Brasileirão 2022 - Brazilian Championship Serie A

[LUCKMCFLY]

It seems that the standing has changed a bit for the second position, flamengo team managed to get it after winning against botafogo and palmeiras managing a draw against fluminese and now the gap is seven points which was reduced, it seems that this might get interesting considering flamengo next game is easier than palmeiras.

Both teams, Palmeiras and Flamengo has their odds totally in their favor, ai think it's going to be 3 points to each one and the difference will remain the same

Bragantino is having problems, they start the competition with a strong team but they are falling slowly

I would totally bet on Palmeiras this match today.

The next match of both teams will be fine too, but after these 2 matches, there's classic ones, Flamengo will play against Fluminense and Palmeiras will face Santos. These matches can make difference

If there is any doubt, my favorite teams are only limited to two, Palmeiras and Santos, Flamengo I cannot deny that they have had a good performance, because playing in Brazil is not easy at all, I have only had the opportunity to play once in their courts, but it was noon and with the incandescent sun in Manaus, I only lasted but 10 minutes on the field because I got too exhausted, it's hard to play there, now these teams like Palmeiras that are all terrain that have to go to South America where they have to quickly adapt to the altitude, to countries that are cold, is something I admire, that's why for me Palmeiras will be the undeniable champion.

Now how many games are left until the end of the season?

There are 20 teams, with 2 matches against each other, so it's 38 matches total.
All teams played 26 matches until now, and there's 12 remaining.
36 points in dispute for each team.

I like to see the math behind the championship and probabilities

In this year, Palmeiras have to focus on 81 points to have 100% of chances to be the champion, but usually a team needs something like 73 or 74 points to guarantee 1st place.

Well, I have always been a big fan of Palmeiras and Santos, another team that I really like the way they play is Flamengo, of course I think they still have a long way to go to reach Palmeiras, although these teams have much more history, especially Santos, and it's like you say there are still games that could be able to change everything, and the Brazilian teams are very good, I don't know, but I think that in the Brasileirao you can live many more emcoinoes, of course I sometimes compare the emcoines that stand out as in the 2nd Bundesliga, which the latest teams are very decisive and usually play like never before.

[alegotardo]

Now how many games are left until the end of the season?

There are 20 teams, with 2 matches against each other, so it's 38 matches total.
All teams played 26 matches until now, and there's 12 remaining.
36 points in dispute for each team.

I like to see the math behind the championship and probabilities

In this year, Palmeiras have to focus on 81 points to have 100% of chances to be the champion, but usually a team needs something like 73 or 74 points to guarantee 1st place.

Speaking of probabilities, I really like to follow the website of UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais) which has a lot of statistical data about the Brazilian championship Series A.
Currently they are pointing that Palmeiras has more than 83% of chances of being champion, after that comes Internacional with only 5% of chances, and them Palmeiras with 4%.

[rdluffy]

If there is any doubt, my favorite teams are only limited to two, Palmeiras and Santos, Flamengo I cannot deny that they have had a good performance, because playing in Brazil is not easy at all, I have only had the opportunity to play once in their courts, but it was noon and with the incandescent sun in Manaus, I only lasted but 10 minutes on the field because I got too exhausted, it's hard to play there, now these teams like Palmeiras that are all terrain that have to go to South America where they have to quickly adapt to the altitude, to countries that are cold, is something I admire, that's why for me Palmeiras will be the undeniable champion.

Haha, Palmeiras ir the arch enemy of my team Corinthians, but I have to admit they are doing a great work last years, I remember the era of Parmalat sponsor and Luiz Felipe Scolari as the coach, they won a lot of titles including Libertadores, but lost to Manchester that year.
Santos is also good, but last years were not so good to remember.
It's curious to see that you already played a match in Brazil, it's so hot in here, and Manaus is hotter. No doubt that this is a key factor to a lot of teams who play here, and in some countries of South America there's altitude too.

Speaking of probabilities, I really like to follow the website of UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais) which has a lot of statistical data about the Brazilian championship Series A.
Currently they are pointing that Palmeiras has more than 83% of chances of being champion, after that comes Internacional with only 5% of chances, and them Palmeiras with 4%.

Oh, they are famous (UFMG), they run a lot of numbers to journals and television.
It's good to know the numbers before you place some bets, math never lies, and can help you to earn some money or at least to make you be more confident.


Yesterday I earn some money with Corinthians, finally haha, they won against Fluminense on Copa do Brasil, 3 x 0.
I bet on a simple victory, paying 2.50. I recovered some money I lost in a 4 rounds in a row 

[l3pox]

Now how many games are left until the end of the season?

<..>

Speaking of probabilities, I really like to follow the website of UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais) which has a lot of statistical data about the Brazilian championship Series A.
Currently they are pointing that Palmeiras has more than 83% of chances of being champion, after that comes Internacional with only 5% of chances, and them Palmeiras with 4%.

small typo there, you menat Flamengo for the 3rd one with biggest probability, 4%, right?

I didn't know UFMG was into calculating the odds of the Brasileirão
quite interesting
thanks for sharing

[joker_josue]

Despite 3 draws and 2 wins in the last 5 games, Palmeiras has remained well isolated at the top of the league table.
Certainly the 8 points of advancement will help them to improve in the next games, as they are now only focused on the Brasileirão. And they will certainly be able to manage the 11 games left for the end of the season.

[l3pox]

Despite 3 draws and 2 wins in the last 5 games, Palmeiras has remained well isolated at the top of the league table.
Certainly the 8 points of advancement will help them to improve in the next games, as they are now only focused on the Brasileirão. And they will certainly be able to manage the 11 games left for the end of the season.

probably if there are no unexpected things (are there black swans in soccer?) we'll see Palmeiras winning the championship this year!
quite cool
good for them!

[gagux123]

Now how many games are left until the end of the season?

There are 20 teams, with 2 matches against each other, so it's 38 matches total.
All teams played 26 matches until now, and there's 12 remaining.
36 points in dispute for each team.

I like to see the math behind the championship and probabilities

In this year, Palmeiras have to focus on 81 points to have 100% of chances to be the champion, but usually a team needs something like 73 or 74 points to guarantee 1st place.

I saw that several people are curious about the possibilities of Palmeiras or other teams to be champions.

I performed these calculation

Situation
Palmeiras = 54 points
International = 46 points
Flamengo = 45 points
Fluminense = 45 points

We know that:
win = 3 points
Tie = 1 point
Defeat = 0 point

We still have 12 games left to finish the championship, so the maximum amount a team can get until then is 36 points (12 games * 3 points/win)

let's go to practice
If Internacional wins all 12 games (12 games x 3 points/win = 36 points), it will have 82 points (46 points + 36 points = 82 points)

For Palmeiras to reach that amount, they will have to win 10 of the 12 games and get a score of 84 points, with 2 games he can lose.

But for that, Internacional will need to win the 12 games, and Palmeiras will lose 3 games for Internacional to be champion of the Brasileirão

Palmeiras will need to win 10 of the 12 games, that is, they will have to obtain 83.3% of victory from these remaining games.

Well, I know that these calculations I made are not accurate or important, but I made them to have an idea of ​​the possibilities that could happen at the end of this championship!

[LUCKMCFLY]

In this round of the championship we will have some interesting games to bet on, others not so much.

I believe in the match between Corinthians x Internacional will be one of the most competitive of this round.
They are great teams, both are practically in the ""same"" position in the championship, in which this victory could be significant for both, Corinthians and Internacional.

I have already expressed my bet for the game of Corinthians and Internacional in the last post, and I sincerely hope that Internacional will not disappoint me, although I believe that it will really be a very difficult game.
Another interesting match in this round is the dispute between Santos and Goiás that will take place on Monday.... only two points and two positions on the leaderboard separate them from each other.

The truth is that I am not inclined for now to make a very big bet, I would like Internacional to do well, but it is something that depends a lot on them and how they can confront the game, for me they have everything to win , I don't think you will be disappointed, these people know very well what they are playing for and it is the best opportunity to show what they are made of, don't believe it, there are people who don't believe in them, they can get a big surprise, for me Santos It's good, in fact I've seen them play up close, they're really good, I also like it because there's a Venezuelan playing and he really does it very well.

Now how many games are left until the end of the season?

There are 20 teams, with 2 matches against each other, so it's 38 matches total.
All teams played 26 matches until now, and there's 12 remaining.
36 points in dispute for each team.

I like to see the math behind the championship and probabilities

In this year, Palmeiras have to focus on 81 points to have 100% of chances to be the champion, but usually a team needs something like 73 or 74 points to guarantee 1st place.

I saw that several people are curious about the possibilities of Palmeiras or other teams to be champions.

I performed these calculation

Situation
Palmeiras = 54 points
International = 46 points
Flamengo = 45 points
Fluminense = 45 points

We know that:
win = 3 points
Tie = 1 point
Defeat = 0 point

We still have 12 games left to finish the championship, so the maximum amount a team can get until then is 36 points (12 games * 3 points/win)

let's go to practice
If Internacional wins all 12 games (12 games x 3 points/win = 36 points), it will have 82 points (46 points + 36 points = 82 points)

For Palmeiras to reach that amount, they will have to win 10 of the 12 games and get a score of 84 points, with 2 games he can lose.

But for that, Internacional will need to win the 12 games, and Palmeiras will lose 3 games for Internacional to be champion of the Brasileirão

Palmeiras will need to win 10 of the 12 games, that is, they will have to obtain 83.3% of victory from these remaining games.

Well, I know that these calculations I made are not accurate or important, but I made them to have an idea of ​​the possibilities that could happen at the end of this championship!

Thank you very much for those statistics and for all the mathematical approaches you made, without a doubt Palmeiras can be a bit tough for what is to come, I think this is a way to motivate them and make them think only of winning, not drawing Of course, All the math is still missing in case the other teams behind Palmeiras lose, although this is a very minimal possibility, Palmieras at this point must be thinking of defeating any team that comes their way. I really would not like to compete against a Palmeiras with those positions, because I would see him as a hungry lion and eager to have it all.

[Ratash]

A total chaos in flamengo and fluminense game four red cards with two for each team, it seems that flamengo players were angry for being behind against one of their contenders for the top spots it was a really important game which ended with fluminense winning the game and the second spot, this is a great result for palmeiras if they manage to beat santos.

[gagux123]

Thank you very much for those statistics and for all the mathematical approaches you made, without a doubt Palmeiras can be a bit tough for what is to come, I think this is a way to motivate them and make them think only of winning, not drawing Of course, All the math is still missing in case the other teams behind Palmeiras lose, although this is a very minimal possibility, Palmieras at this point must be thinking of defeating any team that comes their way. I really would not like to compete against a Palmeiras with those positions, because I would see him as a hungry lion and eager to have it all.

You're welcome!


Flamengo just lost the game against Fluminense, and therefore, their chances of being the champion of the Brasileirão decreased

If Internacional loses or draws the game tomorrow against Atletico-GO and Palmeiras wins the game against Santos, Palmeiras will substantially increase their chances of being champions.

[rdluffy]

Sometimes soccer is weird, Corinthians lost the game to America-MG
Corinthians will play against Flamengo at final of Copa do Brasil, it was the second place in many rounds, and now it's strugling to win.
Last 5 matches Corinthians only won 1 match

And now, if Internacional win against Atlético GO, will be the second. Inter won 4 of last 5 matches, and only 1 draw.

As predicted some posts before:

I think the real gambling here will be regards the second position of Brasileirão now. There are 6 clubs very close to each other, all of them able to conquer the 'silver medal' on the competition. Flamengo and Corinthians might be the favorite, but one slight mistake from each of them and Internacional, Fluminense plus both Atléticos can surpass and guarantee the position. It must be a tough dispute more interesting than the one for the first place.

The real battle will be second place haha

I'm glad I didn't bet this round on Corinthians, I earned some cash last match against Fluminense, and didn't lose this round 

[alegotardo]

Flamengo just lost the game against Fluminense, and therefore, their chances of being the champion of the Brasileirão decreased

If Internacional loses or draws the game tomorrow against Atletico-GO and Palmeiras wins the game against Santos, Palmeiras will substantially increase their chances of being champions.

What game was this!?
I already expected that "Fla-Flu" would be a very disputed and difficult game, but today's match exceeded my expectations.

I was hopeful for a tie, I believed that the score would be 1x1 and with that, Internacional would have more chances to regain its second place and fight for the lead without worrying about the others, but that didn't happen.

It will be very beautiful to see Internacional and Palmerias play the last match of the championship in the dispute for the cup... I hope the champion isn't defined before then

[swogerino]

The fact that Corinthians only won 1 game in last 5 games says a lot about them and why they are now completely out of the title fight,they lost like 10 points during such games which if they have gotten the points they would be second near Palmeiras.

Right now Palmeiras is in a very comfortable position despite equalizing 3 from the last 5 games and I believe the Serie A for this year is over.The battle for the second maybe interesting but it means nothing to the teams fighting for it,maximum a place in the Copa America which is good but not as good as to win the title.

[joker_josue]

Right now Palmeiras is in a very comfortable position despite equalizing 3 from the last 5 games and I believe the Serie A for this year is over.The battle for the second maybe interesting but it means nothing to the teams fighting for it,maximum a place in the Copa America which is good but not as good as to win the title.

Palmeiras is at that stage where everything goes well, even when it goes wrong.
In the last game against Santos, he even had one less player and still managed to score the winning goal. In turn, rival teams lost points. The result is nine points ahead of the season, with just a few games to go.

So I agree, that the championship is practically won by Palmeiras, they just have to manage the situation.

[gagux123]

What game was this!?
I already expected that "Fla-Flu" would be a very disputed and difficult game, but today's match exceeded my expectations.

I was hopeful for a tie, I believed that the score would be 1x1 and with that, Internacional would have more chances to regain its second place and fight for the lead without worrying about the others, but that didn't happen.

It will be very beautiful to see Internacional and Palmerias play the last match of the championship in the dispute for the cup... I hope the champion isn't defined before then

Literally this game yesterday was a freak show lol
Honestly, I imagined that there would be a tie, or maybe a simple 1x0 victory for Flamengo, for example.

Palmeiras even with a player with a red card managed to beat Santos.

So far everything is favoring Palmeiras. Let's see how Internacional will perform in today's game against Atletico-GO

[rdluffy]

Literally this game yesterday was a freak show lol
Honestly, I imagined that there would be a tie, or maybe a simple 1x0 victory for Flamengo, for example.

Palmeiras even with a player with a red card managed to beat Santos.

So far everything is favoring Palmeiras. Let's see how Internacional will perform in today's game against Atletico-GO

It was a surprise too see Flamengo losing, but the team is tired of playing 3 competitions at the same time.
Fluminense lost to Corinthians on Copa do Brasil > Fluminense won against Flamengo > Flamengo won against Corinthians. The things you see on soccer hahaha

Now it's a crucial match to Inter, I don't think they'll lose against the 19th place Atletico GO
The odd is interesting enough to risk, this is my bet for today, I think I can win here, 2.20 to inter

[3meek]

Bookmakers are giving an incredible odds of 2.2 for Inter's win against Atletico Goiyaniense... I think they know something, because Atletico Goianiense are losing a lot of matches and have been in the relegation zone for a long time... Inter have great game stats and I see no reason for them to lose today... I think we can safely bet on them to win, especially with such good odds...

[gagux123]

It was a surprise too see Flamengo losing, but the team is tired of playing 3 competitions at the same time.
Fluminense lost to Corinthians on Copa do Brasil > Fluminense won against Flamengo > Flamengo won against Corinthians. The things you see on soccer hahaha

Now it's a crucial match to Inter, I don't think they'll lose against the 19th place Atletico GO
The odd is interesting enough to risk, this is my bet for today, I think I can win here, 2.20 to inter

Yes, I also believe that it is difficult for Internacional to lose today's game! But in football anything can happen.

I took a quick look at Google and the odds are as follows:
International = 43% win
Tie = 29%
Atlético-GO = 28% win

I believe that from now on there will be games in which one team will have to take advantage of the other's mistake.

For example, Palmeiras got an advantage in yesterday's game against Santos and had +3 points.
Flamengo and Corinthians did not take advantage of this opportunity and both teams lost!

Let's see if Internacional can take advantage of this opportunity 

[rdluffy]

Bookmakers are giving an incredible odds of 2.2 for Inter's win against Atletico Goiyaniense... I think they know something, because Atletico Goianiense are losing a lot of matches and have been in the relegation zone for a long time... Inter have great game stats and I see no reason for them to lose today... I think we can safely bet on them to win, especially with such good odds...

Sometimes we can found good opportunities, and this was a good one 
I won this bet easily

I took a quick look at Google and the odds are as follows:
International = 43% win
Tie = 29%
Atlético-GO = 28% win

Of course it's math and we can't argue against it, but in my opinion, Inter had more than 43% of win in real game situation, so I made the bet and won some money 
It's not easy to find good bets paying more than 2.0 like this one (2.2)

[3meek]

Bookmakers are giving an incredible odds of 2.2 for Inter's win against Atletico Goiyaniense... I think they know something, because Atletico Goianiense are losing a lot of matches and have been in the relegation zone for a long time... Inter have great game stats and I see no reason for them to lose today... I think we can safely bet on them to win, especially with such good odds...

Sometimes we can found good opportunities, and this was a good one 
I won this bet easily

I took a quick look at Google and the odds are as follows:
International = 43% win
Tie = 29%
Atlético-GO = 28% win

Of course it's math and we can't argue against it, but in my opinion, Inter had more than 43% of win in real game situation, so I made the bet and won some money 
It's not easy to find good bets paying more than 2.0 like this one (2.2)

In Brazilian or Argentinian football I often notice such strange bets... I guess bookmakers there are not as accountable to the law as they are in UEFA or FIFA matches, for example... So I think it's much easier to use different machinations and mislead gamblers there, thus making big profits...