NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[ralle14]

Saw interesting post how the KC chiefs have 15 straight wins in one-score games, Kindof crazy to think they came out ahead 15 times on basically 50-50 score situations.

This 'luck' is bound to regress and probably a good idea to back against them next few games  

It shows how experienced they are in handling these crucial moments and the impressive part is when luck favors them like that missed game-winning kick from the Broncos.

I used to bet on the Chiefs in the previous weeks, and i'd rather skip than sweat a low odd bet since they always play it down the wire and their offense isn't always consistent once they get the lead.

[rdbase]

Another NFL week is just upon us so to make some teams better going into the holidays and a whole lot others alot worse!
Chiefs, Eagles and Steelers are looking great going into this NFL Sunday.

Here are those matchups for today:


https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

Another NFL week is just upon us so to make some teams better going into the holidays and a whole lot others alot worse!
Chiefs, Eagles and Steelers are looking great going into this NFL Sunday.

The favorites are hitting hard today and my pickems are shitting the bed. The bookies are spot on about the Steelers being a trap and I still fell for them. 

I need to stop trusting these underdogs, this is probably the second week I got burned by most of them and good luck with your fight on the weekly leaderboards, I see your name at the top tied with the other guys.

[rdbase]

^^
The last game with Buffalo vs Detroit was a banger of a match. Total points scored between the two teams were 90 points and Lions were close to tie or winning the game if that onside kick was recovered. They were down by 3 scores at one point late in the final quarter.

This has been a great football weekend for both myself and for the fans of the NFL with some good matches all day long.

Now we have Green Bay vs Seattle coming up to close out SNF and I believe Love will come out ontop and the Packers will cover the spread.

[morvillz7z]

I just got home from vacation and couldn't share this before the games kicked off yesterday. I have to admit i haven't watched any sport or taken any wagers for almost two weeks, boy i feel cleansed. 

Anyways, first ticket back and the usual MEGA sweat. Jets had to make a late 4th quarter comeback thanks to Rodgers and Davante Adams finally being on the same page. Commies almost lost because of a clock malfunction:

source: https://x.com/ChadwikoTWW/status/1868431498447323403

This is inexcusable in pro football.

The Saints got 3.94 "free" seconds today, and it very nearly cost the #Commanders the win.

The clock stopped at the 9 second mark, and they snapped the ball at the 4 second mark.

Possible that Saints never get the next TD play without it.

[ralle14]

^^
The last game with Buffalo vs Detroit was a banger of a match. Total points scored between the two teams were 90 points and Lions were close to tie or winning the game if that onside kick was recovered. They were down by 3 scores at one point late in the final quarter.

It was like a shootout between those two, but the Bills offense was more consistent with their drives and only punted the ball once throughout the game. The onside kick was too close to call, and at first look, I thought it was about to go back to the Lions.

I also sided with the Packers for the SNF game and i'm glad that Seattle gave us a sweat-free win, the level of play between the two was just too different.

[rdbase]

^^
The last game with Buffalo vs Detroit was a banger of a match. Total points scored between the two teams were 90 points and Lions were close to tie or winning the game if that onside kick was recovered. They were down by 3 scores at one point late in the final quarter.

It was like a shootout between those two, but the Bills offense was more consistent with their drives and only punted the ball once throughout the game. The onside kick was too close to call, and at first look, I thought it was about to go back to the Lions.

I also sided with the Packers for the SNF game and i'm glad that Seattle gave us a sweat-free win, the level of play between the two was just too different.

Nice win on the Packers as they delivered that night. Had them for -4.5 handicap for 1.86x odds if I remember correctly so over the weekend ended on a high note.

Monday Night had two matches going on and had both win on my acca where I took the Falcons -5.5 & under 44.5pts with Vikings & under 43.5pts @8.92x

Also won the Pick'em pool coming in first place with the prediction of 21 points.
Would of got it exactly correct if Atlanta's defense wasn't so paper thin in the last 5 minutes of the game so to allow that touchdown instead of just a field goal.
Ridder was limping around in the middle of the quarter so you just knew his legs weren't doing so great.

[Reid]

Week 16. Hmm. We are getting near the end of the regular season.
Good news for the Seattle Seahawks.
Seahawks QB Geno Smith gets positive update as Lions are decimated by injuries
Yahoo

"A lot of positive, optimistic signs coming out of the tests, Macdonald said. "Geno's a beast, man. He's in here working out in the morning, working through it. I know he's still feeling it. But this guy's tough as nails.

"Hopefully we'll see him practice throughout the week. Optimistic that he'll be ready for the game.

The Seahawks are in trouble and may not enter the postseason. This might be their chance if ever their quarterback Geno Smith comes back healthy and strong.

[rdbase]

The holiday season is upon us and the NFL do not stop as they are playing right on Christmas day!
Here is what those matchups look like for this week into the next:

Received a freebet today from my previous bets on Sportsbet.io so was surprised to see it show up:

Immediately put it on an NFL Betbuilder for the TNF game today:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-v-denver-broncos-6758b288cc0e7a0001f63799

[morvillz7z]

I've no feel for tonight's game. I'm leaning Chargers but not taking them. It's a decent bounce-back spot after a tough loss to the Bucs though, a rookie quarterback on the road...

Here's what i did with my weekly NFL free bet:



Broncos play a ton of man coverage, and Ladd McConkey is 2nd in Win Rate Vs. Man (45.9%).

Chargers have struggled against opp. WR1s of recent, and Sutton leads the Broncos in all key receiving categories. He's primed for yet another strong performance.

Bo Nix had 61 rush yards on six runs in the first game between the teams earlier this year, and you can always count on Sean Payton to design some run plays for his quarterback. Only 130 passing yards last week, but he's had 170+ in 8/9 before that.

I've also sneaked in both kickers to hit a field goal. The Chargers have a solid RZ defense, which should favor Lutz. Dicker, if i'm not mistaken, is 13/14 on the year. It's a big divisional game, and i don't see either coach risking it early on 4th downs.

[ralle14]

Immediately put it on an NFL Betbuilder for the TNF game today:

If I had a free bet i'd probably pull off a similar betbuilder as we could have a low-scoring kind of match when both teams are capable of limiting their opponents.

Then again the over doesn't feel that far off if the Chargers could take over the first half because we've been seeing the Broncos tend to show up more in the second half.

Here's what i did with my weekly NFL free bet:

The more I stare at your free bet the more I think it'll hit, Sutton and McConkey yards are solid plus Bo Nix hitting those numbers seems more likely against a shaky Chargers team.

Good luck with your free bets and hopefully they stick.

[bbc.reporter]

I've no feel for tonight's game. I'm leaning Chargers but not taking them. It's a decent bounce-back spot after a tough loss to the Bucs though, a rookie quarterback on the road...

Here's what i did with my weekly NFL free bet:



Broncos play a ton of man coverage, and Ladd McConkey is 2nd in Win Rate Vs. Man (45.9%).

Chargers have struggled against opp. WR1s of recent, and Sutton leads the Broncos in all key receiving categories. He's primed for yet another strong performance.

Bo Nix had 61 rush yards on six runs in the first game between the teams earlier this year, and you can always count on Sean Payton to design some run plays for his quarterback. Only 130 passing yards last week, but he's had 170+ in 8/9 before that.

I've also sneaked in both kickers to hit a field goal. The Chargers have a solid RZ defense, which should favor Lutz. Dicker, if i'm not mistaken, is 13/14 on the year. It's a big divisional game, and i don't see either coach risking it early on 4th downs.

It was a very thrilling game with the Broncos having more points on the 1st half. The Chargers have chased and surpassed them on the 3rd quarter, however, the Broncos did not easily give the victory on the Chargers. The Broncos have played a very goldenly performance but there was not enough time. I reckon if there was a 5th quarter the Broncos might get the victory hehehe.

The Charger are presently more than 90% certainty to go to the playoff. I am very much excited for this!

[rdbase]

Immediately put it on an NFL Betbuilder for the TNF game today:

If I had a free bet i'd probably pull off a similar betbuilder as we could have a low-scoring kind of match when both teams are capable of limiting their opponents.

Then again the over doesn't feel that far off if the Chargers could take over the first half because we've been seeing the Broncos tend to show up more in the second half.

Here's what i did with my weekly NFL free bet:

The more I stare at your free bet the more I think it'll hit, Sutton and McConkey yards are solid plus Bo Nix hitting those numbers seems more likely against a shaky Chargers team.

Good luck with your free bets and hopefully they stick.

The game was over 50 points. So my betbuilder was done and over by the first half as the post above said the Broncos scored almost all their 27 points in the first half.
The Chargers were strong enough to cover the spread and outscored them 21-6 in the second half to win the game.

Looking forward to the weekend matches as the places in the pick'em pool are becoming tight since there are only a few more weeks left of the regular season.

[rohang]

Regular season about to end and this is when we always see some teams favoring certain players who have some contract objectives left to get alott of money. Worth it to follow these kindof stuff

[ralle14]

Regular season about to end and this is when we always see some teams favoring certain players who have some contract objectives left to get alott of money. Worth it to follow these kindof stuff

I agree, the contract incentives are always worth following and it makes prop betting slightly easier because even in blowouts there are players who will keep playing until they get those incentives.

The game was over 50 points. So my betbuilder was done and over by the first half as the post above said the Broncos scored almost all their 27 points in the first half.
The Chargers were strong enough to cover the spread and outscored them 21-6 in the second half to win the game.

The pace of the game ramped up too quickly with both teams scoring touchdowns early in the first quarter and things continued to snowball in the second quarter.

Also, it was a great second half comeback from the Chargers as it felt like the Broncos were about to take the game over when they led by two possessions after the first half.

[ChiBitCTy]

I've no feel for tonight's game. I'm leaning Chargers but not taking them. It's a decent bounce-back spot after a tough loss to the Bucs though, a rookie quarterback on the road...

Here's what i did with my weekly NFL free bet:



Broncos play a ton of man coverage, and Ladd McConkey is 2nd in Win Rate Vs. Man (45.9%).

Chargers have struggled against opp. WR1s of recent, and Sutton leads the Broncos in all key receiving categories. He's primed for yet another strong performance.

Bo Nix had 61 rush yards on six runs in the first game between the teams earlier this year, and you can always count on Sean Payton to design some run plays for his quarterback. Only 130 passing yards last week, but he's had 170+ in 8/9 before that.

I've also sneaked in both kickers to hit a field goal. The Chargers have a solid RZ defense, which should favor Lutz. Dicker, if i'm not mistaken, is 13/14 on the year. It's a big divisional game, and i don't see either coach risking it early on 4th downs.

I was leaning LA ( still weird to say LA and not San Diego) Chargers myself, but when Dobbins went down, it really completely changed the dynamic and complexity of the offense.  Gus Edwards had a nice game last night sure, but in general he's one of the worst running backs in the league as well as just slow as molasses and that will stall offenses.

Thanks to my surprise they had a pretty solid victory especially against a formidable defense like they had to face.

[rdbase]

There are two games happening today prior to the regular matches for Sunday and those scheduled on Christmas Day.
We have Kansas City Chiefs going up against the Houston Texans:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-houston-texans-6758b852cc0e7a00010146f9
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers for the later match:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/baltimore-ravens-v-pittsburgh-steelers-6758b288f230530001c08a97

@morvillz7z
Did your betbuilder win there were quite a few player props on there and did not follow who had which ones hit.

[morvillz7z]

There are two games happening today prior to the regular matches for Sunday and those scheduled on Christmas Day.
We have Kansas City Chiefs going up against the Houston Texans:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-houston-texans-6758b852cc0e7a00010146f9
Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers for the later match:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/baltimore-ravens-v-pittsburgh-steelers-6758b288f230530001c08a97

@morvillz7z
Did your betbuilder win there were quite a few player props on there and did not follow who had which ones hit.

It did, thankfully.

Sutton's 50+ rec yards was the final line to hit, although late in the game. I'm not sure why the Broncos threw so much to Javonte, who had 11 targets (a team high) and nearly twice as many as Sutton.

[rdbase]

Congratulations on your winning BetBuilder then morvillz7z!

Today's games are currently in progress with the Chiefs already beating the Texans with an injured Mahomes.
For Houston they lost one of their go to receivers Tank Dell when he caught the touchdown he was hit by another Texan who was going for the ball in the endzone.

The Ravens are having a field day with a Steelers team who is without one of their own key receivers Pickens.
For my player prop on my one remaining acca have Derrick Henry with over 125+ rushing yards.


He has 55 yards so far with the 1st quarter just about done. The announcer was just saying he is on pace to make 440 yards before the end of the game.

[ralle14]

The Ravens are having a field day with a Steelers team who is without one of their own key receivers Pickens.
For my player prop on my one remaining acca have Derrick Henry with over 125+ rushing yards.

He has 55 yards so far with the 1st quarter just about done. The announcer was just saying he is on pace to make 440 yards before the end of the game.

Congrats to both of you, Derrick Henry went the extra mile and finished with 160+ rushing yards. Their game was back and forth until the Steelers crumbled in the second half and turned the ball over too many times.

Even though I forgot to place a bet on any of the games, at least I had a nice bounce back on my pickem and hopefully it gets better tomorrow.