UFC Fight Night & Main Event: Sportsbet.io Predictions & discussion

[rdbase]

Long shot and going against the odds is what betting is all about. Because as we all already know the favorites can't win all the time and eventually lose.
Unless your Nurmagomedov.
Didn't know Hooker was going against his little brother or I would of thought about this match more then all the 5 second I actually did saying it will last ast 2.5 rounds. Ah well, need to do more research on these main bouts from now on.

Anyways, ON TO THE NEXT UFC EVENT 268!
This one is going to be one of the best we have seen with three title shots for the championship belts mens and womens all in one night.
Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-268-usman-vs-covington-2/matches

There is a Multimaster challenge available to put in your predictions so to win some prizes here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5369087.0

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[leea-1334]

Long shot and going against the odds is what betting is all about. Because as we all already know the favorites can't win all the time and eventually lose.
Unless your Nurmagomedov.
Didn't know Hooker was going against his little brother or I would of thought about this match more then all the 5 second I actually did saying it will last ast 2.5 rounds. Ah well, need to do more research on these main bouts from now on.

Anyways, ON TO THE NEXT UFC EVENT 268!
This one is going to be one of the best we have seen with three title shots for the championship belts mens and womens all in one night.

Hooker was going on his little brother?? How is it they have different names and even I did not come across any of that mention? Or did you mean only "metaphysically"  

Anyway tell me what your big research ends up for the three big games. I want to put a parlay with boost on biggest odds,,, to try and change my luck from football for a while.

[rdbase]

^^
No. It was Nurmagomedov's brother Islam who beat him in the ring.
So guess who he got all his coaching and techniques from before each fight.
This guy was a killer in the Octagon before he retired last year.

As for the so called research, it is usually a gut instinct on how you think the night will go.
For this one I will go with: Namajunas, Edgar, and Quarantillo.
Same as what I have seen buwaytress also selected on his picks for the UFC main cards.
But I will back Gaethje instead of Chandler. As for the Main Event, I won't bet an Usman since betting straight on him garners no value same with Gaethje.

The funniest part of the press conference yesterday

https://twitter.com/btsportufc/status/1456563153790291969

Check out Colby's colorful jacket just as his mouth during this video clip.

[buwaytress]

Oh nice thanks for the heads up on prediction threads, always nice to check out the promos from SB to see there are 2 or 3 to predict in a row

I'm not martingaling anymore for this round, too many matches to pick from! But from the 5 biggest fights, I've picked every single underdog (heavy or marginally so as per odds). Usman's got a lot going for him, doesn't he? A little taller, a little heavier, but his long ass arms probably what my pick Covington has to watch out for. I always like people coming back for revenge, and even if this goes all the way, I'd like to think Chaos will make Usman pay dearly.

[buwaytress]

So football went pretty okay for me so I topped up a few of my bets and only Rose took me home last night. Bummah.

As for the Main Event, I won't bet an Usman since betting straight on him garners no value same with Gaethje.

Belated comment but yeah, maybe in football 1.2 or 1.3 I sometimes tag in on to an acca if I want a really nice boost on a game I know is won with a high certainty, usually when the opponent has a probably lineup that's set to try and attack on a super-offensive team.

But when it comes to UFC/MMA, I really can't see much value in 13/10 or 14/10 as it doesn't seem clear to me who'll win. Definitely feels like "upsets" happen much more often in individual sports than team ones. Reflected in the tight margins I think.

[rdbase]

It was a really good UFC with the favorites in the main card winning their matches, even though Thug Rose was considered the underdog while being the champion offered by most bookies was sort of weird to see. I had here while she was 2.08x odds but seen it rise as high @2.11x. It fluctuated through the day but never dipped below 2.00x so that was a pure value bet all day long. And glad you jumped on it @buwaytress!
Periera was the only one I believe that got a K.O and had their match end early out of all the main cards.
It was an amazing knockout win in the 2nd round and was disappointed it was only 1.66x odds to predict which round the K.O would occur.
So with his UFC debut and the only guy to knock out his kickboxing adversary Adesanya there he came to the UFC to come after his belt.
And from what everybody saw I think he will have a chance very soon.

Usman was of course Usman winning the fight but surprised he didn't knock him out (it was so close in the second round) for all the harassing about his father from Covington just before the fight during the conference.
Chandler losing the Gaethje was also a no-brainer but of course a no value bet in that if you didn't have some major amount on them to win.
Overall it was a decent UFC with no complaints.

The real funny moment was one fighter giving his opponent a round house kick knocking him out and then flipping and landing on his bottom.
Just like Kung-fu panda would do.
Now that was a highlight moment. The one who he was fighting even got a good laugh out of it, giving him a high five on getting the win in such a strange way like that because these were heavyset guys.

[rdbase]

Next UFC event is going on this weekend with fight night in Vegas 43 Vieira vs Tate!

Bets can be made here on each of the matches for this:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-fight-night-vieira-vs-tate/matches

There is a challenge that is up so go there to enter in. It is free to do so and you can win prizes. So why not follow the link below:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5371687.0

[rdbase]

Vegas 43 was a successful one for the bettors I would say.
Almost all the favorites won in the prelims and the main cards were quite evenly matched and went to the distance.
Vieira managed to handle Tate quite convincingly in the full 5 rounds of their main event.
As you could see both fighters after the fight who took the majority of the damage. Miesha's left eye was swelled shut for most of the final round.
The only fighters I didn't pick to win their matches were Levy, Pinheiro and Durden.
Which I should of as they were the favorites but I usually pick a couple of the underdogs to win because we all know there are always upsets in the UFC tournaments.

Looking forward to see the Nunes and Oliveira fights in the next UFC 269 event.
As there is another cancelled fight which was going to happen during this week on the December 5th card.
https://mmajunkie.usatoday.com/2021/11/ufc-269-video-breakdown-opinion-analysis-what-next-leon-edwards-vs-jorge-masvidal
I do smell an upset with the main event as another site has it all explained here:
https://www.mmamania.com/2021/11/19/22791294/miesha-tate-believes-pena-can-beat-nunes-at-ufc-269-she-definitely-has-the-best-chance-mma-espn

[rdbase]

A video on youtube to watch to get hyped about the Oliveira fight.
UFC 269: Oliveira Vs Poirier | The Belt Is Going To Be Mine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n7LU0dkVgPo
courtesy of: KaiFilms | Extended Promo

[buwaytress]

I'm staying out of this betting until closer to Dec 12. Taking a break and holding on to winnings until Football grinds me down again. Oliviera's my type of fighter though. Quiet, as he says, (they say too quiet?) so lacking on the drama but not on the ring action. Sort of jaded with all the pre-fight hype, if you ask me. And 23/10 odds means he's probably my pick if he makes it on my betslip come the time.

Shame we have to wait so long!

[Welsh]

I'm staying out of this betting until closer to Dec 12. Taking a break and holding on to winnings until Football grinds me down again. Oliviera's my type of fighter though. Quiet, as he says, (they say too quiet?) so lacking on the drama but not on the ring action. Sort of jaded with all the pre-fight hype, if you ask me. And 23/10 odds means he's probably my pick if he makes it on my betslip come the time.

Yeah, I'm doing the same saving my money for the 12th of December which probably has some of the best fights of this year, at least on paper. Hopefully, they deliver as I much rather see myself losing money when there's some absolute wars going on.

However, I'll put my predictions out anyhow for the other event:

Jose Aldo
Brad Riddel (though this will probably be a coin toss on the night)
Alonzo Menifield
Brenden Allen
Manel Kape
Jake Matthews

[rdbase]

Same here @buwaytress & @Welsh
Going to save those mbtcs for the big event in the last month of the year.
But I do like your pick for Aldo to win in Vegas 44 this weekend.

[buwaytress]

Yeah, I'm doing the same saving my money for the 12th of December which probably has some of the best fights of this year, at least on paper. Hopefully, they deliver as I much rather see myself losing money when there's some absolute wars going on.

This is me and how I think. It's nice to win bets, and of course it doesn't matter how the game/match plays out if the outcome suits you when you count your winnings, but especially for fighting sports (which I used to bet on a lot in real life, muay Thai arenas in Bangkok evenings are pretty awesome) you're much happier when you lose but you got to see total warfare all night long.

@rdbase: save your money and sleep indeed. Though that applies to us and not you ha!

[rdbase]

UFC Vegas 44 is this weekend with Font vs Aldo as the main card.

I'm staying out of this betting until closer to Dec 12. Taking a break and holding on to winnings until Football grinds me down again. Oliviera's my type of fighter though. Quiet, as he says, (they say too quiet?) so lacking on the drama but not on the ring action. Sort of jaded with all the pre-fight hype, if you ask me. And 23/10 odds means he's probably my pick if he makes it on my betslip come the time.

Yeah, I'm doing the same saving my money for the 12th of December which probably has some of the best fights of this year, at least on paper. Hopefully, they deliver as I much rather see myself losing money when there's some absolute wars going on.

However, I'll put my predictions out anyhow for the other event:

Jose Aldo
Brad Riddel (though this will probably be a coin toss on the night)
Alonzo Menifield
Brenden Allen
Manel Kape
Jake Matthews

You can still put in those predictions up on the UFC challenge which is free to enter for a chance to win a free bet of 2mbtc.
Here is the thread:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5374619.0

[Welsh]

However, I'll put my predictions out anyhow for the other event:

Jose Aldo
Brad Riddel (though this will probably be a coin toss on the night)
Alonzo Menifield
Brenden Allen
Manel Kape
Jake Matthews

Changing Jake Matthews. To short odds for me to place a bet on, and I quite like Well's chance here after reviewing some tapes, and also considering the fact that Jake is coming off of a loss, and Well's has a nice little win streak going on.

This is me and how I think. It's nice to win bets, and of course it doesn't matter how the game/match plays out if the outcome suits you when you count your winnings, but especially for fighting sports (which I used to bet on a lot in real life, muay Thai arenas in Bangkok evenings are pretty awesome) you're much happier when you lose but you got to see total warfare all night long.

@rdbase: save your money and sleep indeed. Though that applies to us and not you ha!

Yeah, I'm the type of bettor that just puts money on to make the fights a little more entertaining. I usually do this for all sports. I usually have a big accumulator running with mixed sports, and just tick off the ones I got correct. There have been times where I've been so close to earning big money, but usually its the first couple of matches/fights that let me down, which takes the excitement out of it, as if it was the last few I would be on the edge of my seat anticipating it.

[buwaytress]

Yeah, I'm the type of bettor that just puts money on to make the fights a little more entertaining. I usually do this for all sports. I usually have a big accumulator running with mixed sports, and just tick off the ones I got correct. There have been times where I've been so close to earning big money, but usually its the first couple of matches/fights that let me down, which takes the excitement out of it, as if it was the last few I would be on the edge of my seat anticipating it.

I rarely bet outside of football. Tennis is probably something I go to when I can't find football -- but yeah, there's a kind of excitement waiting on long accas spread out over a week or two, and hitting them one by one. It's when I do them all from a 1/2-day period where I usually lose the early legs.

UFC is still out of reach for me. If I bet, it's on an outright or single outcome. Definitely would bet more if it happened at better hours...

It's almost like an addiction come to think of it -- seeing an empty active bets list and scraping the bottom of fixtures list for something to bet on. Something that thankfully won't happen this month!

I have to say one really bad habit of mine lately is adding one live leg, betting on games I know little about from whatever's playing at the moment, trusting the bookies to be right with odds. Then when it loses, I double down on the other legs. Hasn't quite worked out this season.

[rdbase]

The main cards were a wild one for this event 44 in Vegas.
Chris Curtis beating Allen was the first surprise fight then two fights away was Guida beating Santos in the second round after taking a beating in the first. Santos was looking at the referee wondering when he was going to stop the fight since he was just landing fist after fist to the back of Guida's head. That was a strange one since he was exhausted by the time the next round began and got submitted. Something Guida hasn't done in over 10 years in his career.
Aldo was a good fight and it was good to see him still have that fighting style he is known for.
Had a Kape fight not going distance, Curtis win but Aldo by KO was the only one not to hit on my betslip for the night.

[buwaytress]

Santos was looking at the referee wondering when he was going to stop the fight since he was just landing fist after fist to the back of Guida's head. That was a strange one since he was exhausted by the time the next round began and got submitted. Something Guida hasn't done in over 10 years in his career.

Didn't watch, but I always said the unsung hero of fight competitions (boxing, muay Thai and I guess by extension MMA) is the ref. I've seen too many times a passive ref allow a fighter to get unnecessarily injured, and a couple of times a really active ref possibly save career-threatening injury.

But it's always hard to blame the officials too when you deal with this guy, who, if you say hasn't submitted in 10+ years, would cause all kinds of outcries if ref intervened too early.

[rdbase]

UFC 269 is upon us this weekend. The event everyone who is an ultimate fighting fan has been waiting for!

https://sportsbet.io/sports/mma/ufc/ufc-269-oliveira-vs-poirier/matches

There is a multimaster competition for this event which is free to enter to win a free bet for the correct prediction located here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5375841.0

[buwaytress]

There is a multimaster competition for this event which is free to enter to win a free bet for the correct prediction located here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5375841.0

Last time I bet on a Poirier match I made a big boo boo out of it, not sure I'm going to dip my toes into this weekend, unless I see some offers I can't refuse heh heh.

And I'll be adding my picks to this one too. Might do it randomly this time and see if that gets me better luck than usual... it really feels like a coinflip in MMA doesn't it?