NFL discussion & predications thread rev

[rdbase]

@Reid
The Chiefs won their game today so I think this can be debunked that they need her there to win their games.
It was a close one which they need a last second field goal to win but they did.
She should be on her concert tour in Toronto last I hear is where she was at so probably still there just trying to get back to the US is a chore on it's own.

Another wild Sunday in the NFL with some upsets and a close comeback from the brink by the Commanders yet again with a 82 yard run right at the end to get them within a score. But the kicker missed the FG.
If you didn't watch it I suggest you catch the highlights of it on the sportscenter evening show to see how it all played out.

Last match is the SnF (Sunday Night Football) match between the Rams vs Eagles who are favorites in this game.
Here are their markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-rams-v-philadelphia-eagles-6733c4c33aca89000187e538

@ralle14 You are leading in the Pick'em pool for this week with 7 so far. Hope you made the wise decision for these last two games for week 12 so to get that first place prize as @rohang had last weekend.

[ralle14]

@ralle14 You are leading in the Pick'em pool for this week with 7 so far. Hope you made the wise decision for these last two games for week 12 so to get that first place prize as @rohang had last weekend.

It should've been a seven point tie between me and the others, but the Broncos defense sacked the Raiders in the final 20 seconds to stop them from scoring a touchdown and getting the backdoor cover. 

If the Eagles can hold their lead here in the second half I should have no problems securing a first place finish for this week's leaderboard.

[rdbase]

Looks like Philadelphia Eagles flew for you and for many others who chose them in the pool. Barkley was doing his thing and making the defense look foolish like always.

Today we have a really good match up between the Ravens vs Chargers.
This one I was flip flopping on who I thought would win but then with the point spread it was a wise decision on who I decided to go with in the end!

Here are the markets for this MNF game which is not one to miss:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-v-baltimore-ravens-6733c61c30ce3f0001b63c95

[ralle14]

Looks like Philadelphia Eagles flew for you and for many others who chose them in the pool. Barkley was doing his thing and making the defense look foolish like always.

I'm glad the Rams defense couldn't stop the Eagles offense and allowed them to score a bunch of touchdowns whenever it's their turn to drive it down the field.

I'll back another bird team and hope they make it sweat free like yesterday. From how I see it, the Chargers are being rated too high because of their record and wins against weaker teams. The spread is as close as it can get because of the Ravens' defense, still, I think they've made some improvements by keeping it close against the Steelers last week.

[rohang]

Didnt do so well this week , sadly 
Trying to catch up so hard to pool leaders.

Got the freebets yesterday (Thanks steve!) but got one legged on some tennis parlays 

[ralle14]

The Ravens defense pulled through yesterday to cement my spot at the top of the weekly leaderboard. 

The only underdogs that cashed in from my picks were the Panthers and Raiders. I didn't expect those two would be enough to make me the top finisher this week.

Didnt do so well this week , sadly 
Trying to catch up so hard to pool leaders.

Got the freebets yesterday (Thanks steve!) but got one legged on some tennis parlays 

It happens to the best of us, I also burned a bunch of free bets the other week and they all fell short in the final leg.

At least you're still in the middle of the pack and the deficit isn't that much if you can bounce back next week. 

[rdbase]

Big day in the NFL tomorrow with three games scheduled for Thanksgiving in the United States and it begins very early.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/page/nflviewguide-42584988/nfl-thanksgiving-picks-schedule-fantasy-football-odds-injuries-stats-2024

Here are those markets:


https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. I reckon the Dolphins with +3 might win for this game against the Packers. The Packers have been winning their games, however, they have lost against the spread in these games. I reckon paying more and choosing +3.5 for an avoidance of only getting your money back heheheh.

On the Cowboys and the Lions, it might be preferable to bet this safely on an accumulator. The Giants might beat the spread because the Cowboys are not very good without Dak Prescott. Also, the sportbooks might be overestimating the Lions on -9.5, I reckon.

[rdbase]

@rdbase. I reckon the Dolphins with +3 might win for this game against the Packers. The Packers have been winning their games, however, they have lost against the spread in these games. I reckon paying more and choosing +3.5 for an avoidance of only getting your money back heheheh.

On the Cowboys and the Lions, it might be preferable to bet this safely on an accumulator. The Giants might beat the spread because the Cowboys are not very good without Dak Prescott. Also, the sportbooks might be overestimating the Lions on -9.5, I reckon.

The Dolphins could cover at +3.5 pts and just checked the lines and they shifted from the 3 point spread when I took the above screenshot of the odds to where they are now at 3.5 points instead @1.92x
This might be the best play to make since Tua and Waddle are connecting well lately.
Love hasn't been looking as locked in as he had before for the Packers so the handicap on the Fins might be the best decision to make on this match.

Heard the Giants released Daniel Jones to the Vikings practice squad early yesterday.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/42642981/qb-daniel-jones-signing-vikings-source-says
Tommy DeVito will be the main quarterback for New York Giants with Drew Lock as the backup throughout the rest of the season.
As for the Detroit Lions. They are currently the best team in the NFL right now and are the favorites to win the Super Bowl according to sportsbooks when it comes to the odds. Even being the favorites against the repeating champions Kansas City Chiefs.

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[Reid]

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Bears versus Lions is already starting.
Giants versus Cowboys later.

[ralle14]

I forgot to lock in my pickem predictions on the two early matches, but at least i'm not missing out on both points since I would've picked the Lions to cover over the Bears.

I like the Packers for the last match of the day and I also have a bet on their moneyline. I still don't see the Dolphins as that huge threat at the moment when the Packers have only lost to winning teams like the Lions and Eagles.

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. I reckon the Dolphins with +3 might win for this game against the Packers. The Packers have been winning their games, however, they have lost against the spread in these games. I reckon paying more and choosing +3.5 for an avoidance of only getting your money back heheheh.

On the Cowboys and the Lions, it might be preferable to bet this safely on an accumulator. The Giants might beat the spread because the Cowboys are not very good without Dak Prescott. Also, the sportbooks might be overestimating the Lions on -9.5, I reckon.

The Dolphins could cover at +3.5 pts and just checked the lines and they shifted from the 3 point spread when I took the above screenshot of the odds to where they are now at 3.5 points instead @1.92x
This might be the best play to make since Tua and Waddle are connecting well lately.
Love hasn't been looking as locked in as he had before for the Packers so the handicap on the Fins might be the best decision to make on this match.

Heard the Giants released Daniel Jones to the Vikings practice squad early yesterday.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/42642981/qb-daniel-jones-signing-vikings-source-says
Tommy DeVito will be the main quarterback for New York Giants with Drew Lock as the backup throughout the rest of the season.
As for the Detroit Lions. They are currently the best team in the NFL right now and are the favorites to win the Super Bowl according to sportsbooks when it comes to the odds. Even being the favorites against the repeating champions Kansas City Chiefs.

Similar to what the Vikings' offensive line has done to protect their quarterback Sam Darnold and made it appear that he can play similar to Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes, this offensive line can do this on Daniel Jones also heheheheh.

In any case, the Vikings are successful this season with Sam Darnold already, however, Daniel Jones can be the replacement if Sam Darnod is injured because he has much experience.

[morvillz7z]

Chiefs ML / Brock Bowers 50+ rec yards @1.67

Locking one early!  

Chiefs winning here does not need much explainin'.

I expect Bowers to get 50 or more receiving yards today. It's an excellent matchup as KC is ranked 32.v TE and allows the most receiving yards to opposing tight ends. Bowers has gone over the line in 7/11 games.  The Raiders will likely play from behind the entire time, forcing them to throw the ball a lot, Chiefs have a top-three rush defense. This is also a solid buy-low spot for Bowers who only had 38 receiving yards last week, his second-worst game of the season.

[rdbase]

Looks like that one was a lock for you @morvillz7z !

Bowers was catching most of the Raiders long balls and the announcer was comparing him to a younger new Travis Kelce.
Actually calling him Kelce 2.0

Las Vegas could of tied it at the end but it seemed they had poor time management skills just like Chicago did on Thursday's first match of the day.

Tomorrow we have alot of matches to pick from so hopefully nobody forgot to put in their selections for those in the Pick'em pool right @ralle14 ?

I did mentioned it on this thread that there were very early matches on Thursday for Thanksgiving.

[ralle14]

Tomorrow we have alot of matches to pick from so hopefully nobody forgot to put in their selections for those in the Pick'em pool right @ralle14 ?

Yep, no more missed picks from here on out, and had a nice bounce back with a point in the Chiefs match yesterday.  I usually do my picks in advance, and this week's schedule kind of threw me off thinking I could do it later in the day and still have a few hours left to spare before the first match starts.

I'm also impressed with how the Raiders kept that game close, there was a moment when it felt like the Chiefs could've pulled away with a bigger lead.

[morvillz7z]

Bowers was catching most of the Raiders long balls and the announcer was comparing him to a younger new Travis Kelce.
Actually calling him Kelce 2.0

Bowers already has a number of rookie TE records to his name while playing for a shit team with bad QB play. I'm usually not a fan of comparisons, but the kid has shown a lot of potential so far...hopefully he keeps it up.



This is what i got today.

Mixon is coming off one of his worst performances in his career, with 22 yards on 16 carries against Ten. This is a great bounce back spot for him. The Jaguars rank bottom 10 in the league in terms of rush yards and rush touchdowns allowed. He is also 1 rush TD off of 60 career rush touchdowns. A milestone for him to chase.

Bucky Irving outsnap R. White last week for the first time this season, rookie is slowly taking over the backfield. The Panthers are an ideal opponent for him since they allow the second-most rush touchdowns and the most rush yards. Plus i need him big time in fantasy. 

[rdbase]

^^ Nice picks for total touchdowns by those players in the Texans and Buccs games!

Chicago Bears fired their head coach Matt Eberflus due to that major screw up which cost them their last game not being able to kick a field goal, while they still had a timeout to take with atleast 25 seconds on the clock. But they threw it away instead.

Some good matchups for today so don't forget to put in your selections for the rest of these in the Pick'em pool too:


https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

Most favorites are winning today, but it sucks when most of them can't cover the spread and I fell for the trappy favorites like the Bengals. 

I ended up rolling with this betbuilder, thinking the Bills would have complete control of this game since the Niners looked so different after watching their games against the Packers last week.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. Bills is only -5.5 against the spread on winter in the snow against a team from San Francisco that is very much only familiar with good weather for much of the year? This is an overestimation on San Francisco by the oddsmakers, I reckon.

Also, San Francisco 49ers after Christian McCaffrey's injury on September is not the team similar to what we have witnessed from the last season.