9 which is quite high, usually second half has much more action then first so keeping fingers crossed.
This match is definitely the moment of truth. Its getting close and I have never been this anxious when I bet on a match that has two mediocre teams playing against each another Current stats at 67th minutes
Goals : 3 Cards : 2 Corners : 13
3 more until we hit exactly 21 but at this rate Im almost certain that it might be over 21 as there are almost corners like every 5 minutes or so in this match. Yep we lost , its 23 total right now at 82th minutes
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icopress
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light_warrior ... 🕯️
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March 19, 2021, 10:03:51 PM |
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3 more until we hit exactly 21 but at this rate Im almost certain that it might be over 21 as there are almost corners like every 5 minutes or so in this match. [/s] Yep we lost , its 23 total right now at 82th minutes
Perhaps I will also join your gang in the near future as I have been lacking poker adrenaline lately. I would like to propose to do some sort of schedule of games that are subject to the "Blackjack" rule, maybe this will allow more people to join. Judging by the analysis of DS_, the odds of winning and losing are not very different from each other, so this is more like betting on even & odd numbers, (aside from 252 safe chances).
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LFC_Bitcoin
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March 19, 2021, 10:11:21 PM |
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FULL TIME
FULHAM 1-2 LEEDS
Goals: 3 Cards: 4 Corners: 20
Total of 27 & it’s a bust.
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DarkStar_
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March 19, 2021, 11:59:56 PM |
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I guess I should be happy I accidentally missed today's offering Hopefully the next one goes a bit better! P.S. I've been trying out a Telegram bot that notifies almost instantly when this thread is updated (with the actual post msg too so I can read it even without being on forum. Actually came across it while looking for a solution just because of this promo =D Can DM you if you want.
That would be appreciated! Thanks
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taking a break - expect delayed responses
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buwaytress
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March 20, 2021, 09:18:30 AM |
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^ DM sent!
And yeah, I busted, I actually only stayed till half time to watch, and as posted by LFC and mentioned by Trofo, I thought we were for sure going to hit or bust -- 9 points in first half, and 0 corners by Leeds at the time? Something had to give.
Hope no one lost too much? I still think the market closed early yesterday because they took all the bets they could risk =D
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kryptqnick
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March 20, 2021, 11:32:16 AM |
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Whew, I'm with DarkStar_ here for being very lucky that I've missed this one because I intended to increase the bet amount this time, given how low the chance to lose the bet is. I'm sure the next one will be better, and I do hope I won't miss it, but in the meantime I'm betting on another daily special: Bayern, Dortmund & Frankfurt All To Win. Looking at the odds, they are all indeed very likely to win in their matches, and the combined odds of 3.8 are quite attractive. And since my previous similar bet (PSG, Sevilla & Bayern Munich All To Win) was a win, I feel encouraged to do it once again.
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tomahawk9
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March 20, 2021, 06:15:21 PM |
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boltz
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March 20, 2021, 07:26:56 PM |
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Ok. I'm new to this kind of betting and I'm amazed by how big the odds are just because the combo itself seems something that most of us are betting with bet by bet. So let me understand it better. We have a game that is half an hour from starting and we have the follow: Combined Goals, Cards & Corners To Be Exactly 21 (Money Back If Under 21, Bet Loses If Over 21. Straight Red is 1 card, max 2 cards per player) ( NEWCASTLE VS BRIGHTON ) Now, the only way to win this is to hit a blackjack by numbers with corners , yellow cards and goals which is a crazy combination as you can have 12 corners in this game easily , maybe 3 goals and then you hope for a lot of yellow cards for a total of 21 odd. I will play it just because I like the odds and it's seems to be a game that is hard to read so anything can happen.
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ralle14
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Metawin.com
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March 20, 2021, 07:36:57 PM |
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Locked my ticket in, ready to go Now, the only way to win this is to hit a blackjack by numbers with corners , yellow cards and goals which is a crazy combination as you can have 12 corners in this game easily , maybe 3 goals and then you hope for a lot of yellow cards for a total of 21 odd. I will play it just because I like the odds and it's seems to be a game that is hard to read so anything can happen.
On top of that if the total goes below 21 we get our bets back again so it's a great bet to take.
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arallmuus
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March 20, 2021, 07:48:19 PM |
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Judging by the analysis of DS_, the odds of winning and losing are not very different from each other, so this is more like betting on even & odd numbers, (aside from 252 safe chances).
Well its different because if you win then you win 21x of your wager and if you lose then you just lose your wager. So according to DS' post, 12 matches ended exactly at 21 which means if you bet on all of those matches you will get 230x of your wager provided if you bet with the same wager for all those matches ( or am I missing something here ? ) cmiiw Whew, I'm with DarkStar_ here for being very lucky that I've missed this one because I intended to increase the bet amount this time
The fact is that yesterday was my first time betting in this special bet and I was betting with 0.5 mbtc because I thought it should be another safe / push bet and higher stakes give alot more points for the clubhouse achievement so yeah lesson learnt lol Locked my ticket in, ready to go Locked mine as well. Lesson Learn so Im going with a smaller amount just for the sake of fun this time lol
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buwaytress
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March 20, 2021, 08:20:06 PM |
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Assuming my data was correct, out of the 286 EPL games played so far in this season: 252 ended below 21 12 ended at exactly 21 22 ended above 21 (out of those, only 8 were above 22) These were the matches where the bet would have paid: Something like this is definitely going to be pretty high variance, but I think it's pretty clear that it's an insanely good promotion This is awesome work DS, woulda thrown a few ms your way except I ran amok with my few yesterday or some. Started putting together something that would help me work out something else but I added a new column now for the total points and will share soon when it's done. As you said, a bit annoying to get something easy for free but anyway, damn, really really good promotion so far, and it really suits my style of going for the big win and losing many along the way. I'll update and share this speadsheet again. Only 2 matchdays in there, and the very first 21 hit on Matchday 1! If anyone wants edit access, happy to give;) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/134OoWtbdXtpABdFzIdmCGpk0Ol17Eoa1kjbEMjcNINE/edit?usp=sharing
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jeremypwr (OP)
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buwaytress
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March 21, 2021, 06:11:57 PM Last edit: March 21, 2021, 06:52:24 PM by buwaytress Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2) |
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^ I'm checking often now but still not seeing it, probably going to be limited market as well so want to shoot it in while open;) edit: it's here! Edit: just realised it's for the Barca game, but I don't mind. Expect cards galore my friends! https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/3a8b1452-0112-416c-bdbc-86f514c05d7aStill "reeling" from that Arsenal game, and feeling a bit "let down" they actually came back from 3 goals down but just couldn't find enough in the reserves to push for all 3 points. Hope Spurs/Villa is another goalfest really! We're getting some keen away wins from underdogs tonight across Europe (Mainz, Benevento, Nimes), not quite happening for a lot of people this week (except Citeh).
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DireWolfM14
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March 21, 2021, 07:45:01 PM |
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TwitchySeal
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March 22, 2021, 03:28:07 AM |
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Assuming my data was correct, out of the 286 EPL games played so far in this season: 252 ended below 21 12 ended at exactly 21 22 ended above 21 (out of those, only 8 were above 22) These were the matches where the bet would have paid: Something like this is definitely going to be pretty high variance, but I think it's pretty clear that it's an insanely good promotion Jeez. Get it while it lasts!
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jeremypwr (OP)
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March 22, 2021, 02:34:03 PM Last edit: March 22, 2021, 04:05:35 PM by jeremypwr Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (1) |
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Jeez. Get it while it lasts! You're not kidding. Last night's results: Push with a 14 Barca 6-1 Cards: 5 Corners: 2 I've received word that there won't be a Blackjack Football Frenzy tonight so look out for tomorrow's match. If someone can try to post it when it goes LIVE tomorrow, we'd all appreciate it
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slaman29
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March 22, 2021, 03:12:12 PM |
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I've received word that there won't be a Blackjack Football Frenzy tonight so look out for tomorrow's match. If someone can try to post it when it goes LIVE tomorrow, we'd all appreciate it I took only 2 or 3 of these bets, and actually lost quite big on the Leeds game but the stats show it, there's a LOT to be gained in terms of value from this special. I think we'll all keep an eye on the specials, I know I always check two things now on Sportsbet: the specials and the Rewards (super boosts). Very nice to see that it's not restricted to EPL though. If last night had a more "normal" corner count we could have had a Blackjack;)
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