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Author Topic: Gambling on friendly matches  (Read 2073 times)
dunfida
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July 18, 2021, 09:52:55 PM
 #41

In my opinion, it is not a good idea if you'll choose to bet on friendly matches games other than those serious like tournaments/season leagues. Most of these friendly games aren't predictable, and most of the time players are just enjoying the game. They're not serious so the risk is very high compared to serious games.

Good or not will always based on our own preferences, if we know what to bet and how to analyze the match then it will be a good chance to make some money.
Friendly matches is matches where most team do not really care about the result as most of them uses friendly match to try different strategies and players.
Of course it is more unpredictable than regular tournament/competition but if we are familiar with it then there is nothing wrong to bet on friendly matches.
It would really be unpredictable and since players wont really be that serious or really not doing their 100% play then expect that there might be some unexpected things to happen
and its indeed up to someone if they would really be tending to make some bets on friendly matches because this doesnt only talks about on earning money with those bets
but also you could really enjoy these kind of matches specially on low-tier vs on high tier or something like that.
Betting on things will be always on self preference.

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July 18, 2021, 11:09:00 PM
 #42

In theory friendly matches should be as competitive as any other game, you might even find newer players trialing for the team to see whether they can stand up to the pressure - in which case they are likely to fight harder to impress. However it is a bit of a catch-22 because friendlies might actually seem more acceptable to "rig" if such activity was going on. I remember watching blatant cheating by two basketball teams in the Philippines who were both trying to lose, so at the lower levels of football this certainly seems like a possibility and friendly matches is exactly where cheaters might try to target if they want to ease their conscious a little. To be honest, any decent bookmaker is well aware of all the odds and make even limit the over/under possibilities automatically if they see such trends.
Well, that's only in theory. Friendly matches, or maybe so-called all-star matches, are mostly just events that are used to hype up the event. Yes the basic skill of the pro player is there, but that's it, the basic. They don't bother much with thinking and/or mechanics and just go in for trying to actively make the match hyped up by doing a LOT of stuff. As for trial players, I don't think most of them could even get to tournament friendly matches against the team they want, it's mostly the event organizers and the teams that decide no? So I don't think they can go in even if they want to.

Friendly matches are also a way to see teamups you'd never actually see most of the time. Brings a sense of novelty to the game.

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July 18, 2021, 11:14:24 PM
 #43

The most common friendly matches are both the international  country and club friendlies, long time ago I have seen these type of matches as a way to bet and have fun, many of my betting result are positive most especially if I bet on a single match. The country or club that will win is not certain but I noticed staking on over 1.5 or over 2.5 is always most of the time results to a good outcome.

I am not saying this is a risk free bet, no bet is risk free, but I noticed this type of match most of the time results to many goals scored which makes better for taking over 1.5 or over 2.5 and the games are won.

Some people still like to accumulate, the accumulation can also be positive and won but the more the accumulation the more the high chances of losing. But I do not still see any wrong in accumulating 3 matches, though the chances to lose will increase because as one match lost result to the nullification of the bet, I prefer just a single game in a week.

What do you think about staking on over 1.5 and over 2.5 on international friendlies (both country and club friendlies)? Or do you prefer to go for straight win or draw?
I've never observed that before, it would be interesting to get some statistics on that matter or to create them. Does anyone know which will be the next friendly match? Users should post them here.

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July 18, 2021, 11:19:50 PM
 #44

Not only with these kind of friendly matches, this kind of odds can be seen with the matches in which one team is strong and the opponent is an average team. Mostly we can see this happen with the cricket matches and on tennis matches. During my early days of gambling I just look for the odds and used to place bets. In that manner I've won more matches.

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July 18, 2021, 11:22:29 PM
 #45

What do you think about staking on over 1.5 and over 2.5 on international friendlies (both country and club friendlies)? Or do you prefer to go for straight win or draw?
i think the total goals market is best choice, friendlies are hard to predict, even when you see a big club playing against another one from a different country, which you can call a small club, you can't predict what could happen, they can start with good players on the first half then change the whole squad on the 2nd half, you don't know when the team is going to make substitutes and if it could affect the match, i think over can be safer, for me, i had a bad experience with friendly matches so i avoid them.

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July 18, 2021, 11:47:20 PM
 #46

Not only with these kind of friendly matches, this kind of odds can be seen with the matches in which one team is strong and the opponent is an average team. Mostly we can see this happen with the cricket matches and on tennis matches. During my early days of gambling I just look for the odds and used to place bets. In that manner I've won more matches.
LOL you would be really a big noob at that time Cheesy because if you just looked at the odds and chose the favorite, you've certainly won more matches than if you had bet on the underdogs but you've certainly lost more money at the end.  Undecided

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July 19, 2021, 03:56:17 AM
 #47

It depends on friendly matches. There are friendly matches among two teams or players. But what about friendly matches between a boxer or a vlogger for example? If there is a friendly match between two soccer or basketball teams, I might not gamble at all. You cannot make a very strict analysis on it because you can hardly take into consideration their statistics and performances. The match is friendly so there is not much at stake. But if it's a boxing match between a professional boxer and a social media influencer I might be attracted to bet on the boxer.
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July 19, 2021, 05:51:18 AM
 #48

The friendly matches are only made to check a team performance and the teams are not results oriented here,a lot of times during this games teams with odds 1.10 against very weak teams have even lost the game and many times drawn to those teams.It is not recommended to bet on friendly games because the teams main focus here is to try as many players and as many strategies as possible and these games usually happen now,in a pre season time.You can bet on these games but the chance that you will lose money by betting on these games is really high.

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July 19, 2021, 06:24:56 AM
 #49

Does anyone know which will be the next friendly match? Users should post them here.
That should not be a problem, there are sites for checking scores, some of them would have included all the game that will be played during the day on their site in the early morning hour, the games are also defined with titles which indicates the type of league, cup, also maybe it is international country or club friendlies, that is how I do check. The problem is that there are some friendly matches that may not be on sportbooks unlike leagues and cups, but there are also still many on sportbooks.

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July 19, 2021, 06:59:28 AM
 #50

I haven't compared the friendly games as compared to the competitive ones but you may be right about more goals theory because when games are friendly, both the teams will take it lightly and the defense would be loose while the players who attack will always have the same shots and skills because no one wants to miss goals, even during a friendly game.

I don't analyze teams and their defense in soccer but there are bettors who check everything and bet over/under. For me, it's seriously just random when making over or under bets and I just place my bets and stick to the TV and pray for it lol.

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July 19, 2021, 07:24:01 AM
 #51

It depends on friendly matches. There are friendly matches among two teams or players. But what about friendly matches between a boxer or a vlogger for example? If there is a friendly match between two soccer or basketball teams, I might not gamble at all. You cannot make a very strict analysis on it because you can hardly take into consideration their statistics and performances. The match is friendly so there is not much at stake. But if it's a boxing match between a professional boxer and a social media influencer I might be attracted to bet on the boxer.
Friendly matches comprising of teams is much easier because you can easily see which one is going to win because you know whose side has the best player and who doesn't have one meaning that you can easily distinguish which one is the best one to choose.

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July 19, 2021, 07:26:01 AM
 #52


What do you think about staking on over 1.5 and over 2.5 on international friendlies (both country and club friendlies)? Or do you prefer to go for straight win or draw?

I've never bet on friendly matches because I don't pay much attention to matches like that, for football I have positive results on bets choose over 1.5 or BTTS compared 1 X 2.
But often bettors will also take into the odds of the available options.

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July 19, 2021, 08:28:38 AM
 #53

...
I've never observed that before, it would be interesting to get some statistics on that matter or to create them. Does anyone know which will be the next friendly match? Users should post them here.

Quote
Betting for friendly matches is a dangerous gamble. The main problem is that it is almost impossible to make an objective analysis of statistics since it does not exist, and even if it is, it is not so important. Most often the result is unpredictable.

Taken from a nice article about betting on friendly matches, definitely worth reading: https://alvin-almazov.com/theory/how-to-bet-on-friendly-matches-in-football/

When it comes to football I guess we will have to wait for some friendly games... Euro ended a week ago, and qualifications for Champions league already started, tomorrow we have some games. Most leagues start in August (some countries already started)... Qualifications for the World cup are ongoing too, the next games are on 1 and 2 September...

It's a busy schedule, and I guess we will not see some friendly matches before winter and some longer break!

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July 19, 2021, 10:27:59 AM
 #54


How do you determine a friendly match?

Wouldn't you interpret friendly match as an exhibition fight like Mike Tyson vs Jones or Floyd vs Logan? We didn't see any listing of it on crypto book though but if it was we likely are betting on a draw as expected because it looks like they are just up there for the audience to see how they're after years being retired.
not a crypto sportsbook but I remember seeing BetOnline posting betting options on where logan paul will bleed from. the post was too funny so I am not really sure if the post were legitimate or just a troll post from BetOnline.

https://twitter.com/betonline_ag/status/1401381306768965640/photo/1

Is there really betting for this?  I remember there was a betting which round a boxer will fall but I don't know how legit that is. By what the users above are saying it is not going to be listed on sportsbook where we can bet on it even on soccer or football.

...
I've never observed that before, it would be interesting to get some statistics on that matter or to create them. Does anyone know which will be the next friendly match? Users should post them here.

Quote
Betting for friendly matches is a dangerous gamble. The main problem is that it is almost impossible to make an objective analysis of statistics since it does not exist, and even if it is, it is not so important. Most often the result is unpredictable.

Taken from a nice article about betting on friendly matches, definitely worth reading: https://alvin-almazov.com/theory/how-to-bet-on-friendly-matches-in-football/

When it comes to football I guess we will have to wait for some friendly games... Euro ended a week ago, and qualifications for Champions league already started, tomorrow we have some games. Most leagues start in August (some countries already started)... Qualifications for the World cup are ongoing too, the next games are on 1 and 2 September...

It's a busy schedule, and I guess we will not see some friendly matches before winter and some longer break!

Base on the article it does sound like it's still not friendly at all. It even says a friendly match is a dangerous gamble whatever the writer says I'm going to consider it not risk free. You still have to be a religious fan of a sport to recognize which will win the match.




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July 19, 2021, 10:54:26 AM
 #55

Base on the article it does sound like it's still not friendly at all. It even says a friendly match is a dangerous gamble whatever the writer says I'm going to consider it not risk free.
No match is risk free, professional matches are even better than friendly matches because expected players will play in professional matches unlike friendlies. The outcome of friendlies are unpredictable, many people have commented how the underdogs have more chance of winning if compared to professional matches. It is not even a good suggestion for someone to stake straight win in a friendly match.

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July 19, 2021, 10:59:48 AM
 #56

No match is risk free, professional matches are even better than friendly matches because expected players will play in professional matches unlike friendlies. The outcome of friendlies are unpredictable, many people have commented how the underdogs have more chance of winning if compared to professional matches. It is not even a good suggestion for someone to stake straight win in a friendly match.
That could be true but I don't think that an All Star line up in NBA is going to lose to the Rookies because the skill and power gap of both sides are just too big, not to mention that the All Star has more experience. I think these kind of thing depends which sports is going to be playing a friendly match.
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July 19, 2021, 11:16:33 AM
 #57

By the way, it would be interesting to check the average performance of friendly matches compared to regular games. Maybe I'm wrong, but it seems to me that more goals are scored in friendlies. But it still does not have any practical value, because if it is, then this is taken into account by the bookmakers when setting the odds.

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July 19, 2021, 11:28:52 AM
 #58

I don't usually bet on friendly games for the reason that the better team might not play on full potential so the underdog could win, it's nice if it will be like that all the time as you can easily predict the winner, but sometimes the better team also plays hard so it's hard to guess using the statistics and past games results.

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July 19, 2021, 12:00:11 PM
 #59


What do you think about staking on over 1.5 and over 2.5 on international friendlies (both country and club friendlies)? Or do you prefer to go for straight win or draw?

I've never bet on friendly matches because I don't pay much attention to matches like that, for football I have positive results on bets choose over 1.5 or BTTS compared 1 X 2.
But often bettors will also take into the odds of the available options.

If you know what types of teams are playing against each other, better to this kind of odds is much better.
Just like how OP describe his point, he's making good amount of profits by placing his bet over 1.5 or 2.5

It's tough to predict what the outcome of certain games that we will going to bet, either friendly or regular games the fact that you
need to have good knowledge is very important.

You'll have to assess and go with how you understand and how your instinct and observation guided you to place your bet.


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xSkylarx
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July 19, 2021, 12:07:33 PM
 #60

I don't usually bet on friendly games for the reason that the better team might not play on full potential so the underdog could win, it's nice if it will be like that all the time as you can easily predict the winner, but sometimes the better team also plays hard so it's hard to guess using the statistics and past games results.

Agree sort of you will really know who will win somewhat it is not very competitive to watch. Friendly matches is good to watch but not to be because you cant see the effort of the players out of it. Those competitions on getting at the top is really the best to bet, we have our own analysis about the team and it is unpredictable . I think i mostly see this friendly game about pros vs the celebrities or something like that and i think fans is only enjoying it but imagine pros vs celeb? what kind of game is that.
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